PART 3 ANTI-ANTI-NAZI BARBARIAN HORDES ARE KNOCKING DOWN THE

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USS Lincoln in FATAL Mutiny, Iran FORCES US Navy to TURN on Itself | Larry Johnson
Danny Haiphong
Streamed live 2 hours ago #iran #usslincoln #usnavy

Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson discusses Iran exposing a massive revolt on the USS Lincoln and Iran's involvement as the war takes an unexpected turn.



Transcript

Welcome back to the show everyone. As you can see, former CIA analyst, geopolitical commentator Larry Johnson is here with me to break down the latest developments. First, we begin with a shocking Iranian report. This comes from a military source close to Iran that says seven are now dead on the USS Abraham Lincoln after a brawl occurred amongst crew members and their superiors.

uh it broke out uh after the carrier spent months in the region nearly one year and and 200 plus days without port. Now US sources are saying something different. The Military Times are saying that multiple crew members on the USS Abraham Lincoln have tried to go overboard, indicating a a severe mental health crisis that families have made uh superiors in the US Navy aware of, but has received zero attention from the Trump administration. Now, in other news, the United States and Iran are reportedly supposedly from Pakistani mediators agreeing to extend a so-called 60-day ceasefire brokered by Pakistan uh with the current agreement supposedly ending August 17th.

But Iran has actually rejected these reports outright saying no such ceasefire exists because theou is not being abided by at this time and is essentially dead. Donald Trump today instead of addressing the naval crisis or this he has taken a a true social saying that the United States controls a straight of hormuz and uh will keep it saying that Iran is completely defeated has no money has no troops has no military. Larry, let's begin with what's happening aboard the USS Lincoln. What do you make of these reports?

Oftentimes in this war there's always been two conflicting truths. Now, uh, a lot of families are saying it's hard to get information on offboard the USS Lincoln right now. What's your understanding of what's going on and what do you make of these two reports that have come out from the Iranian side and from the US side? There is a crisis in the in the US military, but particularly in in the US Navy.

[clears throat] Um, I received a friend of mine, recently retired officer um and um he he he sent me the following today. He was just um he he was sort of livid. Uh he says with respect to this reported incident, he said, "And finally the truth. This is making the rounds.

If the Lincoln has 5,000 people uh on it and it hasn't seen land in 38 weeks, they are starving, no packages, rationing coffee, waiting to die. Uh they say the number is six attempts, nearly a year at sea, no land, etc. The real number of attempts is likely fivefold or tenfold. In other words, 30 to 60.

You have more attempts on a normal carrier operation. It's just normal, a factor of statistics. That's before being sent to your death on a purely political mission from someone who openly hates military members being hurt or dying. Six attempts sounds like a lot, but that number is way, way too small.

As an officer like them, I've had to do a number of Army Regulation 15-6 command investigations on soldiers committing. All officers have. It's a normal function, a real and stable number, too. And that's why you're still in.

They have no clue what's waiting for them the first night they return home for wherever. And they have time to spend alone thinking about it alone with nothing to distract you except your only friends Jim and Jack. You know, Jim Beam, Jack Daniels, referring to whiskey. Did you know they do roving patrols on all Navy ships called fire guard?

That term has become blanket use for all services. It means a rotating schedule to monitor the perimeter to make sure there are no quote fires. Wrong. The guard is to prevent people from cells on the spot.

Not dissimilar to phone factories in China. Fire guard still happens today in the army basic training. When you go to the field, when you go on an exercise or deployment, etc. It has nothing to do with preventing a fire.

part of the daily life in the military. Here's another example. In the big units such as the 82nd Airborne, the 101st Airborne, if the unit makes 82 or 101 days without a DUI, everybody gets a 4-day weekend. Well, they never got over three weeks without one regularly.

So, they had to increase the denominator to suicides. Everyone gets a long weekend if we make it to 82 days without his own unit. Guess how many days off there were? None.

So, we had to change the denominator again. Honestly, I think it was actually drugs. We may have made it to 82 days without someone caught and charged with using drugs in the barracks or whatever. Couldn't make it to 82 82 days without a DUI or a suic.

Um uh and then then he goes on to describe you know mentions his age when he was born. Uh and he says uh I I've had 24 years of PTSD from actually killed West in those days of divorces a few attempts mostly big wave surfing in Hawaii where you don't really expect to come back in. Granted, I was enlisted in the invasion of Iraq then, but but then I attended West Point and that started an entire successful officer career after that, including more combat deployments. If I've mentioned before, I'm the class president of my West Point class and have been for several years.

Uh, and so I have the numbers from day one of West Point until now. Committing at West Point is very regular. The preferred method since everyone is in pretty good shape and runs a lot is a run to Bare Mountain Bridge and then jumping. We had at least five commits while I was there.

And keep in mind, you can't just quit and go home uh for the most part. And then we lost some in combat particularly in 2009 2012 whenever everything heated up again post surge etc. But we've lost many more due to suicide as officers with families. You know what the one more you know what one more of the fun decisions I get to make as the class president?

Where do we place their names? How do they get uh bend or placed on the board? We have three demographics of dead classmates. Combat, su or non-combat injuries.

I get to listen to and deal with every single one of my dead classmates families argue about should their names be on the list of fallen in combat, if the majority fall deployed in combat, shortly after coming home from combat, or many years later. You can imagine how emotional those conversations are. So, six of 5,000 in a tinder box of rage called the Abraham Lincoln frustration and waiting for death for an for an multiply by multiply by five minimum. Then they end up just telling direct line supervisors, if you're sailor or self, it's on you.

Wow. How's that? How's that for How's that? Wow.

Now that's that is I mean that is indicative of of a major crisis. And Larry, the United States, Trump administration, they [clears throat] made this a naval war. They said that the Trump administration has relied so deeply, not just on the Iran war, but every single theater, Cuba, Venezuela, so deeply on on the US Navy. Now with Iran, there's absolutely no I mean the oil markets are reflecting this.

Uh what Iran is saying is reflecting this. There's no end to this war right now in sight. So what does this mean then moving forward given that uh the these problems that are arising on the USS Lincoln, they have consequences uh be even beyond uh the the horrific uh personal consequences for those on board. Yeah.

Yeah. No, it is. Well, it's a failure of leadership from the top. Failure by Donald Trump, failure by Pete Hgsth, failure by Admiral Brad Cooper, failure by the Chief of Naval Operations, failure by the Secretary of the Navy.

Like I said, failure across the board. Yeah. Yeah. Defin Total failure.

um you know what do you make of Iran's report that they say do you believe that there could also be of course the the anguish uh that these sailors are going through uh that lead to self harm and self-injury uh certainly verified now but do you believe that there could be some kind of also uh confrontations and clashes happening on the ship as things get incredibly uh uh dire and dangerous in this manner. Absolutely. You know, it's not out there. Yeah.

I mean, you're dealing with 5,000 people. It's not one big happy family. You know, they're going to be there. There there's, you know, I'm sure you've been in situations where a group of people and there may be some people you just don't get along with.

Um and then when you get under under this kind of pressure uh you know both uh the the the physical physical shortages, lack of food, lack of sleep, uh yeah, I I wouldn't be surprised if they if they had actually had some outbreaks of violence. This is this is uh bad. Yeah. Yeah.

That's that's what Iran is saying. Nobody else is reporting it. Nobody else wants to pick up the story, but Iran is saying that they have been informed that there was violent clashes on the ship uh this past week. But Larry, what are some of the other consequences too?

Because USS Lincoln is supposed to be one of of course uh the uh few aircraft carriers that the US has in its possession that make up the uh the real uh heavyweight strength of the US Navy. But being out in the Indian Ocean area that long also has some military effects and also technical effects on a ship like that, doesn't it? Like what how what do you believe the condition of the actual ship is? And is it even able to hell if you don't have crew uh uh ready to fight, then that's a whole big issue.

But what about the ship itself? Well, it's not so much the the ship. I mean the physical plant on the ship, you know, is going to require more maintenance just like anything that's mechanical where you get a lot of use. The maintenance is going to be critical.

Uh then you've got the aircraft on board the carriers. Uh and the the the F-35 is a hanger queen to start with. You know, a plane that needs lots of extra special care and can you know, frankly, not uh you know, be uh not not be readily operational. Uh so uh you know they've got that to deal with.

Um but it's not just the aircraft carrier. So you know as I've mentioned in other broadcasts you know I I I was contacted by the mother of one sailor uh now three weeks ago. uh and he was on the USS Tripoli and she was I mean she was furious that and she's a she a former u enlisted person in in the Navy I think as well said her son lost 30 pounds he came home gaunt you know when you got a when you got a normal 21 22 year old kid uh who's who's not a fat body and they they don't necessarily have 30 pounds to lose u but but that's what He did. Um I can I can show you a picture of me uh back when I was 22 uh going on 23.

No, actually I was 23 and I got a meic dysentery in Honduras and I I lost I lost like 25 pounds and you know I you know I was never even that skinny in high school. So that's what the you know he the food was awful but it wasn't just the food and and she sent you know I had photographs I had text messages email messages between mother and son so it was this wasn't just a fabrication this was she was reporting real life well um then last week ago Saturday in Chattanooga at Robert Barnes uh conference u which I was privileged to participate did uh I met the mother of a Marine and she began talking about her son had just come off deployment and I mentioned was was it food an issue and she said oh my god was it an issue and she launched into a a tirade about how bad the conditions were on board I think it was the boxer so you've now got the you got the parents of the Abraham Lincoln um carrier who were had a meeting last Thursday I believe in San Diego with the Secretary of the Navy. And boy, they lit him up like a Christmas tree. They were so angry.

So, you know what what we're looking at here is a complete breakdown in the in the in the leadership, the logistics, the support uh for these for these sailors and marines that are on board these ships. Now, what do you I'm sure I I I mean, I was hearing in some of these reports like in Stars and Stripes and Military Times that it's actually quite hard to get information from what's happening on the ship unless they're getting it directly, even from some who had to save uh some of these sailors from actually jumping overboard. Uh what do you make then of how uh people especially families of of these uh sailors and and crew members uh are feeling about the reports that uh there are consistently across the board. There's no continuity in the message about what's happening with the war.

Iran is saying absolutely no ceasefire. The war is going to continue. Iran is saying they're going to continue going till 2029. They haven't even met all their objectives yet.

While the Trump administration through Pakistan is trying to say that there's a ceasefire that's going to last 60 days. But what does this even mean to those who are responsible now to for uh for delegating this war and for uh conducting it under the current conditions of it which are are quite ambiguous to say the least. What are your thoughts on this? Well, I mean you're going to fight a war, you got to have an objective.

What's the objective? That's what Trump has failed to define. And so now now they're they've got these people stuck in a hole. What what is their mission?

Okay. So they're the the they're running a blockade. Well, they don't have enough ships to actually fully blockade the Indian Ocean. They can they can stop an occasional ship, but even if they stop that ship, are they going to take control of it?

If they have to take control of it, you have to detail a ship to sail with it. We don't we don't have an unlimited fleet by any stretch. We're extremely constrained. So um and and and it's haphazard.

You know, they're stopping son and not stopping the others. So this is um and then you get Trump's declaration like his true social today. " Really? Well then, and so the shutdown, the global shutdown of of liquid natural gas, helium, ura, and sulfur and oil, that's the fault of Donald Trump.

Okay, that's what he's admitting. He shut it down. Or or but then he in the in another breath he'll claim, oh, no, no, it's it's it's open. Straight of Hormuz is open.

We control it. Really? Then why aren't there any ships coming out? So it's just one lie upon another.

That's the problem. Yeah. Maybe you can help explain to uh what it means. All the ships that are actually coming out of the straight of Hormuz are going through the Iranian uh uh controlled or what it's being called Iranian delegated corridor.

Uh none through that so-called Omani corridor. What what is that? What does that effectively mean? And uh how does it how does it contradict the statements that Trump made today which appear as according to Iranian sources they're saying that uh it's just simply market manipulation and there's no reality to it.

But what's the uh what does it mean for uh the only ships that come out to be coming through Iranian controlled areas? Well, Iran made it very clear uh back uh I guess it was end of April or 1 of May when they introduced the Persian gay Persian Gulf Strait authority protocols and and they said they created a website. They created an online forms that you fill out. So if if you're a ship contemplating going through the straight of Formoose, you've got to provide the Iranians with ship's cap name of the ship, country of uh that flags the ship, name of the captain, destination of the ship, the cargo on board the ship, and the sixth and last thing is the the nationalities of the sailors on board the ship.

And yeah, essentially, you know, what Iran is doing is to make sure that no ship aligned with Israel coming through the straight. It is a it's a form of a blockade. Uh but they're also wanting to use that as a way to raise money uh for the for Iran that they're going to charge a fee in order to enter the strait. Uh now it remains to be seen the negotiations with Oman.

Uh they'll say okay we'll u you know we'll we'll uh put a toll or tax on every ship that comes in and then what you do with them leaving that's your choice. You can charge them, you cannot charge them, but we're going to collect our money up front. Uh so that'll put uh Oman I mean uh yeah it'll put Oman in in a fairly unique position to either let them all go without a charge or to get in on the money said hey there's a you know you're going to have to pay a users fee here. So um you know a lot of that is still up in the air to be um as far as what Oman's role official role is going to be.

They reports are that Iran and Oman have had positive talks, but we've seen no firm agreement and no no final announcement. Yeah. Yeah. It's been taking quite a while.

It feels like it's been a while since we heard those initial reports that it's very close the Iran Oman technical talks. Uh nothing yet and doesn't look like it's going to happen today, tomorrow. Uh Larry, help interpret what this means then because uh this was reported yesterday that lowest in 40 years the US strategic petroleum reserves are currently sitting. Mhm.

What does it mean for for this war? Because Donald Trump has said he's going to be relying now lowkeying it, relying on economic pressure of Iran. What kind of economic pressure does this place on the US and the world economy given that uh this situation isn't set to get better so long as everything about the war other than the strikes remains in place? We're on the edge of catastrophe.

So, um let's understand that I guess now the numbers down to around 290 million barrels. Is that is that the number you're seeing? Yeah. Let me pull it back up actually.

Here it is. Boom. Yep. About It says I think this was it 300 about uh it's got it's got to be less than 300 now.

It was 300 a few weeks ago. So of that of that let's of that 290. Uh, you've got to keep 140 45 million barrels. 145 million barrels minimum in the caverns in the salt caverns total.

You know, each each salt cavern is going to have a different level depending upon its volume, what it's capable of holding. But the reason you've got to keep, you know, roughly now 50% of what's left in storage is if you pump it out, the only way you can pump it out is you have to pump water in and oil's lighter than water. So the oil rides on the water to the top and then the oil sucked out. Uh but the problem is with all that water and if you if you're basically draining the last drop, you're going to create uh a crisis, a structural crisis for the salt cavern.

The water mixes with the salt, weakens the wall, the salt cavern collapses in on itself, and then you you no longer have a salt cavern to store that in. That's number one. Number two, uh, of that oil that's being drawn out, I'm not sure what the mixture is between sweet crude and sour crude. The the US refineries, particularly in the Gulf, 70% of the US refineries across the country, uh, are set up to deal with sour crude, heavy crude.

That is, it's high, that means it's high in sulfur content. And these these refineries, they're built to handle particular types of oil. It's not all oil is not created equal. It it differs.

So depending upon what percent of that oil that 145 million barrels that they can draw out, what percent of that goes to diesel and aviation fuel? Um so you now have a global shortage of diesel and aviation fuel because previously when the oil was flowing from the Persian Gulf at the rate of about 20 million barrels per day u about 2 million of those barrels would make their way to the United States to be processed. Now 2 million barrels may not sound like a lot but it's still it is still almost 10% So it's not inconsequential. But uh then the other refineries that were getting that oil out of the Persian Gulf were one's in India or a an area in India.

The others in China and the last the fourth one you know after US India China was Japan and South Korea. They get 90% of theirs out of there. So there there there now is a genuine shortage of diesel and aviation fuel which means the price of it climbing and going to continue to climb. So we're on the cusp of a genuine world economic crisis.

[sighs] Yeah. Yeah. That that definitely seems like where things are going. Yet the United States, Donald Trump is seems, as I've been saying for weeks now, whistling past this graveyard.

This is what Iran is reporting. The Persian Gulf Straight Authority denies US claims that the Straight of Hormuz is open, will not be reopened until conditions are accepted. And here is the numbers of what they are saying is occurring in terms of number of ships. But all of these ships are being approved of by Iran through their channel.

And so, Larry, uh, what does it mean to be approved of from their channel? Is Iran taking fees right now? Uh, Iran reported that they've lost quite a lot of money from the blockade, uh, in in many respects. Uh, are they recouping this from the straight form moves?

What's what's going on there? Uh, to my knowledge, not yet. um when when it comes time to collect funds, the money is going to be collected in Chinese renew. Uh so it'll be Chinese currency uh going into banks connected to China out of the reach of the United States.

So the United States can no longer seize Iranian assets or take steal Iranian money. Yeah. Yeah. Well, uh, I mean that's that's a game changer.

I'm wondering, Larry, maybe talk about because they put up the Baba mendup straight there as well. Any updates on the situation now with Yemen? Uh, surprise attack happened in the last on Saudi forces. Uh, Yemen has been pounding uh Saudi positions inside of Yemen uh supportive of the so-called uh southern government.

And I'm wondering if you could uh give an update on what's happening there and why is that situation escalating despite the fact that the Trump administration is trying to at least put the Iran war on some kind of ambiguous pause as it is or as it as they're trying to do now. You know there there are some fundamental truths in life. You know, you hear about like if you're in a hole, first first rule of crisis management, if you're in a hole, stop digging. And the Saudis forgot sort of correlary to that is like if you live in a glass house, don't get in a rock fight with a guy that lives in a quarry and has a brick house, okay?

Because they got plenty of rocks to throw. and and that's that that's the mistake that uh the Saudis have made in going after the Houthis. You know, the Saudi has a rich number of targets that are sensitive economically and that if hit or destroyed can can make uh Saudi Saudi life very very difficult, really hurt the economy. Um but uh the Houthies by contrast they don't have a lot of infrastructure.

Uh so just just dropping bombs on Houthy land isn't going to get you anywhere. So this is uh this is a case where the Saudis decided to pick a fight that they can't win. And like I said, if you're in a glass house, don't go throwing rocks. You're just setting yourself up.

And uh where would you uh how would you consider in terms of this uh regional war Larry? How how would you see this going if it continues on in this manner? Uh like what what is the fate then of Saudi Arabia? Uh the UAE I saw reports from certain geopolitical analysts saying the UAE and Israel now are in some kind of now uh alliance so to speak.

We have the Middle East [clears throat] that new the new pact in the Middle East between Turkey, Pakistan uh as well as Saudi Arabia. Uh what do you make of all this shuffling and what does it pretend for the regional situation as Iran, Yemen, and the various flash points uh begin to take shape in their outcomes? Yeah. Um there's the you know me Ryan and her quote partner they've been in a relationship for good god 45 years 40 years never been married.

Well I I draw that as a parallel to Israel and the UAE. They're just announcing their relationship for God's sake. It's been in place for what 20 years or more. So, [laughter] you know, it's it's laughable.

Oh, they've got an alliance. Well, no kidding. Sun rises in the east. You got any more news flashes for me?

You know, the And my sarcasm is not directed at you, Danny, but it's just directed at the the cluelessness of these news organizations that write stupid stuff like this because uh it it has been uh um or you know it it has been the case uh for for quite a while that UAE was seen as a tool of Israel openly. Um and I I forget I did the wrong cultural reference. It was Goldie Han, not Me Ryan, but you know, still the the point is you take something that's publicly known, it's visible to the public, everything, and then you come out and report it as news. It doesn't make sense.

Where did the Saudis go? The Saudis got one out here. Negotiate, settle, surrender, because otherwise um the the Houthies are going to keep breaking them up all day. They're going to keep knocking out ships that try to come through BL Mandab.

They're going to force the Saudis to use the Suez Canal. And you know, you're not going to see the Egyptians bitching about that because every Saudi ship that comes through the Suez Canal pays a fee. In fact, you know, you could almost maybe make the case that actually the real alliance here could be between the Houthis and and and the guys in Cairo that control the Suez Canal that they got a backdoor deal. Yeah, we'll give you 10% of everything that comes through.

So, um the Saudis militarily cannot defeat the Houthis. They've tried that. They've tried various methods. They certainly don't have an army of sufficient size to do it.

And their their whatever they have in terms of air power is offset by the Houthi's enormous uh stockpile of of missiles. Now Iran has reported Larry that their missile capabilities are only growing. They've updated their missiles essentially all of them to have the capability of evading air defenses changing uh I I think almost toward the end of their trajectory uh to evade uh air defenses but also uh that they are producing missiles at uh such a high rate that uh they are highly confident that they can go until that 2029 period and beyond should they need to use them. I'm wondering about Yemen though in Ansarala.

What are their capabilities? Are they just getting started? The Baba Bend straight is partially closed to Saudi shipping uh and commercial shipping, but there is activity going through it. Is this phase one?

Is this step one? Do they have the capabilities of closing it all together? What do you know about that? Yeah.

No, I I think they do have the capability to close it all together, but they're not going to. They're going to allow ships, particular ships related to China and Russia to pass. Um, but you know, they've already proven that they can't be beat. uh or to to beat them, it's going to require uh it's going to require a level of, you know, military investment and risk that, you know, the United States certainly wasn't willing to pay or or or risk.

You know, they we saw the we had two two carrier strike groups at one point in the Red Sea trying to shut down the Houthis and they failed. You know, it was over a 7-week period and they absolutely failed to shake the Houthis. So, you know, and the Houthies, I mean, these battle I look, they've been fighting these battles for centuries, and you know, the they they don't give up. So, it is, you know, this is one of the cases where the Saudis have they picked a fight with the wrong critter.

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Well, uh that's for sure.

Now, I I don't believe I've had you on since Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed this uh defense pact, and I'm wondering your opinion on it. Some aren't taking it so seriously. Some are believing Iran made statements to the effect that they view any kind of act of sovereign defense as a a positive development. Others are questioning whether it's sovereign at all given the uh very contradictory situations that all these countries find themselves in.

Uh so what are your thoughts on it and what kind of impact does it make on the regional situation especially in regards to Iran and Yemen and the the regional wars that have been uh you know absolutely escalating. Well, I' I've come up with a name for it. It's, you know, it's the Middle East Treaty Organization. The shorthand for that is Me Too.

So, this is the Me Too movement. Um, I I I I would call it performance art. That's about, you know, it's not going to in any any foreseeable future convert itself into some sort of entity capable of acting militarily with any kind of force. Uh, you know, number one, the Saudis bring nothing to the table militarily.

Saudis are useless. Uh, you know, they've got a 250,000man army. uh supposedly uh but they can't even beat the damn Houthies uh and they've and they tried for 10 12 years u so you've got u you've got the that uh you have the the Turks who have a large army but u they're they're not real good at projecting force sending those troops outside of their country. And then you got Pakistan which provides in on at least in theory a ballistic umbrella over Turkey and Saudi Arabia.

Now the fact that they signed it in Mecca, I think that's important. That was that was symbolic making sure they're making a declaration about the Islamic nature of this accord because if it was really secular, they would have signed it in Riad. But they made a point that Erdogan and Sharif the the foreign min prime minister of Pakistan were on hand to sign it in Mecca. So there was basically saying to the world this is a Muslim thing.

Uh that said they also reportedly pledged hey an attack on one is an attack on all. Okay let's walk through what has happened. uh Pakistan and Saudi Arabia had already made that agreement back in September of 2025 and since then Saudi has been attacked by Yemen and what did the Pakistanis and do nothing. They said not our problem.

So now in the wake of the signing of this meto agreement at at Mecca last week that within hours of said that being signed there was an attack in Saudi Arabia by by Yemen. So right off the bat that should have triggered hey we've been attacked. Come on. They attacking me.

They're attacking you. And the Saudis and would have been calling on Pakistan and Turkey. Come on guys. Let's go.

What happened? Nothing. Uh it is you know words no action. So um the uh the question about what does this agreement mean?

It's up in the air. Uh as you put right rightly noted about the reaction of Iranian authorities. " Um, now it does raise a question uh in the last few days Turkey has made some threats directed at Russia, at the at the Russians. So, do do you believe that if Russia and Turkey come to blows that the Saudi that the Saudis and the Pakistanis are going to rise up and join uh Turkey in a fight against Russia?

I don't think so. Uh so it was like I said this this is more like a performance in an art studio without any real substance. Hello. Sorry.

Sorry. I was muted. Uh, one comment before moving on to uh to finish the program on the Ukraine situation. The I believe Saudi Arabia and Pakistan also have supposedly a mutual defense pact.

Yeah, they they have a signed last September. I referenced that. And but throughout the throughout the Iran war, throughout the war in Iran, I mean Saudi Arabia was a party to the war was struck by Iran many times and then Pakistan ended up being a mediator with uh Iran these negotiations and uh and Iran having at that at this point taken advantage of this and built even closer ties to to Pakistan. So yeah, I nothing is set in stone it looks like with this uh defense pact expanding beyond bilateral ties.

But uh Larry, what do you make of the reports uh now that Russian strikes are getting more numerous, more consistent all over uh Ukrainian positions, military positions, Kiev, Zaparogia, uh these these aerial strikes, these missile strikes. Now there are reports that DPRK North Korea is more deeply involved according to Ukrainian sources mostly Valer Zalinski but Ukrainian intelligence. And then today I believe uh there were reports coming out of Japan that DPRK did test a ballistic missile as well. I believe there were some missiles being tested by China that the United States was very unhappy about uh saying that they wanted warning next time that China tests their advanced missiles.

um out at sea. Larry, what do you make of uh what's going on um with like what does this actually say about where the world is going? Uh it it seems like this indicates that these countries are very much not only coordinating and collaborating but that the world is changing quite dramatically. Your thoughts on it?

Well, yeah. No, you're absolutely correct that there is coordination, collaboration, China, Russia, Iran, uh you know, why why is North Korea employing troops and equipment in the war zone? What better way to find out if your stuff actually works? And you know they're they're not under the kind of political pressures you'd face in you say in the United States if Trump tried to deploy US troops to Ukraine to find you know to get combat experience.

But uh for the for the North Koreans getting combat experience is a good thing. uh you know they got to their attitude is these soldiers got to be trained anyway so might as well put them into the real deal where they get to find out if they you know how it works and so you've got you've got that going on u as as a dynamic uh in this entire process. Let's not forget that apparently yesterday when Putin was uh attending some ceremony with the uh Pac Russian Pacific Fleet, he gave them permission, gave them the green light to uh go after European ships, commercial vessels that are sailing in the Sea of Japan, Sea of China, in the Pacific that uh Russia was now going to retaliate against the European ships for the very thing that they've been punished trying to punish Russian ships for. So this you know this throws up, you know, a whole new dimension here.

Yeah, definitely. Definitely. And and you know what does it say too about where the US is at in this uh major what is a major conflict between uh the growing coordination of these countries China, Russia, North Korea, DPRK, Iran and uh US uniolarity especially on the military front because in many respects what we're talking about is coordination that doesn't exist for the United States and their so-called allies as well as the fact that uh Russia, China, Iran, even DPRK are moving ahead technologically in uh the realm of the military which is supposed to be the US's really the last remaining advantage it's supposed to have in the world to keep uniolarity. So, what do you make of this?

Well, um I put up an article last night that highlights uh the contradictions, inherent contradictions in US military planning and execution. So, the Pentagon has moved very rapidly to get money out there to to send it to Lheed Martin and General Dynamics say, "Hey, come on, man. We need to quintuple really dramatically expand the production of Pack 3 missiles. Here you go.

Here's the money. So, they got the money. The only one little problem. To produce those Pack 3 missiles, [snorts] you need two types of specialty magnets made out of rare earth minerals that are controlled by China.

And there's the Chinese have told the United States, "Yeah, you want uh you want these rare earth minerals? you want these parts, forget about it. You know, we're not going to arm you so you can turn around and use those weapons on us. We're not going to do that.

And that's exactly uh, you know, the United States now finds itself in a situation that we're out of missiles. We need to build more missiles, but we can't build more missiles because China controls the supply chain. Yeah, great points, uh, Larry. Now, uh, I wanted to close the program with some audience questions.

There's one here. Why is the US sending B-52s to train with Chile and Argentina? Is it a message to leftwing government Brazil or something worse? Yesterday, the US said they would make clear they are in control of all of the Americas.

Yeah, this is coming with a lot of developments, Larry, in this part of the world in the Western Hemisphere. But what do you make of that? I haven't even heard that report. I I think it's just looking for an excuse to send these guys on training missions where it'll buy him some goodwill and but uh won't put him at risk.

So yeah, I you know, we're not going to attack Brazil. Hell, we like I said, we can't even handle the Houthies. Yeah. Well, there's certainly something a foot all over Latin America.

Venezuela is restoring some ties now with Israel. Um, and of course, there's lots of talks even of uh attempting to manipulate elections in Brazil coming up, similar to what happened in Colombia earlier. Yeah. This summer.

Yeah. I mean that look the um the appeal of making a a turn to the right curring favor with Washington you know that's been done for years and then it ultimately leads to a backlash in those countries just a matter of how long to wait. Yeah. Yeah.

I was I say I to put it as like seasons. uh right now it uh it's their their season the return to the right in the US back forces and then you know where where the next period however long that is uh port or tends it usually isn't favorable uh to the United States it usually as you said it's a it's a backlash and that's coming well Larry you know in the last five or so minutes or so that we have together uh uh maybe you can talk about what what is actually happening for the Ukraine conflict right Now, uh there are reports that Ukraine supposedly hit uh critical shipping [snorts] for Russia in the Black Sea. Uh there's of course almost daily attempts to lob drones at Russia into Russian territory and then there were the strikes we said earlier and of course the battlefield which gets uh less attention these days uh by the western mainstream media. So what's what's happening there and uh where is it heading?

Uh it's heading for the complete utter defeat of Ukraine uh potentially as soon as the end of this year. Uh the destruction, the shutdown of trade coming out of through the Black Sea by uh you know vessels entering or exiting Odessa or Nicollay. That's closed off. That's that's no longer an activity that's g that Russia is going to allow.

Russia can continues to destroy critical infrastructure in Kev and other major cities including Lav. Uh and this is having a cumulative effect on reducing uh Ukraine's readiness. Uh so uh it is a um it's a situation that when you compile the the closure of the economic gateway to the south basically choking off Iran or choking off Ukraine then you the ground operations are such that you're attacking on at least seven axes of attacks. In previous years, the most uh the Russians would in do are two axis of attacks, but now they're doing at least seven.

So it's uh up in Chernig, Sunumi, Kiv, uh Daetsk, Zaparisia, Neprop, Petros, uh and Odessa. So that'd be seven. So yeah, this is um you know it is it's it's a level of activity that uh Ukraine can't can't can't stop. And so they're they're losing on they're losing through the air war, they're losing through the naval war.

They're losing through the ground war. It's just it's a matter of time before they're fully cooked. And is it a matter of time before the the narrative war? Because the narrative war right now uh because I mean in large part because of the western mainstream media has so much dominance over the information uh that comes out of this conflict for viewers who watch this program and people who live in our part of the world in the west.

But nevertheless, uh how long until the narrative war ends up turning given well yeah that facts are facts that the the narrative war doesn't care about facts. So uh we're going to see see this continue for uh you know the narrative war will continue I think even weeks or months. I just saw an example today. Some friends sent me something from a Ukrainian source talking about how the Russia still failed to take Pakovsk and I wrote back, "They took the damn thing four months ago.

What are you talking about? " Yeah. Yeah. I mean, you you just do a general search on the internet about what's happening in Ukraine and it's almost wallto-wall.

It's wow, Ukraine is pounding Russia in the Black Sea. Ukraine is hitting Russia with all these drones and that's really the extent of of what you get coming out of this conflict at this point. There really is no attention to the battlefield as well as to uh the effectiveness of what Ukraine is doing on on Russia. Well, any final words, Larry, before we close out at the top of this hour on uh the current situation worldwide?

Nope. I think we covered it and like I need to jump anyway. So, thanks, Danny. All right.

Well, Larry, thanks so much for joining me today. Everybody hit the like button. Yeah, Larry, I'll talk to you soon. Um, everybody hit the like button before you go.

That helps boost the show in YouTube's algorithm. Be sure to check out Larry's work in the video description, too. His uh blog as well as the YouTube channel, Transition Protocol, is there. You can subscribe to that.

All the ways to support this channel are in the video description below as well where you can support me on Patreon, Substack, and so much more. I want to thanks thank you to Christa for being an incoming new member. Thank Fragmat Frackmatic for that. Thank you.

I I asked your question to the member here uh Soberano Brazil 9370. Thank you so much also for the super chat. Thank you DJ369 Miami with the cloud and chief. Nothing is surprising.

Thank you so much. and Regina uh Perez do Santos, thanks so much for your super ticker. All right, everybody. That's it.

Tomorrow at uh What am I doing tomorrow actually for a program? m. Eastern time. How could I forget?

Uh Scott Ritter is coming on the program. We're going to continue our daily updates of the geopolitical situation. So, be sure to tune in to that. m.

Eastern, I have Alistair Crook coming on the show. So, two great shows coming up in the next two days. Everyone hit the like button before you go. That helps boost the show on YouTube's algorithm.

And until next time everybody, I will see you

[admin]

Scott Ritter: Iran Ass*ssination Plot BLOWN by Israel, 5,000 US Navy Sailors JUMP SHIP
Danny Haiphong
Streamed live 116 minutes ago #iran #iranwar #usslincoln

Former UN Weapons Inspector & US Marine Intel Officer Scott Ritter discusses the shocking developments in an alleged Iranian attempt on Trump's life plus new details emerging on the crisis aboard the USS Lincoln as 5,000 US Sailors face the brink of catastrophe.

[admin]

Thousands Of U.S Troops DEAD': Former U.S Marine Reveals REAL U.S. Casualty Numbers in Iran War
Oneindia News
Aug 10, 2026

A former U.S. Marine is making explosive claims about the true human cost of the conflict, arguing that the real U.S. casualty numbers could be far higher than publicly acknowledged—potentially reaching hundreds or even thousands. Ken O'Keefe has also delivered a blunt message to Donald Trump, declaring “STOP DYING FOR ISRAEL” and accusing the Trump administration of misleading the American public.

His comments are fueling a heated debate over U.S. military involvement, casualty figures, government transparency, and America’s relationship with Israel. Are the publicly reported numbers telling the full story, or is there more being kept from the public?