Iran’s UNDERWATER KILLERS To Blow Up US Warships? ‘Ocean Assassins AZHDAR Spooks Trump’ Times Of India Mar 10, 2026 #Iran #StraitOfHormuz #MiddleEastCrisis
The Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most critical energy chokepoint, is becoming the focal point of rising tensions between Iran, the United States, and regional powers. Analysts warn Tehran is deploying a sophisticated network of asymmetric weapons designed to challenge advanced naval forces without relying on traditional warships. Systems such as the Azhdar unmanned underwater vehicle, drone swarms, fast attack boats, naval mines, and anti-ship missiles could overwhelm defenses in the narrow waterway. Nearly 20 percent of global oil shipments pass through Hormuz, raising fears that even limited disruptions could trigger major economic shocks and send energy prices surging worldwide.
Transcript
The Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most vital energy choke points, is now at the heart of a dangerously escalating conflict between Iran, the United States, and regional powers. Analysts warned that Thran doesn't need massive warships to assert control over these narrow waters. The stakes are higher than ever, and the potential for confrontation is immediate and unpredictable. Instead, Iran is leveraging a sophisticated network of asymmetric weapons built to challenge even the most advanced naval forces. Central to this arsenal is the Azdar, an unmanned underwater vehicle capable of striking with precision and secrecy, redefining how power is projected beneath the waves. The Azdar is an unmanned underwater vehicle capable of traveling at speeds of around 25 knots. Analysts say it can patrol underwater for up to four days and cover distances of roughly 600 kilometers on a single charge. Operating quietly below the surface, such systems are difficult to detect and extremely challenging to intercept from the air. These underwater drones form only one part of Iran's broader asymmetric arsenal in the Persian Gulf. Military observers say Thrron has developed a layered approach to naval warfare, one that relies on swarms of smaller, cheaper systems rather than traditional fleets. Alongside underwater vehicles, Iran is believed to deploy swarms of unmanned aerial vehicles, anti-ship missiles, fast attack boats, and unmanned surface vessels. Together, these systems could create a highly complex threat environment for ships attempting to pass through the narrow straight of Hormuz. Analysts say the strategy is designed to overwhelm and exhaust defensive systems through saturation attacks. Multiple drones or unmanned vessels could be launched simultaneously toward a convoy or warship, forcing naval defenses to respond to numerous threats at once. Some of these platforms are believed to operate autonomously or with artificial intelligence guidance. In certain concepts, underwater drones may approach a ship's hall silently before detonating explosives at close range. Such systems resemble so-called suicide torpedo designs, combining torpedo technology with autonomous navigation. Iran is also believed to possess unmanned surface vessels capable of carrying explosive payloads. These systems may be guided by GPS navigation or artificial intelligence, and some are designed to operate in coordinated swarms. Military analysts say these platforms can serve several roles during naval operations. They can carry out direct attacks on warships, disrupt trade routes, conduct reconnaissance missions, or relay targeting information for missiles and other weapons. Surface or underwater drones can also identify targets and transmit realtime data, allowing other weapons such as cruise missiles or ballistic missiles to refine their attacks. In combination with coastal artillery and aerial drones, these systems can create a multi-layered strike network. The use of unmanned platforms offers several advantages in naval warfare. They are significantly cheaper than traditional warships or submarines and can be produced in large numbers. Their smaller size also makes them harder to detect using conventional radar or sonar systems. And in confined waters like the Persian Gulf, these systems may be particularly effective. The narrow geography of the Strait of Hormuz limits maneuvering space for large ships, increasing their vulnerability to coordinated attacks. This strategy may already be affecting global shipping routes. Several intelligence assessments warned that Iran's drone attacks could disrupt maritime traffic through the straight of Hormuz for months. The waterway located between Iran and Oman is one of the most important energy corridors on the planet. Roughly 20% of the world's crude oil and liqufied natural gas passes through the strait. Since the conflict intensified following US and Israeli strikes on Iran, Thran has launched hundreds of missiles and more than a thousand drones targeting Gulf states aligned with Washington. Air defense systems intercepted most of the incoming attacks. However, reports indicate that several residential areas, commercial facilities, and military installations still suffered damage. Iran is widely regarded as one of the region's major producers of military drones. According to estimates from the UK-based Center for Information Resilience, Iran may be capable of producing around 10,000 drones each month. One of the best known models is the Shahed 136, a long range loitering drone capable of flying between 700 and a,000 km. From Iranian territory or potentially from ships in the Gulf, such drones could reach targets across much of the southern Gulf coastline. While Iran's drone production capacity appears substantial, analysts say its missile stockpile may be more limited. Estimates of Iran's ballistic missile inventory vary widely. The Israeli military has suggested the country may possess around 2,500 missiles, while other analysts believe the number could reach as high as 6,000. Missile reserves have reportedly been reduced by earlier transfers to regional allies, including Hisbullah in Lebanon and the Houthi movement in Yemen. Previous conflicts have also depleted parts of Iran's arsenal. Even so, Iran retains other tools that could affect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. One of the most significant is its stockpile of naval mines. According to maritime intelligence firm Dryad Global, Iran may possess between 5,000 and 6,000 naval mines, these mines can be placed on the seabed, propelled toward targets, or left drifting until they detonate on contact with a vessel. So far, there are no confirmed indications that mines have been deployed in the Strait of Hormuz, but analysts warned that if such mines were laid, clearing them could take a long time. Mine clearing operations in busy shipping lanes can take weeks or even months, especially in a narrow and heavily traffked waterway like Hormuz. That could significantly disrupt global trade. The economic impact is already being felt. Energy markets have reacted sharply to the rising uncertainty. Brent crude oil prices have climbed by roughly 12% this week, while European benchmark natural gas prices have surged by roughly 50%. Such volatility reflects growing fears about how long shipping disruptions might last. For now, the danger in the Strait of Hormuz isn't coming from battleships or aircraft carriers. It comes from the unseen. Drones slicing low over the water, mines lurking beneath the surface and autonomous weapons prowling silently through the shipping lanes, ready to strike without warning. In this narrow choke point that carries a fifth of the world's energy, even the hint of such threats could grind global trade to a halt for months, sending shock waves through markets and nations alike. News never stops. The world keeps turning and every turn tells a story. Wars, elections, geopolitics, Davids versus Goliaths. While everyone is celebrating the US China trade tour, Trump has been quietly doing something else across Asia. Were once home to the ancient Silk Road connecting east and west. But who's connecting the dots? Who's decoding the global storm? Welcome to Times of India videos. You're watching a special edition of Global Pulse with me, Niha Kana. We decode the shifting grains of geopolitics to you. From Washington to Wuhan, everything all at once. Just two years ago, Canada was one of the most popular countries for Indian stones. From Davos to Delhi, we track the decisions that move markets, shift policies and shape the future. 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Watch moment Iranian missile hit radical minister, Itama Ben Gvir & others - OPTM OPTM Mar 10, 2026
Transcript
Welcome. We are witnessing history being written in real time. And it is a history that the corporate media in the west is doing everything in its power to bury. If you are just joining us, we have to start with the seismic unconfirmed reports that are shaking the Zionist entity to its very core. According to a flurry of posts on X and whispers within the intelligence community, the unthinkable may have happened. A precision Iranian strike has obliterated a key leadership bunker in occupied Palestine. According to unverified reports, an Iranian missile has struck what is believed to be one of Israel's largest underground wartime shelters in Tel Aviv, a heavily protected facility reportedly used by Israeli leaders during major conflicts. Dramatic footage circulating online claims a powerful Iranian missile has struck a major underground shelter in Tel Aviv, a site some commentators are calling BB's bunker linked to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The target, it seems, was not just any military installation. Sources are reporting that the strike, which also leveled the private residence of Benjamin Netanyahu, has left a catastrophic human toll. Among the missing and presumed dead are two of the most odious figures in the regime. National Security Minister Edidomar Bengir and the Prime Minister's own brother Idon Netanyahu. This was not a random barrage. This was a decapitation strike of the highest order, a direct response to the assassination of Iran's former Supreme Leader Ali Kam by US and Israeli forces. And it signals a terrifying new phase in this war. Courtesy of Iran's new generation of cluster missiles. Weapons that are proving to be so advanced, so devastating that they are turning the vaunted Iron Dome into little more than a fireworks display. For days now, we've watched the sky over Tel Aviv turn orange. Not from a sunset, but from relentless barges of Iranian fire that are getting through. The occupation regime is panicking. They are literally removing CCTV cameras across the country, scrubbing the internet of footage, and imposing a blackout on casualty numbers because the devastation Netanyahu has brought upon his own people in his quest to destroy Iran is now too immense to hide. The narrative of the invincible Israel is over and what remains is a smoldering wasteland of their own making. Before we go any further, I have to ask you to help us keep this light shining. The mainstream media won't show you the rubble in Tel Aviv, and they certainly won't tell you about the Iranian precision that caused it. They are too busy carrying water for their masters in Washington and Tel Aviv. If you value independent journalism that tells you the truth about Palestinian resistance and the crumbling of Western hegemony, hit that like button, share this broadcast with everyone you know, and subscribe. We are here to document the liberation, not the occupation. Your support is the only thing keeping us on the air. Now, let's get into the sheer magnitude of what has just happened. The news broke just hours ago following a massive salvo launched by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard course. This wasn't just another round of retaliatory fire to satisfy the headlines. This was surgical. This was revenge. The strike that took out the leadership bunker was reportedly pinpoint accurate, targeting a location deep underground that was supposedly unknown to Iranian intelligence. But as we've seen throughout this conflict, Iranian intelligence has penetrated the Zionist state at every level. For months, the occupation has been reeling from a string of humiliating intelligence failures. And now we see the result. Their leadership was caught gathered in a hardened bunker, likely coordinating the next phase of their genocide, only to be buried under it by a missile they couldn't stop. Let's talk about the two men who are now missing and likely burning in hell where they belong. First, Idomar Beng. If you don't know this name, you need to understand the evil it represents. This man is not a politician. He is a terrorist in a suit, a disciple of the racist Rabbi Mir Kahan. As national security minister, he has spent his entire tenure arming extremist settlers, transforming the West Bank into a shooting gallery where Palestinians are hunted for sport. He has personally encouraged the police to open fire on civilians. He has stormed the Alexa mosque compound to provoke a religious war and his rhetoric is so genocidal that he once celebrated a deadly attack on Palestinians by calling for the destruction of their villages. This is a man who keeps a portrait of Barak Goldstein, the settler who massacred 29 Palestinians in a mosque hanging in his home as a hero. Beng represents the pure unvarnished face of fascism that has taken over the Israeli government. He is the architect of much of the suffering in Gaza and the West Bank. And that is precisely why Iran targeted him. He was the ideological head of the snake, the one pushing hardest for the ethnic cleansing of Palestine. If he is dead and the early report suggests the bunker took a direct hit, then a great evil has been lifted from this earth. Then there is Ido Netanyahu. He isn't a soldier or a politician, so why would he be in a command bunker? Ido is the prime minister's younger brother, a playwright, and a physician. But more importantly, he is the family's consiguary. He has been deeply involved in shaping the international narrative, running damage control for his brother's corruption trials and acting as a liaison to the hardline settler movements. His presence in that bunker suggests a family war council, a meeting of the dynasty that has brought so much pain to the region. Having both the political head of the fascist movement and the brother of the prime minister vaporized in a single strike is not just a military victory. It is a psychological hammer blow to the morale of the occupation. And how did Iran achieve this? Through technological brilliance and a defiance that the West simply cannot comprehend. The Iron Dome is useless. We have to say that clearly. For years, we were told it was the most advanced air defense system on the planet. A miracle shield that could intercept anything. But Iran's new cluster missiles have exposed it for the fraud it always was. These missiles are designed to overwhelm defenses. Upon re-entry, they disperse dozens of submunitions, what an Israeli analyst on channel 12 desperately tried to downplay as rainbombs that saturate the sky. The Iron Dome can only fire one interceptor per target, and it relies on radar. When you have dozens of high-speed projectiles coming down like meteors, the system shortcircuits, it misses. And when it misses, the results are catastrophic. We are seeing videos despite the censorship of massive craters in the Gushan region, of buildings collapsed in Tel Aviv, of fires raging in Hifa. This brings us to the censorship. The Zionists are masters of propaganda, but you can't photoshop rubble. Reports from inside occupied Palestine indicate that authorities are going street to street, removing private CCTV cameras to prevent homeowners from uploading footage of the strikes. They are threatening journalists with arrest if they show the real scale of the damage. Why? Because they don't want the world to see that startup nation is burning. A retired US Army Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson was quoted in Iranian media admitting that the amount of damage being inflicted on Tel Aviv is very bad and that the attacks are relentless. Even American analysts are admitting that the regime is taking a severe beating. And yet our news anchors in the West are still talking about deescalation and diplomatic solutions. While Netanyahu's home is a crater, let's be very clear about the hypocrisy of the Western outrage machine. We are now seeing headlines ringing their hands over Iran's use of cluster munitions. The Jerusalem Post is running stories about two killed by cluster bombs, painting Iran as a dangerous aggressor. But where was this outrage when Israel was dropping Americanmade white phosphorus on Lebanon? Just yesterday, Human Rights Watch confirmed that the Israeli military is using white phosphorus shells in southern Lebanon, an illegal weapon when used in populated areas because it melts flesh to the bone and causes horrific slow deaths. Where was the UN Security Council then? Where were the emergency sessions? White phosphorus is a chemical incendiary, a weapon that burns at 1,500° F and continues burning inside the wound. Cluster munitions are devastating, yes, but they are conventional explosives. To see the West clutch its pearls over Iranian precision munitions while giving a standing ovation to Israeli phosphorous attacks is the height of depravity. It tells you everything you need to know about who the international order truly serves, the oppressor. And the strikes aren't stopping. We are now on the 30th salvo from Iran since this phase of the conflict began. Each wave seems to get smarter. The Iranians are targeting the infrastructure of the occupation. They aren't just launching wild missiles. They are taking out power grids, air force bases, and now thanks to strategic cooperation with Russia, they are blinding the American radar systems in the Gulf. The US has THAAD batteries scattered across the Middle East, costing half a billion dollars each. The Sun newspaper, not exactly a friend to Iran, is reporting that Russian satellite intelligence has been helping Iran identify and destroy these batteries, paralyzing the US ability to protect the Zionist entity. This is a gamecher. It means the US is no longer the uncontested master of the skies in the Middle East. The resistance axis is fighting back with technology, precision, and a will that the pampered soldiers of the IDF simply cannot match. In conclusion, what we are seeing is the beginning of the end. The disappearance of figures like Bengir and Ido Netanyahu is more than a headline. It is a sign that the Iranian response to the martyrdom of Kam is far more severe than anyone in Washington anticipated. The precision, the intelligence, the sheer volume of fire that is bypassing the Iron Dome, it all points to a turning point in history. The regime is trying to hide its dead. But the truth is leaking out. The occupation is bleeding and for the first time in decades, the oppressors are feeling the heat of the fire they started. We will continue to monitor the situation and as soon as we get confirmation on the fate of these war criminals, you will hear it here. Until then, keep your eyes on the skies over Tel Aviv because the equation has changed. The resistance is no longer just fighting back. It is winning.
Iran’s ‘KILL TRUMP’ Plot Ready? Chilling Missive Sent To US; 'Watch Out Lest You Be Eliminated' Times Of India Mar 10, 2026 #iran #araghchi #larijani
Markets rallied when Trump said the Iran war would be "over soon." Within hours, Iran's officials dismantled that claim entirely. Foreign Minister Araghchi said firing would continue "as long as it takes" and ruled out any talks with Washington. Security chief Larijani told Trump directly on X: "Watch out for yourself lest you be eliminated." The IRGC said it, not Washington, would decide when the war ends. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf declared Iran is "absolutely not looking for a ceasefire." Trump responded by threatening strikes "twenty times harder" if Iran blocks Hormuz. The Knesset Speaker responded to Ghalibaf in Persian: "unconditional surrender."
Transcript
Iran's top officials have pushed back sharply against Donald Trump's assertion that the conflict was nearing its end with Thran declaring that it is fully prepared to sustain its military campaign for as long as required and ruling out any return to negotiations with Washington. Speaking to PBS News, Arachi was unequivocal. firing would continue, he said, for as long as it takes, and talks with the Americans were simply not on Thran's agenda. The reasoning, he quoted, was blunt. Iran had sat through three rounds of negotiations with Washington, heard assurances of progress, and then watched the US launch its opening strikes on Iran. A very bitter experience was how he characterized it. He dismissed claims that the campaign had succeeded in destabilizing the Islamic Republic, arguing the US and Israel had failed at regime change and were now aimless. Iran's security chief Ali Larijani was more pointed still responding directly to Trump on X. Even those greater than you could not eliminate the Iranian nation, he wrote, watch out for yourself lest you be eliminated. The remarks landed hours after Trump, speaking at a Florida news conference on Monday, local time, had told journalists the conflict would be over soon. Markets had responded positively to those comments. Tokyo and Seoul opened strongly Tuesday and oil prices fell as much as 5% after benchmark crude had crossed $100 a barrel the previous day. The calm proved short-lived as Iranian officials systematically dismantled the narrative of a conflict winding down. The IRGC reinforced the position from a military angle, stating that it, not Washington, would determine when the war concluded and reiterating that oil flows through the region would be shut down if strikes continued. Iran has effectively halted tanker traffic through the straight of Hormuz. the narrow passage through which roughly a fifth of the world's oil moves daily. The International Maritime Organization confirmed at least seven sailors had been killed in attacks on merchant vessels near the strait. Trump responded with a sharp escalation in rhetoric on Truth Social, warning that any Iranian action blocking Hormuz's oil flows would be met with strikes 20 times harder than anything delivered so far and separately threatening an attack of incalculable size if Thran persisted. On the question of ending the fighting, Iran's parliament speaker Muhammad Bakir Khalibah was categorical, writing that Thran was absolutely not looking for a ceasefire. He framed the conflict in broader terms, accusing Israel of perpetuating a cycle of war, negotiation, and ceasefire to consolidate its position and vowing to break that cycle entirely. His Israeli counterpart, Knesset speaker Amir Ohana, responded in Persian with three words. Unconditional surrender was the only proposal on the table. Iran's foreign minister Seed Abbis Araki has said that Thrron was prepared to continue attacks for as long as necessary. While speaking to US broadcaster PBS News, Iraqi said negotiations with the United States were no longer on the agenda. Iraqi's remark comes amid the Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson saying that Thrron had refused requests for a ceasefire from countries including France, Russia and China. Some contacts are being held with the Islamic Republic of Iran as you follow in the news from China, Russia, France for and even some countries in the region are in contact with us and other countries both Islamic and non-Islamic ones. Some of them, yes, are actually willing to act to stop this war or establish a ceasefire. Well, this is their request and we are fulfilling it. The sessation of this war is in the hands of the Islamic Republic of Iran. This means that whenever the Islamic Republic of Iran decides for them to stop, the ultimate decision rests with the Islamic Republic of Iran in this matter because they were the ones who committed aggression. They carried out armed attacks. We must actually stop when we can feel or have a guarantee that these aggressive actions will not happen again and that they will accept full responsibility for their own actions. These two conditions they must accept responsibility. It's not uh it's not like they'll just come today and say stop stop and cease fire and we'll say very well and it's all over. We currently hold the upper hand. Look, every single effort they have made has utterly failed. Even now they have not achieved their objectives. The Islamic Republic of Iran has inflicted severe and painful losses upon the Zionist regime, America and their allies. Just observe the state of the global economy and energy. This is extremely painful for them. So you see, we have delivered truly devastating blows in this regard. So we actually have the upper hand here and therefore the Islamic Republic of Iran will determine the end of the war. Earlier, Donald Trump claimed that the war in the Middle East would end very soon. Thank you, Mr. President. On Iran, you called it an excursion. You said it would be over soon. Are you thinking this week it will be over? Are you talking about days? I think soon. Okay. And and with respect to very soon. Look, everything they have is gone, including their leadership. In fact, there two levels of leadership and even actually, as it turns out, more than that, but two levels of leadership are gone. Most people have never even heard about the leaders that they're talking about. So, uh, it's obviously been very, very powerful, very effective. The Iranian military has also slammed Trump over his claims, even as a Wall Street Journal report claimed that Trump's advisers had urged the US president to exit from the war. Is Donald Trump seeking an exit from the ongoing war against Iran? A bombshell report from the Wall Street Journal has claimed that the US president's advisers have privately urged him to look for an exit plan amid spiking oil prices and concerns that a lengthy conflict could spark political backlash. While speaking to reporters in Florida, Trump had claimed that the US military had mostly achieved its goals. So, we're winning very decisively. We're way ahead of schedule. Uh it's our military is the greatest in the world with the greatest equipment and the greatest people in the world. There's nobody's ever seen anything like it. Iran's a very powerful country. They were going to take over the Middle East if we did not hit them. They were going to take over the Middle East. They had thousands and thousands since their last hit. They had thousands and thousands of missiles and everything else. Most are now destroyed, but they were going to take over the Middle East. Those weapons were aimed at Middle Eastern countries that had nothing to do with this. They were going to take over the Middle East and they were going to try and destroy Israel. So, we stopped it with good timing and we're very proud to be involved in this and it's going to be ended soon. And if it starts up again, they'll be they'll be hit even harder.
John Mearsheimer: U.S. Already Lost Iran War - No Off-Ramp in Sight Glenn Diesen Mar 10, 2026
Prof. John Mearsheimer explains why the war against Iran has already been lost, and why there is no off-ramp. John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982.
Transcript
Welcome back. We are joined by Professor John Merchimer uh to discuss the war against Iran, which is uh definitely not going as planned. So, thank you very much for coming back on. My pleasure, Glenn. So, uh well, as I said, the war definitely not going as uh Trump had hoped, but u it seems to be going as many would have predicted. Indeed, uh Trump himself had uh was met with a lot of warnings before he went down this road. And uh now of course it's unclear what direction he should take. Uh we also see reports from the Israeli sorry from the American media that even Israel is now growing concerned. They don't think is that Iran is going to collapse. They don't think it's going to surrender. So what exactly if time is on Iran's side? why go down this road? And uh the Wall Street Journal said something similar that Trump's advisor would like to find a quick exit from this war. So what do you make of this? Is is this u reaching the end of the war or will Iran not permit this? Well, it's quite clear that the war is not going well for the United States. uh and that President Trump I think would like to put an end to it. Uh and the problem that he faces is he can't find an off-ramp. Uh I think nobody can tell a plausible story about how this war ends. uh if we had decisively defeated uh Iran the way we decisively defeated both Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan in World War II, then you can say the war is over with. We are the winner and we're going to impose uh terms on the loser. But that's not what's happened here. uh they haven't won anything approximating a decisive victory and in a very important way uh the Iranians have an incentive to continue the war uh to turn it into a protracted war of attrition uh and they have the means to do that. So the question then is how does President Trump uh get Iran to agree to settle this war? When you listen to people in the administration talk, they sometimes talk as if we're the only player in the game. Of course, the Israelis as well, but the Americans and the Israelis are in the driver's seat. We determined when the war started. We determined when it ends. we determine the conditions uh that the Iranians have to accept. This is the sort of view you get from uh inside the administration. But this is not the way the real world works. Uh the Iranians have a say in this. And the question is h how do you get the Iranians to agree to stop fighting? Now, some people might say that uh we are inflicting so much punishment on the Iranians that they would be happy to quit. Uh Pete Hexith has been saying that today is going to be the day of the heaviest bombardment uh that Israel uh and the United States inflict on Iran. Okay, let's assume they inflict more punishment today than they have in any of the previous 11 days of the war. Uh, does that mean that the Iranians are going to throw up their hands and quit? I hardly think that's the case. I think that Iran has prepared itself to accept massive punishment by the United States and Israel. So, we can dish it out, but the Iranians are not going to throw their hands up. And in fact, what the Iranians are going to do is they're going to up the ante from their side. As we go up the escalation ladder, they'll go up the escalation ladder. Uh if you start destroying critical infrastructure inside of Iran, they'll destroy critical infrastructure inside the Gulf States. and inside of Israel. And they can do it. They have lots of ballistic missiles. They have lots of drones. Uh almost all of them are highly accurate. And they're operating in a target-rich environment. Uh it's not like uh they can't find targets to hit. They can hit vulnerable and important economic and strategic targets with relative ease. Uh so they have a strong hand to play. When I say they, I mean the Iranians have a strong hand to play and they have no incentive to settle this one on America's terms. Uh they have a deep-seated interest in making sure they get something out of a settlement. Uh sanctions relief, reparations, who knows? but uh they're going to drive a hard bargain because the more time goes by, the more desperate we are going to be to settle this one. So all of this is to say I I don't see what the offramp is at this point in time for President Trump. I hope I'm wrong. I hope I'm missing something and the war can just be shut down. But nobody's been able to tell me a plausible story uh as to how you bring this thing to an end uh anytime soon. Uh I would just say one final point, Glenn. I think if uh the effects on um the international economy uh are significant, uh it looks like we're heading off a cliff and that is possible. I think at that point the Americans will uh bring the war to an end, but that will not be a victory. We will have caved in to the Iranians uh if that scenario plays itself out. And that is, as you well know, a very realistic scenario. What you described or what the United States hoped or thought the war would be like, it it's what we refer to then as escalation dominance. uh this assumption that one can decide the pace of moving up or down the escalation ladder. Um this seems to be something that or was reasonable once one is in a comfortable hegemonic position that is one one can dominate that is to dictate you know when the war starts who should be involved what are acceptable targets when do we put an end to it but um uh but but it just seems that Iran can't end this war because if they end it now except some ceasefire then I guess the main fear not unlike what the Russians are fearing is then that the US would just be back again in a few months. So um but but if there is no deal I mean if if you look at the Russian conflict if they can't get a deal which gives them security they will take territory to make sure but on the Iranian side if they can't get any deal which gives them proper security to make sure this doesn't happen again. Uh you know they're not going for territory. It looks as if uh well kicking the US out of the region by eliminating these Gulf States could be a reasonable pathway. I use the word reasonable. Well, probably not correct here. Uh but uh but but what do you think is the consequence for the Gulf States here? How vulnerable are they? Well, the Gulf States are remarkably vulnerable. Um I mean first of all they have only a handful of um uh petroleum sites uh where they you know reprocess uh where they process the the petroleum and the liquid n natural gas and so forth and so on. The the the petroleum infrastructure uh is just very vulnerable. These are big fat targets. And there's no question that the Iranians can take out the petroleum infrastructure in all the Gulf States with relative ease. They have the short-range ballistic missiles and the drones to do it. Uh but the other set of targets that really matters are the desalination plants. uh these countries in the Gulf States are uh heavily dependent on fresh water that comes out of the desalination plants. Uh I was reading the other day that there's one desalination plant uh that services Riad, the capital of Saudi Arabia. And if you take that desalination plant out, uh you're taking away 90% of the water that Riad depends on. And overall it appears that the country of Saudi Arabia uh depends on 70% of its water uh from desalination plants. Uh Kuwait the number is 90%. Um Oman the number is 76%. I I mean these countries are just massively dependent on desalinization plants and and water. you you can't live without water. Just think about that. So you have this vulnerable set of targets, these desalination plants that the Iranians can easily take out. And then you have uh the petroleum sites that I talked about earlier that are few in number, easily targeted and can be taken out. You can wreck these states. You could take, you know, Abu Dhabi and and just wreck it. Uh so the uh the Iranians have really serious options here. And then if you turn to Israel, I don't think that uh Iran can do that to Israel. But as time goes by uh and as the Israelis run out of uh defensive interceptors, you know, interceptors that can knock down these incoming ballistic missiles, the amount of damage that Iran can do to Israel will be very great. And uh you already see evidence that the Iranians are pounding Israel. Uh and that pounding will get greater with the passage of time. So this is why it's so obvious that the Iranians have real options. Uh the idea that we have escalation dominance and that, you know, we can uh beat the Iranians as we go up the escalation ladder, I I think is a facious argument. uh they have in a way uh uh uh an assured destruction capability. They could destroy the Gulf States uh and that would have a profound effect on the world economy. Uh and surely President Trump and his advisers have begun to realize that and that's one of the reasons I think they're interested in looking for an off-ramp now. But then the question is how do you find the off-ramp? And I don't think there is an off-ramp at this point. And I think what they'll do is they'll escalate. Uh and they'll think that escalation will solve the problem. Uh this gets back to my point about what Pete Hegith is saying about today, Tuesday being uh the day when we will inflict the most punishment uh on the Iranians that we have inflicted so far. Okay, we start walking up the escalation ladder. But then this brings me back to my point about what the Iranians can do if they go up the escalation ladder with us. And the point is they could do massive damage to the Gulf States. So they have options here and they can do massive damage to the international economy. Uh so I think going up the escalation ladder is not going to produce uh uh a satisfactory uh outcome for us, for the United States and for Israel. Yeah. Given that they're so vulnerable with the disselination plants, it's a bit strange that the United States would have chosen to escalate by attacking the disselination plant within Iran because now Iran can almost uh well can retaliate by the same means without being seen as the the main aggressor essentially having an alibi to do so. Um but what how significant though is the attack on the or the suspension of the trade in energy? Um because did you know many people make the point this also linked into the entire international financial system with the petro dollar but uh but this is seems to be one of the areas where the Trump administration is worried again they make the point now that if Iran tries to block the straight of our moose then well according to Trump's tweet they will hit Iran 20 times harder and now we hear Macaron also say well we're going to come and help defensively somehow to open up the straight over moose. Uh how do you see how important is the energy aspect here or what kind of dimensions are there to it? Well, the energy dimension is of enormous importance. 20% of the world's uh oil and gas comes out of the Persian Gulf. uh it just matters enormously and everybody understands that uh if this turns into a long war it will have disastrous consequences for the world economy. Uh again this is one of the principal reasons that President Trump is looking for an offramp. Uh he likes to talk about opening the straits of Hormuz. All I can say is good luck on that one. Uh if that was easy we would have done it earlier. Uh I don't think we can open the straits of Hormuzz. You remember not too long ago, President Trump was talking about escorting tankers in the Persian Gulf. Uh and the Navy basically told them that was not possible. Uh those naval ships, American naval ships would be too vulnerable. Um so I don't think that uh they can open the straits. The other thing you want to remember is if they actually destroy uh the petroleum infrastructure in the Gulf States, it doesn't matter whether the Straits of Hormuz is open or not. Uh because uh there's going to be no oil coming out of the Straits of Hormuz. Uh and if they destroy the desalination plants and the petroleum installations in the Gulf States, uh there effectively not going to be any Gulf States left. Uh I mean the point is that the uh the Iranians have options here. Uh they can play hard ball and uh the consequences would be devastating for the Gulf States. And as I say, then it wouldn't matter whether the straits are open or not. But I don't think we're going to open the straits anyway. I don't think we're going to put naval ships uh in the Persian Gulf either. Uh so uh I I think in a very important way um the Iranians are in the driver's seat. Clint, if I can just make a historical point uh that gets back to an issue that you were raising before having to do with escalation dominance and air power and even decapitation. If you go back to the period before World War I, as we all know, wars before World War I had no air dimension. Wars were fought between armies and navies. And it was in World War I where we first saw air forces employed by the fighting forces in Europe. Uh then after the war, this is in the 1920s and the 1930s, this is before World War II, you developed independent air forces. And those air forces became very interested in strategic bombing. And strategic bombing is another way of saying long range bombing. And the idea was, and this was of course popular uh in uh the air forces of the world and among air force thinkers, that an air force by itself could independently win a war. In other words, you would no longer have to win that war on the ground or at sea. You could just take your air force and you could hit the other country's homeland. uh you could hit its economy, you could hit its population, you could hit its military forces, whatever, and you could bring that country to its knees with air power alone. And in a very important way, we tested this um in World War II and we have tested this theory many times since. Uh now there's still some people who believe you can do magical things with strategic air power which again is another way of saying with air power alone. But the fact is there are real limits to what you can do. There's no question that you want to have a powerful air force if you go to war. And there's no question that in some cases strategic bombing helps win a war. But strategic air power by itself cannot win a war. It just can't. The historical record is unequivocally clear on this. So when you go to war against a country like Iraq in 2003, you definitely use air power. You remember shock and augen. That was the American air force uh pounding Iraq before we sent the ground forces in. Strategic bombing came before the ground forces went in. But the fact is to create regime change and win a decisive victory in Iraq, we had to use land power. We had to send in ground forces. We couldn't do it with air power alone. Fast forward to the present. This is a campaign where we have no boots on the ground. There's no land power. And we're talking about doing it with air power alone. We're talking about doing it with strategic bombing. This is what the decapitation strategy in the opening stages of the war was all about. Uh and when people now talk about going up the escalation ladder, when you talk about Pete Hexith announcing that we're going to punish uh Iran more today than we have in any of the previous 11 days, what they're saying is that we're going to win this war with strategic air power, with air power alone. We don't need ground forces. Well, the historical record again is unequivocally clear on this. You can't win wars, especially against formidable adversaries, with air power alone. It just doesn't work. So, here we are in a world where we have no boots on the ground, and President Trump does not want to put boots on the ground. I mean, serious boots on the ground. Are we going to conquer Iran the way we conquered Iraq? I don't think so. So, of course, the end result is that we're relying on strategic air power alone. And what are we going to do? We're going to punish we're going to punish Iran like it's never been punished before. There's no question about that. You turn the American and Israeli air forces loose on Iran, they're going to do an enormous amount. They're going to inflict an enormous amount of punishment uh do an an enormous amount of damage to Iran. No question about that. But again, the historical record is clear that countries can absorb that punishment. Look at what we did in World War II. Look at what we did in Korea. Look at what we did in Vietnam. You can inflict massive punishment on civilian populations and the countries fight on. Uh a and in terms of military targets, we're not going to get all those ballistic missiles and drones. They're going to continue to fire ballistic missiles and drones at Israel, at the Gulf States, and at American military assets. Uh so strategic bombing is not going to produce a decisive victory here in all likelihood unless there's a miracle. And I I don't believe in miracles. I hope I'm wrong, you know, I hope this war comes to an end, but I don't think that's going to happen. Uh, and I think the historical record is on my side. So, when Pete Hexith and President Trump, you know, talk about escalation dominance and pounding Iran more than ever, uh, don't believe uh don't believe that that's going to going to work. Uh, it hasn't worked in the past and there's no reason to think it's going to work now. Yeah, this is a problem. How to put an end to the war on stars. I think it was uh Ottoan Bismar who made a point that uh was something along the line that it was easy to lure the Russian bear out of his high but difficult to get him back in. You can say the same about the Iranians here though because they they didn't want this war but now that it's here it's it's very dangerous for them I think if it ends on terms which would uh will allow the whole thing to play out yet again. So now not to draw too many parallels with the Russians again, but I also think that for them now restoring their deterrent to make sure that no one goes down this path again is is a key um a key objective. But this comparison to Iraq though, I mean even if even if one would introduce ground troops, Iraq is Iran is almost four times the territory of Iraq and it has almost twice the population. This is a massive country. The I don't know. I thought it was strange that the idea of introducing some a few Kurdish troops was was somehow going to overrun this country. It's uh I mean as you said it would contribute probably probably significantly to disrupt and destroy things but uh but in terms of if if there's an objective besides just causing death and mayhem then it is unclear. Is is this the source of the miscalculation though? because the idea that you could regime change a country only with an air force. Uh cuz you know there had to be a plan. It appears to be have been regime change. And um again in in this country we actually had in Norway we actually had a political leader of one of the political parties who who went out on Facebook or Twitter and actually wrote that well now the Iranian regime has fallen because they saw that Kame had been assassinated. So that's it. Now the government is over. I mean, is this the kind of the thinking that, you know, you have one bad man, if we just kill the bad man, then the regime is gone. I It's very hard. It's so remarkably stupid if if this is the case. Well, that fact that you have leaders, political leaders who think in this way, communicate in this way. It makes you think no one's behind the wheel, I guess. Well, a couple points. Uh I I think that the initial strategy and we have gotten at this issue in our previous comments but the initial strategy was uh decapitation uh and then if the decapitation didn't work I I believe that we felt that we could punish them uh in ways that would force them to throw up their hands and surrender. we would have escalation dominance. Uh and this is another way of saying we thought we could do it with air power alone. Now very importantly uh the administration was told by insiders two sets of insiders before the war that this was unlikely to work. You remember that General Kaine, who was the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and was handpicked by President Trump to be the chairman, uh remember he brought him out of retirement. He was only a three-star general. President Trump bought him out of brought him out of retirement, made him a four-star general and made him chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Uh so he was in a very important way Trump's general. Much to his credit, General Kaine told President Trump that we did not have a viable military option. This is before February 28th. Furthermore, the National Intelligence Council, which is separate from General Kaine, did a study before the war that said, uh, you're unlikely to get regime change and bring this war to a quick end. Uh this was careful analysis done by the National Intelligence Council, done by insiders. So there were two flashing orange lights, if not red lights, that were in the president's face that he just ignored. And as I said to you before, you know, we have a huge body of literature on air wars and sanctions and regime change that anyone can easily access and easily figure out what the bottom lines are here. It it's not a complex literature in the sense that almost everybody agrees that air power alone or strategic bombing doesn't win wars. Uh that sanctions have real limits. That regime change is wickedly difficult. First of all, it's almost impossible without ground forces. But even with ground forces, the whole process is wickedly difficult. The literature is unequivocally clear on this. Uh so when you marry what we know from previous analysis by scholars and policy analysts with the fact that you had General Kaine and the National Intelligence Council warning the president not to do this. And when 20% of the American people approved it, but the rest didn't, you think about that. Only 20% of the American people were enthusiastic about this war. the other 80% either opposed it or wasn't too sure to go to war, you know, in those circumstances is quite remarkable. And you just sort of wonder what was Trump thinking? Uh how could he have possibly done this? And when you look at where we are today, given everything I just said, it's hardly surprising that we're in a real mess and there's no apparent way to get out of it. It's just not surprising what is happening now is consistent with the historical record. And just to add one more dimension to this, go back to the 12-day war last June. The 12-day war between Israel and the United States on one side and Iran on the other side. It was the Israelis and the Americans, not the Iranians, who wanted to end that war after 12 days. Decapitation didn't work in that war. We didn't have escalation dominance in that war. Uh I mean what more evidence do you need before February 28th to tell you that this is a bad idea? Uh but nevertheless uh Trump jumped in uh along with Netanyahu who of course was pushing him and promising him that we would have a quick victory. And here we are. See, that's a great point. That makes this even more extraordinary. The fact that we already had this war in back in June for 12 days, and it was the same problems. I mean, the the weapon shortage, that was a key problem. That's why they had to put an end to it. And of course, because it was only with Israel, Iran was more willing to put an end to it. But how does it surprise you the US didn't pack a bigger bag for this war though, and that they didn't have more weapons? cuz I heard they only prepared for a few weeks at most. Uh but this is um yeah or was was was it just assumption that if it didn't work then we can just put it to halt again after 12 days like last time? Well, you're assuming that President Trump is a rational legal thinker, right? you you're assuming that he does the careful analysis that you you would do or I would do if we were taking our countries into war, but that's just not the way he operates. And it's clear from listening to him talk that he has all these pictures in his head that bear no resemblance to reality. He's constantly saying things that are just simply untrue. And if he believes them, you know, you can see why he just does foolish things. Uh he's recently been saying that uh uh first of all, Iran has weapons that are not accurate at all. These are all inaccurate weapons. Nothing could be further from the truth, right? They have ballistic missiles and drones that are highly accurate. Not all of the ballistic missiles, for sure, but many of them. and certainly almost all the drones. Uh but to say that they have an inventory of weapons that are all inaccurate is a foolish thing to say. Uh and then furthermore, he made the outlandish comment that Iran has tomahawk missiles. There's no way Iran would have took missiles. How could he say that? Uh and then he tells all these stories about, you know, how we decimated last year uh Iran's nuclear capability. We basically erased it from the map. Uh but now we find out that that wasn't true. that 60% enriched uranium that Iran had before the 12-day war started before we, the United States, bombed those critically important Iranian nuclear sites on June 22nd of 1965. uh that despite all that, the Iranians 60% uh uh nuclear 60% enriched nuclear material is still there. Uh we didn't destroy it, but he said we did. So, you never know exactly what he's thinking, but it does seem quite clear that the pictures, many of the pictures that he has in his head uh don't square with reality. And in that circumstance, you can understand uh how he could be bamboozled by someone like Prime Minister Netanyahu uh into thinking he could win a quick and decisive victory. And by the way, if there's one person who was telling him that this was all going to work out uh in a magical way and we were going to live uh happily ever after uh after a quick uh military victory against Iran, it was Prime Minister Netanyahu. He's been arguing for a long time uh that the regime in Iran was vulnerable and all we had to do was hit it hard uh and it would collapse and apparently uh more moderate uh leaders would take over in Iran who would be willing to be subservient to the United States and Israel. But we just had to show that we had the courage. This is Prime Minister Netanyahu speaking. We just had to show that we had the courage uh to really hit Iran hard to pursue a regime change strategy. And Netanyahu for God knows how long had been trying to get the United States to do that. He's trying he had been trying to drag us into a war against Iran by promising us that it would produce a great victory. But every president before Trump, including President Biden, avoided falling into that trap because they all understood that it was a trap and that we would not win a quick and decisive victory. Uh but anyway, uh it appears that uh Prime Minister Netanyahu bamboozled President Trump, convinced him uh that we would win a quick and decisive victory. uh and uh we have not won that quick and decisive victory. We can say that's another great irony here that is the whole argument that the Iranians are, you know, an irrational actor. While we see now this kind of a bit unhinged rhetoric coming from the White House because or only over the past 24 hours, I've seen Trump's claim that uh the Iranians told Witoff that, you know, they would insist on developing nuclear weapons no matter what. uh that Iran was going to take over the whole Middle East if we hadn't uh attacked first. Uh we had maybe 3 days before Iranians would have attacked the United States. And again with this attack on the girls school killing 160 girls, very young ones as well. It looked many of them were between eight and 10. I I again I went with assumption that this was at least well I think a safe assumption that it was a a mistake. uh you know no one hopefully doesn't target and kill 160 young girls on purpose but I don't understand first the claim well there was an Iranian missile then find out it's a tomahawk his whole administration then goes on you know moving away from okay Iran didn't bomb you know kill these girls uh on their own but then moving on to the tomahawk that yeah Iran could have it I mean nobody else in the administration would go out you know with such an absurd statement uh just seems that you know governments always lie all governments but this really you know takes it to a new level to the extent that the credibility not just of Trump but the United States could be at at risk and you know that's a you know it's a nonmaterial um asset you can call it but it's still very vital it would seem though I think if you look at both Iran and Russia whe whether you like the regimes in those two countries uh or not uh I think the leaders and here we're talking about Putin in the case of Russia and of course Ayatollah Himei and now his son uh all the evidence is that these regimes are rational legal that they're thinking strategically I mean just to segue to Putin for a second Putin is a first rate strategic thinker I don't know how anybody could disagree with that uh the idea that he's some sort of fool who's detached from reality makes no sense. You don't have to like what he's doing. You can think that he was wrong to invade Ukraine. I understand that. But uh he thinks in a very logical way. Uh I think he has a powerful strategic mind. And I think if you look at the Iranians, you listen to the foreign minister talk, uh he is an impressive individual. Again, you don't have to like uh the Iranian regime and you can view Iran as an adversary, but I think it's very important when you're in a war and you're trying to assess the other side that you do it in a rational legal way. And if the other side is smart and clever, that you appreciate that fact and take it into account uh as you put your plans together for dealing with the adversary. But all I would say is that the United States when it comes to dealing with Russia, when it comes to dealing with China as well, and when it comes to dealing with Iran, uh you're dealing with uh leaders in those countries uh who are smart and uh who know how to think strategically. But then when you look at the Europeans and you look at the Americans, especially President Trump and Secretary of Defense Pete Exath, and you listen to them talk, uh you say to yourself, it's not clear that these people understand strategy 101. Uh it's not clear that they're operating in a rational legal way. Uh sometimes I think it's quite frightening to hear President Trump talk about a particular issue because the things he's saying are just simply not true. Again, the point about Iran having uh uh tomahawk missiles, this is just not it's not a plausible argument aside from the fact that it's not true. It's just not plausible. Uh and he tells stories like that all the time. So uh I think that uh when you look at our side of the equation uh it's not a pretty picture. Well you have um no no definitely you have written a book on this topic that is uh was titled why leaders lie. So the truth about lying in international politics. uh how do you make sense of this then or or why because I I remember from from your book um um that one of the key arguments was that often we find more lying in uh from from uh liberal democracies. I I remember I cited that once in political propaganda because we often portray propaganda simply coming from authoritarian states. But if you go back to Walter Litman, Edward Bernese, all the original scholars on on propaganda, they all made the point that you know if you're a liberal democracy, then essentially sovereignty has been transferred to the people. There's more need to to manage the masses. So there was was more demand for propaganda. But kind of we we we propagandize the concept of propaganda to only mean what other people would do. Uh but but how do you have any conclusions why how it came to this? Because as I said this is the stories in the media is is just you know it it yeah it's beyond uh well belief. It's it's not credible in any way. Let me excuse me Glenn let me make a couple points. First of all, in in the book that I wrote about lying, one thing you discover is that there are not many lies told by states to other states. And one of the reasons is that if you lie all the time, then lying becomes an ineffective tool. In other words, lying only works when the other side suspects that you're telling the truth. So if you're a habitual liar, lying is just a waste of time. So I was actually shocked to discover when I wrote the book and many of my audiences refused to believe the argument that states don't lie to each other very much. And the argument I made was that you see more lying by state leaders to their own publics than you see cases of state leaders lying to other leaders. And this is counterintuitive and I found it hard to swallow at first, but I just gave you the logic. Now, as you point out, I also found that in democracies, leaders are more likely to lie than they are in autocracies for the reasons that you laid out. So, you see quite a few instances of presidents lying to the public. Uh, and of course, this book was written before President Trump. So, how does President Trump fit with this book? First of all, uh, President Trump uh, doesn't lie on a lot of occasions because he actually believes what he is saying, which is scarier than him lying, right? I think he actually believes a lot of these statements that he makes that bear little resemblance to reality. I wouldn't be surprised, for example, if he believes that Iran has tomahawk missiles. He he he he has a lot of false beliefs firmly embedded in his brain. So that's point one. Point two is I do think that he tells lots of lies. I think he lies, one could argue, almost all the time. He He's constantly telling lies, but the fact is that they're ineffective because everybody understands that he's lying. He he just says whatever he thinks. As I said before, he may believe some of those things and if he believes them, then they're not lies. But then there are other occasions where he says things that he has to know are not true. But the fact that he tells so many lies means that lying is not an effective instrument for him. Lying again is only effective when people think that you're a trutht teller or that you're not going to lie. If you and I have a personal relationship that had spanned 25 years and we've had a huge number of interactions, you Glenn and I, right? And I've always been truthful to you. It's easy for me to lie to you because you trust me and you let your guard down. But if you've dealt with me for 25 years, we're friends, but you know that I lie all the time. I really can't get away with a meaningful lie because you just don't trust me. You see the logic? So, I think with regard to President Trump, the fact that he lies uh just doesn't make that much difference. It doesn't buy him anything. And if anything, because some people think some of the time that he really believes what he says, you think that he's not playing with the full deck. Well, I'm I'm glad you well before pivoted a bit towards Russia because that seems to be a possible well an important component now. Uh well, for for two reasons, I guess. One would be um uh well, how how do you see Russia's involvement here? There's been a lot of noise in the media that uh the Russians are providing intelligence to Iran to yeah to hit American targets. I um yeah I kind of assume that this was happening. I think I assume the Chinese were doing the same as they have a concern of course that Iran could be defeated. Uh but also of course because well the United States is doing the exact same thing in Ukraine. But but also how what do you think the the extent of the Russian involvement is? But also how do you think this war is affecting uh our war in Ukraine at the moment? I think uh to start with the latter part of your questioning that uh this war is wonderful news for the Russians. Uh first of all, it means that the United States is wasting precious assets in this fight that it might otherwise give to the Europeans or allow the Europeans to buy to give to the Ukrainians. Uh I think that there's no question that this is hurting Ukraine's efforts on the battlefield because we're expending huge amounts of munitions in this fight. uh you know, patriots, thads, things like that are being uh used. Uh and and by the way, you notice that we're bringing uh THADs and patriots from East Asia uh to the Middle East. Uh and this means that uh we're weakening our deterrent uh against China. Uh we're weakening our containment policy visa v China. Going back to the Russians, uh the Russians fully understand uh that this is going to have delletterious effects for the Ukrainians. U furthermore, uh as you know, uh the United States has been working overtime, the West has been working overtime uh to inflict pain on the Russian economy. Uh and this is going to have this war is going to have the opposite effect. uh if you know the flow of oil and gas out of the Persian Gulf is greatly reduced that means the demand uh for Russian oil and gas is going to go up and we already see evidence that the United States is willing to allow India now to buy more oil from the Russians because India is hurting as a result of the cut off in the Gulf. Uh so economically this is wonderful news for Russia and again in terms of the battlefield it's wonderful news. So um uh so I think this is a net positive from for the Russians from that point of view. Uh with regard to what the Russians are doing to help the Iranians as you know that's hard to tell. Uh, I think that it is quite clear that the Russians are providing intelligence for the Iranians and that that that intelligence is helping the Iranians wage the war. Uh, and it's limiting uh what the Americans and the Israelis can do to defend against Iranian ballistic missiles. Uh, so I think that uh is almost certainly uh being done. Uh, and I wouldn't be surprised if at some point if Iran needs oil, uh, that the Russians provide oil or gas to the Iranians. It's hard to say for sure what's going on there, but that's another possibility. And I wouldn't be surprised if they provided some weaponry before the war and they'll provide weaponry during the war. What exactly they'll provide uh, in terms of numbers and quality, who knows? Uh but uh I wouldn't be surprised if the Russians and the Chinese as well are helping the Iranians. Both of those countries obviously have a deep-seated interest and seeing Iran defeat the United States and Israel in this war. I mean, if you or I were playing China's hand or playing Russia's hand, uh, we would want to see the United States suffer a humiliating defeat, uh, in its fight with Iran. So, the incentives here for Russia and China to help Iran are great, and exactly what they're doing is hard to say, but it does look like uh they're helping out, especially with regard to intelligence. and that's complicating our problem. It seems another benefit for the Russians though would be to I guess improve their image within Iran because you know if you take a step back and stretch out for you know viewpoint over the past centuries now the Iranians and the Russians have um you know they had quite a few wars behind them and there's every reason in the war in the world for the Iranians to distrust the Russians as well. This is a I guess a good opportunity for the Russians though to be seen as a savior instead of a nemesis or you know someone who who will you know stab them in the back at the most critical hour. Um but uh it's um yeah I my last question was really about Europe though because it doesn't it it also has well responded in some very strange ways. uh the the EU of course is you know is giving its uh full full support at least rhetorically. I think Mertz he positions himself now as the number one Trump man to support whatever Trump wants to do. The British are also of course supportive but they didn't want to send any weapons then now they do want to send weapons but Trump doesn't want it because according to Trump they already won. uh how how do you make sense of the European position on this and uh you know how much what's the relevance of French participation you think and uh how are how is Europe impacted by this war because you know we just cut oursel off or we like to say liberated oursel from Russian energy and now the Iranians are liberating us from Middle Eastern energy. It's uh it's not much more uh you know coming our way it seems. I I think the e the economic consequences for Europe uh if this war escalates and some of the scenarios we described at the start of the program play out uh the consequences of that for Europe would be catastrophic. Uh and I think the European elites understand that. I I think they wish very much that this war had never started. This is a war that is not good for Europe. But as is almost always the case, the Europeans do pretty much what the Americans want them to do. And they're kissing up to the Americans and uh supporting the American war effort. Uh failing to condemn the United States and Israel for this brazen war of aggression, for assassinating the leader of a foreign country. The Europeans are not condemning this. Safe for the Spanish. Uh and uh it's really what you would expect from the Europeans. And what drives this, as we've talked about many times before, Glenn, is the European fear that the United States will leave Europe or at least marketkedly reduce its military footprint. Uh the Europeans don't want that. They want to keep NATO intact. They want to keep the Americans fully committed to Europe. And the European elites believe that the only way you can do that is to lick America's boots. Uh and in this case that means lick President Trump's boots. And so as you would expect the Europeans are following the Pied Piper. Uh the question is do the Europeans matter uh in terms of winning this war? And the answer is no. Uh I mean who cares whether the Europeans get involved or not? uh maybe they'll uh help on the margins, but that just doesn't matter at this point. There's nothing the Europeans can do uh to, you know, fundamentally affect the balance of power between Iran on one side and the United States and Israel on the other side. I mean, President Mcronone talks like uh this is uh 1799 or 1805 where France is, you know, under Napoleon and by far the most powerful state in Europe. It's it's Europe's Godzilla and France can do X Y and Z. Those days are long gone. France has very little military capability and it certainly has little capability to affect events in the Middle East. Uh so it just doesn't matter very much. This war is going to be settled between the Iranians on one side and the Americans and the Israelis on the other side. And what's in the interests of those three actors is what really matters here. And from Europe's point of view, the sad truth is that their interests are going to be largely ignored because the Americans are just not going to pay Europe's interests much attention. we don't care that much about Europe. President Trump views the Europeans uh with contempt. Uh the idea that he's going to go out of his way to help Europe uh is not a serious argument. Uh in fact, if the Europeans get hurt in the process, I would imagine that President Trump will uh think that's a good thing. You know, he has contempt for the European elites. So, Europe is in real trouble. uh it started with the Ukraine war uh and this war just makes a bad situation much worse. That seems like again I I always agreed with the idea that the United States is the pacifier and we and Europe's going to have a lot of problems fragmenting if uh not so much if more than when the United States departs. But it it looks as if the efforts now to keep the US there is well will only fragment Europe faster because want to keep the US thereby prolonging the Ukraine war which means we're turning we turn on the Slovakians the Hungarians uh you know ignore them or now that uh Mertz was sitting next to Trump and Trump could just hammer away threatening Spain and you know Mers has to sit there obediently not say anything critical because he has to show loyalty to Trump and now of course They're alienating the Spanish. So, it just seems, you know, always the worst of both worlds is what the Europeans are are going for. It's quite Yeah, it's quite extraordinary to watch. Uh doesn't give one a lot of optimism. Um Yes. Let me let me make a radical statement, Glenn. I think that one could make an argument that it's in the Europeans's interest to in effect pursue the Spanish model visa v the United States to play hard ball with the United States to tell the United States that uh you're going to greatly improve your relations with China. You're going to trade with China and you're going to trade sophisticated technologies with the Chinese. And if the Americans don't like that, well, we'll cut a deal then. But, uh, in the meantime, we're going to fundamentally change our relationship with China. Uh, and furthermore, with regard to the Middle East, we're going to condemn what you're doing in the most powerful terms. And we're even going to look for ways to punish you. Uh, we're going to condemn you for starting a war of aggression. We're going to condemn you uh for collaborating with the Israelis and waging a genocide. We're going to condemn you for assassinating Ayatolli Hani. Uh pursuing a really hard ball strategy with the United States. And given that the United States needs Europe in all sorts of ways, that will provide the Europeans with some leverage so that they can protect their own interests. Uh, and what we're saying here is that by constantly cowtowing to the Americans, by licking President Trump's boots, you put your situation, you put yourself in a situation where your interests are not protected. And if anything, your interests are hurt and uh you're getting yourself into more and more trouble as the years go by. Uh, that's the way I'd look at it if I were a European. But again, this is a radical argument and the Europeans brains have been grooved to think that this is heresy that, you know, the arguments I'm making are wrong. They're just simply wrong. We don't have to analyze them. We just dismissed them out of hand. We've learned all along that the only way to deal with the United States is to be nice and to be subservient. Uh that might have been true at one point, but I don't think that's true with President Trump. And I'm surprised they haven't figured that out. Uh, I think the Spanish leader has figured that out. Uh, President Trump is a classic bully. Uh, in many ways the United States is a country that is a bully and long has been a bully. But President Trump is a classic bully. And the only way you deal with a bully is you stand up to that bully. And if you show weakness, the bully will walk all over you. And of course, this is what President Trump is doing with the Europeans. He walks all over them. He doesn't pay attention to their interests. He does what he thinks is in America's interest and if that hurts the Europeans, tough luck for them. That's his approach. Uh and you would think that the Europeans would have learned this by now and would have altered their policies towards the United States in fundamental ways. But apparently that's not the case. No, I just like say I don't think it's radical at all. I I always make the point as well that the most important partner for Europe should be the United States. But if you want to keep this relationship then you know the Europe should do exactly the opposite of what it instincts tells it. That is not to put all its eggs in that one basket. What you want to do is diversify work with the Russians, the Chinese, the Indians and all others. Because if you have this asymmetrical interdependence where all of Europe's relations depend on the US but Europe is not really that important to the US. With this asymmetry, the US can walk all over Europe and the relationship isn't any more sustainable. So if you want to save the relationship, you need a balance of dependence, diversify as well. I mean, this is the logic of the Russians. For them, the R the Chinese relationship is the most important to have. But they also realize there's a symmetry there that they would become much too dependent on China compared to China's depends on Russia. So they recognize if they want the Chinese relationship to work, you diversify as well. also deal with the Indians and all others and you know but I think the mindset in Europe is just well America's our liberal democratic partner so let's just show our loyalty let's cut oursel off from the Russians cut oursel off from the Chinese you know threaten the Indians a little bit and now the Americans will reward us for our loyalty and you know sit in front of his desk call him daddy and somehow everything will be fine it's it's very strange I don't understand where where the thinking is But um yeah yeah yeah with with regard to India uh I I've given a number of talks in India recently and I was recently in Mumbai and my advice to the Indians I hate to say this as an American but if I were an Indian uh I would not get too close to the United States. Uh as I like to say the United States is a rogue elephant and uh uh if India gets close it will pay a certain price. It discovered this last year when we put when President Trump put 50% tariffs on India. Uh and uh uh I think that that basic logic which applies to India applies to the Europeans as well. You just do not want to get too close to the United States because when you do that, you give the United States all the leverage and the United States will use that leverage. That's certainly true of President Trump. So you want to give the United States as little leverage over you as possible and you want to maximize the amount of leverage that you have over the United States. This is my point about trading with China. The United States has a vested interest in making sure that European states don't trade sophisticated technologies with the Chinese. Okay. But that tells me that the Europeans therefore have leverage. They can threaten to trade sophisticated technologies with the Chinese. The Americans will not want that. And the Europeans can exact the quidd proquo from the Americans uh if they cut off the flow of uh cutting edge technologies to uh China. Well, thank you very much, John, for taking the time. As always, uh I always learn a lot listening to you. So, uh thank you and I hope you come back on soon. Thank you for having me, Glenn. Uh, I enjoyed the conversation. I just wish the subject wasn't so depressing.
Iran 'rejects' Trump's announcement to end war; showcases offensive capabilities | Janta Ka Reporter Janta Ka Reporter Mar 10, 2026
Minutes after Donald Trump told reporters that the US mission in Iran would soon end, Iran struck Tel Aviv with the Khorramshahr-4 as officials turned down the US president's offer. The Islamic Republic has laid down conditions for the Arab and European countries to have their ships sail through the Strait of Hormuz. Rifat Jawaid examines the circumstances that may have prompted Trump to consider ending his operation against Iran.
Transcript
In my last video, I told you about Donald Trump literally conceding defeat when he said his Iran war was almost complete. But that wasn't the real story. The real story is the circumstances that forced this deranged occupant of the White House to find a way out of this quagmire that he has allowed himself to be dragged into since he's the president of the US supposedly the most powerful country in the world. So he has to do some face saving. Hence, subsequent utterances by him and his minion Pete Hexet on boasting about the USA's military prowess. Here's what Trump has said about intending to end his country's illegal invasion of Iran. So, we're winning very decisively. We're way ahead of schedule. Uh it's our military is the greatest in the world with the greatest equipment and the greatest people in the world. is nobody's ever seen anything like it. Iran's a very powerful country. They were going to take over the Middle East. If we did not hit them, they were going to take over the Middle East. They had thousands and thousands since their last hit. They had thousands and thousands of missiles and everything else. Most are now destroyed. But they were going to take over the Middle East. Those weapons were aimed at Middle Eastern countries that had nothing to do with this. They were going to take over the Middle East and they were going to try and destroy Israel. So, we stopped it with good timing and we're very proud to be involved in this and it's going to be ended soon. Thank you. Uh, Mr. President, you've said the war is quote very complete, but your defense secretary says this is just the beginning. So, which is it and how long should Americans be? Well, I think you could say both. However, the Iranians do not want to end this war. And this is where Trump and his terrorist friends would find themselves in real trouble. How do you deal with a situation where despite being the most powerful country in the world, at least on paper, you have been forced to concede defeat, but your enemy who you said wasn't so powerful, is in no mood to end this war. What does it say about the most powerful country in the world? It says that this country is in reality a coward and its claims of having the most powerful military in the world is a joke. Just listen to professor Marandi, a person who was instrumental in the negotiation of the JCPOA in 2015 and is very close to the Iranian establishment. Do his words give you the impression that Iran really wants a ceasefire? We will no longer accept the status quo. The region has to change. We will not allow the United States or the Israeli regime to be able to threaten us again. In other words, the Iranians will push this war until the United States and the West recognize that attacking Iran is not an option. Not now and not ever again. So this war is not going to end anytime soon unless the other side capitulates. And even when the other side backs down, there will be changes. Iran will not accept Arab family dictatorships hosting US bases that can harm us. and they will have to pay compensation for the slaughter and the murder that has been carried out. None of these regimes are innocent, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman. None of them are innocent. All of them host US bases. All of those US bases have been used to conspire against Iran. All of them have been used to kill Iranians, murder Iranians. And not just Iranians, they've been used to kill people in Yemen. They've been used to kill people in Lebanon in a different way. So this war will end with a shift in the balance of power in this region. the axis of resistance will no longer accept a hanging sword above it. What prompted Trump to have a rethink about his Iran plan was the fear of the collapse of the global economy. This would have happened this week had he not made that announcement last night. The oil prices in the international market had already breached $120. Some analysts had feared that this would easily have gone past $200. That's because Iran has choked the state of Hormuz, thereby bringing the supply of oil and gas to a grinding halt. Some countries like France recently expressed their desire to escort their stuck ships. But Iran was quick to remind them politely that the strait was still very unsafe and Iran could not be held responsible if something happens to their assets. Iran, however, has an offer for countries wishing to use the state of Hormos. All they have to do is to expel Israeli and American diplomats from their soil. Just let me bring you um a breaking line reported by the Reuters news agency who say the IRGC, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps say that any Arab or European country that expels the ambassadors of Israel and the United States from its territory will starting tomorrow have full authority and freedom to pass through the straight of Hormuz. That's according to the Iranian state media. Do you know the irony? When Trump was busy conceding defeat against Iran, the Islamic Republic was pounding the settler colony with more sophisticated versions of its missiles. The reaction of this Fox News representative was priceless. First, he told us on live TV just how brutal the Israeli crackdown is on reporting the damage caused by Iranian missiles. Then he admitted that Iran's offensive capabilities, his words, not mine, were of a different class altogether. In to the break here, we have sirens in Tel Aviv. Let's go back to correspondent Nate Foy who is on the ground there. Hi Nate. Hey Martha. So yeah, as you can hear, the sirens are going off here in Tel Aviv. Something that we've seen several times throughout the entire day. And what we could see here momentarily are interceptor missiles fired off. Uh we have seen it right over my shoulder several different times. Again, Iran continues to show an offensive capability launching missiles at central Israel. We have one interceptor over my shoulder right now. We can't show you because we can't show landmarks, Martha. But something that has really changed here uh over the past couple days is the use of these cluster munitions by Iran where the warhead breaks up into several different bomblelets. And that's uh really important because not only does it spread the damage, but it makes it more difficult to defend against. Meanwhile, Trump's minion, Pete Hexet, is forced to lick his wounds in the wake of his boss's embarrassing acceptance of defeat. Now he wants to vent out his frustration by displaying his anti-Muslim hatred. He once again repeated his usual nonsensical lies that the Iranians had murdered Americans for 47 years. Iranians murdered these Americans so silently and quietly and disposed of their bodies so well that no one, not even the immediate family members of those murdered by Iranians, got to know about this. This is what you get, dear Americans, when you have an uncut, an uneducated thug representing you as the country's head of military internationally. For 47 years, these barbaric savages in the Iranian regime have murdered our brothers in arms. My guys, your guys. Our guys through their terrorist proxies and cowardly attacks. Now they race toward a nuclear bomb to hold the world hostage. The Iranians have targeted and killed thousands of my American brothers. That race to a nuclear bomb, President Trump will never allow it. Not now, not ever, not on our watch. The mulas are desperate and scrambling like the ter terrorist cowards they are. They fire missiles from schools and hospitals, deliberately, deliberately targeting innocents because they know their military is being systematically degraded. Only a few days ago, this Pete Hex's chap was flaunting the carnage caused by his country's military in Iran when they slaughtered 180 innocent girls from an elementary school. He has said that the US had just got started even though his country was winning. Today, he blamed Israeli terrorists for the military strikes on oil refineries and oil depo in Thran. Well, I would just state by saying Israel's been a really strong partner in this e effort. Uh where they have different objectives, they've pursued them. Uh ultimately, we've stayed focused on ours. But when Iran what Iran has felt is the power of the world's two most powerful air forces. Uh in that particular case, that wasn't our those weren't our strikes or that objective uh or or that wasn't our necessarily our objective. Look, Trump started this war under duress from terrorist Netanyahu and he's now going to end this war both to please his Israeli master and protect his own business interests. Trump didn't run for the presidency to serve people. He is no mother tracer. In fact, he has as much respect for humanity as pedophile Jeffrey Epstein had for innocent children. The soaring oil prices were going to wreak havoc to the US economy. This can still happen if Trump doesn't quickly get out of the Middle East. Stock markets were going to experience a bloodbath, wiping out hundreds of billions of dollars. This would have significantly impacted Trump and his family members who too would have been badly bruised. Many people feel that Trump did this due to growing anger within the US against his decision to invade Iran. But Trump doesn't give a to such public sentiments. But he does care when it entails missing out on billions of dollars. His Israeli boss Netanyahu too is under huge pressure from his own people who historically praised him and supported him for causing the genocide in Gaza. But they too have turned their back on this dreaded war criminal following the death and devastation caused by Iranian missiles. Netanyahu hasn't been seen in public for more than a week now. His last video was also released from an unknown location. Many people believe he's on the run to avoid being killed by the Iranians. Others feel he is already in the US hiding in Mara Lago. You never know. Either way, continuing with war doesn't suit the US or the settler colony. Hence, their desperate excuses to get out of this mess. But Iran says it will decide when to end the war. Meanwhile, Trump has also made a desperate plea to Russia and China to convince Iran to agree for a ceasefire. But for Iran, this is a question of their existential crisis and also the Persian pride after the Israeli and American terrorist massacred their 86-year-old supreme leader, his daughter and daughter-in-law along with their children. I will leave you with this clip of a broadcast from inside Thran by the Iranian state TV. If you wanted to truly understand the courage of the average Iranians, this video is an example. Tens of thousands of Iranians gathered in Revolution Square in support of the new Ayatah when American and Israeli terrorists began to drop bombs nearby indiscriminately. Not one person moved or fled from the scene. These are the people Trump and Netanyahu dream of defeating. Hello. Hello. for my holy power. My Compare this to the Israelis who are never tired of hiding in bunkers. That's it from me. Thank you very much for your support of this platform and our journalism. If you haven't subscribed to my channel, please do so because that's one of the many ways you can support independent journalism. God bless you all.w[/youtube]
Khalaf Al Habtoor, chairman of Al Habtoor Group, says the Gulf and Middle Eastern countries, and their people, are not arenas for settling scores among the great powers PUBLISHED: Thu 5 Mar 2026, 12:12 PM UPDATED: Thu 5 Mar 2026, 12:18 PM By:Waheed Abbas
[Editor's Note: Follow Khaleej Times live blog amid Israeli, US strikes on Iran for the latest regional developments.]
The UAE billionaire Khalaf Al Habtoor on Thursday wrote an open letter to the US President Donald Trump questioning his authority to drag the Gulf and the Middle East into the ongoing military conflict with Iran.
The founder of Al Habtoor Group raised many questions in his open and candid letter, authored in Arabic and shared on the social media platform X, asking Trump whether it was solely his decision to go to war or whether he was influenced by the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
The US and Israel launched attacks against Iran on Saturday, targeting its leadership and military infrastructure. Following the US-Israel attack, Iran launched missile and drone attacks on the UAE and other Gulf countries. The majority of those missiles and drones were intercepted and destroyed.
The UAE and its neighbouring countries have been calling on all parties to end the conflict and engage in peace talks.
“You have placed the Gulf Cooperation Council and the Arab countries at the heart of a danger they did not choose. Thank God, we are strong and capable of defending ourselves. We have armies and defences that protect our homelands. But the question remains: Who gave you permission to turn our region into a battlefield?” said Al Habtoor.
Khalaf Al Habtoor. Photo: Al Habtoor Group
He pointed out that the US decision to go to war with Iran not only threatens the people of this region but also the American people, whom he promised peace and prosperity.
“They are, today, finding themselves in a war funded by their money and taxes, with costs ranging, according to the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS), between $40 and $65 billion for direct military operations, and $210 billion if economic impacts and indirect losses if the war lasts four to five weeks.”
Al Habtoor Group has been very vocal in sharing its views on local, regional and global issues. He also funds a think tank to highlight and bring solutions to topical issues.
Promise not fulfilled
Al Habtoor said the US President broke his promises of not getting involved in wars.
“You ordered foreign military interventions during your second term in seven countries: Somalia, Iraq, Yemen, Nigeria, Syria, Iran, and Venezuela, in addition to naval operations in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific Ocean. You directed more than 658 foreign airstrikes in your first year in office, which equals the total strikes in (ex-US President Joe) Biden's entire term, for which you directed your arrows of criticism for involving the United States in foreign wars.”
As a result of these decisions, the Dubai-based billionaire warned the US president that his approval ratings among Americans had declined by about nine per cent in just 400 days.
“These numbers say something clear: Even within the US, there is growing concern about being dragged into a new war, and about exposing the lives of Americans, their economy, and their future to unnecessary risks… If these initiatives were launched in the name of peace, then we have the right today to demand full transparency and clear accountability,” said Al Habtoor.
Who is accountable?
In another message shared on X, Khalaf Al Habtoor questioned who would be held accountable for the damages inflicted on the Gulf and Middle East.
“Who will pay the price for the tensions imposed on us as a result of a conflict we have no part in among Iran, America and Israel?” he said, adding that the entire region bears the consequences of the war involving three countries.
“Our economies, our security, and the stability of our peoples are not arenas for settling scores among the great powers. We are advocates of stability and peace, and we did not choose to be part of this confrontation. Yet we find ourselves paying the price for an escalation we did not create,” he added.
“The question that must be asked clearly today is: Who is responsible and who will compensate for the losses incurred by the region’s countries and peoples due to the conflicts of others? The region needs a cool head, not more reactions that fan the flames higher,” he concluded.