Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down ...

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35:4535 minutes, 45 secondsSo they are in constant contact transmission uh fulltime and they know exactly what the Americans are doing here and there. On top of that, we have
35:5435 minutes, 54 secondsthe Russian satellite system which is also passing information 24/7 to the Iranians. So both are passing first
36:0436 minutes, 4 secondsclass information to the Iranians in real time about everything. And on top of it, from the point of view of the Chinese, they are accumulating,
36:1436 minutes, 14 secondsI would say, a zillion Bibles on how the Empire of Chaos acts in a war zone.
36:2436 minutes, 24 secondsIt's beyond priceless for the Chinese because obviously we know how they're going to apply everything that they are
36:3236 minutes, 32 secondslearning in the future. It's going to be in the South China Sea and it's going to be around Taiwan. of course anything that happens and they are learning in
36:4036 minutes, 40 secondsreal time how the Americans organized play their game in fact so in ter in terms of valuable
36:4836 minutes, 48 secondsexperience for the Chinese this is beyond priceless and at the same time when you look at the Chinese media
36:5536 minutes, 55 secondsnot official media let's say the more independents like Guancha our friends in Shanghai which I read almost every day
37:0337 minutes, 3 secondsthey don't do not seem to be worried yeah you read some analysis They're saying, "No, it's okay. We have uh 120 20 140 days of uh uh reserves."
37:1537 minutes, 15 secondsYeah.
37:1537 minutes, 15 secondsUh if we if if it gets really really horrible and it won't because the ships
37:2237 minutes, 22 secondsgoing to China can go can pass through going if we had problems. We have three backup plans. Russia via the power of Siberia,
37:3337 minutes, 33 secondsuh Kazakhstan oil and um the gas pipeline from Myammar.
37:4037 minutes, 40 secondsSo they are totally covered and very very important which most people tend to forget. They are mostly energy self-sufficient.
37:4837 minutes, 48 secondsYeah, I I always I always forget the number.
37:5137 minutes, 51 secondsIt's 84.6 or 86.4, but that's it. one of the two which means they are largely self-sufficient in energy
38:0038 minuteswhich is something that when you go to sing Jang you see in front of you that you know it's a tsunami of wind farms
38:0938 minutes, 9 secondssolar farms uh solar panels everywhere wind turbines everywhere yes they are completely self-sufficient and in terms
38:1738 minutes, 17 secondsof singing Jang Sing Janga has so much energy they sell energy to the rest of China so this is not a problem for
38:2438 minutes, 24 secondsChina. Of course, if they lo if they would lose uh what is it 12% that they import from
38:3338 minutes, 33 secondsthe Persian Gulf would be a lot. But they have plan B's all over. Yeah.
38:4038 minutes, 40 secondsAnd and the Russians as some of the oil that the Russians now can divert
38:4738 minutes, 47 secondsfrom selling to Europe, they are basically going to four Asian countries.
38:5338 minutes, 53 secondsChina, India, Thailand here, and the Philippines.
38:5738 minutes, 57 secondsSo, they can also use that oil that the Russians are, you know, they're not going to sell it to Europe anymore. They don't care. Uh when Putin said, "I'm
39:0639 minutes, 6 secondsgoing to ask the government to think about it. You know, maybe preemptively stop." No, they're already doing it. So,
39:1339 minutes, 13 secondsEurope will get zero in terms of oil and gas from Russia and Asia is going to get the whole lot.
39:2139 minutes, 21 secondsSo you know this this shows how this uh serious uh uh solid interconnection of
39:3039 minutes, 30 secondsthese big big Eurasian powers works in practice and it's not only military it's military
39:3839 minutes, 38 secondsenergy geoeconomics etc. They talk all the of course they're talking about all that all the time. So, so, so this is
39:4539 minutes, 45 secondswhat the the the organicity of Eurasia is in play. But try to explain that to the West uh Danny or to those clowns in the Bel. It's impossible.
39:5739 minutes, 57 secondsThey will never get it. They'll never No. No. China China's massive electrical grid. It's uh all that renewable energy you're talking about. People people mock
40:0640 minutes, 6 secondsit. But uh having that in conjunction with uh basically every oil partner there is in the world. Russia of course the biggest one.
40:1440 minutes, 14 secondsis definitely they they want they want China. Why?
40:1740 minutes, 17 secondsBecause China is using a lot of it uh for its production needs. So uh yeah no
40:2440 minutes, 24 secondsthis is this is really unprecedented Pepe because I think uh what uh is not
40:3140 minutes, 31 secondsbeing realized is that uh you have on one side the United States you can say Israel but let's just say the Trump administration which is saying it has
40:3940 minutes, 39 secondsthe power to end this war regardless of whatever uh to end this war whenever it wants when whatever people may think of that and their viewpoint of it but that's what the Trump administration is
40:4840 minutes, 48 secondssaying you have one side doing that but then saying a million different things about why it's doing this and what it hopes to accomplish. And then you have
40:5640 minutes, 56 secondsIran uh being even being very meticulous about how it shuts down the straight of Hormuz. And you wrote in the article,
41:0441 minutes, 4 secondsPepe, that bricks has been blown up by this war. And how I see it is that we have, as we've been talking about on this show, we have three countries that really make up the spirit of of bricks,
41:1441 minutes, 14 secondswhich is China, Russia, and now Iran.
41:1841 minutes, 18 secondsAnd yes, uh uh I think what we're seeing here is from what you were saying, we're seeing how that actually plays out in
41:2641 minutes, 26 secondsreal time when there is an existential uh war on on bricks. It's been it's been
41:3341 minutes, 33 secondsquite astounding to watch from the very beginning before this even happened up until now. All the talk about it and now we're seeing the results.
41:4241 minutes, 42 secondsAbsolutely. Uh okay, maybe we could against all odds we should keep the benefit of uh a doubt a little longer.
41:5541 minutes, 55 secondsI'm talking about India.
41:5741 minutes, 57 secondsIndia betrayed two top bricks sequentially, Russia and Iran.
42:0442 minutes, 4 secondsThat's extremely serious. This would be grounds for expulsion of India from bricks.
42:1042 minutes, 10 secondsBut then I came across a phone call yesterday between Jashankar
42:1842 minutes, 18 secondsthe India foreign ministry and Arashi and he was very cordial. Why? Because
42:2542 minutes, 25 secondsArai is a gentleman. So instead of behaving like a baboon from war alago
42:3342 minutes, 33 secondsor the push-up clown um secretary of forever wars. He was a gentleman and
42:4142 minutes, 41 secondsbasically he was saying to Ja Shankar look we sort of understand that you are in a very tight spot because you are
42:4942 minutes, 49 secondsunder extreme pressure from the Americans.
42:5342 minutes, 53 secondsSo maybe we can have our relationship develop. Uh we are not going to consider
42:5942 minutes, 59 secondsyou a hostile nation but at the same time it's very hard to to have the close relationship that we had before.
43:0843 minutes, 8 secondsSo we understand that you are playing a sort of a strategically ambiguous game
43:1443 minutes, 14 secondsand and we get it but of course uh we're going to have to discuss a lot of serious things from now
43:2143 minutes, 21 secondson. This was wow. Can you imagine uh after what India did to Iran, you could
43:2843 minutes, 28 secondseven imagine Arai not even caring to uh have a meeting with their foreign minister.
43:3743 minutes, 37 secondsBut of course the facts are there and the facts are horrible. The facts are absolutely disgusting. everything in terms of inviting
43:4643 minutes, 46 secondsuh the Iranians to that maritime show in India and after uh the ship leaves uh
43:5343 minutes, 53 secondsit's an enormous controversy in India and a lot of people very well informed said yes they gave the coordinates of the ship to the Americans and that's why
44:0244 minutes, 2 secondsthe ship was torpedoed maybe maybe not but they didn't do anything about it afterwards as well uh
44:1144 minutes, 11 secondsthe Sri Lankas recover covered the bodies of uh the Iranian sailors and under pressure from the Americans they
44:1844 minutes, 18 secondscould not return them. Apparently today there were reports that they are finally delivering the bodies back to Iran and
44:2644 minutes, 26 secondsof course Iran did not condemn the assassination of uh it took them three or four days to
44:3444 minutes, 34 secondsactually send somebody to the Iranian consulate to sign a book. The other bricks condemned immediately the other four founding bricks members Brazil,
44:4744 minutes, 47 secondsRussia, China, South Africa. They condemned it immediately. India not a word only four days later and sort of
44:5544 minutes, 55 secondsyou know so and this after betraying Russia because under pressure from the Americans they said well we're going to
45:0345 minutes, 3 secondsstop buying oil from Russia and Russia learned this by reading the headlines and now they need oil from
45:1145 minutes, 11 secondsRussia again so what Russia is doing which is beautiful very very Russian now it's only business you need our oil.
45:2045 minutes, 20 secondsOkay, we sell it, but you're going to have to pay the spot market price. No discounts for you. Forget it. What we
45:2845 minutes, 28 secondshad before is dead. Now, you pay uh you know, if the oil goes up every day, you're going to have to pay. That's it.
45:3545 minutes, 35 secondsSo, that's it. It's a lesson for the Iranians or for the Indians. Sorry.
45:3945 minutes, 39 secondsLet's see if they uh learn it. But the problem is what's going to happen to bricks this year considering that Iran
45:4645 minutes, 46 secondsis the bricks chair in this year when they betrayed two bricks they going to hold the bricks
45:5545 minutes, 55 secondspresidency and the summit in New Delhi in November.
46:0046 minutesWow. I I don't want to be uh in the skin of one of those sherpas, you know, in the next bricks meeting.
46:0646 minutes, 6 secondsThey're going to have to restart the whole thing all over again. You know, at the moment, BRICS is in coma. It's very
46:1546 minutes, 15 secondspainful to admit it, but we have to be realists. It's in deep, deep coma, uh, blown up by one of its founding members.
46:2346 minutes, 23 secondsYeah.
46:2446 minutes, 24 secondsAnd obviously, don't expect anything coming from Brazil or South Africa. You know, they're not saying anything about Russia and China. They're looking at it.
46:3146 minutes, 31 secondsThey said, "Oh my god, we're going to have to restart this whole thing." And it's up to us once again. once again is going to be up to Russia and China to put bricks back together, right?
46:4346 minutes, 43 secondsSo, uh this is I talk about this in the columns as well because I I these columns they are more or less about the bricks reaction to the war on Iran. So,
46:5346 minutes, 53 secondsone of them uh it's uh about China and the other one is about Russia and uh India. So we can see that Russia and
47:0347 minutes, 3 secondsChina they are treating this war very very seriously and they have their goals
47:1147 minutes, 11 secondsvery well established which uh okay to give you all all of you
47:1947 minutes, 19 secondsthe headline they want this war to be
47:2647 minutes, 26 secondsfor the empire of chaos a defining moment it's a war that they cannot win
47:3347 minutes, 33 secondsand it's a war that they won't be able to pay for. So two strikes in one go.
47:4147 minutes, 41 secondsThis implies an Iranian victory supported by Russia and China. And the
47:4847 minutes, 48 secondsposition of India is completely separate. Don't forget that 48 hours before the decapitation strike, Modi was
47:5747 minutes, 57 secondsbeing best buddies with a war criminal in Israel. They were a nice romantic vacation. Yeah.
48:0548 minutes, 5 secondsThey were having a romantic interdude. Exactly. They were.
48:1048 minutes, 10 secondsSo it's very very obvious for everybody within the brick sphere and even outside
48:1648 minutes, 16 secondswhat kind of game India is playing. So once again, bricks will have to be reset. There's no question about that.
48:2548 minutes, 25 secondsAnd once again, it's going to be um Russia and China to do it.
48:3248 minutes, 32 secondsYeah. Yeah. There'll have to be consolidation um especially around Iran because now it's quite obvious, Pepe,
48:3848 minutes, 38 secondsthe US empire of chaos, its Israeli counterpart, uh what their agenda is to blow up bricks and that is to destroy
48:4648 minutes, 46 secondsIran to to get to. We've said we were saying it on this show Pepe for a long time.
48:5148 minutes, 51 secondsWe have been talking about this for months.
48:5248 minutes, 52 secondsThat's what's going to happen and it's happening now. And so Russia and China we see them they are consolidating around Iran. But of course uh the rest
49:0149 minutes, 1 secondof the bricks is uh far behind at this moment. Um and India is a big unfortunate uh very unfortunate case of
49:0849 minutes, 8 secondsthis it size given its size and its potential importance. Uh but you know it's not really meeting that potential right now unfortunately. Well,
49:1649 minutes, 16 secondsthere are some very well-informed Indians, a cultured, well educated. They are absolutely appalled at the whole
49:2349 minutes, 23 secondsthing. Appalled. So, you know, Modi and his gang, they don't represent India.
49:2949 minutes, 29 secondsThey happen to be in power at the moment. And you know, the all the all that play with the Hinduta fanatics or courting the Hinduta fanatic are this is
49:3849 minutes, 38 secondsnot India. This is not deep India. So, wow.
49:4549 minutes, 45 secondsThey have a lot of they have a lot of of self introspection. They have a lot they have to look at into themselves and say
49:5349 minutes, 53 secondsokay so we are really a colony of the Anglo-Americans. That's it. This is our national destiny.
50:0050 minutesAnd if that's the case it's um it's very disappointing and very very sad for them. And it's it's doom really, Pepe
50:0850 minutes, 8 secondsbecause I want to in this last part of the show, maybe we can you can react to this because in this what what any BRICS
50:1550 minutes, 15 secondscountry, any country at all that uh uh is either subservient to or chooses uh to align itself with the United States
50:2350 minutes, 23 secondsends up being on what is actually a sinking ship. So Pepe, I don't know if you saw this breaking story by the New York Times. Uh they're talking about how
50:3150 minutes, 31 secondsTrump and his advisers miscalculated Iran's response to the war.
50:3750 minutes, 37 secondsThe first part of this Pepe is unbelievable in terms of just how uh uh
50:4450 minutes, 44 secondsjust brain dead uh all of this is. Uh Chris Wright, the energy secretary said he was not concerned that there would be a disruption of oil supplies in the
50:5250 minutes, 52 secondsMiddle East uh if a war would happen against Iran because during June there had been little disruption in the
50:5950 minutes, 59 secondsmarket. So, this is what this is what Donald Trump was being told supposedly in the leadup uh to this conflict. And then there was just this private
51:0851 minutes, 8 secondsbriefing of uh of congressman um on the war. And here's Chris Murphy uh who you
51:1651 minutes, 16 secondsknow uh he gives a an outline of the ship that is on that is waging this war
51:2451 minutes, 24 secondsand how it's sinking. And this is from somebody who is no friend to Russia, I abroad or China. These these are people who are uh very much interested in a war
51:3351 minutes, 33 secondsas long as it's done correctly, quote unquote. But here's here's Chris Murphy.
51:3651 minutes, 36 secondsI just came from a 2hour closed door classified briefing on the war. Just confirmed to me it's totally incoherent.
51:4751 minutes, 47 secondsWe are not going to be able to achieve any of our stated objectives. But I mention it because it's another
51:5351 minutes, 53 secondscloseddoor briefing. We have still not yet heard a full explanation as to why this is necessary. We still have had no
52:0252 minutes, 2 secondshearings in front of Congress that the public can see. And I think that's pretty simple because if the president did what the Constitution says, come to
52:1152 minutes, 11 secondsCongress to get authorization for this war, he wouldn't get it. is the American people would demand that their member of Congress, their senator, whether they be
52:2052 minutes, 20 secondsa Republican or Democrat, vote no because this is a disaster of epic proportions. It's already getting
52:2752 minutes, 27 secondsAmericans killed. It's driving up prices here at home. Harder line leadership,
52:3252 minutes, 32 secondsmore antithetical to US interests are strengthening inside Iran. And there's really no way that we're going to be
52:4052 minutes, 40 secondsable to destroy their nuclear program because most of it is buried underground unless we mount a ground invasion, which would be even more disastrous and more
52:4752 minutes, 47 secondsunpopular. Um, this has just been a debacle, uh, a 10-day debacle, and we're going to use whatever leverage we have
52:5552 minutes, 55 secondsin the Senate to try to prompt those hearings to try to prompt that.
52:5852 minutes, 58 secondsYeah. No, but they're not, sorry about that, but they're not going to uh uh they're going to prompt hearings. they're not going to get to, you know,
53:0553 minutes, 5 secondstry to organize a stop this war. But nonetheless, Pepe outlining their that's the ship. If any Burks, you know, if India, any Burks country, if they want
53:1453 minutes, 14 secondsto align themselves with that ship, that that's what it looks like right now just with this war, let alone all the other problems that uh have initiated it. But
53:2253 minutes, 22 secondsbut yeah, your reaction to this because this is the you know that was a relatively decent I don't think a full
53:2853 minutes, 28 secondspicture but a decent picture of the uh absolute just the it's it's almost unbelievable how brain dead this operation really was.
53:3953 minutes, 39 secondsThe the whole thing is beyond brain dead territory. So we can uh easily visualize
53:4953 minutes, 49 secondslike an SNL an SNL sketch or even better Montipython sketch one of the old school ones.
53:5853 minutes, 58 secondspeople like Witoff, Kushner, Hegat, and even this deenergizer secretary,
54:0654 minutes, 6 secondsright? Coming to the Oval Office and prompting U Trump to bomb Iran because
54:1354 minutes, 13 secondsit's going to be easy. We're going to get our regime change. It's going to last a weekend. On Monday, you can proclaim victory. The markets are going
54:2254 minutes, 22 secondsto rise. you're going to have a another sculp to your enormous. And he actually
54:2954 minutes, 29 secondsbelieves it because obviously he would never discuss this with old school
54:3554 minutes, 35 secondsPentagon or old school Pentagon or CIA generals with an IQ over 10, which would explain to him in three minutes that this is absolutely suicide.
54:4654 minutes, 46 secondsSo it make what he's actually saying and throwing all these people under the bus
54:5254 minutes, 52 secondsmight have been what happened certainly because he only listened to these clowns to these very dangerous
55:0155 minutes, 1 secondclowns. Obviously he did not listen to anybody with the minimum understanding of anything regarding the Persian a civilization.
55:1455 minutes, 14 secondsIran as a civilization state, the power of Shism, how things work inside Iran,
55:2055 minutes, 20 secondshow things work between uh the religious institutions and the IRGC. Of course,
55:2655 minutes, 26 secondsvery few people in Washington know about that, but there are some people who actually have some understanding of it and could explain this to him. No, he
55:3455 minutes, 34 secondslistened to these clowns yapping uh in his ear and it's quite possible this is how he made his decision.
55:4455 minutes, 44 secondsSo can you imagine if this goes down in history as basically a bunch of clowns forcing a baboon from war alago to go to
55:5455 minutes, 54 secondswar against Iran and destroy the global economy and in the long run destroy American hegemony.
56:0256 minutes, 2 secondsWow. I would say that this would fit perfectly because there's nothing Shakespearean
56:1056 minutes, 10 secondsabout that. This is not the stuff of one of those fabulous strategies, you know.
56:1456 minutes, 14 secondsThis is farce and lowlevel tory cheap farce, you know. Mhm.
56:2256 minutes, 22 secondsAnd very I would say uh it fits the quality the moral nonquality of all
56:3056 minutes, 30 secondsthese characters together of this bunch of grifters, you know, opportunists, sick of fans, you know.
56:3856 minutes, 38 secondsYeah. But obviously the problem is that Danny uh the American American citizens
56:4656 minutes, 46 secondstaxpayers are going to be paying the price and the rest of the world will be paying the price for that.
56:5156 minutes, 51 secondsOh yeah, for sure. Yeah, Pepe. And uh uh you know our friends at DDJ politics brought up something really interesting
56:5956 minutes, 59 secondsthat uh maybe we can close on here because when you said that this could all destroy American hegemony itself.
57:0657 minutes, 6 secondsThere are some uh indicators that directly not just of course the economic everything we've discussed so far uh the humiliating political military and of
57:1657 minutes, 16 secondscourse the economic impacts of all of this but there's something very direct that they brought up uh here uh where they talk about how the US keeps
57:2457 minutes, 24 secondsdelivering its best toys to the same recipients and it goes over this long list of uh various weapon systems that
57:3257 minutes, 32 secondsthe US has lost over the years. One of them, Iran, uh the so-called beast of Kandahar. It's the CIA's most capable
57:3857 minutes, 38 secondssurveillance drone uh was essentially captured uh rerouted by Iran and captured. But to this year, this very uh
57:4857 minutes, 48 secondswar, the precision strike missile was crane lifted intact from one of the residential buildings during this
57:5557 minutes, 55 secondsconflict. And it's likely now that all the data for that is now in the hands of not just Iran but of course
58:0358 minutes, 3 secondsRussia and China and China. Um so talk about this because this is part of we often say that wars
58:1258 minutes, 12 secondsthe the you know the empire of chaos's wars they end up blowing back they end up backfiring and they end up actually making the situation worse for us in the
58:2158 minutes, 21 secondslong term. This seems to be one of the most immediate results of that because there's never any strategy.
58:2958 minutes, 29 secondsThey think that they can uh condition everything and the behavior of their
58:3658 minutes, 36 secondsantagonists uh by their unlimited fire power and their way of practicing war, which is
58:4558 minutes, 45 secondsbasically bombing out the hell of anything inside. They don't understand what real war is.
58:5358 minutes, 53 secondsAnd of course, they don't understand why there's real war with an adversary that knows how to shoot back. This is the first time that they actually see it.
59:0459 minutes, 4 secondsSo, probably since Vietnam and Vietnam, of course, the Vietnamese were shooting back guerilla style. And
59:1259 minutes, 12 secondsnow the Iranians is not the Iranians is we we can say it's a digital gerilla in fact and a high-tech gorilla style. It's
59:2159 minutes, 21 secondsthe high-tech equivalent of the Hoshim trail dur.
59:2659 minutes, 26 secondsBut they they know how to shoot back and they shoot back and inflict serious damage.
59:3459 minutes, 34 secondsNever in this uh exceptionalist doctrine there was space for the adversary
59:4059 minutes, 40 secondsshooting back. Never. So no so no wonder they are like a you know ducks in a
59:4759 minutes, 47 secondspond. Poof poof poof poof. They have no idea. And because there's never any strategy especially for this war
59:5559 minutes, 55 secondswhich has as we know this war has been planned for decades or instigated by the usual neocon
1:00:041 hour, 4 secondssuspects for decades and there was no planning whatsoever. Bombs away.
1:00:101 hour, 10 secondsCan you believe that? Okay, we're gonna have we're going to have an excursion this weekend. We do some regime chain.
1:00:171 hour, 17 secondsWe bomb the [ __ ] out of them and on Monday everything is over. Yeah, this was the strategy.
1:00:241 hour, 24 secondsNever any plan B, C or D. So now it's too late for plan B, C, and D because the adversary who knows how to shoot
1:00:321 hour, 32 secondsback just said that's it. Stick to your plan and take it to the limit. We won't let you deviate from your known plan.
1:00:441 hour, 44 secondsYeah. Can you imagine? They they Danny,
1:00:471 hour, 47 secondsthey they sent a a an eviction notice, a surrender document to the so-called the
1:00:551 hour, 55 secondsgreatest uh Armad in the history of the the galaxies.
1:01:011 hour, 1 minute, 1 secondYeah, we we have to be like, wow.
1:01:061 hour, 1 minute, 6 secondsIran is saying right now, Pepe, that there isn't a US naval vessel of any kind within 700 km of the
1:01:151 hour, 1 minute, 15 secondskilome and okay when they were at 350 more or less 400 there were four ballistic missiles that were sent as a
1:01:221 hour, 1 minute, 22 secondswarning and they ran like crazy to the Indian Ocean
1:01:301 hour, 1 minute, 30 secondsYep. Yep. And uh and then there's this element to close Pepe what you were saying is uh the no strategy really just
1:01:371 hour, 1 minute, 37 secondsbombs away and and I think the ultimate aim there is with that exceptionalism and that hubris and that supremacist way of of of thinking that is so prevalent
1:01:461 hour, 1 minute, 46 secondsin the empire of chaos. Um they believe that the Iranian people will just give in and give up and uh allow their
1:01:531 hour, 1 minute, 53 secondscountry to be taken for a ride by the United States and Israel. But uh you had you talked you reacted to this uh uh
1:02:021 hour, 2 minutes, 2 secondsimage this video of Iranian people in the um aftermath of the um uh
1:02:101 hour, 2 minutes, 10 secondsappointment of the the election of the new Ayatollah in Iran. Of course there's been mass rallies in Iran every single day. But not only have there been rallies, but there have been rallies
1:02:181 hour, 2 minutes, 18 secondswhere Iranian people are very close to the bombings that are occurring in Thran and surrounding cities, and they're
1:02:271 hour, 2 minutes, 27 secondsstill out there. And here is the um here's just one example. Here's one example of that.
1:02:441 hour, 2 minutes, 44 secondsHello. Hello.
1:03:041 hour, 3 minutes, 4 secondsSo Pepe, I mean they're not only not budging, but they are they are becoming more
1:03:111 hour, 3 minutes, 11 secondsenergized by it. It's like it's an incredible scene, but I think it demonstrates just how this war is going, how this war will continue to go.
1:03:191 hour, 3 minutes, 19 secondsIt is. And it proves that they are unbreakable. You cannot break a n a nation that reacts like that. Forget it.
1:03:251 hour, 3 minutes, 25 secondsYou already lost even before you start your decapitation strike. you're already lost. You know, I I would like to finish
1:03:331 hour, 3 minutes, 33 secondswith something that it's I see it as some sort of poetic justice
1:03:401 hour, 3 minutes, 40 secondsand something that even have some magical overtones.
1:03:461 hour, 3 minutes, 46 secondsUh I'm sure all of you have noticed that new Ayatollah Moshaba has not said one word in public so far.
1:03:571 hour, 3 minutes, 57 secondsNo appearances anywhere,
1:04:011 hour, 4 minutes, 1 secondnot even filmed, nothing. Absolutely nothing. So for the moment, he's an idea.
1:04:081 hour, 4 minutes, 8 secondsHe is a like I would say a flame evoking uh the memory of his slain
1:04:161 hour, 4 minutes, 16 secondsfather. And people are pledging allegiance to this flame, to this idea.
1:04:231 hour, 4 minutes, 23 secondsThis is extraordinary. He doesn't even need to appear. He is leading from an
1:04:301 hour, 4 minutes, 30 secondsinvisible corner somewhere. Uh the best that we know is that he was injured during the decapitation strike to his legs and apparently is very serious.
1:04:411 hour, 4 minutes, 41 secondsSo that's why he's not showing up anywhere. But still the whole country and the whole Shiite world and many
1:04:501 hour, 4 minutes, 50 secondsparts of the Sunni world as well uh in Kashmir for instance in Bangladesh etc.
1:04:591 hour, 4 minutes, 59 secondsThey keep pledging allegiance to him as the successor uh as continuity of
1:05:061 hour, 5 minutes, 6 secondsgovernment to the memory of his father and to the memory of his father as a liberator.
1:05:141 hour, 5 minutes, 14 secondsOf course, uh uh I know exactly what a lot of [ __ ] are going to uh say about what I'm just saying. Ah, he's
1:05:231 hour, 5 minutes, 23 secondsbeing paid by the moolas. Okay, that's uh you cannot argue with uh [ __ ] or idiots.
1:05:301 hour, 5 minutes, 30 secondsIt's the Mark Twain maxim like it's a waste of time. But people all across the world not only Shiites, Sunnis,
1:05:401 hour, 5 minutes, 40 secondsChristians, Sufis, they are Buddhists,
1:05:441 hour, 5 minutes, 44 secondsthey understand the figure of Kam and why he was assassinated in power and what that represents.
1:05:511 hour, 5 minutes, 51 secondsSo he's a regimenting figure now all across the global south as a symbol of resistance. It's go it goes way beyond
1:05:581 hour, 5 minutes, 58 secondsthe figure of a martyr. Uh he's already as iconic as all those
1:06:061 hour, 6 minutes, 6 secondsu anticolonialist martyrs that died before everybody from CH to Thomas Sankara.
1:06:141 hour, 6 minutes, 14 secondsHe's over there with them now.
1:06:161 hour, 6 minutes, 16 secondsAnd at the same time he is a living memory inside Iran.
1:06:231 hour, 6 minutes, 23 secondsThat's that's wow. This is something to be studied in depths for years to come.
1:06:281 hour, 6 minutes, 28 secondsYeah. Yeah, definitely. I I mean and we are going to be doing that because uh
1:06:351 hour, 6 minutes, 35 secondsthis war uh this particular iteration of it uh regardless of which direction it goes in, it seems like it's going in a
1:06:431 hour, 6 minutes, 43 secondsvery poor direction for the US and Israel. We know that this is this is just around uh this is around for as long as this empire of chaos is uh
1:06:511 hour, 6 minutes, 51 secondsseeking to do what its ultimate objective is, which is not just is you know Israel, the United States. We hear a lot about Israel being the one that forced the US into this war and stuff.
1:06:591 hour, 6 minutes, 59 secondsEven Marco Rubio said it, but we also know that the Empire has this huge interest in making sure that Iran is gone and it won't and it won't stop even
1:07:071 hour, 7 minutes, 7 secondswhen this stops. So that's why Iran and this is what's so I think u shocking to many Iran especially under the new
1:07:161 hour, 7 minutes, 16 secondsAyatollah uh it seems like their whole orientation now is no no we're not just fighting defensively. We are fighting to
1:07:221 hour, 7 minutes, 22 secondsstop what is happening here to stop this. So the US listeners can't do this anymore. And that I have to say to anybody listening to
1:07:301 hour, 7 minutes, 30 secondsthis show that is worried about ground troops or anything like that if you're in the military or in the national or whatever you should uh probably leave
1:07:381 hour, 7 minutes, 38 secondsbecause if if you if you if that happens which it will eventually happen. It will eventually happen everyone. If there's
1:07:461 hour, 7 minutes, 46 secondsnot now that eventually the US will consider and deploy as many ground troops as it can to try to get rid of the Iranian government should quit. You
1:07:541 hour, 7 minutes, 54 secondsshould conscientely object something because this um that that's a disaster in the making and this is the ship that
1:08:011 hour, 8 minutes, 1 seconduh is sinking for the US Empire of Car Pepe. Any final comments before we head out of here?
1:08:071 hour, 8 minutes, 7 secondsThat's it. My final comment was uh was that one on the poetic justice of Moshaba following on the dead. Yes.
1:08:161 hour, 8 minutes, 16 secondsYeah. It's it's uh great points, Pepe.
1:08:191 hour, 8 minutes, 19 secondsThank you so much for joining me. We're going to head out together. Everybody hit the like button before you go.
1:08:231 hour, 8 minutes, 23 secondsPepe's telegram and his ex are in the video description below so you can check out all of his columns, his work. I know you have another one coming out uh
1:08:311 hour, 8 minutes, 31 secondswithin the next hours. It seems like within the next hour or so. Yes.
1:08:351 hour, 8 minutes, 35 secondsYeah. Yeah. Yeah. So everyone check that after the show after you hit the like button uh go to the video description find where you can find where his work is and check it out. And then of course
1:08:431 hour, 8 minutes, 43 secondsall the places support this show are there too. Patreon subsec on with Patrick Hennington and I believe Alexander Mccurus uh for another uh
1:08:511 hour, 8 minutes, 51 secondsupdate on the Iran situation. See you then 12 p.m. Eastern time. Until next time everyone. Bye-bye.
1:08:591 hour, 8 minutes, 59 secondsThanks.

[admin]

Kim Jong Un set a trap in Iran. If even one North Korean dies, the world will change forever.
Strategic Frontiers
Mar 11, 2026 #KimJongUn #IranCrisis #GlobalTension
#KimJongUn #IranCrisis #GlobalTension

Kim Jong Un set a trap in Iran. If even one North Korean dies, the world will change forever.

Discover the shocking truth behind Kim Jong Un’s secret strategy in Iran. If even one North Korean dies, global powers could face unprecedented consequences. Explore how missile cooperation, military advisors, and strategic alliances between North Korea and Iran are creating a high-stakes geopolitical trap. Stay updated on the latest international tensions and understand how Pyongyang’s moves could reshape global power dynamics. Watch now to uncover the full story behind this potentially world-changing scenario



Transcript

0:00Imagine this for a moment. One missile lands, one soldier falls,
0:077 secondsand suddenly the entire balance of global power explodes overnight.
0:1313 secondsBecause somewhere in the shadows of the Middle East, Kim Jong-un may have already set a trap the world barely understands.
0:2222 secondsWhat if the real battlefield isn't just Iran? What if it's a strategic chess board designed so that one single
0:2929 secondscasualty could trigger a global chain reaction?
0:3333 secondsToday, we uncover the strategy that could change everything.
0:3838 secondsRight now, the world is focused on the escalating crisis around Iran. But while global powers argue, sanction, and
0:4545 secondsthreaten, Pyongyang is watching carefully. And it isn't just watching,
0:5050 secondsit's learning. Recent tensions have pushed North Korea closer to Iran than ever before. Support statements,
0:5858 secondsmilitary cooperation, and warnings directed at Western powers are sending one clear message. If Iran falls, the
1:061 minute, 6 secondsgeopolitical consequences may spread far beyond the Middle East. Because this isn't just about alliances, it's about
1:131 minute, 13 secondsdeterrence. Think about the strategy. If North Korean personnel, advisers or strategic interests are tied to Iran's
1:211 minute, 21 secondsdefense, then any strike that harms them suddenly becomes something far bigger than a regional conflict. Suddenly, it becomes a message to Pyongyang itself.
1:311 minute, 31 secondsAnd that's where the trap begins. The leadership of Kim Jong-un has always been built on one principle, power through unpredictability.
1:411 minute, 41 secondsFor years, Pyongyang has invested heavily in nuclear weapons, long range missiles, and now even naval strike
1:491 minute, 49 secondscapabilities designed to project power beyond the Korean Peninsula.
1:541 minute, 54 secondsAnalysts say recent missile demonstrations are part of a broader effort to strengthen this deterrent posture. But here's where the strategy
2:022 minutes, 2 secondsgets interesting. North Korea doesn't need to deploy massive armies across the Middle East. It only needs presence, a
2:112 minutes, 11 secondsfew advisers, a few strategic connections, a few signals that its interests are now tied to the survival of Iran. Because once that link exists,
2:222 minutes, 22 secondsevery missile fired, every drone launched, and every strike ordered suddenly carries a new risk. What if it
2:302 minutes, 30 secondshits the wrong target? What if it harms the wrong people? What if it crosses a line that Pyongyang decides cannot be
2:382 minutes, 38 secondsignored? That's the trap. Not a battlefield trap, a geopolitical trap.
2:442 minutes, 44 secondsOne designed so that every move by global powers becomes more dangerous than the last. Before we reveal the
2:522 minutes, 52 secondsfinal piece of this strategy, drop a comment and tell me, do you think this alliance is just political symbolism or
3:003 minutescould it actually reshape the balance of power? And if you want deeper breakdowns of global conflicts and hidden
3:073 minutes, 7 secondsstrategies, make sure you're subscribed so you don't miss the next analysis.
3:133 minutes, 13 secondsExhales sharply because history shows something important. Wars rarely start with massive explosions.
3:223 minutes, 22 secondsThey start with small moments that spiral out of control. A miscalculation,
3:283 minutes, 28 secondsa single strike, a casualty that wasn't supposed to happen.
3:343 minutes, 34 secondsIf the growing connection between North Korea and Iran continues to deepen, the consequences of such a moment could
3:403 minutes, 40 secondsreach far beyond the Middle East. And that's why strategists around the world are watching closely. Because if even one North Korean dies in this conflict,
3:523 minutes, 52 secondsthe world may suddenly discover that the trap has already been sprung.
3:583 minutes, 58 secondsThe growing military cooperation between Kim Jong-un and Iran has gradually become a strategic partnership shaped by
4:064 minutes, 6 secondsshared geopolitical pressures. For years, analysts have pointed to technology exchanges involving missile
4:134 minutes, 13 secondsdevelopment, rocket systems, and military engineering between North Korea and Iran. Both governments face heavy
4:204 minutes, 20 secondssanctions from the United States and its allies, which has pushed them toward closer defense collaboration and intel.
4:264 minutes, 26 secondsAent sharing reports have often suggested that designs from North Korea's ballistic missile programs influenced several
4:354 minutes, 35 secondsIranian missile models, strengthening Thrron's regional deterrence capability.
4:404 minutes, 40 secondsIn return, Iran provides strategic positioning in the Middle East that can indirectly expand North Korea's global influence.
4:494 minutes, 49 secondsThis quiet partnership allows both states to project power beyond their borders while avoiding direct large-scale deployment of forces. In
4:584 minutes, 58 secondsrecent years, North Korea has increasingly voiced political and diplomatic support for Iran whenever tensions rise with Western nations. The
5:075 minutes, 7 secondsleadership of Kim Jong-un often frames conflicts involving Iran as examples of pressure from the United States and its
5:145 minutes, 14 secondsallies, using official statements and state media to criticize sanctions,
5:195 minutes, 19 secondsmilitary strikes, and international isolation efforts.
5:235 minutes, 23 secondsBy publicly siding with Iran during regional crises, Pyongyang signals that countries facing similar geopolitical
5:305 minutes, 30 secondschallenges should stand together against external influence.
5:355 minutes, 35 secondsThis support also serves a strategic messaging purpose, showing that North Korea is willing to align itself with partners outside Asia to strengthen a
5:445 minutes, 44 secondsbroader network of political resistance and military cooperation in global power dynamics. Missile technology cooperation
5:515 minutes, 51 secondsbetween North Korea and Iran has long been a topic of discussion among defense analysts and intelligence agencies.
5:595 minutes, 59 secondsDuring the 1990s and early 2000s, Iran reportedly acquired missile designs and technical expertise derived from North Korea's ballistic missile programs,
6:096 minutes, 9 secondsincluding systems related to the Nong platform.
6:136 minutes, 13 secondsThese exchanges helped Iran accelerate the development of its own long range missile capabilities, allowing it to build a stronger deterrent posture in
6:216 minutes, 21 secondsthe Middle East. The partnership often involves knowledge transfer, engineering collaboration, and testing insights
6:296 minutes, 29 secondsrather than direct large-scale weapon shipments.
6:336 minutes, 33 secondsBoth countries benefit strategically because Iran gains advanced missile development experience while North Korea expands its influence in another region
6:426 minutes, 42 secondsand demonstrates the global reach of its military technology under the leadership of Kim Jong-un. The growing alignment
6:486 minutes, 48 secondsbetween North Korea and Iran sends a strategic signal directly toward the United States and its regional partners
6:556 minutes, 55 secondssuch as Israel. By publicly supporting Iran during periods of tension, the leadership of Kim Jong-un communicates
7:037 minutes, 3 secondsthat pressure applied in one region can echo across another. The message is designed to complicate strategic
7:107 minutes, 10 secondscalculations for Washington and its allies, suggesting that conflicts may not remain isolated within a single theater. When countries under heavy
7:207 minutes, 20 secondssanctions demonstrate coordination or solidarity, it signals that attempts to isolate them diplomatically may instead push them into deeper cooperation,
7:297 minutes, 29 secondscreating broader geopolitical networks capable of influencing military balance and diplomatic negotiations across
7:367 minutes, 36 secondsmultiple regions. Some analysts have raised the possibility that North Korea could have limited numbers of technical advisers, engineers, or military
7:457 minutes, 45 secondsspecialists connected to defense cooperation projects with Iran.
7:507 minutes, 50 secondsThese individuals would not necessarily appear as formal combat troops, but could be involved in areas such as missile development support, weapons
7:597 minutes, 59 secondssystem maintenance, or strategic technology consultation.
8:038 minutes, 3 secondsSuch cooperation has been discussed in intelligence assessments for years,
8:078 minutes, 7 secondsparticularly because both countries have worked on similar ballistic missile programs under heavy international sanctions.
8:158 minutes, 15 secondsThe presence of advisers would allow expertise developed under the leadership of Kim Jong-un to influence projects far from the Korean Peninsula while helping
8:248 minutes, 24 secondsIran strengthen its defense infrastructure and technical capacity in a sensitive geopolitical region. The idea of a deterrence trap is built on
8:338 minutes, 33 secondscreating a situation where any aggressive move becomes risky for opponents. In the context of cooperation
8:408 minutes, 40 secondsbetween North Korea and Iran, the strategy revolves around making outside powers think twice before launching military actions.
8:488 minutes, 48 secondsIf political ties, technology exchanges,
8:518 minutes, 51 secondsor strategic interests become deeply connected, then a strike against Iran could indirectly affect North Korean interests as well.
9:009 minutesUnder the leadership of Kim Jong-un,
9:029 minutes, 2 secondsdeterrence has often relied on the idea that unpredictable escalation could follow any attack.
9:099 minutes, 9 secondsThis forces countries like the United States and its allies to consider wider consequences before taking action since a local conflict could potentially
9:179 minutes, 17 secondsexpand into a broader geopolitical confrontation. Events surrounding tensions and attacks involving Iran
9:249 minutes, 24 secondsprovide valuable strategic lessons for the leadership of Kim Jong-un.
9:299 minutes, 29 secondsAnalysts believe that North Korea closely studies how international pressure, sanctions, cyber operations,
9:369 minutes, 36 secondsand military strikes are used against countries facing geopolitical isolation.
9:429 minutes, 42 secondsBy observing how Iran responds to threats from nations such as the United States and Israel, Pyongyang can evaluate which defense strategies
9:519 minutes, 51 secondsstrengthen deterrence and which vulnerabilities invite external pressure. These observations help North Korean planners refine their own
10:0010 minutessecurity policies, including missile development, military readiness, and diplomatic messaging designed to discourage adversaries from considering
10:0910 minutes, 9 secondsregimethreatening actions. Nuclear capability plays a central role in the strategic thinking of North Korea,
10:1510 minutes, 15 secondsespecially under the leadership of Kim Jong-un. Possessing nuclear weapons allows Pyongyang to project power far
10:2310 minutes, 23 secondsbeyond its borders and acts as a powerful bargaining tool in international politics.
10:2910 minutes, 29 secondsBy maintaining and advancing its nuclear arsenal, North Korea signals that any direct military attack could lead to
10:3610 minutes, 36 secondscatastrophic escalation, forcing adversaries to approach negotiations cautiously. Observing the pressures faced by Iran,
10:4510 minutes, 45 secondswhich has faced scrutiny over its nuclear program, further reinforces Pyongyangs belief that nuclear deterrence can protect national
10:5310 minutes, 53 secondssovereignty and influence diplomatic negotiations with major powers like the United States, turning military capability into political leverage.
11:0211 minutes, 2 secondsIf North Korean personnel are harmed in Iran, even accidentally, it could trigger immediate retaliation.
11:1011 minutes, 10 secondsUnder Kim Jong-un, protecting citizens is key to deterrence. So any casualty amplifies tensions, risks escalation,
11:1911 minutes, 19 secondsand forces global powers to reconsider actions, turning a regional conflict into a potentially wider geopolitical
11:2711 minutes, 27 secondscrisis. The message to other nations resisting Western influence is a calculated element of North Korea's
11:3411 minutes, 34 secondsstrategy under Kim Jong-un. By aligning with Iran and demonstrating solidarity against sanctions, threats, and military
11:4311 minutes, 43 secondspressure from powers like the United States, Pyongyang signals that countries facing international isolation can rely on partnerships to resist coercion.
11:5311 minutes, 53 secondsthoughtful. This message extends beyond Iran, implying that small or sanctioned states can build networks of support to
12:0212 minutes, 2 secondsmaintain sovereignty, protect strategic interests, and deter intervention,
12:0712 minutes, 7 secondsreinforcing the perception that standing together strengthens political and military leverage in the global arena.
12:1512 minutes, 15 secondsMilitary demonstrations, including missile tests and naval exercises, serve as visible signals of readiness from North Korea under Kim Jong-un serious.
12:2712 minutes, 27 secondsThese displays are not only intended for domestic audiences, but also send clear warnings to the United States, its
12:3412 minutes, 34 secondsallies, and regional observers that North Korea can project power beyond its borders. By showing operational
12:4212 minutes, 42 secondscapabilities, Pyongyang reinforces the credibility of its deterrent strategy and indirectly supports partners like Iran.
12:5112 minutes, 51 secondsPause. Each test or demonstration underscores that any potential attack on aligned nations carries risks of
12:5912 minutes, 59 secondsescalation, making military posturing a key tool in shaping adversaries calculations without immediate combat
13:0713 minutes, 7 secondsengagement. The potential for a regional war to turn into a global crisis is heightened by the growing strategic link
13:1413 minutes, 14 secondsbetween North Korea and Iran. Even a localized conflict involving Iran could trigger responses from Pyongyang if its
13:2213 minutes, 22 secondspersonnel, technology, or strategic interests are threatened. Under Kim Jong-un, this creates a scenario where a
13:3013 minutes, 30 secondssingle incident like a missile strike or unintended casualty might escalate tensions far beyond the region.
13:3813 minutes, 38 secondsThe combination of nuclear capabilities,
13:4113 minutes, 41 secondsmissile technology cooperation, and diplomatic signaling means that a minor confrontation could rapidly involve
13:4813 minutes, 48 secondsmultiple global powers, turning what begins as a regional dispute into a potentially worldwide geopolitical crisis.
13:5613 minutes, 56 secondsNorth Korea's link with Iran creates a highstakes trap. One casualty could ignite a global crisis and shift the world's power balance forever.

**************************

North Korea Just Offered Iran Everything — Missiles, Cyber Weapons, and Nuclear Secrets
War and Wealth
Mar 6, 2026

Hours after devastating strikes hit Iran's military infrastructure a message came out of Pyongyang that shook every intelligence agency on earth. Kim Jong Un publicly signaled support for Iran with five chilling words — We are ready to help. This is not empty rhetoric. North Korea and Iran have shared ballistic missile technology, covert weapons networks, and intelligence for decades. This relationship was built in the shadows — and now in the middle of a major war it just stepped into the light. In this video we break down the decades-long secret military relationship between Pyongyang and Tehran, what North Korea could actually offer including missiles, cyber weapons, military advisors, or nuclear technology, why this five-word statement terrified Washington, Tel Aviv, and every European capital, how North Korean missile technology already flows through Iran's arsenal, whether Kim Jong Un is bluffing or preparing to act, and why the most dangerous move in this war is the one that hasn't happened yet. One nuclear-armed nation just offered to arm another. And the world just got a lot more dangerous.

Disclaimer: This video is for informational and educational purposes only. The statements, alliances, and military capabilities discussed are based on publicly available intelligence reports, historical analysis, and speculative geopolitical assessment. Kim Jong Un's exact words and intentions have not been independently verified. Claims regarding nuclear technology transfers or weapons sharing remain unconfirmed by official sources. This content is not intended to promote fear or misinformation. This is not financial, military, or political advice. Viewer discretion is strongly advised.



Transcript

0:00Five words just changed the trajectory of this entire conflict. While the world was focused on the strikes hammering Iran's military infrastructure, a
0:088 secondsstatement came out of Pyongyang that made every intelligence analyst from Washington to Tel Aviv stop what they were doing and pay attention. Kim
0:1515 secondsJong-un signaled his support for Iran publicly and the message was as simple as it was terrifying. We are ready to help. Now, on the surface, that might
0:2323 secondssound like standard diplomatic posturing, the kind of thing authoritarian leaders say to grab headlines and score points against the West. But here's why this is different.
0:3131 secondsAnd here's why you need to understand what's actually behind those words.
0:3434 secondsNorth Korea and Iran have not just been casual acquaintances on the world stage.
0:3737 secondsThey have been quietly building one of the most dangerous military partnerships on Earth for over four decades. Sharing missile blueprints, trading weapons components, cooperating on cyber
0:4646 secondsoperations and potentially exchanging knowledge that inches closer to the nuclear threshold than any of us would like to admit. What Kim Jong-un just did
0:5454 secondswas take a relationship that has operated in the shadows for decades and drag it into the light at the worst possible moment. And the implications of that decision could reshape this entire
1:021 minute, 2 secondsconflict in ways nobody is fully prepared for. Welcome back to War and Wealth. Before we get deep into this one, and trust me, this story goes
1:101 minute, 10 secondsdeeper than almost anything we've covered on this channel. Do me a favor and hit that subscribe button right now.
1:151 minute, 15 secondsWe are tracking developments that are moving fast. The next update on this situation could drop at any moment. You don't want to miss it. Subscribe, hit
1:231 minute, 23 secondsthe bell, and let's get into the most dangerous alliance you've probably never fully understood. To grasp why five words from Kim Jong-un sent shock waves
1:301 minute, 30 secondsthrough the intelligence community, you have to go back to where this relationship actually began. Because it didn't start yesterday, and it didn't start with this conflict. The military
1:391 minute, 39 secondspartnership between North Korea and Iran traces its roots all the way back to the 1980s during the brutal Iran Iraq war that killed hundreds of thousands of
1:461 minute, 46 secondspeople and left Iran desperate for weapons that the international community was largely unwilling to provide. Iran was isolated, sanctioned, and fighting
1:541 minute, 54 secondsfor survival against Saddam Hussein's military machine, which was being supplied by multiple Western nations and Gulf States. Thran needed missiles, and
2:012 minutes, 1 secondPyongyang had them. North Korea became one of Iran's most important arm suppliers during that conflict, shipping Scudby B missiles to Iran at a time when
2:092 minutes, 9 secondsalmost nobody else would sell them weapons of that caliber. Those early transactions weren't just business deals. They were the foundation of a strategic relationship built on a shared
2:182 minutes, 18 secondsprinciple that has held firm ever since the enemy of my enemy is my friend. And the United States was the common enemy that bound these two nations together.
2:252 minutes, 25 secondsWhat happened after the Iran Iraq war ended is where the story gets truly significant. Instead of the relationship fading away once the immediate crisis
2:332 minutes, 33 secondswas over, it deepened and expanded into something far more sophisticated.
2:382 minutes, 38 secondsThroughout the 1990s, North Korean engineers and missile technicians traveled to Iran to help develop the country's indigenous ballistic missile
2:452 minutes, 45 secondsprogram. The crown jewel of this cooperation was the transfer of technology related to North Korea's Nodong medium-range ballistic missile,
2:522 minutes, 52 secondswhich became the foundation for Iran's Shahab 3 missile system. Now, let that sink in for a moment. One of the most important weapons in Iran's current
2:592 minutes, 59 secondsarsenal, the missile that gives Thran the ability to threaten targets across the Middle East, exists in its current form because of North Korean technology
3:073 minutes, 7 secondsand expertise. This isn't speculation or conspiracy theory. It has been documented extensively by United Nations panels of experts, independent weapons
3:153 minutes, 15 secondsresearchers, and intelligence agencies from multiple countries. The Shahab 3 and its subsequent variants are essentially the children of North Korean
3:223 minutes, 22 secondsmissile engineering, adapted and refined by Iranian scientists, but born from blueprints and knowledge that originated in Pyongyang. The cooperation didn't
3:303 minutes, 30 secondsstop with the Shahab 3, and this is where the story starts to get genuinely alarming for anyone paying attention to global security. Reports from UN monitoring groups and various
3:383 minutes, 38 secondsintelligence assessments have indicated that missile technology continued flowing between the two countries well into the 2000s and beyond with North
3:453 minutes, 45 secondsKorean components and expertise showing up in increasingly advanced Iranian systems. There were credible reports that technology related to the BM25
3:533 minutes, 53 secondsMusan intermediate range ballistic missile was shared with Iran,
3:563 minutes, 56 secondspotentially giving Tan access to designs capable of reaching targets far beyond the Middle East. North Korean technicians were reportedly present at Iranian missile test facilities,
4:054 minutes, 5 secondsproviding technical guidance and troubleshooting expertise that accelerated Iran's development timeline by years, if not decades. Every sanctions regime, every diplomatic
4:134 minutes, 13 secondseffort, every attempt to isolate these two countries from the global weapons market only seemed to push them closer together, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of cooperation that has proven
4:224 minutes, 22 secondsremarkably resistant to outside pressure. Now, let's talk about what North Korea could actually provide to Iran in the current moment. Because we
4:304 minutes, 30 secondsare ready to help only matters if there's substance behind it. And the uncomfortable truth is that Pyongyang has a great deal of substance to offer.
4:384 minutes, 38 secondsThe most obvious category is ballistic missile technology and not just the older systems that formed the basis of their historical cooperation. North
4:454 minutes, 45 secondsKorea has made dramatic advances in its missile program in recent years,
4:494 minutes, 49 secondssuccessfully testing intercontinental ballistic missiles, developing solid fuel rocket technology that makes missiles faster to deploy and harder to
4:564 minutes, 56 secondsdetect before launch, and reportedly making progress on hypersonic glide vehicles that could potentially evade existing missile defense systems. If
5:045 minutes, 4 secondseven a fraction of this newer technology were transferred to Iran, it would represent a quantum leap in Thran's strike capabilities, potentially giving
5:115 minutes, 11 secondsthem the ability to threaten targets in Europe and fundamentally altering the strategic balance that has defined Middle Eastern security for decades. But
5:195 minutes, 19 secondsmissiles are just one piece of what makes this partnership so dangerous. And arguably, they aren't even the most concerning element. North Korea has developed one of the most capable and
5:275 minutes, 27 secondsaggressive cyber warfare programs on the planet, operating through groups like Lazarus and its various subunits to conduct operations that have stunned the
5:355 minutes, 35 secondscyber security world. These are the people behind the 2014 Sony Pictures hack, the W to cry ransomware attack that crippled hospitals and businesses
5:435 minutes, 43 secondsacross dozens of countries in 2017, and the theft of billions of dollars in cryptocurrency that funds North Korea's weapons programs. Their cyber operators
5:515 minutes, 51 secondsare skilled, disciplined, and operate with a level of state backing that few other hacking groups can match. If North Korea were to share cyber warfare tools,
5:595 minutes, 59 secondstechniques, or even personnel with Iran,
6:016 minutes, 1 secondwhich already has its own considerable cyber capabilities, the combined threat could be devastating. Imagine coordinated cyber attacks targeting military communication systems,
6:106 minutes, 10 secondsfinancial infrastructure, power grids,
6:126 minutes, 12 secondsor water treatment facilities. Time to coincide with physical military operations. That's not science fiction.
6:186 minutes, 18 secondsThose are capabilities that both nations have demonstrated independently and that could become exponentially more dangerous if combined. The category that
6:266 minutes, 26 secondskeeps intelligence chiefs awake at night, though, the one that transforms this from a regional concern into an existential global threat is nuclear
6:336 minutes, 33 secondstechnology. North Korea has conducted six nuclear tests and is believed to possess enough fistile material for dozens of nuclear warheads. They have
6:416 minutes, 41 secondsdeveloped the technical knowledge to miniaturaturize nuclear devices for delivery by ballistic missile. A capability that took them decades to achieve and that represents some of the
6:506 minutes, 50 secondsmost closely guarded technical knowledge on Earth. Iran, despite years of diplomatic efforts to prevent it, has been gradually advancing its own nuclear
6:576 minutes, 57 secondsprogram, enriching uranium to levels that are difficult to justify for purely civilian purposes and maintaining research infrastructure that could
7:057 minutes, 5 secondspotentially be redirected toward weapons development. The nightmare scenario that has haunted non-prololiferation experts for years is a transfer of critical
7:127 minutes, 12 secondsnuclear weapons knowledge from North Korea to Iran. Not necessarily a complete warhead, but the specific technical insights and engineering
7:197 minutes, 19 secondssolutions that would allow Iran to cross the nuclear threshold far more quickly than its own program would otherwise permit. Whether Kim Jong-un would
7:277 minutes, 27 secondsactually cross that line is one of the most consequential questions in global security. and his public declaration of readiness to help Iran has forced that
7:347 minutes, 34 secondsquestion from the theoretical into the terrifyingly practical. There's another dimension to potential North Korean assistance that doesn't get enough attention, and that's the role of
7:427 minutes, 42 secondsmilitary advisers in conventional weapons expertise. North Korea maintains one of the largest standing armies in the world with over a million active
7:497 minutes, 49 secondsduty personnel and decades of experience developing asymmetric warfare strategies designed to counter technologically superior opponents. Their expertise in
7:587 minutes, 58 secondstunnel construction, underground facility hardening, artillery tactics,
8:028 minutes, 2 secondsand coastal defense could be directly applicable to Iran's military needs.
8:058 minutes, 5 secondsParticularly in the current environment where Iranian infrastructure is under sustained attack. We've already seen precedent for this type of cooperation.
8:138 minutes, 13 secondsNorth Korean military advisers have been documented in various conflict zones over the years from Africa to the Middle East, providing training and expertise
8:208 minutes, 20 secondsto governments and groups aligned with Pyongyangs interests. The deployment of even a small number of specialized North Korean military personnel to Iran could
8:288 minutes, 28 secondsprovide significant assistance in areas like fortifying critical infrastructure,
8:328 minutes, 32 secondsmaintaining and operating advanced weapon systems, and developing tactical responses to ongoing military operations, the logistics of how North
8:408 minutes, 40 secondsKorea gets weapons and technology to Iran is a story in itself, one that reveals just how sophisticated sanctions evasion has become in the modern world.
8:498 minutes, 49 secondsBoth countries have developed extensive networks of front companies, shell corporations, and intermediary nations that facilitate the movement of prohibited goods and knowledge. Ships
8:578 minutes, 57 secondshave been caught carrying North Korean weapons components hidden beneath legitimate cargo. Diplomatic pouches have reportedly been used to transfer technical documents, and cyber enabled
9:069 minutes, 6 secondscommunications have allowed sensitive information to flow between the two countries without ever physically crossing a border. The United Nations panel of experts that monitors North
9:159 minutes, 15 secondsKorean sanctions compliance has repeatedly documented these evasion techniques, painting a picture of a relationship that has become remarkably
9:229 minutes, 22 secondsadept at operating beneath the surface of international attention. Despite the best efforts of intelligence agencies and customs authorities around the
9:299 minutes, 29 secondsworld, the pipeline between Pyongyang and Thran has proven extraordinarily difficult to shut down completely. And current circumstances may provide even
9:379 minutes, 37 secondsgreater motivation and opportunity for both sides to expand these covert channels. Washington's response to Kim Jong-un's statement has been measured
9:459 minutes, 45 secondspublicly, but reportedly intense behind closed doors. American intelligence agencies are undoubtedly scrambling to assess whether North Korea's offer
9:529 minutes, 52 secondsrepresents genuine intent to increase support or is primarily a rhetorical move designed to complicate American strategic calculations. The distinction
10:0110 minutes, 1 secondmatters enormously because it determines whether the United States needs to prepare for a significant escalation and the capabilities arrayed against it or
10:0810 minutes, 8 secondssimply manage the political fallout of provocative statements. Sources familiar with intelligence assessments suggest that the truth likely falls somewhere in
10:1610 minutes, 16 secondsbetween North Korea almost certainly intends to increase some forms of support to Iran as doing so serves Pyongyangs interests by diverting
10:2410 minutes, 24 secondsAmerican attention and resources. But the extent and nature of that support will depend on a complex set of factors,
10:2910 minutes, 29 secondsincluding the military situation on the ground. The risk of American retaliation against North Korea itself and the practical challenges of delivering
10:3710 minutes, 37 secondsmeaningful assistance across vast distances. Tel Aviv's reaction has been particularly intense because Israel has long viewed the North Korea Iran axis as
10:4610 minutes, 46 secondsone of the most serious long-term threats to its security. Israeli intelligence services have invested enormous resources in monitoring the relationship between the two countries
10:5410 minutes, 54 secondsand there have been reports of Israeli operations aimed at disrupting specific transfers of technology and components.
11:0011 minutesThe prospect of North Korea accelerating its support for Iran at this moment when Israeli military operations are actively targeting Iranian military
11:0711 minutes, 7 secondsinfrastructure creates a deeply concerning dynamic where the degradation of Iranian capabilities could be partially offset by an influx of North
11:1511 minutes, 15 secondsKorean technology and expertise. For Israeli strategic planners, this transforms what might be a time-limited military campaign into a potentially
11:2211 minutes, 22 secondsopen-ended challenge where the adversar's capabilities are continuously refreshed by an outside supplier.
11:2811 minutes, 28 secondsEuropean capitals are also watching this development with growing alarm, and their concern goes beyond abstract geopolitical calculations to very
11:3611 minutes, 36 secondsconcrete security implications. If North Korean missile technology allows Iran to develop systems capable of reaching European cities, the security
11:4311 minutes, 43 secondsarchitecture of the entire continent would need to be fundamentally reconsidered. European nations have already been grappling with the challenges posed by Russia's invasion of
11:5211 minutes, 52 secondsUkraine and the resulting demands on their military resources and strategic attention. The prospect of simultaneously needing to address a growing Iranian missile threat enhanced
12:0012 minutesby North Korean technology could overwhelm the capacity of European defense establishments that have spent decades underinvesting in military
12:0712 minutes, 7 secondscapabilities. China and Russia occupy complicated positions in this equation and their responses could significantly influence how the situation develops.
12:1612 minutes, 16 secondsChina is North Korea's most important economic partner and has historically exercised some degree of restraint on Pyongyangs most provocative actions.
12:2312 minutes, 23 secondsThough the extent of that influence is often overstated, Beijing's calculus involves balancing its desire to avoid a major conflict that could destabilize
12:3012 minutes, 30 secondsthe region against its strategic interest in seeing American power and attention diverted away from the Indoacific. Russia, meanwhile, has its own evolving relationship with both
12:3912 minutes, 39 secondsNorth Korea and Iran. And the war in Ukraine has created new dynamics of cooperation between Moscow and these two countries that would have been difficult
12:4612 minutes, 46 secondsto imagine just a few years ago. The possibility of a more coordinated axis of resistance involving Russia, China,
12:5212 minutes, 52 secondsNorth Korea. And Iran is one of the most significant strategic developments of the early 21st century. And Kim Jong-un's public offer to help Iran can
13:0013 minutesbe understood as both a product and an accelerant of this broader realignment.
13:0413 minutes, 4 secondsThe question of whether Kim Jong-un is bluffing or genuinely preparing to act is one that defies simple answers.
13:1113 minutes, 11 secondsBecause North Korean strategy has always involved elements of both calculated posturing and genuine willingness to take dramatic action. Kim's regime has
13:1813 minutes, 18 secondsdemonstrated repeatedly that it is willing to accept enormous risk in pursuit of strategic objectives from conducting nuclear tests in defiance of
13:2513 minutes, 25 secondsthe entire international community to developing intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of reaching the American homeland. At the same time,
13:3313 minutes, 33 secondsNorth Korea has shown pragmatic awareness of its limitations and has generally avoided actions that would provoke a direct military confrontation with the United States that it cannot
13:4113 minutes, 41 secondswin. The current situation may offer a middle ground where Pyongyang can provide meaningful assistance to Iran through covert channels while maintaining enough ambiguity to avoid
13:5013 minutes, 50 secondstriggering a direct American response against North Korean targets. What makes this moment uniquely dangerous is not any single factor, but the convergence
13:5713 minutes, 57 secondsof multiple destabilizing elements simultaneously. The most dangerous development in this entire situation may be the one that hasn't happened yet. And
14:0514 minutes, 5 secondsthat's the part that should concern all of us the most. If Iran begins to feel that its conventional military capabilities are being systematically degraded to the point where regime
14:1414 minutes, 14 secondssurvival is threatened, the temptation to accept whatever North Korea is offering, including potentially nuclear related assistance, increases
14:2114 minutes, 21 secondsdramatically. Desperation has historically been one of the most powerful drivers of nuclear proliferation. And a nation that feels its existence is at stake may be willing
14:3014 minutes, 30 secondsto cross thresholds that seemed unthinkable during peace time. The international community's ability to prevent such a crossing depends on intelligence capabilities, diplomatic
14:3914 minutes, 39 secondsleverage, and military options that are all being stretched thin by the current crisis. For those of us watching from the United States, the situation demands
14:4614 minutes, 46 secondsattention and understanding because the decisions being made right now by leaders in Pyongyang, Thran, Washington,
14:5314 minutes, 53 secondsand other capitals will shape the security environment that Americans live in for decades to come. The relationship between North Korea and Iran isn't a
15:0115 minutes, 1 seconddistant abstraction. It directly affects the missile threats our allies face, the cyber attacks our infrastructure might endure, and the nuclear proliferation
15:0815 minutes, 8 secondsrisks that could fundamentally alter the world our children inherit.
15:1215 minutes, 12 secondsUnderstanding these connections and their implications isn't optional for informed citizens. It's essential. This story is far from over, and the next chapter could be written at any moment.
15:2215 minutes, 22 secondsWar and wealth will be here to break it down for you with the depth and honesty that this topic demands. If this video helped you understand something you
15:3015 minutes, 30 secondsdidn't fully grasp before, share it with someone who needs to see it. Seriously,
15:3415 minutes, 34 secondshit that share button right now because these are the kinds of stories that people need to understand and that don't always get the attention they deserve in
15:4115 minutes, 41 secondsmainstream coverage. Drop a comment below and tell me what you think Kim Jong-un's real intention is here. Is this a calculated bluff designed to distract and divide American attention?
15:5015 minutes, 50 secondsOr are we watching the early stages of the most dangerous arms transfer in modern history? I genuinely want to know your take because the discussions in our
15:5815 minutes, 58 secondscomment section are some of the most thoughtful I've seen anywhere on this platform and your perspectives help shape how we approach these stories
16:0516 minutes, 5 secondsgoing forward. Subscribe if you haven't already. Turn on notifications and stay with us because this situation is moving fast and the next development could
16:1316 minutes, 13 secondschange everything. This is Warren Wealth and we'll see you in the next

[admin]

Iran ‘BOMBS’ 2nd Ship After Hitting India-Bound Vessel; ‘Not A Single Litre Of Oil For US & Allies…’
Times Of India
Mar 11, 2026 #hormuz #iran #expressrome

Iran has struck two commercial vessels — the Israeli-owned Express Rome and container ship Mayuree Naree — after they defied its warnings and attempted to transit the Strait of Hormuz. IRGC Naval Force commander Rear Admiral Tangsiri said the ships "trusted in empty promises" and "were caught." Iran's joint command has declared that not a single litre of oil will pass through the strait for the benefit of the US, Israel or their partners — and that any vessel carrying such cargo is now a legitimate military target. Tanker traffic has collapsed from 76 daily crossings to near zero. Oil has crossed $113 per barrel. The US Navy has privately told the shipping industry escorts are not possible.



Transcript

0:011 secondIran has dramatically escalated its strangle hold on the straight of Hormuz,
0:066 secondsstriking two commercial vessels that defied its warnings and declaring that no ship may transit the waterway [music]
0:1414 secondswithout explicit Iranian authorization as oil prices surged past $113
0:2121 secondsper barrel. The two vessels targeted on Wednesday after they repeatedly ignored Iranian warning were the Express Rome
0:3030 secondsand Israeli owned ships sailing under a Liberian flag and the container ship Mayori Nari.
0:3737 secondsIran's IRGC naval force commander Rear Admiral Alireza Tangiri was pointed in
0:4444 secondshis message to both ship operators and Washington. Were the ships assured of safe passage through the straight of
0:5151 secondsHormuz? This should be asked of the crews of the vessels express Rome and Mayori Narie who today trusting in empty
1:001 minutepromises ignored the warnings and intended to cross the straight but were caught. He [music] wrote in a Farsy
1:061 minute, 6 secondslanguage post on X. The scope of Iranian restrictions was then spelled out by the spokesman for the Katam Elania central
1:151 minute, 15 secondsheadquarters in terms that left no room for ambiguity. We will not allow even a single liter of oil to pass through the
1:241 minute, 24 secondsstraight of Hormuz for the benefit of America and its friends. he said, adding that any vessel or oil cargo belonging
1:321 minute, 32 secondsto the United States, Israel, or what Iran designates as their hostile partners is now a legitimate military target for Iranian armed forces.
1:431 minute, 43 secondsThe American Zionist enemies due to their continuous defeats in their brutal and arrogant aggression against Islamic
1:511 minute, 51 secondsIran and the psychological collapse of their army and foolish politicians have resorted to empty rhetoric and
1:581 minute, 58 secondsdelusional raving. We have repeatedly warned Trump, the pedophile master of the Zionists and the Mossad
2:072 minutes, 7 secondsorganization, that you may start the war, but we will determine its end. The armed forces of the Islamic Republic of
2:152 minutes, 15 secondsIran due to holding the initiative in the Strait of Hormuz have no need to close it. any closure of the straight of Hormuz would be due to conditions that
2:232 minutes, 23 secondsAmerica and the Zionists have imposed on the world's nations.
2:302 minutes, 30 secondsAnd of course, we emphatically reiterate and state that we will never allow even one single liter of oil. Any vessel that
2:382 minutes, 38 secondspasses through the straight of Hormuz for the benefit of the United States,
2:422 minutes, 42 secondsthe Zionists and their partners, and any vessel or its oil cargo belonging to the United States, the Zionist regime and
2:512 minutes, 51 secondstheir hostile partners will be our legitimate target. Your strategy of concealing yourselves behind the neighboring nations of Islamic Iran and
3:003 minutesthe Muslim populations of the West Asian region and indeed of the entire world has now become completely obsolete. The ploy of your cowardly army concealing
3:093 minutes, 9 secondsitself within public spaces and the infrastructure of regional nations cannot save your forces from the
3:173 minutes, 17 secondsquagmire in which they are trapped. and your vital centers and your bases one
3:233 minutes, 23 secondsafter another will burn in the fire you ignited and will burn again and again.
3:313 minutes, 31 secondsWe consider the blood of our martyred leader and the esteemed leader of the Islamic nation a definitive end to any
3:393 minutes, 39 secondsinaction. Our policy of reciprocal strikes has concluded and we will pursue a policy of successive strikes until your complete punishment and regret.
3:513 minutes, 51 secondsJust for once, be honest. Stop fasanist stop acting like heroes and admit your defeat throughout American history. And
3:593 minutes, 59 secondssince the ominous Zionist regime's inception, confess your wrongdoing with your own tongue. A che.
4:084 minutes, 8 secondsYou have repeatedly refers Adly referred to the presence of your warships in the waters of this region and the one time you dared to advance. You were forced to
4:174 minutes, 17 secondsretreat by Iran's missile power. From the very first day of your aggression,
4:224 minutes, 22 secondswe have been waiting for you to prove that your cowardly army is far too insignificant to ever be relied upon.
4:314 minutes, 31 secondsYou must understand this clearly. You will not be able to artificially lower the prices of oil and energy through any forced or superficial means. As the war
4:394 minutes, 39 secondsexpands throughout the region, we have already declared that you should prepare for oil at $200 a barrel because the price of oil is directly dependent on the security situation in this region.
4:484 minutes, 48 secondsAnd you yourselves are the primary source of all this insecurity. The powerful and highly capable armed forces of Islamic Iran will absolutely not
4:564 minutes, 56 secondspermit the full repair and complete reconstruction of your utterly defeated and broken army. Our hands are full,
5:025 minutes, 2 secondsready to deliver more crushing and powerful blows. And in continuation of our previous enemy shattering
5:095 minutes, 9 secondsoperations, we will avenge the pure blood of our martyed leader, our beloved nation, and the innocent women and
5:165 minutes, 16 secondschildren, those innocent angels martyed and mine from you. The consequences for global energy markets have been
5:245 minutes, 24 secondsimmediate and severe. Traffic through the straight through which approximately 1if of global oil supplies passed before
5:325 minutes, 32 secondsthe war has collapsed from an average of 76 tankers daily to a handful with some
5:385 minutes, 38 secondsdays recording zero crossings. Oil prices have surged past $113 per barrel, reflecting [music] growing
5:475 minutes, 47 secondsmarket fears of prolonged disruption to one of the world's most critical energy choke points.
5:545 minutes, 54 secondsIran's foreign ministry has placed responsibility for the crisis squarely on Washington, stating that the insecure
6:026 minutes, 2 secondssituation and problems arising for shipping in the Persian Gulf are a result of the aggressive and destabilizing actions of the US. The
6:116 minutes, 11 secondsUnited States has threatened military action to reopen the waterway, but has struggled to convert that threat into
6:186 minutes, 18 secondsoperational reality. The US Navy has told the shipping industry that escorts are not currently possible given the
6:266 minutes, 26 secondslevel of risk, a position that sits in direct contradiction to repeated White House asurances.
6:356 minutes, 35 secondsThe US Navy [music] has refused requests from the shipping industry for military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the war on Iran,
6:436 minutes, 43 seconds[music] saying the risk of attacks is too high for now. According to Reuters,
6:486 minutes, 48 secondsthe refusal has been communicated directly [music] to shipping and oil industry counterparts during regular Navy briefings bluntly, consistently,
6:576 minutes, 57 secondsand [music] without a timeline for when the situation might change. This assessment sits in direct [music] and visible contradiction to what the
7:047 minutes, 4 secondspresident of the United States has been telling the world. Donald Trump has said repeatedly in recent days that the [music] United States is prepared to
7:127 minutes, 12 secondsescort tankers through the straight of Hermuz when necessary. When the time comes, the US Navy and its partners [music] will escort tankers through the
7:217 minutes, 21 secondsstrait if needed. I hope it's not going to be needed, but if [music] it's needed, we'll escort them right through," he said on Monday during a
7:287 minutes, 28 secondspress briefing. "As we continue Operation Epic Fury, we're also focused on keeping energy and oil flowing to the
7:367 minutes, 36 secondsworld. And I will not allow a terrorist regime to hold the world hostage and attempt to stop the globe's oil supply."
7:437 minutes, 43 secondsAnd if Iran does anything to do that,
7:467 minutes, 46 secondsthey'll get hit at a much, much harder level. I will take out those targets that were easy and that I mentioned just before, we'll take them out so quickly.
7:557 minutes, 55 secondsThey'll never be able to recover ever.
7:587 minutes, 58 secondsIf they want to play that game, they better not play that game. In the long run, oil supplies will be dramatically more secure without the threat of
8:058 minutes, 5 secondsIranian ships, drones, missiles, nuclear menace,
8:108 minutes, 10 secondsor anything. So the straight of Hormuz is going to remain safe. We have a lot
8:178 minutes, 17 secondsof Navy ships there. We have the best equipment in the world inspecting for mines. Uh again, most of their ships are
8:268 minutes, 26 secondsdown at the bottom of the sea. But we will uh we will hit them so hard that it will not be possible for them or anybody
8:348 minutes, 34 secondselse helping them to ever recover that section of the world they do anything.
8:398 minutes, 39 secondsIn recent years, the regime and its terror proxies have launched attacks on hundreds of commercial vessels. We're
8:478 minutes, 47 secondsputting an end to all of this threat once and for all, and the result will be lower oil prices, oil and gas prices for American families. We've done that.
8:578 minutes, 57 secondsWe've done it. We brought it very low.
8:588 minutes, 58 secondsThis was just an excursion into something that had to be done. We're getting very close to finishing that,
9:059 minutes, 5 secondstoo. In the meantime, during this brief disruption, the United States is offering political risk insurance to any tankers operating in the Gulf. So, we're
9:139 minutes, 13 secondsputting up uh risk insurance. It will uh perhaps go alongside of them for protection. We
9:219 minutes, 21 secondsdon't think it'll be necessary. If it is, and if they do anything, the price will be incalculable.
9:299 minutes, 29 secondsIt will be so great that they will have wished they never did it. because you have to keep the straits flowing.
9:379 minutes, 37 secondsWith all of that, it affects other countries much more than it does the United States. Doesn't really affect us.
9:429 minutes, 42 secondsWe have so much oil. We have tremendous oil and gas much more than we need. We have Venezuela now as our new partner,
9:509 minutes, 50 secondsgreat partner. They've worked out so wonderful. We're working with the administration, the president, and it's a massive source of oil, gas,
10:0210 minutes, 2 secondseverything. But uh we're in a very good position but very unfair to other parts
10:0910 minutes, 9 secondsof the world like China as an example. I mean we're doing this for the other parts of the world including countries like China. They get a lot of their oil
10:1810 minutes, 18 secondsthrough the straits. So we're doing this. We have a very good relationship with President Xi and China. going there in a short period of time and we're
10:2710 minutes, 27 secondsprotecting the the world from what these lunatics are trying to do and very
10:3410 minutes, 34 secondssuccessfully I might add. We're also waving certain oil related sanctions to reduce prices. So we have sanctions on
10:4210 minutes, 42 secondssome countries. We're going to take those sanctions off till this straightens out. Then who knows, maybe we won't have to put them on. There'll be so much peace. But when the time
10:5110 minutes, 51 secondscomes, the US Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the straight if needed. I hope it's not going to be needed, but if it's needed, we'll escort them right through. The gap [music]
11:0111 minutes, 1 secondbetween that statement and operational reality widened further on Tuesday when Energy [music] Secretary Chris Wright posted on X that the Navy had successfully escorted a tanker [music]
11:1211 minutes, 12 secondsthrough the straits, a claim he subsequently deleted after it could not be verified. Iran's [music] IRGC denied
11:1911 minutes, 19 secondsany such escort had taken place with spokesperson Ali [music] Muhammad Nani saying that the claim was a complete lie
11:2711 minutes, 27 secondsand warning [music] that our missiles and drones will stop any movement of the US fleet and its allies. The White [music] House attempted to hold the
11:3511 minutes, 35 secondsline. Press Secretary Caroline Levit told reporters [music] that naval escorts remained an option the president has said he will absolutely [music]
11:4411 minutes, 44 secondsutilize if and when necessary at the appropriate time. But the [music] gap between the promise and the Navy's own
11:5111 minutes, 51 secondson the ground assessment was now publicly visible.
11:5411 minutes, 54 secondsPresident Trump fully expected the rogue Iranian regime to try and disrupt the global markets. That's why President Trump and his energy team have been
12:0212 minutes, 2 secondsplanning for this long before the strike and have moved quickly to address these temporary disruptions. Thus far, the
12:0912 minutes, 9 secondsTrump administration has offered political risk insurance to tankers operating in the Gulf. The Treasury temporarily waved certain oil related
12:1712 minutes, 17 secondssanctions, and the commander-in-chief has offered the US Navy to escort tankers when necessary. The president and his energy team are closely watching
12:2612 minutes, 26 secondsthe markets, speaking with industry leaders, and the US military is drawing up additional options following the president's directive to continue keeping the straight of her moose open.
12:3612 minutes, 36 secondsI will not broadcast what those options look like, but just know the president is not afraid to use them. Rest assured
12:4312 minutes, 43 secondsto the American people, the recent increase in oil and gas prices is temporary and this operation will result in lower gas prices in the long term.
12:5312 minutes, 53 secondsOnce the national security objectives of Operation Epic Fury are fully achieved,
12:5812 minutes, 58 secondsAmericans will see oil and gas prices drop rapidly, potentially even lower than they were prior to the start of the
13:0513 minutes, 5 secondsoperation. and we will live in a world where Iran can no longer threaten the United States or our allies with a nuclear bomb.
13:1313 minutes, 13 secondsSecuring the strait would be difficult even with an international [music]
13:1613 minutes, 16 secondscoalition because of Iran's ability to deploy mines or cheaplymade attack drones. Additionally, the US [music]
13:2313 minutes, 23 secondsmilitary is currently waging an active air and naval campaign. So the same assets cannot be in two places at once.
13:3013 minutes, 30 seconds[music]
13:3113 minutes, 31 secondsThough the US naval escorts help at the margin, but by themselves will not reopen the strait. Instead, the US needs
13:3813 minutes, 38 seconds[music] to systematically degrade Iran's military capabilities, which takes time.
13:4413 minutes, 44 secondsNotably, the US Navy escorted tankers through the strait in [music] 1987 when commercial vessels became targets during
13:5113 minutes, 51 secondsthe Iran Iraq war. But the US military [music] at that time was not engaged in hostilities against the regime in tyrron
13:5913 minutes, 59 secondsand guaranteeing safe [music] passage to ships. The dual demand fight Iran and protect shipping from Iran at the same
14:0714 minutes, 7 secondstime [music] in the same waterway is a fundamentally different operational challenge with [music] no direct historical parallel. Iran has pledged to
14:1614 minutes, 16 secondsset passing ships on fire and warned merchant [music] shipping to be very careful if choosing them.


***********************

More setback for Trump as Iran strikes three ships in Strait of Hormuz | Janta Ka Reporter
Janta Ka Reporter
Mar 11, 2026

Donald Trump on Wednesday said that his military had decimated the Iranian navy. And yet, Iran struck three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz when they tried to defy the blockade imposed by the Islamic Republic. The Wall Street Journal said that Iran was enjoying complete control of the Strait of Hormuz. Rifat Jawaid looks at the situation on the 11th day of the war as Iran reveals an extraordinary video of its underwater missile and drone storage facility.



Transcript

0:00Today was the 11th day of the illegal aggression of the Americans and Israeli terrorists against Iran and the Islamic
0:077 secondsRepublic has continued to showcase its military prowess despite all its handicaps. Today multiple explosions
0:1515 secondswere heard in Dubai and Dha. Iran also sunk a Thai oil tanker when it tried to cross the estate of Formuz. The ship was
0:2323 secondsheading towards India and the Indian government has reacted to this development. the deranged occupant of the White House. Donald Trump has once
0:3131 secondsagain claimed to have decimated the Iranian Navy. He keeps destroying the Iranian Navy every day. And Iran keeps
0:3939 secondsgiving them grief using the same decimated naval force every day. This would tell you everything about claims
0:4646 secondsmade by Trump. This would be the broad focus of my video tonight. Also in my video, Iran's underwater missile and
0:5454 secondsdrone storage facility. And this would blow your mind away. So please stay tuned. Donald Trump has once again
1:011 minute, 1 secondspoken about his illegal invasion of Iran. Two things have stood out for me.
1:061 minute, 6 secondsFirst, there is someone in the White House who is dumber than him and her name is Caroline Leid. Just look at her
1:131 minute, 13 secondsexpression and sense of awe with which she listens to the useless utterances of this Israeli slave. Second, Trump still
1:221 minute, 22 secondshas no idea about what he's doing in Iran despite heavy cost being inflicted on his military and the global economy.
1:301 minute, 30 secondsHe was asked about his intention to end the war despite a younger and more fiery Ayatah being in charge now. And he
1:381 minute, 38 secondsdoesn't like the question. He just likes to blabber his way out of this quagmire that he has chosen to land himself in.
1:461 minute, 46 secondsWatch this and decide for yourself if the safety of Americans and their children are in the hands of the right person.
1:551 minute, 55 secondsAnd as you know, we're doing something that nobody ever thought was possible to do. Our military is the best. It's the most powerful in
2:032 minutes, 3 secondsthe world. And they're hitting them very hard. This is 47 years of abuse and killing lots of people. Killing and maming lots of people. What is it,
2:142 minutes, 14 secondsPeter? Mr. President, what more do you need to do militarily for this operation to end?
2:192 minutes, 19 secondsMore of the same. And we'll see how that all comes down. Right now, they are they've lost their navy. They've lost
2:272 minutes, 27 secondstheir air force. They have no anti-aircraft apparatus at all. They have no radar.
2:352 minutes, 35 secondsTheir leaders are gone.
2:372 minutes, 37 secondsUh and we could do a lot worse to one another. We're leaving certain things that if we take them out or we could
2:442 minutes, 44 secondstake them out by this afternoon, in fact, within an hour, uh they literally would never be able to build that country back.
2:532 minutes, 53 secondsNew report shows a new report says that the military investigation has found that the United States struck the school in Iran. As commander-in-chief, do you take responsibility for that?
3:043 minutes, 4 secondsThat is what commander-in-chief. Do you take the strike on the school in Iran? A milit a new report says the military investigation has found it was the United States that struck the school.
3:153 minutes, 15 secondsI don't know about you respond. How do you respond to that?
3:203 minutes, 20 secondsAre you talking to CEOs of various oil companies encouraging them to use the straight up right now?
3:283 minutes, 28 secondsI think they should. I think they should use Look, we took out just about all of their mine ships in
3:363 minutes, 36 secondsone night. Uh, we're up to boat number 60. I didn't realize they had that big a navy. I would say it was big and
3:443 minutes, 44 secondsineffective, but every one of their ships, just about all of their navy is gone. It's bottom of the sea. I I hope you're impressed.
3:523 minutes, 52 secondsHave they laid any mines in the straightup hormuz? I don't think so.
3:573 minutes, 57 secondsCan you declare victory in this war if the supreme leader remains the Ayatollah's son?
4:034 minutes, 3 secondsI don't want to comment on that. I don't want to. But I will tell you I just spoke with various countries the leaders of various countries you'll have a list
4:124 minutes, 12 secondsand they said they've never seen anything like it in Iraqi parliament due date member
4:194 minutes, 19 secondssugan dates to America date to Israel what is your response to them what is your message for Iraqi government
4:264 minutes, 26 secondswhat did he say in Iraqi parliament slogan date of America date of Israel member of the
4:344 minutes, 34 secondsparliament that's to America, death to Israel. What's your response to that? That's not a nice question.
4:424 minutes, 42 secondsDid Spain after you told them that you would tie commerce ties with them? Are they cooperating with the United States in
4:504 minutes, 50 secondsSpain? They're not. I think they're not cooperating at all. Spain, I think they've been very bad. When will you say mission accomplished?
4:594 minutes, 59 secondsUh,
4:594 minutes, 59 secondswell, look, we've knocked out their navy. We've knocked out their air force.
5:045 minutes, 4 secondsWe've knocked out all of their anti-defense.
5:085 minutes, 8 secondsDespite Trump's claims to destroy 50 to 60 more Iranian ships in the state of Hormuz, this crucial waterway remains
5:165 minutes, 16 secondsclosed for safe navigation. One ship tried to break the Iranian ban today and ended up paying a heavy price. The Thai
5:255 minutes, 25 secondsship was carrying oil for India when it was hit by Iranian missiles and drones.
5:305 minutes, 30 secondsThe Omani authorities came to their rescue and managed to take all the crew members out of the sinking ship. The
5:375 minutes, 37 secondsIndian government wasn't happy by this development as they wrote on Twitter and I quote, "India deplores the fact that commercial shipping is being made a
5:465 minutes, 46 secondstarget of military attacks in the ongoing conflict in West Asia. Precious lives including of Indian citizens have
5:535 minutes, 53 secondsalready been lost in multiple such attacks in the earlier phase of this conflict and the intensity and lethality
6:006 minutesof the attacks only seems to be increasing. India reiterates that targeting commercial shipping and endangering innocent civilian crew
6:096 minutes, 9 secondsmembers or otherwise impeding freedom of navigation and commerce should be avoided. End quote. Maybe Modi should
6:176 minutes, 17 secondsanswer why he was cozying up with a war criminal called Benjamin Netanyahu hours before he decided to violate the sovereignty of Iran by launching brutal
6:266 minutes, 26 secondsattacks on the Islamic Republic. The closure of a state of foremost is already beginning to the US and global economy. The US energy
6:356 minutes, 35 secondsdepartment, according to the Financial Times, has warned petrol and diesel prices are unlikely to recede to
6:426 minutes, 42 secondspre-wall levels until mid 2027. At the earliest, ratcheting up costs for
6:496 minutes, 49 secondsindustries from trucking and farming to airlines and retailers. On the other hand, the Wall Street Journal reported
6:566 minutes, 56 secondsthat Iran was exporting more oil through the state of Hormuz than before the war,
7:017 minutes, 1 secondshowing it is in control of the strategic waterway that it has closed off to the rest of the region's oil producers.
7:107 minutes, 10 secondsAnd yet, Trump would have you believe that the American army was the most powerful in the world. And if this wasn't enough, CNN has just reported
7:187 minutes, 18 secondsthat Russia is helping Iran with advanced drone tactics from its war in Ukraine to hit US and Gulf nation targets in the Middle East.
7:277 minutes, 27 secondsYeah, I mean, this is a a key development potentially. According to a Western intelligent official I spoke to,
7:337 minutes, 33 secondsuh Russia started out uh with what they refer to as more general support. This official says it's now getting quote
7:407 minutes, 40 secondsmore concerning and they're now giving drone targeting strategies that Russia employed in Ukraine. Now the official
7:487 minutes, 48 secondsdoesn't specify exactly what we're talking about here, but we've seen Russia in Ukraine use waves of drones,
7:567 minutes, 56 secondssometimes a thousand drones fired in one night at Ukraine. They weave, seem to be going in one direction, head in another.
8:038 minutes, 3 secondsI've seen them even on radars doing loops in groups to make the job of air defenses yet more complex. And every single week the Russians learn something
8:128 minutes, 12 secondsmore about what the Ukrainians have got in air defense terms to take down the Russian drones and the Ukrainians learn about Russian tactics. They talk about a
8:208 minutes, 20 secondssix-w week innovation cycle. It's an extraordinarily sophisticated fight every night over the stars of Ukraine.
8:268 minutes, 26 secondsAnd what we are essentially talking about here is the possibility that the Russians have taken that 3 years of knowhow and sophistication and handed it
8:348 minutes, 34 secondsto Iran here in the past 10 11 days of the battle here. Now that's key because we are seeing where you are you know
8:418 minutes, 41 secondsnear at the Emirates uh in Dubai four injured from drones coming through. A lot of the success of Iran's attacks
8:488 minutes, 48 secondsseem to have revolved around the use of drones. And so perhaps these tactics, as vanced as they really are, constantly shifting as they are helping them elude
8:578 minutes, 57 secondsair defenses. We also know that Ukraine's president Malinsky has said that uh Russia is assisting Iran with drones. Indeed, he sent experts to Gulf
9:069 minutes, 6 secondsnations, including here uh Jordan to assist with drone air defenses. And look, remember Ukraine to take down
9:149 minutes, 14 secondsthese $30,000 shahids mass-roduced is now mass- prodducing $5,000
9:219 minutes, 21 secondsuh tiny interceptor drones that are proving very effective and certainly very cost effective. So it's a sign here potentially that we're seeing Russia
9:309 minutes, 30 secondsmoving from the early warnings we got from US officials about exactly what they were doing providing satellite images sort of general assistance to
9:399 minutes, 39 secondsspecific realtime up tothe-m minutee battlefield style tactical advice to the Iranians according to this official that
9:479 minutes, 47 secondsI spoke to. But Israeli dog Lindsey Graham is still hoping for a victory against Iran. He's becoming a laughing stock in his own country.
9:559 minutes, 55 secondsChina buying cheap Russian oil and having no accountability. Those days are about over.
10:0110 minutes, 1 secondLindsay, let me help you out here. You perfume princess.
10:0710 minutes, 7 secondsYou're going to sanction China. Let me remind you, Lindsay, that in April, the president tried to put big-time tariffs on China. China cut off America's access
10:1610 minutes, 16 secondsto rare earth minerals, including the kind of sophisticated magnetic materials that are essential for automobile production. The US automobile industry
10:2510 minutes, 25 secondsis collapsing as we speak because they don't have access to the materials they need to manufacture cars. So, they can't fulfill orders. So, it collapsed. You
10:3210 minutes, 32 secondsknow what the president did, Lindsay? He backed down immediately. Immediately.
10:3610 minutes, 36 secondsAnd then began the lengthy process of renegotiating with the Chinese. But the Chinese didn't roll over and play dead,
10:4110 minutes, 41 secondsLindsay, because they're in control, not the president. The president tried to play China and China played them back.
10:4710 minutes, 47 secondsNow, what happened is just recently they just has entered a new deal. And now the American automobile industry is like,
10:5310 minutes, 53 seconds"Hey, we can get back on on track. We got the magnetic materials. We got the We're We're doing good." And now you're talking about putting 100% tariffs on China, you idiot.
11:0311 minutes, 3 secondsThen there is a question mark on the success of American interceptor missiles across the region. Iran has already destroyed most of their radar system in
11:1111 minutes, 11 secondsthe Middle East and today an expert said that the much publicized Patriot missiles too was proving to be nothing more than an expensive toy.
11:2111 minutes, 21 secondsThe Patriot The Patriot has never worked. This is not new really. It's new because people have been somehow
11:3011 minutes, 30 secondsum uh they see the the uh what they would what they often see is the two interceptors that you're looking at now.
11:4011 minutes, 40 secondsYeah. They at some point will ex will explode, but we don't see that in this case.
11:4711 minutes, 47 secondsOh, there they go. They they both explode.
11:4911 minutes, 49 secondsYeah, they they did they crash into each other. Did they crash into each other or?
11:5311 minutes, 53 secondsYeah, they're No, no, they they have warheads on them. The Patriot has a warhead, right? And the warhead is a fragmentation war.
12:0212 minutes, 2 secondsThink of it as a shotgun. Got it.
12:0412 minutes, 4 secondsAnd um and so it tries to pass close enough to the to the incoming ballistic missile and explode uh the warhead and
12:1412 minutes, 14 secondsand drive fragments from the warhead into the ballistic missile. Unfortunately, the crossing
12:2212 minutes, 22 secondsspeed is so high that um when the fragments,
12:2712 minutes, 27 secondslet's think of the fragments coming off uh uh perpendicular to the missile. They come in many directions.
12:3312 minutes, 33 secondsBut when the fragments the frag if I illustrate the speed, the fragments are moving slow relative to the crossing
12:4212 minutes, 42 secondsspeed. So they have almost no chance of damaging the ballistic missile unless unless they hit it at the front.
12:5112 minutes, 51 secondsI will leave you with this incredible video that the IRGC has released.
12:5512 minutes, 55 secondsRemember what Trump has repeatedly said about destroying the Iranian Navy. This is the video of Iran's underwater storage facility for missiles and
13:0413 minutes, 4 secondsdrones. This clearly shows that Iran has been preparing itself for this moment for 47 years. So, good luck to the Americans and Israelis.
13:5013 minutes, 50 secondsI'm request
14:0914 minutes, 9 secondsForeign speech. Foreign speech. Foreign speech.
14:2214 minutes, 22 secondsforeign.
14:4214 minutes, 42 secondsforeign.
15:0115 minutes, 1 secondThat's it from me. Thank you very much for your support of this platform and our journalism. If you haven't subscribed to my channel, please do so
15:0915 minutes, 9 secondsbecause that's one of the many ways you can support independent journalism.

[admin]

Iranian Haifa Strike Video Netanyahu Don't Want You to See — OPTM
OPTM
Mar 10, 2026

In the last 48 hours, the Islamic Republic of Iran has delivered a blow so precise and so devastating that it has literally plunged the Israeli entity into darkness. We are talking about the 34th wave of Operation True Promise, and let me tell you, this was not a pinprick.

This was a strategic knockout. Using the long-range, stealth-capable Arash drone, Iran successfully demolished the Haifa oil refinery and its adjacent power plant.

The footage coming out of occupied Palestine is nothing short of apocalyptic: the sky over Haifa glowing a deep, horrific orange as these massive fuel storage facilities—the lifeblood of the Israeli war machine—were turned into towering infernos. This wasn't just an attack; it was an execution of critical infrastructure.



Transcript

0:00You know, there are moments in history where the fog of war clears just long enough for the world to see a brutal,
0:066 secondsundeniable truth. We are witnessing one of those moments right now. In the last 48 hours, the Islamic Republic of Iran
0:1515 secondshas delivered a blow so precise and so devastating that it has literally plunged the Israeli entity into darkness. We are talking about the 34th
0:2424 secondswave of Operation True Promise. And let me tell you, this was not a pin prick.
0:2929 secondsAs the Iran war continues, the US and its allies have a problem. A drone problem.
0:3434 secondsIran has targeted fuel refinery in Israel's Hifa area. Israeli fuel facility in Iran's crosshairs. This is
0:4343 secondswhat Iran says. Israel's oil refinery has been targeted.
0:4646 secondsThis was a strategic knockout. Using the long range stealthcapable Arash drone,
0:5252 secondsIran successfully demolished the Hifa oil refinery and its adjacent power plant. The footage coming out of occupied Palestine is nothing short of
1:011 minute, 1 secondapocalyptic. The sky over Hifa glowing a deep horrific orange as these massive fuel storage facilities, the lifeblood
1:091 minute, 9 secondsof the Israeli war machine, were turned into towering infernos. This wasn't just an attack. It was an execution of
1:161 minute, 16 secondscritical infrastructure. For years, the occupation regime has used the Hifa complex as a strategic asset to fuel its
1:241 minute, 24 secondsaggression against the Islamic Republic and the Palestinian people. Built during the British mandate period to pump Iraqi
1:311 minute, 31 secondsoil, this facility has historically been a tool of colonial power. And in modern times, it has directly fueled the tanks,
1:391 minute, 39 secondsthe jets, and the ships that bombard our region. Targeting it was not just a military necessity. It was an act of historical justice. in retaliation for
1:481 minute, 48 secondsthe endless aggression against Iran's sovereignty while the regime in Tel Aviv tries to censor the news and pretend they are in control. The reality is that
1:571 minute, 57 secondsBenjamin Netanyahu is watching his country burn. Reports from Iranian news sources and field intelligence indicate that the sheer scale of this firestorm
2:062 minutes, 6 secondshas paralyzed northern occupied Palestine. And while Netanyahu pleads with the United States for an off-ramp
2:132 minutes, 13 secondsand a ceasefire, the protests in Tel Aviv are growing louder. The settlers are trying to flee and the regime is
2:202 minutes, 20 secondscrumbling from within. If you are watching this and you believe in honest journalism in reporting the truth that the corporate media refuses to show,
2:282 minutes, 28 secondsplease smash that like button, share this video far and wide, and subscribe to the channel. We need your support now more than ever. Now, let's dig deeper
2:372 minutes, 37 secondsinto the mechanics of this historic strike because understanding the weapon is understanding the message. The drone
2:442 minutes, 44 secondsused in this operation, the Arash, is a marvel of modern aerospace engineering that has the so-called iron dome looking
2:532 minutes, 53 secondsmore like a rusty civ. Unlike the Shahed models we often discuss, the Arash is specifically designed for one purpose,
3:003 minutesto erase strategic targets deep inside occupied territories. As reported by military analysts, the Arash 2 variant has an extended range of over 2,000 km,
3:123 minutes, 12 secondscarrying a 150 kg warhead designed for maximum destructive power against fuel reservoirs and power grids. What makes
3:203 minutes, 20 secondsit truly undetectable and terrifying for the Israeli command is its low thermal signature and its ability to fly complex
3:283 minutes, 28 secondsterrain hugging profiles. It was designed with the specific intention of striking Hifa in Tel Aviv. While the regime's sensors were busy trying to
3:363 minutes, 36 secondsblock images of the flames, these drones were swarming the refinery complex,
3:413 minutes, 41 secondscompletely overwhelming their defense systems. To truly grasp the significance of the Hifa oil refinery, we must look
3:483 minutes, 48 secondsat its ugly colonial history and how it functions as a direct cog in the machine of genocide. This refinery isn't just a
3:563 minutes, 56 secondscivilian power plant. It is a military asset that has been soaked in the blood of the Palestinian people for decades.
4:044 minutes, 4 secondsEstablished in the 1930s by the British and the Iraq Petroleum Company, it was built to export oil from Kirkuk,
4:114 minutes, 11 secondseffectively stealing the resources of the Muslim world to fuel Western Empire.
4:164 minutes, 16 secondsAfter the occupation of 1948, it was nationalized by the Israeli regime and has since been the primary hub for
4:234 minutes, 23 secondsprocessing crude oil to power their military aircraft, their Merkava tanks,
4:294 minutes, 29 secondsand their naval vessels that blockade Gaza. By striking this facility, Iran has effectively severed the Achilles
4:364 minutes, 36 secondstendon of the Israeli military. You cannot fight a war on seven fronts when your tanks are out of gas and your grid is offline. This was a direct response
4:454 minutes, 45 secondsto the regime's constant threats to target Iran's oil infrastructure. They started this economic warfare and the Islamic Republic has finished it. The
4:534 minutes, 53 secondsripple effects of this strike are being felt at gas pumps in New York, London,
4:584 minutes, 58 secondsand Tokyo. Global oil markets are in a state of sheer panic. Even Western outlets are quietly admitting that Brent
5:055 minutes, 5 secondscrude has breached historic thresholds not seen in years. The simple truth is that when Iran demonstrates its power to dismantle energy infrastructure, the
5:135 minutes, 13 secondsworld's speculative markets react with terror. Tanker owners are now refusing to sail into the Persian Gulf. Insurance premiums have skyrocketed and the United
5:225 minutes, 22 secondsStates is facing an energy crisis that goes straight to the heart of its economy. The American people, who are already struggling with the cost of
5:305 minutes, 30 secondsliving, are now being dragged closer to the brink of a regional war because of their government's blind support for Netanyahu. The risk premium on oil has
5:405 minutes, 40 secondsexploded because the world now realizes that the security of the Persian Gulf is guaranteed by Iran, not by the United
5:485 minutes, 48 secondsStates Navy. Some breaking news now just coming out of Israel where it's being reported that rockets have fallen in
5:555 minutes, 55 secondsseveral areas in the center of the country. Let's go straight over to NA.
6:006 minutesShe joins us from Ramla in the occupied West Bank. And N what are we hearing about the impact of those fallen rockets?
6:116 minutes, 11 secondsWell, we're not hearing uh Sammy because the military sensor in Israel has not cleared information for publication yet.
6:186 minutes, 18 secondsWhat we can tell you though is that eyewitnesses are talking about plumes of smoke. They're talking about several areas of impact. Now, the areas that
6:276 minutes, 27 secondshave been targeted, we keep targeted, we keep telling our viewers, the center of Israel. Let's explain what does that
6:346 minutes, 34 secondsmean. It means that the the area that is being targeted is where about 44% of the Israeli population lives. This is where
6:426 minutes, 42 secondsthe Benorian airport is. It is where several air bases and military bases are. The ministry of defense, the uh
6:516 minutes, 51 secondsMossad, our headquarters. This is a very strategic area for Israel. Targeting that area, keeping all those millions of
6:596 minutes, 59 secondspeople in the shelters is extremely disruptive. And this is what we heard for example uh from the mayor of Hifa
7:087 minutes, 8 secondssaying that he will not ease restrictions that he will not allow schools to come back uh to uh to to
7:157 minutes, 15 secondsresume uh uh activity because it was simply too risky. The uh alarms are and the sirens are going off almost non-stop
7:247 minutes, 24 secondsin Hifa and northern communities from rocket fire coming from Lebanon and and this is something that Israelis are
7:317 minutes, 31 secondsincreasingly frustrated with. There is no early war warning uh to them. They have very few uh seconds um no le no
7:407 minutes, 40 secondsmore than a minute to get to the shelter. They they cannot possibly uh think about and plan about going to
7:477 minutes, 47 secondswork, sending kids to school, picking them up from school and so on. But throughout this war, Sammy, we have to say I've never seen anything like it.
7:567 minutes, 56 secondsThe military sensor has been adamant. It has imposed basically a blackout on where these missiles and rockets are
8:048 minutes, 4 secondsfalling. How many have been fired at Israel from Iran or Hezbollah? The information being tightly controlled. In
8:128 minutes, 12 secondsfact, even uh having authorities arrest journalists who uh were deemed to have said too much on the air. But perhaps
8:208 minutes, 20 secondsthe most satisfying part of this entire operation is watching the psychological collapse of Benjamin Netanyahu and his
8:278 minutes, 27 secondswar cabinet. For months, the Israeli propaganda machine has been lying through its teeth, claiming that Iran's
8:358 minutes, 35 secondsoffensive capabilities have been decimated. They told their settlers that the air force had destroyed Iran's missile stockpiles and that the Islamic
8:438 minutes, 43 secondsRepublic was on the back foot. Yet, here we are in the 34th wave of strikes, and the Iranian armed forces are hitting
8:508 minutes, 50 secondsstrategic targets at will, using heavy missiles that the IDF swore didn't exist. The fear in Netanyahu's cabinet
8:578 minutes, 57 secondsis palpable. According to sources on the ground, the censorship in Israeli media is tighter than ever before. They held
9:059 minutes, 5 secondsoff reporting on the Hifa refinery strike for over 12 hours, even though Al Jazer was broadcasting the flames live.
9:129 minutes, 12 secondsThey are terrified of the truth. They are terrified that their population will realize that the regime has no answer for the Arash. The political situation
9:219 minutes, 21 secondsinside the occupied territories is now a pressure cooker ready to blow. While Netanyahu is begging Washington to somehow pressure Iran into a ceasefire,
9:319 minutes, 31 secondsan off-ramp as they call it, the streets of Tel Aviv are exploding in protest. We are seeing massive demonstrations not
9:389 minutes, 38 secondsjust by Arabs but by Zionist settlers themselves who are demanding this war end immediately. They are scared.
9:469 minutes, 46 secondsReports indicate a mass exodus of settlers trying to leave the country.
9:509 minutes, 50 secondsSomething we haven't witnessed since the early days of the Alaka flood. And why wouldn't they run? Their power is out.
9:579 minutes, 57 secondsTheir fuel is burning. And their economy is grinding to a halt. Netanyahu is caught between the far-right extremists
10:0410 minutes, 4 secondsin his cabinet like Bengir and Smotish who want to keep fighting and a public that knows the iron wall of Israeli
10:1110 minutes, 11 secondssecurity has been shattered. He is hitting a hard wall in Iran and he has no way out. And this brings us to a
10:1910 minutes, 19 secondsshift in the American consciousness that is perhaps the most dangerous development yet for the Israel lobby.
10:2610 minutes, 26 secondsFor the first time, the average American is waking up and asking a dangerous question. Why is my son dying for
10:3310 minutes, 33 secondsIsrael? We saw a moment that went viral recently that encapsulates this perfectly. A United States Marine, a
10:4010 minutes, 40 secondsfrontline fighter, approached a candidate for Florida governor, a Republican candidate named James Fishbach, and asked him to write a
10:4810 minutes, 48 secondsmessage on his helmet. The candidate wrote, "No American should die for Israel. Think about that. This is a Republican, a demographic traditionally
10:5710 minutes, 57 secondsbranded as the most pro-Israel block in America. And the message coming from the troops is that they don't want to be cannon fodder for Netanyahu's wars.
11:0611 minutes, 6 secondsSo Dante is a Marine Corps reservist. Dante, thank you for your service.
11:1111 minutes, 11 secondsYeah. He asked me to sign his Kevlar helmet. And I said, "What I'm going to sign on this helmet, the Department of
11:1811 minutes, 18 secondsWar, the Pentagon, the the bureaucrats may not like, but every American would agree with, no matter your political
11:2511 minutes, 25 secondsaffiliation." And what I wrote on his helmet is this. No American should die for Israel.
11:3411 minutes, 34 secondsThis incident, which the corporate media tried to bury or spin, speaks to a massive tectonic shift in public
11:4211 minutes, 42 secondsopinion. Americans are tired. They are tired of their tax dollars being shipped overseas to bomb innocent people while
11:4911 minutes, 49 secondstheir own infrastructure crumbles at home. This Marine understands that a war with Iran is not a war for American
11:5611 minutes, 56 secondsfreedom. It is a war for Israeli expansion. The fact that this is coming from within the ranks of the military is
12:0312 minutes, 3 secondsa sign that the special relationship is on life support. The regime in Tel Aviv has burned through its political
12:1012 minutes, 10 secondscapital. They have exposed the United States as a paper tiger and the American people are finally realizing they have been used. As the sun rises on a blacked
12:2012 minutes, 20 secondsout Hifa, the world looks very different than it did just a week ago. The Iranian armed forces have proven that no place
12:2712 minutes, 27 secondsis safe for the aggressors. The oil facilities are still burning, the power plants are offline, and the Israeli
12:3412 minutes, 34 secondseconomy is seizing up. We are watching the beginning of the end for the strategy of USIsraeli dominance in the region. The Arash drones have rewritten
12:4312 minutes, 43 secondsthe rules of engagement. The Islamic Republic has shown that it will defend its sovereignty and its allies with full force regardless of the threats made by
12:5212 minutes, 52 secondsthe Trump administration or the desperation of Netanyahu. Subscribe to stay tuned to this channel as we follow the developments in the 35th wave of
12:5912 minutes, 59 secondsstrikes. We will continue to bring you the news that the sensors don't want you to see. Remember, this is a war of narratives as much as it is a war of
13:0813 minutes, 8 secondsmissiles, and we are here to ensure the truth of the resistance is heard. The flames over Hifa are a light guiding the
13:1413 minutes, 14 secondsoppressed, showing them that victory is always possible against a crumbling, desperate enemy.

[admin]

Part 1 of 2

MBS’s Hidden Call to Beijing: The Secret Pact That Just Replaced the US Navy
Money Lines Exposed
Mar 9, 2026 #saudiarabia #mbs #chinasaudiarabia

Saudi Arabia and China have been quietly deepening their strategic partnership in ways that are fundamentally altering the security architecture of the Middle East. Under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh appears to be making a calculated pivot — one that directly challenges decades of American naval dominance in the Persian Gulf.

Behind closed doors, Saudi and Chinese officials have been negotiating agreements that go far beyond trade and oil. From joint naval exercises to port access deals and advanced surveillance technology transfers, the contours of a new security relationship are beginning to emerge — and Washington is watching closely.

These moves come at a critical moment, as U.S. credibility in the region faces growing scrutiny and China positions itself as a reliable, no-strings-attached alternative to Western alliances. For Riyadh, the calculation is simple: in a multipolar world, strategic independence requires multiple powerful friends.

In this video, we examine the details of this emerging Saudi-China security pact, what it means for U.S. naval power in the Gulf, and how this secret realignment could permanently redraw the lines of influence across the Middle East.



Transcript

0:00While you were sleeping, the most powerful crown prince in the Arab world picked up a phone not to call Washington, not to call London, not to call the man in the White House who had
0:088 secondsjust launched the biggest American military campaign in the Middle East. In over two decades, he called Beijing. And what was agreed in that conversation has
0:1515 secondsjust rewritten the security architecture of an entire region. The United States Navy has patrolled these waters for 80 years. Eight decades of aircraft carrier
0:2424 secondsstrike groups, guided missile destroyers, nuclear submarines, and the most sophisticated fighter jets ever built, keeping the peace in the Persian
0:3131 secondsGulf. And in one quiet private conversation, between a crown prince and the world's rising superpower, all of that was made strategically irrelevant.
0:4040 secondsThis is not a story about missiles or air strikes. This is the story of how America lost the Gulf without firing a single shot at the country that replaced
0:4747 secondsit. Stay with me until the very end of this video because the final piece of this story, the detail that intelligence analysts in Washington, London, and Tel
0:5656 secondsAviv are still trying to process will fundamentally change how you see everything that is happening in the world right now. Let us start from the
1:031 minute, 3 secondsbeginning, not the beginning of this war, the beginning of the shift that made this entire moment possible. Because nothing that is happening today,
1:111 minute, 11 secondsthe burning oil infrastructure, the closed straight, the stranded tankers,
1:141 minute, 14 secondsthe spiking fuel prices at pumps across the world, none of it makes sense unless you understand the decadel long process that brought us here. For 80 years,
1:231 minute, 23 secondsthere was an arrangement. It was never written down. It was never voted on by any parliament or ratified by any Senate. But it was as real and as
1:301 minute, 30 secondsbinding as any formal treaty in the history of international relations. The arrangement was simple. The United States would guarantee the security of the Gulf Kingdoms. America would station
1:391 minute, 39 secondsits naval forces at the fifth fleet headquarters in Bahrain. It would base its air assets at Aluide in Qatar, the largest American air base in the entire
1:461 minute, 46 secondsMiddle East. It would place troops and equipment in Kuwait, in the UAE, in Saudi Arabia itself. It would park carrier strike groups in the Persian
1:531 minute, 53 secondsGulf and respond to any threat from Iran, from Iraq, from anywhere with the full overwhelming weight of American military power. In exchange, the Gulf
2:012 minutes, 1 secondKingdoms would price their most valuable commodity, the oil that powered the global economy, in United States dollars, not in euros, not in UN, not in
2:092 minutes, 9 secondsany other currency, in dollars. This arrangement, known as the petrod dollar system, was the financial foundation of American global power. Every country on
2:182 minutes, 18 secondsearth that needed oil had to first acquire US dollars to buy it, which meant demand for the dollar was perpetual and structural. And the US military kept the whole system safe.
2:262 minutes, 26 secondsThat was the deal. For 80 years, it worked. But arrangements only function when both sides believe in them. When both sides trust that the other will deliver. And somewhere in the decade
2:352 minutes, 35 secondsthat stretched from roughly 2015 to 2025, one side of that arrangement stopped believing. To understand why,
2:422 minutes, 42 secondsyou have to understand one man, Muhammad bin Salman, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia. The man who is for all practical purposes already the king of the most
2:502 minutes, 50 secondsimportant oil producing kingdom on earth. NBS is not simply a royal successor. He is a strategist. He's a man who watches, who calculates, and who
2:582 minutes, 58 secondsacts with a cold, precise clarity about where power actually lies versus where it merely appears to lie. And over that decade, NBS watched a series of events
3:073 minutes, 7 secondsthat told him one by one that American power in the Gulf was becoming selective, conditional, available when it suited Washington's interests, but
3:153 minutes, 15 secondsnot necessarily available when Riad's interests required it. The first signal came in 2015. Barack Obama signed the Iran nuclear deal. From the perspective
3:233 minutes, 23 secondsof Saudi Arabia, which views Iran as its primary regional rival and existential threat, this was Washington legitimizing Thran, rewarding Iran, treating the
3:323 minutes, 32 secondsIslamic Republic as a negotiating partner rather than a threat to be contained. The Saudis were not consulted in any serious way. The deal happened to
3:403 minutes, 40 secondsthem, not with them, and the message embedded in that event was uncomfortable for Riad. American strategic priorities and Saudi strategic priorities were not
3:483 minutes, 48 secondsthe same thing. The second signal was louder. In September 2019, a swarm of drones and cruise missiles struck the Abkai oil processing facility in Saudi
3:563 minutes, 56 secondsArabia. Abkai is not simply an oil facility. It processes roughly 5 to 7% of the entire world's daily oil supply.
4:044 minutes, 4 secondsIt is the single most economically critical piece of energy infrastructure on the planet. In one night, the attack cut Saudi production in half. Oil prices
4:114 minutes, 11 secondsspiked overnight. The global economy shuttered and the United States did nothing. Washington issued statements.
4:174 minutes, 17 secondsWashington sent a few additional Patriot missile batteries. Washington pointed fingers at Iran, but there was no military response, no retaliation, no
4:254 minutes, 25 secondsconsequence for Tan. Nothing. Absolutely nothing. MBS looked at that response, or rather that absence of a response. And he understood something that no American
4:344 minutes, 34 secondsofficial would publicly admit. The US security guarantee had a threshold.
4:384 minutes, 38 secondsBelow that threshold, you were on your own. And the threshold was higher than Saudi Arabia had been led to believe.
4:434 minutes, 43 secondsThose two events alone would have been enough to prompt a strategic reassessment. But they were not alone.
4:484 minutes, 48 secondsThey were part of a pattern. The American pivot toward Asia, the withdrawal from Afghanistan, the rhetorical pivot away from the Middle East across three consecutive
4:564 minutes, 56 secondsadministrations. That the United States was looking eastward toward China,
5:015 minutes, 1 secondtoward the Indoacific, toward the great power competition of the 21st century.
5:055 minutes, 5 secondsAnd NBS sitting in Riyad watching all of this drew the logical conclusion. If America is pivoting away, and if the security guarantee has conditions I
5:145 minutes, 14 secondscannot fully predict, then I need an insurance policy. I need a backup. I need a relationship with another major power that has its own reasons to keep
5:215 minutes, 21 secondsSaudi Arabia stable and prosperous. And there was only one candidate for that role, China. Now, here is where the story becomes genuinely extraordinary.
5:295 minutes, 29 secondsBecause the relationship between Saudi Arabia and China did not begin as a military one. It grew from an economic one and it grew slowly, carefully, and with extraordinary strategic patience.
5:405 minutes, 40 secondsChina is Saudi Arabia's single largest customer for crude oil. Every year,
5:445 minutes, 44 secondsChina buys more Saudi oil than any other country on Earth. Chinese refineries are built specifically to process Saudi crude. Saudi Aramco has invested
5:525 minutes, 52 secondsbillions of dollars in Chinese refinery projects to lock in that customer relationship for decades. The flow of Saudi oil to Chinese factories is not a
6:006 minutestransaction. It is a structural dependency that links the economic survival of the world's largest manufacturer to the energy reserves of the world's largest oil producer. These
6:096 minutes, 9 secondstwo countries do not just trade with each other. They need each other in a deep daily irreplaceable way. When economic relationships reach that scale,
6:176 minutes, 17 secondsthey begin to generate their own gravity. They pull political relationships in their direction. And political relationships, when the circumstances are right and the
6:246 minutes, 24 secondsinterests are aligned, evolve into security relationships. That is precisely what happened between Riyad and Beijing over the decade that
6:316 minutes, 31 secondsfollowed Abkaik. The weapons deals came first and they began earlier than most people realize. In 2017, China and Saudi
6:386 minutes, 38 secondsArabia signed what was at that time China's largest arms export deal in history. Saudi Arabia ordered WingLoom 2 combat drones from China. These were not
6:466 minutes, 46 secondstraining aircraft or surveillance platforms. They were armed, medium altitude, a long endurance, unmanned combat systems with precision strike capability, weapons of war that could be
6:556 minutes, 55 secondsdeployed, operated, and maintained entirely outside the American supply chain. No American spare parts, no American technicians, no American
7:037 minutes, 3 secondsability to condition their sale on Saudi behavior. The deal sent a message that almost nobody in Western media bothered to read carefully at the time. But that
7:117 minutes, 11 secondswas only the beginning. Saudi Arabia was also quietly working on Chinese supplied ballistic missiles. The DF-21 class systems, long range, road mobile and
7:207 minutes, 20 secondscapable of striking targets across a wide regional radius. Then came joint military exercises between Saudi and Chinese naval forces. Then Chinese naval
7:297 minutes, 29 secondsvessels visiting the port of Jedha. Then a research and development center established in Saudi Arabia by China Electronics Technology Group focused on
7:367 minutes, 36 secondsdrone systems, communications, and flight control technology. Then the Huawei 5G infrastructure contracts signed despite repeated and direct
7:447 minutes, 44 secondsAmerican objections. Then the formal comprehensive strategic partnership announced in December 2022 when Cinping visited Riyad in person and was treated
7:537 minutes, 53 secondsto a state reception that Saudi Arabia had never offered an American president.
7:567 minutes, 56 secondsThe language Beijing used to describe that partnership was precise [clears throat] and deliberate, an epochmaking milestone in the history of China Arab relations. Beijing does not
8:058 minutes, 5 secondsuse language like that casually. And then in March 2023, the event that truly announced China's arrival as the Gulf's alternate power. China brokered a
8:148 minutes, 14 secondsnormalization deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Two countries that had spent years as regional adversaries whose rivalry had fueled proxy conflicts from
8:218 minutes, 21 secondsYemen to Syria to Lebanon to Iraq, whose diplomats had not spoken directly in years, sat down in Beijing and shook hands. The deal was negotiated entirely
8:308 minutes, 30 secondswithout American involvement. Washington was not consulted. Washington was not informed in advance. American diplomats found out from the news like everyone
8:388 minutes, 38 secondselse. From Beijing's perspective, this was a declaration, not a hostile one,
8:438 minutes, 43 secondsnot a military one, but unmistakably a declaration of strategic capability.
8:488 minutes, 48 secondsChina was telling the Gulf and telling Washington that it could deliver things that America could not or would not. It could bring enemies to the table. It
8:568 minutes, 56 secondscould create stability without demanding anything in return. It could be the power that the region called when it needed results rather than lectures. Now
9:039 minutes, 3 secondshold that picture in your mind because everything we have just described, the drone deals, the missile systems, the diplomatic breakthrough, the 5G
9:109 minutes, 10 secondsinfrastructure, the formal strategic partnership, all of it is the background. All of it is the foundation.
9:169 minutes, 16 secondsWhat happened this week in the middle of an active regional war is something categorically different. Something that elevates this entire relationship to a
9:239 minutes, 23 secondslevel that American strategists will be analyzing, debating, and losing sleep over for years. Saudi Arabia has signed a $5 billion agreement with China's
9:329 minutes, 32 secondsAviation Industry Corporation known as AIC and Saudi Arabia's General Authority for Military Industries to establish a WingLong 3 unmanned combat aerial
9:419 minutes, 41 secondsvehicle assembly line in the city of Jedha. Read that sentence again slowly.
9:459 minutes, 45 secondsThis is not a purchase. Saudi Arabia is not buying Chinese drones the way you buy a car. It is building a factory, a weapons factory in its own territory
9:539 minutes, 53 secondsusing Chinese technology, Chinese designs, Chinese avionics, and Chinese production infrastructure. The facility will manufacture approximately 48
10:0110 minutes, 1 secondadvanced longrange unmanned combat drones per year. The contract includes full technology transfer covering flight control systems and avionics
10:0810 minutes, 8 secondsintegration. Saudi engineers and pilots will be trained using digital twin virtual simulation systems. A regional logistics hub in Riyad will stock over
10:1710 minutes, 17 seconds2,000 spare parts with 48 hour deployment capability across all Gulf Cooperation Council member states. Let us talk about the WingLoom 3 itself
10:2510 minutes, 25 secondsbecause the capabilities of this platform explain why this deal is so significant. The Winglong 3 is a medium altitude long endurance combat drone
10:3210 minutes, 32 secondswith a range of 10,000 km. It can remain airborne for 40 continuous hours. Its payload capacity is 2,300 kg, allowing
10:4010 minutes, 40 secondsit to carry a combination of precision weapons, electronic warfare systems, and sensor packages simultaneously. Its intelligent target recognition system
10:4710 minutes, 47 secondscan lock onto a target in zero 3 seconds. Its anti-jamming capability has been improved by 40% compared to earlier models. This is not an experimental platform. It is not a proof of concept.
10:5810 minutes, 58 secondsIt has been proven in over 200 combat sorties including operations during the 2025 IndiaPakistan conflict where wing loom 3 aircraft destroyed multiple radar
11:0711 minutes, 7 secondsstations and armored vehicles in minutes. Saudi officials selected this specific platform after conducting detailed operational tests with over 200 aircraft in simulated combat exercises.
11:1811 minutes, 18 secondsThey knew exactly what they were buying and what they were building. But here is the strategic dimension of this deal that goes beyond any single weapon system. When a country builds its
11:2711 minutes, 27 secondsmilitary infrastructure with another country's technology embedded at the core, the relationship between those two countries changes permanently. Saudi Arabia is not just acquiring Chinese
11:3511 minutes, 35 secondsdrones. It is creating a structural long-term dependency on Chinese military technology that will shape Riyad's foreign policy for decades. It is
11:4311 minutes, 43 secondscreating thousands of Saudi engineers and military officers whose entire professional expertise, their technical knowledge, their career advancement,
11:5011 minutes, 50 secondstheir institutional identity is built on Chinese platforms. It is creating a situation where when a crisis arrives,
11:5611 minutes, 56 secondswhen a conflict erupts, when Saudi Arabia needs technical support,
12:0012 minutesintelligence integration, spare parts or operational guidance, the first call goes to Beijing. Not Washington,
12:0612 minutes, 6 secondsBeijing. And the intelligence implications alone are staggering. Saudi Arabia simultaneously operates American F-15 fighter jets, Patriot missile
12:1512 minutes, 15 secondsdefense batteries, Awax surveillance aircraft, and a broad array of American military platforms purchased over decades of the US Saudi defense
12:2212 minutes, 22 secondsrelationship. If Chinese technicians are now embedded in Saudi Arabia's defense industrial infrastructure, if Chinese avionics are being integrated into Saudi
12:3012 minutes, 30 secondsmilitary networks, if Chinese satellite communication systems are operating alongside American ones, then Beijing gains a passive structural window into
12:3812 minutes, 38 secondsAmerican military systems and capabilities that no espionage operation could replicate. This is not a conspiracy theory. This is basic counter
12:4612 minutes, 46 secondsintelligence analysis, and it is something American officials have been warning about in classified briefings for years now. While all of this was
12:5312 minutes, 53 secondshappening in the background, on the 28th of February, 2026, the world changed.
12:5812 minutes, 58 secondsMidm morning on February 28th, the United States Central Command in Israel launched a massive coordinated military campaign against Iran. The operation was
13:0513 minutes, 5 secondscenamed Operation Epic Fury by the United States and Operation Roaring Lion by Israel. In just the first 12 hours, nearly 900 strikes were conducted,
13:1413 minutes, 14 secondstargeting Iranian missiles and air defenses, military infrastructure, naval assets, and Iranian leadership. The stated objectives were clear and
13:2213 minutes, 22 secondsunambiguous. Destroy Iran's ballistic missile infrastructure, destroy the remnants of its nuclear program,
13:2813 minutes, 28 secondseliminate IRGC leadership, and induce regime change. The timing of the initial wave, according to US and Israeli officials, was partly determined by the
13:3613 minutes, 36 secondsability to target Supreme Leader Ali Kam before he could go into hiding. The intelligence window was open. The decision was made to use it. In the first wave of strikes on February 28th,
13:4713 minutes, 47 secondsKam was killed in his compound in the heart of Tran. Dozens of other top Iranian officials were killed alongside him. The FAR news agency controlled by
13:5513 minutes, 55 secondsthe IRGC subsequently confirmed that Kamay's daughter, his son-in-law, his grandchild, and his daughter-in-law had all been killed in the same strikes. The
14:0314 minutes, 3 secondsman who had ruled the Islamic Republic of Iran with absolute authority for over three decades. The figure around whom the entire Iranian power structure was
14:1114 minutes, 11 secondsorganized, was gone. It is worth pausing for just a moment to understand the full significance of that. Iran's political system is designed around the concept of
14:1914 minutes, 19 secondsthe supreme leader. Not just as a political position, but as a theological one. The supreme leader is not simply a head of state. He is the representative
14:2714 minutes, 27 secondsof the hidden imam, the religious legitimation for the entire Islamic Republic. Killing kami was not like killing a president or a prime minister.
14:3614 minutes, 36 secondsIt was more like from the Iranian systems perspective decapitating the very concept of the state itself. Iran's constitution calls for an interim
14:4414 minutes, 44 secondsleadership council to take over until a new supreme leader can be selected. That council was established on March 1st. But just hours after its formation,
14:5214 minutes, 52 secondsIran's foreign minister, said publicly that nobody knew who the next Supreme Leader would be. The Assembly of Experts, the body responsible for selecting the new leader, had its
15:0015 minutesmeeting place destroyed by Israeli strikes. on March 3rd. On March 8th,
15:0515 minutes, 5 secondsMustava Kimemeni, the son of the slain Supreme Leader, was elected to replace his father, a dynastic succession in a republic that explicitly prohibits
15:1215 minutes, 12 secondsdynasticism. The irony was not lost on anyone watching. Iran's response was designated Operation True Promise 4. And
15:2015 minutes, 20 secondsit was immediate, massive, and deliberately targeted not just at the countries that attacked it, but at every country in the region that housed American military forces, which meant
15:2815 minutes, 28 secondsalmost everyone. Within hours of the opening strikes, Iran launched waves of ballistic missiles and armed drones targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan,
15:3815 minutes, 38 secondsAzerbaijan, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. By March 5th, according to a military source speaking to the FARS news agency,
15:4515 minutes, 45 secondsIran had fired over 500 ballistic and naval missiles and nearly 2,000 drones since February 28th. Approximately 40%
15:5315 minutes, 53 secondsof those launches were directed at Israel. Approximately 60% were directed at US military targets across the region. The strategic logic behind
16:0116 minutes, 1 secondhitting the Gulf States was as deliberate as it was devastating. Iran was not striking randomly. It was implementing a doctrine it had
16:0916 minutes, 9 secondscommunicated clearly for years. That any country hosting American military forces that are used to attack Iran will be treated as a co-elligerent. From Tran's perspective, the fifth fleet in Bahrain,
16:1916 minutes, 19 secondsthe air assets at Aluade and Qatar, the logistics infrastructure in Kuwait and the UAE, these were all components of the same military machine that had just
16:2816 minutes, 28 secondskilled its Supreme Leader. The Gulf States had not fired a single shot, but their territory had been used. And in Iran's doctrine, that made their
16:3516 minutes, 35 secondsterritory legitimate targets. The IRGC said so explicitly. All US assets throughout the region are considered legitimate targets. This operation will
16:4316 minutes, 43 secondscontinue relentlessly until the enemy is decisively defeated. That statement was not bluster. It was operational guidance followed by action. The Gulf Kingdoms,
16:5216 minutes, 52 secondsdespite everything they had done to avoid becoming a battleground, had become a battleground. The US Navy's fifth fleet headquarters in Bahrain's Jaffair district was struck multiple
17:0017 minutestimes by Iranian missiles. Dubai International Airport, one of the busiest and most economically vital airports on the entire planet, was
17:0817 minutes, 8 secondsdamaged by drone strikes, temporarily halting all flights and reopening only at limited capacity days later. Kuwait's
17:1517 minutes, 15 secondsUS embassy was hit by an Iranian missile strike, prompting Secretary of State Rubio to close the embassy until further notice. A Kuwaiti F18 shot down three
17:2417 minutes, 24 secondsAmerican F-15Es in a friendly fire incident with all six crew members surviving. Qatar's energy infrastructure was targeted by Iranian drones. The IRGC
17:3217 minutes, 32 secondsstatement was brief and direct. All US assets throughout the region are considered legitimate targets. This operation will continue relentlessly until the enemy is decisively defeated.
17:4217 minutes, 42 secondsAnd then on March 2nd, an IRGC commander transmitted a message directly to the International Maritime Distress Frequency, the channel that every ship
17:5017 minutes, 50 secondsin the region monitors continuously. The message said, "The Straight of Hormuz was closed. Any vessel attempting to pass would be set ablaze." According to
17:5717 minutes, 57 secondsCormarmac McGary, the director of maritime intelligence at Control Risks,
18:0118 minutes, 1 secondevery ship in the area heard that message simultaneously, and that was enough. Not a single additional action was required. The threat alone was sufficient to effectively shut down the world's most important energy corridor.
18:1118 minutes, 11 secondsNow, we need to talk about the straight of Hormuz in detail because everything that has happened in global markets over the past week is a direct consequence of
18:1918 minutes, 19 secondsthis single geographic reality. And you cannot understand the true stakes of this crisis without understanding the numbers. The straight of Hormuz is the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman,
18:2818 minutes, 28 secondsconnecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and the open ocean beyond. At its narrowest point, it is 33 km wide.
18:3618 minutes, 36 secondsThe actual shipping lanes are far narrower. There are two lanes of approximately 3 km each, one for inbound traffic and one for outbound. Through those combined 6 km of navigable water,
18:4718 minutes, 47 secondsapproximately 20 million barrels of oil pass every single day. According to the US Energy Information Administration,
18:5318 minutes, 53 secondsthis represents roughly 20% of total global petroleum liquids consumption and more than 27% of global seaborn oil trade. Through this same channel passes
19:0119 minutes, 1 secondapproximately 20% of the world's entire liqufied natural gas supply, almost all of it from Qatar. China, India, Japan,
19:0919 minutes, 9 secondsand South Korea, the four largest oil importing economies in Asia,
19:1219 minutes, 12 secondscollectively account for 69% of all crude oil and condensate flows through the strait. Japan obtains the vast majority of its crude from Gulf producers. South Korea does the same.
19:2219 minutes, 22 secondsThese are not marginal dependencies.
19:2319 minutes, 23 secondsThese are fundamental existential dependencies. When the IRGC declared the straight closed and the maritime insurance market responded, the
19:3119 minutes, 31 secondsconsequences materialized in hours, not days. UK maritime trade operations issued emergency warnings. MK, the world's largest shipping company,
19:4019 minutes, 40 secondsannounced it was pausing all vessel crossings through the straight until further notice, rerouting its ships via the Cape of Good Hope, a journey that adds weeks to transit times and billions
19:4819 minutes, 48 secondsto shipping costs. Protection and indemnity insurance, the essential coverage without which no ship owner or charter can legally operate a commercial
19:5619 minutes, 56 secondsvessel in a conflict zone, was withdrawn entirely for the Strait of Hormuz.
20:0020 minutesWithout that insurance, it is commercially and legally impossible to send a ship through. The result was that the strait did not need to be physically blocked. Iran did not need to mine the
20:0920 minutes, 9 secondschannel or position warships across the lanes. The threat alone, combined with the attack on five tankers and the killing of two maritime personnel, was
20:1720 minutes, 17 secondssufficient to create a de facto closure for virtually all commercial shipping. Vessel tracking service.
20:2320 minutes, 23 secondsCapler confirmed that limited traffic continued through the straight,
20:2620 minutes, 26 secondsprimarily ships flying Iranian and Chinese flags. Everyone else stopped.
20:3120 minutes, 31 seconds150 tankers anchored in open waters outside the straight and waited.

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Part 2 of 2

The world's oil supply, Saudi Arabia, Iraq,
20:3720 minutes, 37 secondsthe UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, all of it was trapped. The oil existed. The tankers existed. The refinery demand existed,
20:4520 minutes, 45 secondsbut the doorway was shut. The market reaction was the most violent energy price movement in modern history. Global oil prices surged more than 25% from the
20:5320 minutes, 53 secondsstart of the war, pushing the national average gasoline price in the United States to $3 41 per gallon by March 8th,
21:0021 minutesa jump of 43 cents in a single week.
21:0321 minutes, 3 secondsBrent crude futures reached as high as $83 per barrel in the first days with Goldman Sachs Research calculating that
21:1121 minutes, 11 secondstraders were demanding approximately $14 more per barrel than before the conflict simply to compensate for the risk premium. An estimate Goldman said
21:1821 minutes, 18 secondsroughly corresponded to a full four-week halt in straight of Hormuz flows. In a full closure scenario without any offsets from spare pipeline capacity or
21:2621 minutes, 26 secondsstrategic reserve releases, Goldman estimated prices could rise $15 per barrel on top of the pre-war baseline.
21:3321 minutes, 33 secondsJP Morgan analysts warned that if the straight remained effectively closed,
21:3621 minutes, 36 secondsproduction cuts could exceed 4 million barrels per day. The Simpson Center calculated that a serious hormuse disruption could remove 8 million to 10
21:4421 minutes, 44 secondsmillion barrels per day from world supply, even accounting for partial rerouting through Saudi Arabia's East West pipeline and Abu Dhabi's export routes. European natural gas futures
21:5321 minutes, 53 secondsjumped approximately 30% following the attacks on Qatar's infrastructure and Qatar Energy's announcement that it was halting production at its two main
22:0022 minutesfacilities, the Roslafen industrial city and the Messed Industrial City. These are not peripheral facilities. Ross
22:0722 minutes, 7 secondsLaughen is the single most important LG export terminal on Earth. Its closure does not merely disrupt gas supplies for European homes. It disrupts the feed stock for nitrogen-based fertilizers,
22:1722 minutes, 17 secondswhich means it threatens global food production. Daily freight rates for LG tankers jumped more than 40% in a single Monday. South Korea, which imports 20%
22:2622 minutes, 26 secondsof its gas from the region, announced that it could run out of LG in 9 days.
22:3022 minutes, 30 secondsThe South Korean president created a hundred trillion11 approximately $68 billion or emergency stabilization fund
22:3722 minutes, 37 secondsto cope with the energy crisis. European natural gas futures which had been trading at around $31 per MW before the
22:4522 minutes, 45 secondswar were projected by Goldman Sachs to potentially exceed $100 per MW if LG flows through the straight were fully halted for more than 2 months. And
22:5322 minutes, 53 secondshere's the number that captures the full scale of what has happened. A nearly complete shutdown of the strait means the region's top producers, Saudi
23:0123 minutes, 1 secondArabia, the UAE, Iraq, and Kuwait, have had to suspend shipments of as much as 140 million barrels of oil, equal to
23:0823 minutes, 8 secondsapproximately one 4 days of total global demand to refineries around the world.
23:1323 minutes, 13 secondsThat is not a disruption. That is a suspension of the global energy supply system. The world has never seen a disruption of this scale in the modern
23:2023 minutes, 20 secondsera of global energy markets. Let us put that in human terms because abstract numbers about barrels per day do not capture what this actually means for the
23:2823 minutes, 28 secondspeople watching this video. When oil prices rise 25% in a week, gasoline prices rise at every pump in every country on Earth that buys crude on
23:3623 minutes, 36 secondsglobal markets. The United States saw its national average gasoline price hit $3, 41 per gallon by March 8th, up 43
23:4423 minutes, 44 secondscents in a single week. In Europe, where gasoline taxes are higher and the currency exposure is different, the pain is even sharper. In emerging market economies, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh,
23:5423 minutes, 54 secondsNigeria, Egypt, countries where fuel costs represent a far larger share of household income than they do in wealthy nations. The impact is not inconvenient.
24:0224 minutes, 2 secondsIt is devastating. India imports approximately 70% of its crude oil and depends heavily on Gulf suppliers. Every dollar rise in the oil price costs India
24:1124 minutes, 11 secondsbillions in additional import expenses and puts pressure on the rupee.
24:1424 minutes, 14 secondsSimultaneously, Egypt, which was already managing a fragile economic recovery,
24:1924 minutes, 19 secondsfaces higher import costs for fuel and food simultaneously since fertilizer prices are rising in tandem with LNG disruptions. The shipping disruption
24:2724 minutes, 27 secondscompounds all of this. About 10% of the world's container ships are currently caught in the broader backlogs created by the straight closure and the general conflict zone warnings across the Gulf
24:3524 minutes, 35 secondsregion, the Red Sea, and the Arabian Sea. Cargo is starting to pile up at ports and trans shipment hubs across Europe and Asia. More than 80% of global
24:4424 minutes, 44 secondstrade moves by sea. When the sea lanes through the most important region in global trade are compromised, delivery times lengthen, inventory costs rise,
24:5224 minutes, 52 secondsjust in time supply chains break down,
24:5424 minutes, 54 secondsand businesses everywhere absorb higher costs that ultimately get passed on to consumers. The Simpson Center analysts put it clearly. The conflict can raise
25:0125 minutes, 1 secondcosts through more than one channel at once because the Gulf is not only where oil comes from. It is also the world's most important aviation and logistics
25:0925 minutes, 9 secondsbridge between Europe and Asia. That bridge is currently on fire. Italy's intelligence services have warned that if the instability spreads into the
25:1625 minutes, 16 secondsbroader eastern Mediterranean, the effects on energy markets and supply security across Mediterranean countries and Europe as a whole could be systemic,
25:2325 minutes, 23 secondsparticularly if Iran's allied Houthy movement in Yemen resumes its Red Sea shipping attacks in solidarity with Tran. Djibouti's finance minister issued
25:3125 minutes, 31 secondsa public warning that the fighting would bring severe economic consequences for developing countries. small states dependent on maritime trade, his
25:3825 minutes, 38 secondsstatement read, risk being pulled into deeper economic uncertainty as external shocks ripple across the region. These are not wealthy countries with strategic
25:4625 minutes, 46 secondspetroleum reserves and sovereign wealth funds to absorb the shock. These are countries living paycheck to paycheck at the national level and a sustained
25:5325 minutes, 53 secondsenergy disruption of this magnitude could tip them into genuine crisis. Now,
25:5825 minutes, 58 secondslet us return to the question that began this entire story. What was in MBS's call to Beijing? And what does the Wing Lung 3 deal signed this week in the
26:0626 minutes, 6 secondsmiddle of this war mean for everything we have just described here? Is what we know from the intelligence picture that has emerged from the very first hours of
26:1326 minutes, 13 secondsthe conflict. China's position was not neutral. Beijing called the Iranian foreign minister and expressed support for Iran's sovereignty and territorial
26:2126 minutes, 21 secondsintegrity. China called on the United States and Israel to immediately halt military operations. Chinese state media framed the conflict consistently as
26:2926 minutes, 29 secondsAmerican aggression. And critically, on March 2nd, the same day the straight was declared closed, vessel tracking data from KPLR confirmed what maritime intelligence analysts had suspected.
26:4026 minutes, 40 secondsIranian and Chinese flagged vessels continued moving through the Strait of Hormuz. Limited traffic, but not zero.
26:4626 minutes, 46 secondsThe strait was closed to everyone except the ships of Iran's most important economic partner and political ally.
26:5326 minutes, 53 secondsThis was not an accident. This was a statement. Iran, even in the most catastrophic crisis in its modern history, with its Supreme Leader dead
27:0127 minutes, 1 secondand its military under sustained bombardment, was still finding ways to signal to the world who its real allies were. Chinese ships moved. Everyone
27:0827 minutes, 8 secondselse's ships were burning. Beijing, for its part, was managing something more sophisticated than even most expert observers understood. Because China's
27:1627 minutes, 16 secondsstrategy in the Gulf is not the same as America's strategy. Washington's approach has been based on military presence, on force projection, on the ability to intimidate adversaries and
27:2527 minutes, 25 secondscoers allies through the credible threat of violence. China's approach is fundamentally different. Beijing does not seek to replace the United States
27:3327 minutes, 33 secondsmilitarily. Not yet. Not in a confrontational direct my carrier versus your carrier way. What China seeks is something more lasting and ultimately
27:4127 minutes, 41 secondsmore powerful. It seeks to become indispensable, to become the country that every regional power calls when it needs something that America cannot or
27:4927 minutes, 49 secondswill not provide. To become the partner that never lectures about human rights,
27:5327 minutes, 53 secondsnever cancels a contract because of a newspaper editorial, never makes its security assistance conditional on domestic political reforms. And there is
28:0028 minutesa crucial second layer to China's strategy that almost never gets discussed in Western media coverage of this conflict. China is simultaneously the world's largest importer of Gulf oil
28:0928 minutes, 9 secondsand the primary financial lifeline for Iran, the country that has just closed the straight that its oil comes through. This looks paradoxical at first glance.
28:1728 minutes, 17 secondsWhy would China support Iran's closure of the straight if Chinese ships need Gulf oil to flow? The answer reveals the extraordinary sophistication of
28:2528 minutes, 25 secondsBeijing's position. Chinese ships are still moving through the straight.
28:2828 minutes, 28 secondsLimited traffic, but moving. Iran is making an exception for its most important ally and economic partner.
28:3428 minutes, 34 secondsThis arrangement serves China's interests perfectly. It gets continued energy supply. It demonstrates to every Gulf state watching that a relationship with Beijing provides tangible
28:4228 minutes, 42 secondsoperational benefits in exactly the moments that matter most. And it positions China as the one major power that has relationships on all sides
28:5028 minutes, 50 secondssimultaneously, making Beijing the only credible mediator when the time comes to end this conflict. Think about what that means in terms of leverage. When the
28:5728 minutes, 57 secondsshooting eventually stops and every war eventually stops, who will the parties call? Iran will call Beijing because China is the only major power Iran
29:0529 minutes, 5 secondstrusts. Saudi Arabia will call Beijing because Beijing just proved its ships can move through a closed straight. The UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, all of them have
29:1429 minutes, 14 secondsseen what a strategic relationship with Beijing actually delivers in practice.
29:1829 minutes, 18 secondsAnd the United States, the country that started this war without consulting anyone, that launched Operation Epic Fury without a formal congressional
29:2529 minutes, 25 secondsdeclaration, without warning its Gulf partners, without providing any credible mechanism for protecting them from the consequences. The United States will
29:3329 minutes, 33 secondscome to the negotiating table as the party seeking to end a crisis it created. And China will come to that table as the indispensable mediator.
29:4129 minutes, 41 secondsThat is Beijing's master stroke. Think about what that means in practice. China can call Thran because it has been Iran's largest oil customer for years,
29:4929 minutes, 49 secondspurchasing sanctioned Iranian crude at a discount and keeping the Islamic Republic financially viable through periods of maximum American pressure.
29:5629 minutes, 56 secondsWithout the Chinese demand for Iranian oil, Iran's economy would have collapsed years ago. When Iran needs to communicate with a major power that it
30:0330 minutes, 3 secondstrusts, it calls Beijing. China can call Riyad because Saudi Arabia just signed a $5 billion deal to build Chinese combat drones inside its own borders. When
30:1230 minutes, 12 secondsSaudi Arabia needs technical military support, when it needs systems that work without American permission, it will call Beijing. China can call Abu Dhabi
30:2030 minutes, 20 secondsbecause Chinese investment permeates Dubai's financial sector. And the Belt and Road infrastructure projects connect Gulf ports directly to Chinese supply
30:2730 minutes, 27 secondschains. China can call the entire Gulf simultaneously. as the neutral party, as the dealmaker, as the power that brokered the 2023 normalization between
30:3530 minutes, 35 secondsSaudi Arabia and Iran, as the country whose ships are the only ones moving freely through a strait that is closed to the world. America, by contrast,
30:4430 minutes, 44 secondsstarted this war. Operation Epic Fury was a USIsraeli decision. The Gulf States were not consulted in any meaningful way. They were not asked for
30:5230 minutes, 52 secondstheir consent. They were simply told after the fact that their territory was now a front line. Oman had been mediating indirect talks between
31:0031 minutesWashington and Thran just days before the strikes began. On February 25th,
31:0431 minutes, 4 secondsIran's foreign minister Arachi said publicly that a historic agreement to avert military conflict was within reach. On February 27th, Oman's foreign
31:1231 minutes, 12 secondsminister said a breakthrough had been reached with Iran agreeing to never stockpile enriched uranium and to full IAEA verification. Peace was, according
31:2031 minutes, 20 secondsto the people directly involved in the negotiations, within reach. Then the bombs fell. The Gulf States watched their airports get struck, their water
31:2831 minutes, 28 secondsdesalination plants hit, their oil infrastructure targeted, their civilian populations forced into shelters, all because they had allowed American forces
31:3631 minutes, 36 secondsto operate from their soil, and Washington had made a military decision without asking whether they were ready for the consequences. The UAE recalled
31:4331 minutes, 43 secondsits ambassador to Israel in a signal of diplomatic fury that was impossible to misread. Kuwait issued formal statements, asserting its right to
31:5031 minutes, 50 secondsdefend itself. Qatar condemned Iranian strikes on its territory as a blatant violation of sovereignty while simultaneously watching Washington
31:5731 minutes, 57 secondsrefuse to declare any ceasefire. Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed that Iranian attacks had targeted both Riad and the eastern
32:0432 minutes, 4 secondsprovince, home to the kingdom's most critical oil infrastructure in one of its primary air bases. These are not the responses of countries that feel protected by their ally. These are the
32:1332 minutes, 13 secondsresponses of countries that have been used. And in that moment, Muhammad bin Salman made a calculation. It was not dramatic. It was not emotional. It was
32:2132 minutes, 21 secondsthe calculation of a man who has been preparing for exactly this scenario for years. He looked at the $5 billion drone factory being built in Jedha. At the
32:2932 minutes, 29 secondsChinese ships moving through the closed straight, at the 2023 normalization deal Beijing had delivered at the formal strategic partnership signed in December
32:3732 minutes, 37 seconds2022. And at the American carrier groups that sat in the Gulf while Iran struck his country's airports and oil fields.
32:4432 minutes, 44 secondsAnd he made a decision about which relationship was actually delivering results. What must be understood clearly is what NBS's choice actually represents. He is not choosing China
32:5332 minutes, 53 secondsover America in the way a child chooses between two options on a menu. He is doing something more sophisticated and ultimately far more consequential for
33:0033 minutesAmerican global power. He is choosing to need America less. That distinction is profound. Every Winglong 3 drone built in Jedha using Chinese technology is a
33:0933 minutes, 9 secondsweapon that does not require an American export license, does not depend on American spare parts, cannot be sanctioned or embargoed by a vote in the US Congress, and cannot be conditioned
33:1733 minutes, 17 secondson Saudi Arabia behaving in ways that satisfy American domestic political pressures. Every barrel of oil priced or traded outside the petro dollar system
33:2633 minutes, 26 secondsis a barrel that does not require American financial infrastructure. Every 5G network built on Huawei equipment is a communications backbone that does not
33:3433 minutes, 34 secondsrun through American technology companies subject to American government oversight. Saudi Arabia is building autonomy, not hostility. Autonomy, the ability to operate, defend itself,
33:4333 minutes, 43 secondstrade, and pursue its national interests without requiring American permission at every step. And that process once it reaches a certain threshold is
33:5133 minutes, 51 secondsessentially irreversible. You cannot unbuild a drone factory. You cannot untrain 10,000 Saudi engineers on Chinese avionics systems. You cannot
34:0034 minutesunsign a comprehensive strategic partnership with China. The structural dependencies once created persist and deepen regardless of which American
34:0834 minutes, 8 secondspresident is in office or what arms package Washington offers. The Trump administration came to power promising to go allin on the US Saudi
34:1534 minutes, 15 secondsrelationship. It approved the prospect of F-35 sales to the kingdom as a signature gesture of strategic commitment. But the price of the real relationship MBS wanted was not weapons.
34:2534 minutes, 25 secondsIt was a formal Senate ratified legally binding security treaty with explicit guarantees. The kind of guarantee that would bind the United States to defend
34:3334 minutes, 33 secondsSaudi Arabia with the same legal automaticity that Article 5 of NATO binds the alliance to defend any member.
34:4034 minutes, 40 secondsWashington could not deliver that. It would not deliver that. And in the absence of that guarantee, all the F-35s in the world did not close the gap
34:4734 minutes, 47 secondsbetween what America was offering and what Saudi Arabia needed. The relationship drifted and Beijing filled the space. Now let us look at what comes
34:5534 minutes, 55 secondsnext. Because this situation is not static. It is evolving hourby hour and the trajectory matters enormously. On the military front, US and Israeli
35:0335 minutes, 3 secondsstrikes on Iran have continued day after day. Sentcom confirmed on March 5th that it had struck nearly 2,000 targets in Iran since February 28th. The IDF
35:1235 minutes, 12 secondscompleted its 12th wave of strikes on Tran on March 5th, hitting IRGC facilities, besiege organization headquarters, and command centers throughout the capital and surrounding
35:2135 minutes, 21 secondsprovinces. A US military submarine struck and sank the Iris Dana, Iran's most modern Maugeclass frigot, 40 nautical miles off the coast of Sri
35:3035 minutes, 30 secondsLanka on March 4th, marking the first Iranian warship sunk in the Indian Ocean during this conflict and demonstrating that Operation Epic Fury had expanded
35:3835 minutes, 38 secondsgeographically far beyond the Middle East most analysts had anticipated. The rate of Iranian ballistic missile launches has declined since the opening
35:4535 minutes, 45 secondsdays of the war with analysts citing both a depletion of Iranian missile stocks and a deliberate strategy of conserving remaining capabilities for a
35:5235 minutes, 52 secondslonger campaign. Iran has said publicly it has not asked for a ceasefire.
35:5735 minutes, 57 secondsForeign Minister Arachi told NBC News directly, "We did not ask for a ceasefire even last time." In previous conflicts, it was Israel who asked for
36:0436 minutes, 4 secondsan unconditional ceasefire after 12 days of resistance. This time, Iran's position is that it can absorb punishment indefinitely while continuing
36:1136 minutes, 11 secondsto impose economic costs on the entire world through the straight closure. That assessment may or may not be correct militarily. But economically, the
36:1936 minutes, 19 secondsstrategy is working. Every day, the straight remains effectively closed costs the global economy an amount that is genuinely difficult to quantify, but
36:2736 minutes, 27 secondsis certainly measured in tens of billions of dollars. The disruption to supply chains extends far beyond energy.
36:3336 minutes, 33 secondsAbout 10% of the world's container ships are caught up in broader shipping backlogs. Cargo is piling up at ports across Europe and Asia. More than 80% of
36:4236 minutes, 42 secondsglobal trade moves by sea, and every route touching the Gulf is compromised.
36:4636 minutes, 46 secondsNow, here is the question that nobody in Washington has a comfortable answer to.
36:5036 minutes, 50 secondsWhat happens if this does not end quickly? What happens if Iran, battered as it is, continues to hold the straight effectively closed for weeks rather than
36:5836 minutes, 58 secondsdays? Goldman Sachs has already modeled what a full two-month closure of LG flows through the strait would do to European gas prices. Over 100 euros per
37:0637 minutes, 6 secondsmegawatt hour. Europe would face energy rationing in winter. Germany's industrial base, already weakened by years of energy policy disruption, could
37:1437 minutes, 14 secondsface factory shutdowns at a scale not seen since the 1970s. Japan, entirely dependent on imported energy, would face an economic crisis that its central bank
37:2337 minutes, 23 secondshas almost no tools left to address. The cascading effect on global manufacturing, on supply chains, on inflation, on interest rates, on debt
37:3037 minutes, 30 secondsmarkets and emerging economies already burdened by dollar denominated borrowing, all of it accumulates into a scenario that the word recession does
37:3737 minutes, 37 secondsnot adequately describe. And that is before we consider the wild card.
37:4137 minutes, 41 secondsRussia. Moscow has been watching this conflict with great interest. Russia is also a major oil producer. Every dollar rise in the oil price due to the
37:4937 minutes, 49 secondsstraight closure is a dollar that flows into Russian coffers partially offsetting the impact of Western sanctions. Russia and China are
37:5637 minutes, 56 secondsco-architects of the emerging multipolar order. They consult constantly. They coordinate if not always openly. If the conflict draws Iran, Russia, and China
38:0538 minutes, 5 secondsinto an aligned posture against the American response, the framework of great power competition shifts in ways that go beyond anything the current crisis has produced. Italy's
38:1338 minutes, 13 secondsintelligence agencies have already warned about Greek Turkish tensions escalating in the eastern Mediterranean as both countries maneuver in response to the broader instability. The arc of
38:2238 minutes, 22 secondspotential escalation runs from Jedha to Delhi, from Hormuz to the South China Sea and the interconnections are not hypothetical. They are structural for
38:3038 minutes, 30 secondsGulf states themselves. The picture is deeply uncomfortable. Their air defense systems have performed well. The UAE reported high interception rates against incoming drones and ballistic missiles.
38:4038 minutes, 40 secondsSaudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar all intercepted large numbers of Iranian projectiles. American investment in integrated Gulf air defense is paying
38:4938 minutes, 49 secondsoperational dividends, but operational success on the battlefield has not produced political satisfaction. These countries remain caught between two
38:5738 minutes, 57 secondscompeting catastrophes. The continued Iranian strikes on their soil and the American war that triggered those strikes without asking their permission.
39:0439 minutes, 4 secondsThe economic damage to the Gulf kingdoms themselves is severe. Iraq's three main southern oil fields, which before this war produced over 4 million barrels per
39:1239 minutes, 12 secondsday, have seen output fall 70%. The UAE is carefully managing offshore production levels, a diplomatic phrase that means cutting output. Kuwait has
39:2139 minutes, 21 secondsmade precautionary cuts. Saudi Arabia's own facilities in the eastern province have been targeted. The global oil supply shock is paradoxically hurting
39:2939 minutes, 29 secondsthe countries that produce the oil as much as it is hurting the countries that consume it. Because all of that oil is sitting in storage in pipelines on
39:3739 minutes, 37 secondstankers at anchor unable to move to market. And now we arrive at the final revelation. The one this entire video has been building toward. The one that
39:4439 minutes, 44 secondsreframes everything. The United States did not lose the Gulf this week. It began losing the Gulf years ago across a long sequence of decisions and
39:5339 minutes, 53 secondsnon-decisions that accumulated slowly then suddenly. The loss began in 2019 when a pike was struck and Washington did nothing. It deepened in 2023 when
40:0140 minutes, 1 secondChina brokered the Iran Saudi normalization deal and American diplomats read about it in the news. It accelerated with every annual cycle in
40:0940 minutes, 9 secondswhich Washington demanded conditions for security guarantees while Beijing offered partnership without conditions.
40:1440 minutes, 14 secondsAnd it was formalized in the most concrete, irreversible industrial terms possible when Saudi Arabia signed a $5 billion deal to build Chinese combat
40:2240 minutes, 22 secondsdrones in Jedha during an active regional war while American carrier strike groups sat over the horizon. But here is the deepest layer of the story.
40:3040 minutes, 30 secondsThe thing that goes beyond any single deal or any single diplomatic failure.
40:3440 minutes, 34 secondsWhat is happening in the Gulf right now is the most visible manifestation of a global structural shift that has been underway for a decade and is now accelerating beyond the ability of any
40:4240 minutes, 42 secondssingle country to reverse. The world is transitioning from the unipolar order that emerged from the end of the cold war. The order organized around American
40:5040 minutes, 50 secondsmilitary, financial, and institutional power to a multipolar order where multiple major powers exercise genuine autonomy across different domains and
40:5840 minutes, 58 secondsdifferent regions. That transition has been gradual and its advocates and opponents have argued about it in academic journals and policy conferences
41:0541 minutes, 5 secondsfor years. But transitions that proceed gradually often reach a moment when they suddenly become visible to everyone simultaneously. The closure of the
41:1341 minutes, 13 secondsstraight of Hormuz, the $5 billion drone factory in Jedha, the Chinese ships moving freely where American ones cannot. These are the visibility event.
41:2041 minutes, 20 secondsThis is the moment when the abstract geopolitical shift becomes a concrete reality that affects fuel prices and food costs for billions of ordinary
41:2841 minutes, 28 secondspeople around the world. China understands this transition better than any other country. Beijing has watched the American order function and has
41:3641 minutes, 36 secondscalculated with great precision that the most effective way to displace it is not military confrontation but structural substitution. Replace American
41:4441 minutes, 44 secondstechnology with Chinese technology in enough critical systems. Replace American financial infrastructure with Chinese alternatives in enough critical transactions. Replace American
41:5341 minutes, 53 secondsdiplomatic leadership with Chinese mediation in enough critical disputes. do all of this slowly, patiently,
41:5941 minutes, 59 secondswithout triggering the defensive response that a direct military challenge would provoke. And eventually,
42:0542 minutes, 5 secondsthe American- centered order does not collapse under military pressure. It quietly becomes irrelevant in the regions and relationships where it has been successfully substituted. The $5
42:1442 minutes, 14 secondsbillion drone factory in Jedha is not simply a weapons deal. It is structural substitution in the defense domain. The 2023 Iran Saudi normalization is
42:2342 minutes, 23 secondsstructural substitution in the diplomatic domain. The Huawei 5G infrastructure is structural substitution in the communications domain. The petroleum and transactions
42:3142 minutes, 31 secondsand a Ramco Chinese refinery investments are structural substitution in the financial domain. Each individual element looks manageable. Each one
42:3842 minutes, 38 secondsgenerates a specific Washington response, a warning, a sanction threat,
42:4242 minutes, 42 secondsa diplomatic protest. But the cumulative effect of all of them together playing out simultaneously across multiple domains over a decade is the strategic
42:5142 minutes, 51 secondspicture we see today. a Gulf in which Chinese ships move freely through a closed straight in which the most important Arab kingdom is building
42:5942 minutes, 59 secondsChinese weapons in its own territory and in which the phone call that matters most is not the one to the Oval Office but the one to Beijing. There is one
43:0843 minutes, 8 secondsfinal point that must be made clearly because it is the honest conclusion of everything we have examined. The United States Navy has not left the Gulf. The
43:1643 minutes, 16 secondscarriers are still there. American F-35s and B2 stealth bombers are still flying sorties. In a direct military confrontation with any adversary,
43:2343 minutes, 23 secondsAmerican military power would still prevail. That is not in dispute. What is in dispute, what has in fact already been decided is whether American
43:3243 minutes, 32 secondsmilitary dominance translates automatically into the kind of strategic leverage over Gulf state decisions that Washington has taken for granted since 1945.
43:4143 minutes, 41 secondsAnd the answer to that question today on the 9th of March 2026 as 150 tankers sit at anchor outside a closed straight and
43:5043 minutes, 50 secondsa drone factory opens in Jedha is clearly no. Military dominance and strategic indispensability are not the same thing. And uh it is the latter, not
43:5843 minutes, 58 secondsthe former that America has lost. NBS's call to Beijing was not a betrayal. It was not a sudden act of anger or defiance. It was the logical inevitable
44:0744 minutes, 7 secondsdestination of a journey that began years ago and proceeded with remarkable consistency regardless of who was sitting in the White House. When the
44:1444 minutes, 14 secondscrown prince looked at everything China had delivered and everything America had failed to deliver. And when he looked at his country's airports and oil fields being struck while American carriers sat
44:2344 minutes, 23 secondsin the Gulf they were supposed to be protecting. He made the only decision that made strategic sense for the kingdom he will rule for the next 50 years. He called Beijing. And what they
44:3244 minutes, 32 secondsagreed on was simply this. China will be Saudi Arabia's partner of first resort for defense technology, for energy trade, for diplomatic mediation, and for
44:4044 minutes, 40 secondsthe long-term construction of a regional order that does not require American permission to exist. The US Navy has not been replaced in the Persian Gulf in a
44:4744 minutes, 47 secondsmilitary sense. But it has been replaced as the indispensable foundation of Gulf security. It has been replaced as the only game in town. And that replacement
44:5644 minutes, 56 secondsdid not happen on a battlefield. It happened in boardrooms and technology transfer agreements and normalization deals in infrastructure contracts and digital twin training simulators at a
45:0445 minutes, 4 secondsdrone factory in Jedha. It happened quietly, patiently, and so gradually that Washington did not see it clearly until the moment it was complete. The
45:1345 minutes, 13 secondsworld you're watching right now, with oil prices spiking, with the straight of Hormuz effectively closed, with Chinese ships moving freely where American ones
45:2045 minutes, 20 secondscannot, with a $5 billion Chinese drone factory being assembled in Saudi Arabia during an active regional war. This is the world that phone call built. And the
45:2845 minutes, 28 secondsquestion that every serious strategist in Washington, London, and every other capital that has staked its security on the American order is now asking
45:3645 minutes, 36 secondsquietly, urgently, and without a satisfying answer is whether we have already passed the point where that trajectory can be changed, or whether
45:4345 minutes, 43 secondsthe call has been made, the deal has been signed, the factory is being built,
45:4745 minutes, 47 secondsand the world has already moved on. If this video gave you a clearer picture of what is really happening beneath the headlines and the most consequential
45:5445 minutes, 54 secondsgeopolitical story of our time, share it with someone who needs to understand it.
45:5845 minutes, 58 secondsThe mainstream news will show you the explosions. This channel will show you the real strategy underneath the strategy. That is exactly what we are here

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New Leader's Rage — Iran Strikes Back Harder Than Ever | Pepe Escobar
by Mario Nawfal
Mar 10, 2026

Pepe Escobar joins Mario Nawfal to dissect Iran's hardline new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, whose family was wiped out in strikes—fueling anti-US fury and IRGC power. From oil price chaos to Trump's "horrible" war options, this is the regime change blunder compared to Afghanistan!



Transcript

0:033 secondsPepe, it's a pleasure to speak to you again.
0:077 secondsMy pleasure, Mario. And uh greetings from Southeast Asia to you and everybody.
0:1313 secondsSo, a lot has happened since we last spoke. Most notably, Iran has a new Supreme Leader, and I had the tweet up
0:2121 secondshere on my phone. A new Supreme Leader that I I'll read out how many of his family members got killed. So, not only is he more radical than his father, um,
0:3131 secondsin the last week, he's had his father,
0:3333 secondsobviously, his his mother, his wife, his son, his niece, his nephew, and his sister, and his brother-in-law, all of them killed in the last week.
0:4444 secondsSo, this is the the gentleman that's leading the country now with the same last name, and he was also injured in the strike, according to some reports.
0:5353 secondsAnd um he's not expected to be any more friendly. If anything, he's expected to be more anti-US, more anti- West, and more pro pro- regime. He was also,
1:051 minute, 5 secondsaccording to some reports, he was heading the besiege, the the the the group that was that takes care of domestic security. So, if this is a
1:141 minute, 14 secondsregime change or regime modification operation, it doesn't look like it's going well at all.
1:211 minute, 21 seconds[laughter]
1:221 minute, 22 secondsLook, Mario, I I I cannot but remember what happened in Afghanistan, which I covered before, during and after for
1:311 minute, 31 secondsmany years. It took 20 years to replace the Taliban with the Taliban. And now we have we took
1:401 minute, 40 secondsthree decades to replace Kami with the son of Kame in terms of a strategic stupidity that's
1:481 minute, 48 secondson a on a par with Afghanistan. Uh very important Mario and for all our audience which I assume is young
1:571 minute, 57 secondsMustaba Kame is only 57 so he's relatively young. He's extremely
2:052 minutes, 5 secondscapable. He uh studied uh Shiite theology in K in one of the Quranic
2:132 minutes, 13 secondsstudies in K. He had some of the best grades and then he became a teacher in K
2:202 minutes, 20 secondsfor 17 years teaching Islamic Jewish prudence and giving courses also in Arabic.
2:282 minutes, 28 secondsSo this people at the highest level Ayatollas and uh descendants of
2:352 minutes, 35 secondsAyatollas they are extremely well educated.
2:402 minutes, 40 secondsSo we are not talking about the pushup clown secretary of forever wars. This is
2:462 minutes, 46 secondson a whole new level. And of course when you mention that he's even more radical than his father there are nuances to
2:552 minutes, 55 secondsthat. He's very very close to the IRGC and by the way from the beginning he was the front runner. There were several
3:043 minutes, 4 secondsother I would say at least four or five Ayatollas were in the race and they were
3:103 minutes, 10 secondschosen by the assembly of experts but uh Moshaba was the crucial connection
3:183 minutes, 18 secondsbetween his father and the top circles of the IRGC.
3:243 minutes, 24 secondsSo yes, the IRGC from the beginning said this is our guy because we are in a
3:313 minutes, 31 secondsnational uh uh crossroads now. It's a matter of national security. He understands how the RC and the military
3:403 minutes, 40 secondswork and of course he is a purist in terms of Shiite theology. So it's not a
3:473 minutes, 47 secondsquestion of being anti- US Mario. It's much more complicated than that. It's defending their Islamic revolution,
3:563 minutes, 56 secondsthe principles with everything that went sideways, especially in the geoeconomic sphere.
4:034 minutes, 3 secondsBut in terms of being the force that aglutinates the country and now he doesn't even need to raise a finger to aglutinate the country. Everybody's in
4:124 minutes, 12 secondsthe streets of all the major cities including Theran today in Thran only. I I saw images of only an hour ago
4:214 minutes, 21 secondseverybody was in the streets proclaiming their allegiance to him. So the country is united behind him and of course he
4:314 minutes, 31 secondswas very very he knew exactly what his dad has planned in terms of the overall strategy and that will continue.
4:414 minutes, 41 secondsThat's the most important thing. It's the uh the cohesion aspect of the whole system.
4:494 minutes, 49 secondsCould he change his approach with the west and Israel? So obviously Kam was very critical of the West, not only protecting the ideology, his beliefs,
4:594 minutes, 59 secondsthe religion, um but also very critical of what he calls the American Empire.
5:055 minutes, 5 secondsAnd many expect his son to be the same. But is there any possibility
5:125 minutes, 12 secondsum that he he would be kind of a Delio style new leader where he continues the same theology but at least gives more
5:225 minutes, 22 secondsaccess to American businesses to the country, gives access, you know,
5:255 minutes, 25 secondsimproves relations with the US. Is that even a possibility?
5:285 minutes, 28 secondsNo, it's not, Mario, because it's it gets much deeper after the assassination,
5:355 minutes, 35 secondsnot only of uh the leader of a sovereign nation, but the leader of 300 million plus Shiites all across the world.
5:465 minutes, 46 secondsThere's no turning back. And this was a major strategic mistake.
5:535 minutes, 53 secondsuh maybe it didn't come out of the constrained brain of the president of the United States and it was imposed to
6:026 minutes, 2 secondshim by his Zionist handlers. There's no question about that in fact but it's an enormous strategic mistake and don't
6:116 minutes, 11 secondsforget once again all of us in the middle of negotiations that were advancing according to the Omanis. I was
6:206 minutes, 20 secondsthere two days before the strikes. I came from Russia via Muscat. I spent one day in Oman. And the Omanis were saying,
6:286 minutes, 28 seconds"Look, there's going to be another meeting on Monday. We are making progress." That reminded me of the um uh
6:376 minutes, 37 secondsthe Turks in 2022 in Istanbul when there were the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
6:446 minutes, 44 secondsIndia were we are making a lot of progress. We clinched the deal. the same situation and in the middle of all that at the time of course was scorched after
6:526 minutes, 52 secondsa deal was practically sealed this time when negotiations were actually advanc uh the definition of advancing according
7:007 minutesto Omani diplomats is a bit tricky in fact Arai was telling the American
7:067 minutes, 6 secondsnegotiators look if we concentrate only on our nuclear program we might have a
7:147 minutes, 14 secondsdeal if you start once again with ballistic missiles uh no uh support for the axis of resistance we're going
7:227 minutes, 22 secondsnowhere uh we don't know if this register in the heads of the Americans but there were some progress at least on
7:307 minutes, 30 secondsthe nuclear negotiations two days later we have a decapitation strike so for Iran there's no for Iran
7:397 minutes, 39 secondsfor the system there's no turning back and they're going all the way and they said from the beginning we're going all the So, what options does Trump have now?
7:487 minutes, 48 secondsUm, I made a prediction a couple of days ago.
7:527 minutes, 52 secondsOkay. What are the horrible ones and what would be the best horrible one?
8:008 minutesUh, let's turn it uh let's turn it around. Maybe the least horrible is an amphibious assault with all the problems
8:108 minutes, 10 secondsthat that entails. All the other ones are absolutely horrible. ground invasion, you name it. Well, he can even uh launch do the unthinkable,
8:228 minutes, 22 secondslaunch a technical nuclear bomb on Iran.
8:268 minutes, 26 secondsAnything is possible at the moment. And in terms of considering the madness enveloping all of us, uh all options are
8:348 minutes, 34 secondson the table. Uh, I was reading a fascinating Russian military analysis of the worst option, [laughter] the least
8:438 minutes, 43 secondsbad options, and they come to the conclusion that, okay, maybe they could try an amphibious assault in uh in the
8:518 minutes, 51 secondssouth near Busher, but that would need at least 50,000 troops,
8:588 minutes, 58 secondswhich into the mainland or into Kag Island.
9:019 minutes, 1 secondSo, is it is that going straight into Iran?
9:059 minutes, 5 secondscould be towards card. Yes, it could be towards card or it could be uh in
9:129 minutes, 12 secondsdeserted parts of the south as well. Uh south of Busher for instance. Uh if you
9:209 minutes, 20 secondslook at on the map to the left of the uh the big port of Bandar Abbas, that would be one possibility. But obviously uh the
9:309 minutes, 30 secondsthe Iranians are all over the place and especially along uh the southern coast,
9:369 minutes, 36 secondsthe Persian Gulf Coast. The costs for the Americans will be absolutely unbearable. And now we're talking about serious body bags.
9:459 minutes, 45 secondsSo this is the least bad options. All the other ones are much worse. If you try for instance um a ground invasion
9:539 minutes, 53 secondsvia by the way you cannot because the um Iraqi Kurds already said and they wrote
10:0010 minutesa letter an official letter saying don't count on us for this thing we have nothing to do with your plans.
10:0610 minutes, 6 secondsYes their official letter yes Talibani there as as you know there are two major Kurdish leaders uh in Iraqi Kurdistan Barzani and Talibani.
10:1710 minutes, 17 secondsTalibani wrote an official letter basically saying we have nothing to do with this. Uh are they the ones the Kurds the Iranian Kurds or the Iraqi Kurds?
10:2710 minutes, 27 secondsNo, they are Iraqi. They're Iraqi.
10:3010 minutes, 30 secondsIranian Kurds are a small minority inside Iran and practically negligible.
10:3710 minutes, 37 secondsThey don't count for much.
10:4010 minutes, 40 secondsSo this is out of the picture. So another possibility would be via Kuzan.
10:4510 minutes, 45 secondsKuzan's in the south uh west. There are a lot of gas fields in Kustan as well.
10:5210 minutes, 52 secondsUh it's um I wouldn't say majority speaker but a substantial part of the of
10:5910 minutes, 59 secondsthe residents speak Arabic but same thing mountains terrain impossible to advance and they're going
11:0711 minutes, 7 secondsto be uncircled by u IRGC everywhere. So the bodybag contin quotient is going to be horrific. So there are no options.
11:1811 minutes, 18 secondsAnd of course, don't forget taco is still on the table.
11:2211 minutes, 22 secondsYeah, I think that's the best option. I think [laughter] as in as in him, you know, kind of taking it back and and Trump always chickening out. So
11:3111 minutes, 31 secondsessentially Trump changing his mind and considering this a victory in some way,
11:3411 minutes, 34 secondsportraying it as a victory. I think that's the best option because an amphibious so tactical nuke, I just don't think it's necessary whatsoever. I think the downsides way outweigh the upsides. I think an amphibious assault,
11:4511 minutes, 45 secondseven though there's talks about it and more analysts are saying it's possible,
11:4811 minutes, 48 secondswhich is mindboggling. If if it does happen, I think it will only target the the Kag Island, which represents like the majority of the oil refining or oil
11:5711 minutes, 57 secondsinfrastructure. The oil exports from Iran go through Kag Island. That's where all the infrastructure is. So there's if there is any um there's also talks about
12:0512 minutes, 5 secondsa limited tactical force going in to confiscate the um nuclear material um which again I think any troops on the ground is a disaster.
12:1412 minutes, 14 secondsForget it.
12:1512 minutes, 15 secondsForget it Mario. just said you can't look uh there's no confirmation from anywhere and we won't have any
12:2212 minutes, 22 secondsconfirmation from anywhere except if the IRGC start showing American faces or American
12:3012 minutes, 30 secondsbody bags that the Delta force that was supposed to um to be close to one of the nuclear
12:3812 minutes, 38 secondssites they were decimated and it's over a hundred of them. No confirmation anywhere about it but it's this is you
12:4812 minutes, 48 secondsknow we are in the middle of I would say intergalactic fog of war for instance today
12:5512 minutes, 55 secondsfog of war typical uh it's circulating everywhere uh from Turkey to Iran to the
13:0213 minutes, 2 secondsGulf that Erdogan closed uh uh Turkish air base airspace sorry to for uh American um planes.
13:1213 minutes, 12 secondsIt could be interesting because he doesn't want to get involved but if he did he's you know cutting off
13:1913 minutes, 19 secondsNATO in two just like that. Uh so anything is possible at the moment because we we we don't have solid uh
13:2913 minutes, 29 secondsrational parameters anymore. We are literally in the middle of total madness. But there's one key element.
13:3713 minutes, 37 secondsYou've seen uh the price of oil today. M it got to 112 115 now. Then it will
13:4413 minutes, 44 secondsretreat a little bit. In the next few days it will go over 120. This means a
13:5113 minutes, 51 secondscertified mega mega economic crisis all across the west and all across uh West
13:5913 minutes, 59 secondsAsia and a great deal of the east as well.
14:0414 minutes, 4 secondsThis is this is why I think this is why Trump I think will tackle. It just makes sense. Like there's Yeah, makes sense because all the other options will just cause more issues for the global
14:1214 minutes, 12 secondseconomy, more issues for the Gulf, more issues for Trump politically. I just don't see any path. And that's why I'm really surprised when I go on Poly
14:2014 minutes, 20 secondsMarket and I check the polls now. I made a poll a few days ago. I said, "Look,
14:2414 minutes, 24 secondsPoly Market really needs more experts betting on there cuz they're they're the odds of the various things that people betting on the platform seem to have
14:3214 minutes, 32 secondsreally no idea about politics cuz some of the best just don't make sense." But I'll give you some of what they're saying. By the way, this is not sponsored. I don't work with them, but I
14:3914 minutes, 39 secondsalways look at Poly Market way to see what the people where they're putting their money. So, if I go in there and I go Iran, um they believe there's a 41%
14:4714 minutes, 47 secondschance US forces enter Iran this month. Um and if you got it till this year, 64%
14:5314 minutes, 53 secondschance. So, most people believe American forces will enter Iran. Now, this very vague, maybe it's limited entry. Um and then you look at a ceasefire. Most people believe a ceasefire this month,
15:0415 minutes, 4 secondsit's at the lowest level yet. It was at 65% when the war started. Now it's at 22% likely with a ceasefire this month.
15:1215 minutes, 12 secondsBy next month 47%. So that that it seems that people are believing what the politicians are saying this is going to be an 8week campaign. But then my
15:2015 minutes, 20 secondsquestion is why? Because what is the benefit? If you keep just destroying Iranian oil facilities, you keep
15:2815 minutes, 28 secondsdestroying IRGC infrastructure etc. you weaken the Iranian regime. But it's pretty clear, unless I'm missing some
15:3615 minutes, 36 secondssomething, the regime is not, if you look historically, Pepe, and you know this obviously better than I air
15:4315 minutes, 43 secondscampaigns never lead to a successful regime change. And if the Kurds are out,
15:4915 minutes, 49 secondswhat other alternative are there? What are the what are the possible alternatives you think they would be considering from a military perspective?
15:5715 minutes, 57 secondsThere are none. For instance, uh just to give an example, it's an area I was there last uh year and I travel
16:0616 minutes, 6 secondsextensively Baluchistan which borders Pakistani Baluchistan basically deserts and all that but
16:1416 minutes, 14 secondsthe Baluchis who live in Sistan Baluchistan they totally support there is a small minority that has
16:2316 minutes, 23 secondscontacts with that Baluchistan liberation movement on the Pakistani side that this is a bunch bunch of bloody cycles. I met these people 20some
16:3216 minutes, 32 secondsyears ago. Very very dangerous. But they they do incursions in that area. They go they strike something on the Iranian side. Then they go back to to Baluchistan, Pakistan.
16:4316 minutes, 43 secondsThis could be a possibility, but they won't they will have less than zero local support and they need local support of course to you know make their
16:5216 minutes, 52 secondsway around. So there are no other options. uh the key uh u factor is now
16:5916 minutes, 59 secondsthe global economy. If you attack Kar or even if you go to Kar and you theoretically
17:0717 minutes, 7 secondsuh take possession of the key terminals in car which process 90% of Iran's crude
17:1517 minutes, 15 secondsuh the barrel of oil will not go to 150 will go to 200 and there and some of the IRGC guys are already saying that
17:2417 minutes, 24 secondsexplicitly. You want a barrel of oil to go to 200 continue playing your game. Of course, they are paying attention to car
17:3317 minutes, 33 secondsand car is very well defended but they know car is a target.
17:3817 minutes, 38 secondsAnything that you do the price of oil will go to 150 200 and this is exactly Mario coming back to the uh projections
17:4617 minutes, 46 secondsof Goldman Sachs analysts from 10 years ago, eight years ago. We were following that story at the time practically every
17:5417 minutes, 54 secondsmonths when I was with Asia Times in Hong Kong and they were saying look if there is a a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that lasts more than two weeks it
18:0218 minutes, 2 secondswill go to 500 not 200 we're getting there very very fast just
18:0918 minutes, 9 secondsthe beginning right so obviously taco makes sense because he cannot typical we know who we are dealing with uh he's
18:1818 minutes, 18 secondsgoing to say look I saved the global economy He can twist it, twist it any way he wanted. Right. So, uh, and we heard some
18:2718 minutes, 27 secondsrumors, including some rumors coming from the beltway that taco is back, um, on the table.
18:3518 minutes, 35 secondsI hope so. I really hope so. For the sake of We hope so. Of course. Of course.
18:4118 minutes, 41 secondsUm, h how do you analyze what's happening on the military level? because you've got the missile attacks by Iran,
18:4818 minutes, 48 secondseven the drone attacks have dropped significantly. Um there on the missile side, it's much easier to strike the
18:5518 minutes, 55 secondslaunchers and there is a strategy by the US using sensor shooters where satellites can can can spot a launcher relatively quickly. Um beam the
19:0419 minutes, 4 secondscoordinates to a fighter jet and the fighter jet strikes the launcher. Now,
19:0719 minutes, 7 secondsobviously Iran's using the decoy strategy to try to make it as expensive as possible for Israel and the US, but that may have worked. It's impossible to know for sure in striking the launches.
19:1719 minutes, 17 secondsOn the drone side, Iran has a capac capacity to do to produce a lot of drones. And everyone I spoke to tells me that drone factories are very easy to
19:2619 minutes, 26 secondspop up. You know, you can put it have them underground, have them in apartments, and they're very easy to destroy. The only way the US and Israel could strike the drone production is
19:3519 minutes, 35 secondsstriking the supply lines. you know, you call to order certain material for the drone production, they strike, they find out who you are, they find out the
19:4319 minutes, 43 secondssupply, and they strike it. They try to strike the the entire logistics um stack. Now, obviously, China is also
19:5019 minutes, 50 secondsreally important in supplying the raw material and some of the parts for producing drones, and they've been able to continue sending cargo ships at night into Iran.
20:0020 minutesUm, so putting all this together, what I'm trying to understand is on the ground at least, it looks like Iran's attacks have dropped massively. Um, I
20:0820 minutes, 8 secondshaven't heard of any attacks on the Gulf nations at all today. I think it's the first day there's been none so far and has been extremely limited. Yesterday was a lot quieter and that's both drones
20:1720 minutes, 17 secondsand missiles yet the straight of horm is obviously still closed. And from the people that you've spoken with spoken
20:2420 minutes, 24 secondswith in in your personal analysis, where do you think Iran stands in terms of their capabilities to be able to continue striking targets?
20:3420 minutes, 34 secondsThey can do anything they want uh at the pace they want. They can substitute.
20:4120 minutes, 41 secondsOkay, let's uh throw a barrage of state-of-the-art missiles like they did yesterday. For instance, they launched
20:4920 minutes, 49 secondsthe Koram Shar which has a a range of 2,000 heavy.
20:5620 minutes, 56 secondsIt's a it's an absolute monster. And the current sharp so far this is maybe the second time that they use it. So they
21:0521 minutes, 5 secondsgoing to improve on that. Drones they're it's infinite. We we nobody none of us
21:1221 minutes, 12 secondshad we don't have the full numbers but it's they have in stock between 20,000
21:1921 minutes, 19 secondsto 40,000 drones and this is relatively conservative and they keep producing
21:2621 minutes, 26 secondsdrones nonstop 24/7 in underground factories. And in terms of destroying
21:3321 minutes, 33 secondslaunchers, yes, most of the launchers that were destroyed, they are in the eastern and southeastern part of Iran.
21:4221 minutes, 42 secondsUh sorry, in the southeastern and south part of Iran. Nothing on the eastern part of Iran, which you know it's
21:5121 minutes, 51 secondsBaluchistan province which is enormous borders Pakistan. uh like in central uh in the central east part which borders Afghanistan,
22:0022 minuteseverything over there is intact.
22:0422 minutes, 4 secondsNot only the ballistic missiles but also the drones in uh they are at least 20 25
22:1222 minutes, 12 secondsunderground cities and most of them they are not in the western part they are in the eastern part and these are
22:1822 minutes, 18 secondsabsolutely intact and that's why they can make pro projections.
22:2522 minutes, 25 secondsuh one of one of the IRGC guys yesterday if I'm not mistaken he said look we can go we have planned to go uh following
22:3322 minutes, 33 secondsthis space for 6 months so September was not something that came out of uh Trump's head few days ago the Iranians
22:4222 minutes, 42 secondshad already planned to go all the way at a steady pace for another six months
22:4922 minutes, 49 secondsbut they know that this war there's a strong possibility that this there will there will be some sort of break in the next few days because the global economy is being devastated.
23:0023 minutesYeah.
23:0023 minutesAnd on and on the money angle, Mario, I think this is very interest audience as well. I had a dinner here last on Friday
23:1023 minutes, 10 secondsand uh Chinese intelligence was part of the dinner that as much as I can say you know what we were discussing after a
23:1823 minutes, 18 secondswhile that there's a tsunami of money from the former Middle East West Asia
23:2623 minutes, 26 secondscoming to East Asia and guess where's the preferred destination
23:3223 minutes, 32 secondshere Thailand because they see it as uh stable, steady uh everybody's here.
23:4023 minutes, 40 secondsCentral Asia, Middle East, Africa, uh Russia, China, India, etc. It's a Buddhist culture. It's very relaxed.
23:4823 minutes, 48 secondsQuality of life is excellent. Endless investment opportunities. Uh a lot of American interests are here as well and
23:5723 minutes, 57 secondsinterest linked to uh West Asia. So there's going to be an infling
24:0524 minutes, 5 secondsyou know a guy was telling me look uh I had an investor from Southeast Asia he from sorry from u from the Emirates
24:1324 minutes, 13 secondsfrom the Emirates. He said he come and said look I want to buy 50 condos now.
24:1824 minutes, 18 secondsAnd 50 condos means 50 condo complexes now immediately and he pays cash that kind of stuff you know. So
24:2724 minutes, 27 secondsthey are already transferring their funds away away from the from the west because he talks about um away from Dubai where
24:3624 minutes, 36 secondsyou are for instance you know and everything is coming here to East Asia for the moment not yet Hong Kong I see
24:4524 minutes, 45 secondsthat in a few days or depending on how it goes it will go to Hong Kong because in Hong Kong you have immense investment
24:5424 minutes, 54 secondsopport opportunities linked to China because Hong Kong is the key node of the greater Bay Area where you have Hong Kong, Juai, Macau,
25:0525 minutes, 5 secondsGuanghou, Shenzen, Donang all that spectacular uh it
25:1425 minutes, 14 secondsmass production node of China. So all this uh all these funds who until a few
25:2225 minutes, 22 secondsdays ago were in the in West Asia, all across West Asia, Saudi, Emirati,
25:2825 minutes, 28 secondsKuwaiti, Qatar, they are migrating now to Asia to East Asia. Once again,
25:3425 minutes, 34 secondscould we also see Gulf nations um there's been talks about Gulf countries being really upset with Trump. There's that billionaire that put out that statement. Um,
25:4225 minutes, 42 secondsyes.
25:4325 minutes, 43 secondsGoing off at Trump and saying how he's very important. You know this guy Mario Hab is famous.
25:4825 minutes, 48 secondsHe's very very important and everybody in the Emirates listens to him. He's one of the few who can, you know, pick up
25:5525 minutes, 55 secondsthe phone and call the the the royal family obly or the Saudis and
26:0126 minutes, 1 secondand and he wrote an open letter that is absolutely devastating. Basically directly asking Trump, "What gives you
26:1126 minutes, 11 secondsthe right to inflict a war on us, your allies, without even consulting us?"
26:2026 minutes, 20 secondsWow. It's an absolute kill. He also put out a new letter today um going after Lindsey Graham. He said Gra because
26:2726 minutes, 27 secondsGraham is saying Gulf countries should join the US in this war and heap says we know full well why why we are under attack and we also know who dragged the
26:3626 minutes, 36 secondsentire region into this dangerous escalation without consulting those he calls his allies and then he goes on and says only then
26:4326 minutes, 43 secondsdoes the picture become clear. He's talking about Graham said Iran and Venezuela together hold 31% of the oil.
26:4926 minutes, 49 secondsSo alaphatur says only this is when it's clear now we understand why they want this war because of the oil which I I've been saying for a few days a lot of
26:5726 minutes, 57 secondspeople have been saying you know the trader of hormones the importance of that for the energy race between China and the US with the AI race. We do not need your protection. All we want from
27:0527 minutes, 5 secondsyou is to keep your hands off us. We invest in our security and pay billions of dollars for these weapons, American weapons. This is an industry that
27:1227 minutes, 12 secondsthrives on wars and arm sales, not a charitable endeavor. Senator Graeme, you may be a senator in the US Senate, but anyone who hears your statements might
27:2127 minutes, 21 secondsthink you're a member of the Israeli Net because you defend Israel's interests more than you defend the interests of the American people themselves. We will
27:2827 minutes, 28 secondsnot enter this war to serve the interests of others. Nor will we sacrifice our sons in a conflict that could have been avoided through diplomacy and political solutions. We
27:3627 minutes, 36 secondswant peace and stability. We will not accept being forced down the path of war, nor will we accept being fuel for others battles. So that was al- Hapdul
27:4427 minutes, 44 secondsresponding to Lindsey Graham today and if you go to the statement you're referring to where he was very critical of Trump and how he dragged the region to into war. Putting these statements
27:5227 minutes, 52 secondstogether um what does that signal for um Gulf American relations because there's going to be long-term repercussions of this war when the peace deal is signed
28:0128 minutes, 1 secondwhen a ceasefire or peace deal is signed it's not the end of the repercussions at all. If anything,
28:0728 minutes, 7 secondsdefinitely not. Uh, exactly. And the key uh element is when uh ceasefire will be signed. What kind of ceasefire?
28:1828 minutes, 18 secondsBecause for the Iranians, there's only one ceasefire. Now, for them, it's an existential
28:2528 minutes, 25 secondsdo or die uh war. They already established their guidelines. We want
28:3328 minutes, 33 secondsthe US completely out of West Asia. All the military bases.
28:4128 minutes, 41 secondsObviously, we know that industrial military complex. What our good friend Ray McGovern describes beautifully as the Mitsimat [laughter]
28:5128 minutes, 51 secondsmilitary industrial congressional intelligence academia think tank media complex. That's what it is. In fact,
28:5728 minutes, 57 secondsit's a brilliant definition. Uh they will never accept it. We know that. So okay. So what next? And of course the
29:0629 minutes, 6 secondsmost important thing which is the key of the whole Iranian planning break the
29:1429 minutes, 14 secondsnexus between the petro dollar and the petro monarchies and that's where they
29:2029 minutes, 20 secondsare fully supported by both Russia and China in the background. [snorts] of course in the background diplomatically,
29:3029 minutes, 30 secondsbut also with specific hardware and software. And this is something that I addressed in my column that I could not
29:3729 minutes, 37 secondssend to you because it hasn't been published in Russia yet. But in this column, I talk about what China is doing for Iran and in the next one I'll talk about Russia.
29:4629 minutes, 46 secondsThere was an article on that today. I was literally writing a note to tell you Russia and China. There's been a report today that they're watching how long Iran lasts as they determine how much to
29:5629 minutes, 56 secondssupport Iran because that's an evolving process like we saw in Ukraine. In Ukraine, as Ukraine did better militarily, they got more and more involved. NATO got more involved.
30:0430 minutes, 4 secondsStarted with helmets and now um you know attacks and F whatever [laughter] F-15s or whatever it is.
30:1130 minutes, 11 secondsUm h so the the petrod dollar angle is absolutely crucial because the key
30:1930 minutes, 19 secondsrecycling of the petrod dollar takes place in west Asia with all of the GCC uh petro monarchies. The Iranians want
30:2830 minutes, 28 secondsto break that. If they would ever manage to I would like to put it in the conditional. If they will ever manage
30:3630 minutes, 36 secondsthat, this is the definitive game changer in terms of changing geoeconomic relations globally.
30:4530 minutes, 45 secondsIt's an enormous bet and wow it it's really larger than life be because it
30:5230 minutes, 52 secondsmeans the whole system since the end of the second world war completely is turned upside down and of course they
30:5930 minutes, 59 secondscompletely supported by Beijing and by Moscow and the the historical irony will
31:0631 minutes, 6 secondsbe if that happens that uh uh it's not the bricks that did it. It took a war with Iran in the forefront to do it.
31:1431 minutes, 14 secondsHow would you explain to me Pepe? How how would they be able to do it through this war? How how does the war help them? Yes, of course.
31:2131 minutes, 21 secondsI I told you that I put it in the conditional because the the challenge is really, you know, 10,000 cisifas going
31:3031 minutes, 30 secondsup the mountain uh with the rocks. You know, it's it's but this is what they want to do. This is what is inbuilt in
31:3831 minutes, 38 secondsthe original Ayatollah planning for this war. If we expel them from all their
31:4631 minutes, 46 secondsmilitary bases and if we make the GCC pro monarchies understand that they will
31:5231 minutes, 52 secondsnever they are not being defended by the US and they will never be defended by
31:5931 minutes, 59 secondsthe US against anything. they will start migrating to let's say a bricks atmosphere and Iran is part of it as
32:0832 minutes, 8 secondsmuch as Russia and China there's a a key element that extremely intriguing the UAE is a full member of
32:1732 minutes, 17 secondsbricks so if MBZ starts thinking what's happening to the Emirates now how the
32:2632 minutes, 26 secondsEmirates were not defended against anything on the contrary how the Emirates were put like uh alapur said
32:3432 minutes, 34 secondsinside a war they didn't ask for and they were not even consulted about they will start seriously considering
32:4032 minutes, 40 secondsmigrating to the proan which is something that Saudi Arabia is already doing we don't know they will
32:4932 minutes, 49 secondsneiat they will never tell anybody how much of their oil they are selling to
32:5532 minutes, 55 secondsChina in yan it's a lot we know it's a Persian Gulf traders tells us yes it's a
33:0333 minutes, 3 secondslot but nobody has the real numbers. So the migration towards the pro you want already started and this
33:1233 minutes, 12 secondsis directly link links with the bricks effort to ddollarize without even mentioning the toxic term dolarization.
33:2433 minutes, 24 secondsIt's what they are doing. Uh it's what many of us have been following uh in uh every bricks summit especially after the
33:3233 minutes, 32 secondsone in Kazan in Russia in 2024. Uh they have what I I I call in my columns the
33:3933 minutes, 39 secondsbricks lab which is they are testing all sorts of alternative payment systems. Uh
33:4633 minutes, 46 secondsit could be bricks pay there's an independent one uh Russian the unit uh which is basically a token backed by
33:5533 minutes, 55 secondsgold and a basket of currencies. They are testing all that and before the end of this year considering that we are in
34:0234 minutes, 2 secondsthe middle of the war and this war will shape geoeconomic relations from now on we can arrive at the summit in uh of all
34:1134 minutes, 11 secondsplaces India which has just betrayed Russia and Iran full bricks members but that's another story very complicated
34:1934 minutes, 19 secondsand we we arrive at the bricks table at the end India betrayed sorry you commissioned very brief India betrayed by reducing
34:2734 minutes, 27 secondsthe import of oil from Russia after US pressure. Is that what you're No, no, no. That's why I said another story, Mario, because I don't I I I
34:3634 minutes, 36 secondsdon't want to freak out. I don't want our audience to freak out. But okay, if you allow me one minute,
34:4234 minutes, 42 secondsuh India betrayed Russia because uh Trump said to India, you cannot buy Russian oil. And the India said, okay,
34:5134 minutes, 51 secondsokay, okay. Then later they invited uh the Iranians to a maritime show in India. And when the the Iranian ship
35:0135 minutes, 1 secondleft, they passed the coordinates to the Americans and Israelis and this uh uh vessel was sunk by a torpedo. So this is
35:0935 minutes, 9 secondsa double betrayal. You know what happened? I'm sorry.
35:1635 minutes, 16 secondsIndia sent the coordinates of that ship that was struck by the US submarine.
35:2135 minutes, 21 secondsYes, we are we are practically sure about that considering indep the analysis of independent uh Indian
35:2735 minutes, 27 secondsanalysts. This is not any of us here talking about it. No Indian independent Indian analysts not allied with MAI and
35:3635 minutes, 36 secondsthe BJP. They said yes the Indians told the Americans where the ship was and that's and the ship was in the international waters near Sri Lanka
35:4435 minutes, 44 secondsafter he left India. So this was absolutely horrible and the optics everywhere including in Russia
35:5335 minutes, 53 secondsuh military people and diplomatic people they're absolutely horrified because the Russians were cultivating a good relationship with India inside bricks
36:0136 minutes, 1 secondinside the SEO etc. So they betrayed the and then after that Putin told the Indians, "Okay, I will sell oil to you guys, but no more discounts, nothing.
36:1236 minutes, 12 secondsNow it's business and you're going to have to pay uh much more for it." So they were not only they betrayed Russia
36:1936 minutes, 19 secondsand Iran, they were humiliated by Russia afterwards. So this is an enormous problem inside bricks, which is is
36:2836 minutes, 28 secondssomething that we could have a conversation about that later on. how bricks now is in in a coma.
36:3436 minutes, 34 secondsSo, as it pains me to to say that, but that's that's what it is now. You know, by the way, while you're speaking,
36:4136 minutes, 41 secondsCapital Economics, a research company um that was cited in the Wall Street Journal just came out now. It estimates
36:4936 minutes, 49 secondsthat Brent Oil barrel could reach $150 per barrel by mid this year in a quote worst case scenario. Um,
36:5836 minutes, 58 secondsno, not I would not say worst case, Mario. I would say a possible scenario for the next two weeks.
37:0637 minutes, 6 secondsWe are already at 120. From 120 to 150,
37:1137 minutes, 11 seconds[snorts]
37:1237 minutes, 12 secondsit could be if another two weeks. It's insane. We're We're at 120. We hit 120.
37:2037 minutes, 20 secondsExactly. Um,
37:2337 minutes, 23 secondsyeah. Um, I I want to go back to what was talking about the Gulf countries moving away from um the US. Isn't there
37:3137 minutes, 31 secondsanother way of looking at it? Um, is that the Gulf countries were attacked by who? Iran. I understand the US started the war, but Iran is one that struck
37:3937 minutes, 39 secondsthem and they're using American air defense systems to intercept Iranian attacks. If you allow me, Mario,
37:4737 minutes, 47 secondsAmerican interests, American bases,
37:5137 minutes, 51 secondswhich means American territory was attacked by Iran, not the GCC countries,
37:5937 minutes, 59 secondsper se. This is an enormous distinction.
38:0338 minutes, 3 secondsDon't forget that they sold their own sovereign territory for the US to build those sprawling military bases. They
38:1138 minutes, 11 secondspaid for it and the deal was okay. We do everything you need, all the infrastructure that you need. We pay you
38:1938 minutes, 19 secondsto build the base, but you have to protect us.
38:2338 minutes, 23 secondsWhere's the protection? Obviously, and this brings us to uh Alhapur letter.
38:3038 minutes, 30 secondsThis is essentially what he's telling the Americans. You promised us a deal and you broke the deal. You didn't do
38:3738 minutes, 37 secondsanything. Of course, it doesn't say that American interests were being bombed are
38:4438 minutes, 44 secondswere and are being bombed by Iran because this this is American territory.
38:4938 minutes, 49 secondsIn fact, this is American territory uh in you know encrusted into their own
38:5638 minutes, 56 secondssovereign territory. They sold it for a pittance in fact.
39:0239 minutes, 2 secondsBut what can you expect? These are pro monarchies literally. These are monarchies. This is one family. So if
39:0939 minutes, 9 secondsyou're not part of MBS family or MBZ family, you're nothing. It's one family that controls everything.
39:1839 minutes, 18 secondsGoing back to what we we we referenced earlier is what Russia and China could do. What do you think of the report that Russia and China are watching closely to
39:2539 minutes, 25 secondssee how Iran, you know, sustains this war? Because if we look at what what we're seeing on the ground, you know,
39:3239 minutes, 32 secondsthe regime is still there. Not much. you know, the Kurds, as you said, they put out a statement saying that they're going to, you know, remain neutral in this war. We don't see people on the
39:4139 minutes, 41 secondsstreets going against the regime. Um, so if this continues, what would um what more could Russia and China do? What are
39:4939 minutes, 49 secondsthey doing right now? We we heard about the intelligence. We know about the cargo ships coming in from China. We know as in we we see the reports of that. Is there more that these two
39:5839 minutes, 58 secondscountries are doing or can do that we may see in the next few weeks or months?
40:0240 minutes, 2 secondsthey are already doing a lot but uh the greater the greatest part is that you don't see it. Uh in my previous column I
40:1040 minutes, 10 secondstalked about the Astraantan shuttle.
40:1540 minutes, 15 secondsThis is how uh Russia is supplying uh Iran with hardware, software, intel, anything that they want at the moment.
40:2340 minutes, 23 secondsAnd the Russians keep saying that. The last I heard was when I was there less than two weeks ago. They have not asked
40:3240 minutes, 32 secondsus for anything for the moment. And Putin already said that if I'm not mistaken in one of his interviews this past few days. The Iranians have not
40:4040 minutes, 40 secondsasked anything from us, but we support them 100%. If they do, we'll supply it.
40:4540 minutes, 45 secondsOkay, that's the Russian part. The Chinese part is what I was writing a few hours before talking to you today. Uh
40:5440 minutes, 54 secondsthey have the Liao Young One which is their super research um intel vessel
41:0341 minutes, 3 secondsparked in the Sea of Oman with lots of radars and antennas tracking everything
41:1041 minutes, 10 secondsthe American do and passing the information to Iran via the Beu satellite. It's brilliant. So the
41:1841 minutes, 18 secondsChinese are collecting everything that they need about the movements of the American Air Force and American Navy without [laughter]
41:2941 minutes, 29 secondseven a pistol shot anywhere getting all this information for free and on top of it passing the information to the Iranians which accounts among other
41:3841 minutes, 38 secondsthings I'm not taking the merits of the IRGC system the accuracy of many of this
41:4741 minutes, 47 secondsum Iranian strikes a little bit everywhere. I would single out especially Bahrain the best information
41:5441 minutes, 54 secondsto attack all the support system uh to the fifth fleet in Bahrain was certainly of course nobody will tell you nobody
42:0342 minutes, 3 secondswill uh tell you in official right was supplied Chinese data helped the Iranians to do that. So this is what
42:1142 minutes, 11 secondsthey already doing and very important they struck a bilateral deal which was implicit in their strategic partnership.
42:2142 minutes, 21 secondsIt was clenched on Thursday. Beijing ter the street of Hormuz is blocked. The
42:3042 minutes, 30 secondsIranians said no it's not block it's the insurance companies that blocked it.
42:3642 minutes, 36 secondsWhich technically is correct. The Iranians said, "Look, we don't want uh Western and uh Japanese or South Korean European vessels going back and forth,
42:4842 minutes, 48 secondsbut we're not enforcing this with a decree or something." It it was Lloyds of London who said, "We're not going to
42:5442 minutes, 54 secondsinsure anybody." Okay? But the Chinese is a completely different story because they import so much oil from Iran. 90%
43:0343 minutes, 3 secondsof Iran's oil is shipped to China.
43:0843 minutes, 8 secondsuh over land but mostly straight of Hormuz. So they made a deal. They said look uh our our uh ships are free and
43:1843 minutes, 18 secondsthey can go best back and forth. And the Iranian said of course because you are supporting us etc. But keep uh supplying
43:2543 minutes, 25 secondsus with all the satellite 247 real time info that you're supplying us. The Chinese of course. So once again,
43:3343 minutes, 33 secondsit's a deal uh between two strategic partners.
43:3843 minutes, 38 secondsIt it's it's brilliant in its simplicity and that would uh that might include
43:4843 minutes, 48 secondsthat depends on how the Iranians uh um uh in the straight of Hormuz itself implemented
43:5743 minutes, 57 secondscargos going to China with oil from the GCC.
44:0244 minutes, 2 secondsUh the the arenas can say, "Okay, you're going to China. No problem. You can go."
44:0644 minutes, 6 secondsAnd that explains, Mario, all these uh uh transponder messages, text messages on transponders of lots of caros saying,
44:1644 minutes, 16 seconds"I am Chinese owned." [laughter]
44:2044 minutes, 20 secondsIt's no it's absolutely fascinating because their diplomatic passport for
44:2744 minutes, 27 secondsthese cargos going to they're all going to Asia but some of them necessar might not necessarily be going to China they
44:3644 minutes, 36 secondsmay be going to Japan or to South Korea for in the transponder said look I am Chinese own I have a Chinese crew whatever anything that links them to
44:4444 minutes, 44 secondsChina the Iranians read that okay this is going to China says okay let go. So it's their diplomatic passport.
44:5444 minutes, 54 secondsSo So what is the translation of this in geopolitical and geioeconomic terms?
45:0245 minutes, 2 secondsFreedom of navigation now in the straight of Hormuz, probably the most important bottleneck on the planet.
45:1245 minutes, 12 secondsYou have to be linked to China for freedom of navigation and not to the US anymore.
45:1845 minutes, 18 secondsUnless the US unless US Unless the US does but that's unless the US blockades the
45:2645 minutes, 26 secondsstraight. So if if US could respond by whether shall de France sending their aircraft carrier. Um the US saying they have a plan they've had a plan for years.
45:3545 minutes, 35 secondsBut the US did say they've had they've had a plan for years to open up the straight hormones.
45:4045 minutes, 40 secondsUh yeah, you're right. But uh if they if they actually go there with their vessels, they're going to be sitting ducks.
45:4945 minutes, 49 secondsYeah,
45:4945 minutes, 49 secondsonce again it's important to repeat to all all of you. The whole Persian Gulf
45:5645 minutes, 56 secondsSea of Oman coast of Iran is crammed with carrier killer missiles all over.
46:0746 minutes, 7 secondsSo any aircraft carrier support group uh frag corvette etc that enters the sea of
46:1546 minutes, 15 secondsand the Persian Gulf, they're going to be sitting ducks. period. And that's why they're not there, Mario. They could
46:2246 minutes, 22 secondshave been there. They were expelled to the southern part of the Indian Ocean when the Iranians launched four
46:3146 minutes, 31 secondsballistic missiles, which was a sort of warning. The Ibraham Lincoln fled and they were in the Arabian Sea. They were
46:3946 minutes, 39 secondsnot in the Sea of Aman. They were in the Arabian Sea. They fled to the southern Indian Ocean. They're very far away now.
46:4646 minutes, 46 secondsSo uh all this bragging of we're going to enforce the liberation of the street of our most only fools are can fall for it.
46:5846 minutes, 58 secondsThere's a by the way there's a report that came out as well while we're speaking by the ABC. It says the US has intercepted encrypted communication
47:0547 minutes, 5 secondsbelieved to have originated in Iran that may serve as an operation trigger for sleeper assets outside the country. Now there's been talks about sleeper cells.
47:1547 minutes, 15 secondsIran sleeper cells across Europe um in South America, maybe even the US.
47:2147 minutes, 21 secondsDo you know much about this? Is there possibility at all? No. No.
47:2547 minutes, 25 secondsUh in fact, the sleeper cells are ISIS al-Qaeda,
47:3147 minutes, 31 secondsMario. They are not uh Shiites. The Shiites concentrate in their region and
47:3747 minutes, 37 secondsthey don't need sleeper cells. uh when they uh for instance Hezbollah linked to
47:4447 minutes, 44 secondsIran, Ansarala the Houthis linked to Iran, Hashtal Shabi the militias which is a I would say it's an umbrella of
47:5347 minutes, 53 secondsmilitias. I met them in Baghdad when I was in Iraq years ago linked to Iran.
47:5947 minutes, 59 secondsThese are organizations uh there are for instance in Afghanistan they have brigades like the Fatima
48:0748 minutes, 7 secondsbrigade af Shiite Afghans I met these guys also in tan a few years ago but
48:1448 minutes, 14 secondsthese are organizations very well and uh they don't need to be cells so they are very well organized and and
48:2348 minutes, 23 secondsof course for instance who was the conceptualizer of this network. General Sullemani,
48:3048 minutes, 30 secondshe taught all of them and he also taught the Syrians at the time. For instance,
48:3648 minutes, 36 secondsI'm sorry. Years ago in Iran, I met a Syrian commander who was trained by Sollemani. Solmani sent him to Syria and
48:4548 minutes, 45 secondsthen he came trained him in Iran, sent him to Syria and then he came back to Iran and he was doing the back and forth
48:5248 minutes, 52 secondsdirectly trained by Solmani and some other commanders as well. So, so this is how the the the so-called axis of
49:0049 minutesresistance works. So, they don't need cells. What we have is ISIS K uh former al-Qaeda cells a little bit everywhere.
49:1049 minutes, 10 secondsWe have them in Turkey especially on the border uh that key uh Turkish uh
49:1749 minutes, 17 secondscrossing point Gazian tech uh there border with which which country with uh
49:2549 minutes, 25 secondsuh with Syria. No no no with Syria. with Syria. Sorry, with Syria. Uh they have it in uh the Pamir
49:3449 minutes, 34 secondsin in Tajikistan and in uh Badakshan in Afghanistan as well. These are ISISK cells. These are very very dangerous.
49:4649 minutes, 46 secondsAnd of course the CIA and MI6 will monopolize the whole regiment guys to do something. But it's going to be an
49:5449 minutes, 54 secondsenormous problem for them because most of them don't speak Farsy.
49:5949 minutes, 59 seconds[snorts]
50:0050 minutesThey are Arabic. They are Salafi jihadi Wahhabis at exponentially radicalized. They have nothing and they have nothing.
50:0950 minutes, 9 secondsThey don't really have nothing to do with Iran or supporting Iran. If anything, they seen as enemies of Iran.
50:1350 minutes, 13 secondsNo, no, no. But they could be used to some sort of infiltration inside Iran is not going to work. Forget it. Oh, infiltration inside Iran, you mean?
50:2250 minutes, 22 secondsYes. inside. I'm talking about monopoliz. Yeah. Exactly. Exactly. Exactly.
50:2950 minutes, 29 secondsLike having You wouldn't expect Iran to have cells or people in other countries.
50:3650 minutes, 36 secondsNo. Iran does not have cells. This is complet This is totally stupid. You know, they don't they don't um for
50:4550 minutes, 45 secondsinstance uh let me give you an example from the past which could be very funny for our audience. Uh after 911 uh I went
50:5550 minutes, 55 secondsto Paraguay to the famous triple border because uh American intelligence was publish uh publishing there were a lot
51:0351 minutes, 3 secondsof al-Qaeda cells in the triple border Paraguay, Argentina, Brazil and you know they were going to destabilize the US. I
51:1251 minutes, 12 secondsand Hezbollah cells as well. I get there, I talk to to the merchants in the uh in the zone. I said, "Look, the only
51:2051 minutes, 20 secondscells we have here is a lot of Lebanese merchants selling Sony Trinitrons.
51:2751 minutes, 27 seconds[laughter] You won't see a single radicalized al-Qaeda Hezbollah here."
51:3351 minutes, 33 secondsAnd it's true, but this was being published in the American media at the time as an enormous scoop. Look,
51:4051 minutes, 40 secondsHezbollah and al-Qaeda are all over the triple border in South America.
51:4451 minutes, 44 seconds Um, the last um question I want to ask you, Pepe, is um just back to the original question of Russia and China,
51:5451 minutes, 54 secondsall eyes are on these two countries. If this goes on for more than a couple of months, and if the US decides to send troops into Iran, worst case scenario,
52:0352 minutes, 3 secondswhat would So, this is great news for Russia. I would see is that because and even China because the US is depleting its munitions even further and now
52:1252 minutes, 12 secondssending troops to those countries bogged down in another potential forever war.
52:1652 minutes, 16 secondsSo that weakens US military, moves focus away from Ukraine, less resources for Ukraine and higher oil prices for Russia. Um and also a distraction for
52:2452 minutes, 24 secondsChina when it decides to unify with Taiwan. So from a strategic perspective,
52:2852 minutes, 28 secondsit looks like Russia and China would benefit from bogging the US down into Iran. Would that mean they could further support Iran and send further military
52:3552 minutes, 35 secondsequipment or have even some similar involvement as the US has in Ukraine eventually if this war drags on for a long time?
52:4452 minutes, 44 secondsMilitary equipment is already on uh more on the Russian side and the Chinese for
52:5152 minutes, 51 secondsthe moment studying the situation to see if the Iranians ask them what they could what they could send. In fact, directly
53:0053 minutesuh the the crazy the crazy aspect of everything is that Russia and China are profiting immensely from all this disaster without raising a finger.
53:1253 minutes, 12 secondsAmazing. Uh the extra uh bonansa in terms of high oil prices for Russia. Wow.
53:2053 minutes, 20 secondsuh the projection is that they could make in the short term they could make an extra 40 billion to50 billion dollars
53:2753 minutes, 27 secondswithout doing anything. [snorts] Uh the Chinese is more complicated. For instance, I was I was reading a very good Chinese analysis today on Guancha
53:3653 minutes, 36 secondspublished in Shanghai and uh this scholar was saying look for the moment for us is not an enormous problem
53:4453 minutes, 44 secondsbecause we have at least four months of strategic uh oil reserves.
53:5253 minutes, 52 secondsSo nobody is thinking that this war will last even two months is already a stretch, right? Okay.
53:5853 minutes, 58 secondsYeah, I agree. they have divi diversified their sources of energy but absolutely all across this the spectrum
54:0754 minutes, 7 secondsso they are I think it's 84.6 or 86.4 for correct me if I'm wrong one of these
54:1454 minutes, 14 secondstwo figures self-sufficient which is enormous enormous and this is something that you
54:2254 minutes, 22 secondssee when when you go to sing Jang for in western China I I was there last year doing a documentary
54:2954 minutes, 29 secondseverything is electrified everywhere you go you see solar farms wind farms
54:3854 minutes, 38 secondsso you know all forms of and not to mention all the gas that comes all the pipelines that bring gas from central
54:4654 minutes, 46 secondsAsia or from Russia they arrive in Singinjang. So Sing to give an idea all of you they have so much energy that
54:5454 minutes, 54 secondsthey are selling energy to the rest of China.
54:5854 minutes, 58 secondsSo they mean this means uh being deprived of the gas the oil the gas no because the gas they it can go over land
55:0755 minutes, 7 secondsvia Turk Manistan for in Iran can u the gas can go from Iran to Turkmanistan and then it enters that gigantic pipeline
55:1655 minutes, 16 secondsthat the Chinese paid for by the way from Turkmanistan to Shinja. uh what goes through the straight of our moves
55:2355 minutes, 23 secondsis a fraction of what China needs and considering that they have diversified that they have enough strategic reserves
55:3155 minutes, 31 secondsthey are not worried about it furthermore so this is not they have Russia as well on their border I'm sorry
55:3955 minutes, 39 secondsand they and they have Russia as well to back them up but Russia supply is just not enough to compensate for what's coming out of the Gulf you know they can bump uh power of
55:4855 minutes, 48 secondsSiberia one Assuming the Russians still have some extra capacity, they can sell
55:5455 minutes, 54 secondsuh they can ship more gas via Power of Siberia 1 to China. And of course, Power of Siberia 2. Uh they're going to
56:0356 minutes, 3 secondsaccelerate it. Uh it was supposed to be ready by 2029. Is quite possible that it could be ready by the end of next year.
56:1156 minutes, 11 secondsSo long term, the Chinese are not worried. Short term, they think they [snorts] uh you know, they they are
56:1856 minutes, 18 secondscovered. So, so you don't see any alarm coming from some of the best scholars in China. You know, I I I I make a point of
56:2656 minutes, 26 secondsreading some of the best ones, Chinese publications every day to see, are they freaking out with the war? No, not at all. In fact, they are mo they are
56:3556 minutes, 35 secondsmocking the strategic blunder of the Trump administration. That's the the running theme everywhere, you know.
56:4456 minutes, 44 secondsAll right. We'll see how this develops.
56:4556 minutes, 45 secondsI hope the the point we made initially that Trump tackles out of this, seeks an offramp, but this ends sooner rather than later, um, uh, eventualizes for the sake of everyone involved. But, uh,
56:5656 minutes, 56 secondsPepe, always a pleasure to speak to you. Thank you, sir.
56:5956 minutes, 59 secondsAlways a pleasure, Mario. Take care of yourself in Dubai. Yeah, thank [laughter] you.

[admin]

UAE billionaire asks Trump: Who authorised turning our region into a war zone? Khalaf Al Habtoor, chairman of Al Habtoor Group, says the Gulf and Middle Eastern countries, and their people, are not arenas for settling scores among the great powers
by Waheed Abbas
Khaleej Times
PUBLISHED: Thu 5 Mar 2026, 12:12 PM UPDATED: Thu 5 Mar 2026, 12:18 PM
https://www.khaleejtimes.com/uae/uae-bi ... fresh=true

[Editor's Note: Follow Khaleej Times live blog amid Israeli, US strikes on Iran for the latest regional developments.]

The UAE billionaire Khalaf Al Habtoor on Thursday wrote an open letter to the US President Donald Trump questioning his authority to drag the Gulf and the Middle East into the ongoing military conflict with Iran.

The founder of Al Habtoor Group raised many questions in his open and candid letter, authored in Arabic and shared on the social media platform X, asking Trump whether it was solely his decision to go to war or whether he was influenced by the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The US and Israel launched attacks against Iran on Saturday, targeting its leadership and military infrastructure. Following the US-Israel attack, Iran launched missile and drone attacks on the UAE and other Gulf countries. The majority of those missiles and drones were intercepted and destroyed.

The UAE and its neighbouring countries have been calling on all parties to end the conflict and engage in peace talks.

“You have placed the Gulf Cooperation Council and the Arab countries at the heart of a danger they did not choose. Thank God, we are strong and capable of defending ourselves. We have armies and defences that protect our homelands. But the question remains: Who gave you permission to turn our region into a battlefield?” said Al Habtoor.

[x]
Khalaf Al Habtoor. Photo: Al Habtoor Group

He pointed out that the US decision to go to war with Iran not only threatens the people of this region but also the American people, whom he promised peace and prosperity.

“They are, today, finding themselves in a war funded by their money and taxes, with costs ranging, according to the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS), between $40 and $65 billion for direct military operations, and $210 billion if economic impacts and indirect losses if the war lasts four to five weeks.”

Al Habtoor Group has been very vocal in sharing its views on local, regional and global issues. He also funds a think tank to highlight and bring solutions to topical issues.

Promise not fulfilled

Al Habtoor said the US President broke his promises of not getting involved in wars.

“You ordered foreign military interventions during your second term in seven countries: Somalia, Iraq, Yemen, Nigeria, Syria, Iran, and Venezuela, in addition to naval operations in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific Ocean. You directed more than 658 foreign airstrikes in your first year in office, which equals the total strikes in (ex-US President Joe) Biden's entire term, for which you directed your arrows of criticism for involving the United States in foreign wars.”

As a result of these decisions, the Dubai-based billionaire warned the US president that his approval ratings among Americans had declined by about nine per cent in just 400 days.

“These numbers say something clear: Even within the US, there is growing concern about being dragged into a new war, and about exposing the lives of Americans, their economy, and their future to unnecessary risks… If these initiatives were launched in the name of peace, then we have the right today to demand full transparency and clear accountability,” said Al Habtoor.

Who is accountable?

In another message shared on X, Khalaf Al Habtoor questioned who would be held accountable for the damages inflicted on the Gulf and Middle East.

“Who will pay the price for the tensions imposed on us as a result of a conflict we have no part in among Iran, America and Israel?” he said, adding that the entire region bears the consequences of the war involving three countries.

“Our economies, our security, and the stability of our peoples are not arenas for settling scores among the great powers. We are advocates of stability and peace, and we did not choose to be part of this confrontation. Yet we find ourselves paying the price for an escalation we did not create,” he added.

“The question that must be asked clearly today is: Who is responsible and who will compensate for the losses incurred by the region’s
countries and peoples due to the conflicts of others? The region needs a cool head, not more reactions that fan the flames higher,” he concluded.

*****************

‘Who gave you authority to drag us into war?’: UAE billionaire Khalaf Al Habtoor questions Trump over Iran strike
by Sipu Jha
Soch Times
March 6, 2026
https://sochtimes.com/2026/03/06/who-ga ... an-strike/

Khalaf Ahmad Al Habtoor
@KhalafAlHabtoor

Translated from Arabic

A direct question: Who gave you the authority to drag our region into a war is #Iran? And on what basis did you make this dangerous decision?

Did you calculate the collateral damage before pulling the trigger? And did you consider that the first to suffer from this escalation will be the countries of the region itself!

The peoples of this region have the right to ask as well: Was this your decision alone? Or did it come as a result of pressures from #Netanyahu and his government?

You have placed the countries of the #GulfCooperationCouncil and the Arab countries at the heart of a danger they did not choose. Thank God, we are strong and capable of defending ourselves, and we have armies and defenses that protect our homelands, but the question remains: Who gave you permission to turn our region into a battlefield?

The US and Israel launched attacks against Iran on Saturday, targeting its leadership and military infrastructure. Following the US-Israel attack, Iran launched missile and drone attacks on the UAE and other Gulf countries. The majority of those missiles and drones were intercepted and destroyed.The UAE and its neighbouring countries have been calling on all parties to end the conflict and engage in peace talks.“You have placed the Gulf Cooperation Council and the Arab countries at the heart of a danger they did not choose. Thank God, we are strong and capable of defending ourselves. We have armies and defences that protect our homelands. But the question remains: Who gave you permission to turn our region into a battlefield?” said Al Habtoor.He said the US decision to go to war with Iran threatened the people of the region and the American people, whom he promised peace and prosperity.“And here they are today, finding themselves in a war funded from their money and taxes, with costs ranging, according to the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS), between 40-65 billion dollars for direct military operations, and could reach 210 billion dollars including economic impacts and indirect losses if it lasts four to five weeks, not to mention the sacrifice of Americans themselves in a war in which they have neither camel nor she-camel.”Al Habtoor Group has been vocal in sharing its views on local, regional and global issues. He also funds a think tank to highlight and bring solutions to topical issues.Al Habtoor said the US President broke his promises of not getting involved in wars.“You ordered foreign military interventions during your second term in seven countries: Somalia, Iraq, Yemen, Nigeria, Syria, Iran, and Venezuela, in addition to naval operations in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific Ocean. You directed more than 658 foreign airstrikes in your first year in office, which equals the total strikes in (ex-US President Joe) Biden’s entire term, for which you directed your arrows of criticism for involving the United States in foreign wars.”He warned the US President that his approval ratings among Americans declined by about nine per cent in just 400 days as a result of these decisions.“These numbers say something clear: Even within the US, there is growing concern about being dragged into a new war, and about exposing the lives of Americans, their economy, and their future to unnecessary risks… If these initiatives were launched in the name of peace, then we have the right today to demand full transparency and clear accountability,” said Al Habtoor.In another message shared on X, Khalaf Al Habtoor questioned who would be held accountable for the damages inflicted on the Gulf and Middle East.“Who will pay the price for the tensions imposed on us as a result of a conflict we have no part in among Iran, America and Israel?” he said, adding that the entire region bears the consequences of the war involving three countries.“Our economies, our security, and the stability of our peoples are not arenas for settling scores among the great powers. We are advocates of stability and peace, and we did not choose to be part of this confrontation. Yet we find ourselves paying the price for an escalation we did not create,” he added.“The question that must be asked clearly today is: Who is responsible and who will compensate for the losses incurred by the region’s countries and peoples due to the conflicts of others? The region needs a cool head, not more reactions that fan the flames higher,” he concluded.

[admin]

Pepe Escobar : China: Watching the missiles flow
By amarynth In China
March 11, 2026

The blockade of Hormuz may break the West. But it won’t break China.

Strategic Culture

Let’s cut to the chase: BRICS is in deep coma. Blown up, at least temporarily, by India – which happens to host the BRICS summit later this year. Talk about horrendous timing.

India has betrayed, sequentially, both full BRICS members Russia and Iran. By sealing its alignment with the Epstein Syndicate, New Delhi has proved, without the shadow of a doubt, not only that it’s untrustworthy: more than that, its whole lofty rhetoric of “leading the Global South” has collapsed – for good.

BRICS will have to be completely revamped: even Grandmaster Sergey Lavrov will have to reach this inescapable conclusion. The original Primakov triangle, “RIC”, once again dies another day. Even if India is not expelled from BRICS – it could be suspended – “RIC” will necessarily have to be translated as Russia-Iran-China, or even “RIIC” (Russia-Iran-Indonesia-China).

When it comes to where we stand on the Grand Chessboard, Prof. Michael Hudson synthesizes it: “The great enabling fiction is gone. America is not protecting the world from attack by Russia, China and Iran. Its long-term aim of controlling the world oil trade requires ongoing terrorism and permanent war in the Middle East.”

Whatever happens next, ongoing terrorism across West Asia will remain – as in the Epstein Syndicate, out of pervert impotence and sheer rage, unleashing a Black Rain over the civilian (italics mine) population of Tehran because Iranians refused to go for regime change.

Moreover, the heart of the matter until at least the mid-century is more crystal clear than ever. Either the Exceptionalist system of international chaos prevails. Or it will be replaced by Global South-driven equality, with China leading from behind.

This is a two-part analysis on key BRICS interplay related to the war on Iran. Here we focus on China. Next we will focus on Russia and India.

Don’t shoot! I’m Chinese owned!

Clueless MICIMATT (military-industrial-congressional-intelligence-media-academia-think tank complex) speculation about US intel “suggesting” China is preparing to help Iran is, once again, evidence of how Chinese sophistication total evades the puny “analyses” emanating from Barbaria.

First of all: energy. China and Iran follow a $400 billion, mutually beneficial 25-year agreement that essentially interlocks energy and infrastructure investment.

For all practical purposes, the Strait of Hormuz is blocked because of panicky Western insurance withdrawal. Not because Tehran blocked it.

China receives 90% of total Iran crude oil exports; that represents 12% of total Chinese imports. The key point is that China still has access to Iranian exports as well as Saudi, Emirati, Kuwaiti, Qatari and Iraqi exports: that’s because the strategic partnership Tehran-Beijing is iron-clad, meaning that Chinese-bound tankers can cross the Strait of Hormuz back and forth.

Beijing-Tehran negotiated a bilateral safe passage, operational since last Friday, in what for all practical purposes is a multilaterally-closed crucial maritime corridor. It’s no wonder that more and more tankers are now texting on their transponders the magic words Chinese Owned (italics mine). That’s their naval diplomatic passport.

Translation – and that’s a mega-game-changer: the end of the thalassocratic hegemony of the Empire of Chaos.

“Freedom of navigation” in selected maritime connectivity corridors now means “a deal with China”. Chinese owned, OK; but not European, Japanese or even South Korean.

What Tehran gets, in spades,is high-tech Chinese help for the war with the Epstein Syndicate. And that started even before the war.

The Chinese intel gathering Liaowang-1, a next generation SIGINT (signals intelligence) and space tracking vessel, for weeks has been navigating near the coast of Oman, providing Iran with real-time electromagnetic intel on the Epstein Syndicate’s naval and aerial movements.

That accounts to an enormous degree for the pinpoint accuracy of most Iranian strikes.

The Liaowang-1, escorted by Type 055 and Type 052D destroyers, carries at least five radar domes and high-gain antennas, accurately tracking at least 1,200 air and missile targets simultaneously using deep neural network algorithms. The range of its sensors is roughly 6,000 kilometers.

The beauty is that those sensors can equally track a Chinese satellite or an American carrier.

Translation: China is helping its strategic partner without firing a single shot, just by sailing a neural network processing surveillance platform in international waters.

So yes: China is recording the war, live, 24/7.

Complementing the Liaowang-1, over 300 Jilin-1 satellites record literally everything, constituting a massive ISR database of the Empire of Chaos in action.

There won’t be any official confirmation either from Tehran or Beijing. But Chinese real-life intel, relayed on Beidou, was certainly crucial for Tehran to totally destroy the US 5th Fleet infrastructure in Bahrain – a comprehensive radar, intel and database center and the backbone of US hegemony in West Asia.

This chapter of the war, tackled right at the beginning, reveals how Tehran went to the jugular when it comes to smashing the imperially designed power play of controlling strategic chokepoints and energy transit, thus denying Chinese access to them.

As stunning as it sounds, what we are watching, in real time, is Iran denying key maritime chokepoints, ports and naval connectivity corridors to the Empire of Chaos. For the moment, that’s Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. Soon it may be, with the help of the Yemeni Houthis, also the Bab-al-Mandeb.

Now that’s a max game-changer profiting not only China but also Russia – which needs to keep its maritime export routes open.

Got money, go East

Now let’s follow the money. China holds $760 billion in US Treasury bonds. Beijing has ordered its whole banking system to sell their Treasures like there’s no tomorrow, and simultaneously hoard gold.

China and Iran already trade in yuan. From now on, the BRICS lab experimenting with alternative payment systems must reach escape velocity. That involves all mechanisms being tested – from BRICS Pay to The Unit.

Then there’s the incoming money exodus. Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar and Kuwait are already “reviewing” every deal – dodgy or otherwise – they have struck with Washington. Collectively, they control no less than $2 trillion in US investments: Treasury bonds, Silicon Valley tech stakes, real estate, the works.

A tsunami of cash is beginning to invade East Asia. The favorite destination, as it stands, is Thailand – not Hong Kong. That will come – and once again, it will immensely profit China as Hong Kong is one of the key nodes of the Greater Bay Area, alongside Shenzhen and Guangzhou.

China’s strategic and commercial crude reserves are enough for up to 4 months. Apart from that, imports of crude and natural gas can be increased, by sea and by pipelines, from Russia, Kazakhstan and Myanmar.

So a mix of enough strategic reserves; several supply sources; and “demand-side shift from oil to electricity” qualify once again as Chinese resilience. The blockade of Hormuz may break the West. But it won’t break China.

[admin]

Iran Breaks Through Israel's Iron Dome With New Hypersonic Cluster Missiles
Global Military Update
Mar 11, 2026 #IranWar #MiddleEastCrisis #Iran
#IranWar #MiddleEastCrisis #Iran #WarUpdate #MilitaryNews

Iran’s hypersonic and cluster-armed missiles just pushed Israel’s air defenses to the limit. In Wave 37 of Operation True Promise Four, Iran launched its longest and heaviest barrage yet: three straight hours of fire using Fattah hypersonics, Khorramshahr heavy missiles, and cluster warheads that Israeli defenses say have been used in roughly half of Iran’s ballistic attacks since February 28.

In this video, we break down:
• How Wave 37 changed the war with three hours of sustained missile fire
• Why Fattah hypersonic missiles and cluster warheads are creating new problems for Iron Dome, Arrow, and David’s Sling
• What the IDF admitted about Iran’s missile adaptation and why the threat is getting harder, not easier, to stop
• How strikes on radars, communications, and satellite relay sites are setting up heavier follow-on attacks
• Why schools stayed closed and Israeli officials warned that “more difficult days” are ahead

Sources:
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/03...
https://www.thestatesman.com/world/ir...
https://www.islamtimes.com/en/news/12...
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/art...
https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2026/03/...
https://israel-alma.org/daily-report-...
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/v...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZsM3joS_Dc


Transcript

0:00In direct response to America's threats,
0:011 secondIran fired its hypersonic ballistic missiles carrying over a ton of explosives, each directly at military targets across central Israel. Fata
0:099 secondsmissiles reaching Mach 15 on re-entry and Cororum Shar ballistic missiles armed with cluster munitions broke through Israel's multi-layered missile
0:1616 secondsdefense network. This was the 37th wave of Operation True Promise 4, the single longest and heaviest attack Iran has launched since this war began. three
0:2525 secondscontinuous hours of sustained fire while American media was still claiming Iranian strikes had dropped 90%. This conflict just entered a new phase. Over
0:3333 secondsthe next few minutes, you'll see what the Western media has been keeping from you and where Iran's new strategy is leading the war next. Here's what we know. Last night on the 10th of March,
0:4242 secondsIran deployed every tier of its missile arsenal simultaneously. The Cororum carries between 1500 and 1,800 kg of
0:4949 secondsexplosives. It traces its lineage to North Korean Hasang 10 technology transferred in the 2000s and uses hypergolic liquid fuel, meaning it can
0:5858 secondssit loaded on a launcher for extended periods ready to fire within 12 to 15 minutes. That matters because it shrinks the window for preemptive strikes to
1:061 minute, 6 secondsalmost nothing. The FO1 uses a maneuverable re-entry vehicle that shifts course during its terminal descent. Iran claims the FOD 2 goes
1:131 minute, 13 secondsfurther, carrying a hypersonic glide vehicle that adjusts trajectory during midcourse flight. Both are designed to arrive faster and less predictably than
1:211 minute, 21 secondsanything Israel's defense systems were built to track. And earlier that same day, waves 35 and 36 had already mixed in the KBAR Shechen, the Cotter, and the
1:301 minute, 30 secondsEMOD. That is not one weapon getting through. That is five different missile systems fired in overlapping waves across a single 12-h hour period. Each
1:381 minute, 38 secondsone calibrated to stress a different layer of the defense network. Before we continue, thanks a lot for tuning in.
1:441 minute, 44 secondsYour support is what keeps this show going, and I appreciate you watching. As always, pleasure. Make sure to subscribe and like the video so I can keep bringing you these critical updates.
1:531 minute, 53 secondsIran's new wave of attacks is not the behavior of an arsenal in collapse. That is a force demonstrating layered capability. The IRGC stated the 37th
2:032 minutes, 3 secondswave struck the Hyella satellite communication center south of Tel Aviv for the second time in this conflict.
2:082 minutes, 8 secondsThey also reported hitting military positions in Bear Yakov near Tel Aviv. targets in West Jerusalem and Hifa,
2:142 minutes, 14 secondsAmerican positions in Urbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, and the US Navy's fifth fleet headquarters in Bahrain. Iran additionally claimed it targeted the USS
2:222 minutes, 22 secondsAbraham Lincoln carrier and an American destroyer in the Indian Ocean. Those claims remain unverified by independent sources. What is verified is what the
2:302 minutes, 30 secondsIDF confirmed from its own end, and that confirmation is what changes the entire picture. On March the 10th, the Israeli
2:372 minutes, 37 secondsDefense Forces held a press briefing and disclosed something that reframes this entire conflict. Approximately 50% of all ballistic missiles launched by Iran
2:452 minutes, 45 secondsat Israel since February the 28th carried cluster bomb warheads, not conventional unitary warheads, cluster munitions, weapons that do not detonate
2:532 minutes, 53 secondsas a single explosion. Instead, they released dozens of smaller submunitions,
2:582 minutes, 58 secondseach packed with several kilograms of explosives scattering across a radius of up to 10 km. The IDF stated, "Iran has been firing cluster armed missiles at
3:063 minutes, 6 secondsIsrael almost daily since the war started." The Foundation for Defense of Democracies confirmed this in an analysis published on March the 11th,
3:133 minutes, 13 secondsnoting that with Iran's launcher fleet being degraded by strikes, the shift to cluster warheads is a deliberate adaptation to extract maximum damage from each individual missile that gets
3:223 minutes, 22 secondsthrough. Most people assume interception means the threat is neutralized. In reality, cluster munitions break that logic entirely. Israel's arrow system,
3:293 minutes, 29 secondsDavid's sling, the Iron Dome, they are all engineered to track and destroy a single re-entry vehicle on a calculable arc. A cluster warhead is designed to
3:373 minutes, 37 secondsfragment. If the interceptor reaches the missile before it disperses, the threat is contained. But if the warhead separates at altitude, which is what
3:453 minutes, 45 secondsthese weapons are designed to do, the submunitions scatter across kilome before any interceptor can engage them individually. One missile becomes dozens
3:533 minutes, 53 secondsof independent projectiles. And there is a second problem that rarely gets discussed. Even when a cluster armed missile is intercepted, the force of the interception can still rupture the casing and spread the bomblets outward.
4:034 minutes, 3 secondsThe defense system operates on binary math. Hit or miss, cluster ordinance operates on distribution. One warhead,
4:104 minutes, 10 seconds20 to 24 bombblelets, and a 5m radius of uh dispersal. The evidence on the ground confirms this. In Yehood, just outside
4:184 minutes, 18 secondsTel Aviv, two construction workers were killed and a third critically wounded by submunitions from a single cluster armed missile. They were outdoors. They never
4:254 minutes, 25 secondsreached a shelter. First responders near Bait Sheamesh described arriving at multiple overlapping blast scenes only meters apart, treating casualties
4:334 minutes, 33 secondssimultaneously across a scattered impact zone. More than 100 countries have signed the convention on cluster munitions, banning these weapons because
4:404 minutes, 40 secondsof their indiscriminate nature and the unexloded ordinance they leave behind for years. Iran is not a signatory.
4:464 minutes, 46 secondsNeither is Israel. Neither is the United States. Stay with me because the interception problem is only one dimension. The second is what Iran has
4:544 minutes, 54 secondsbeen doing to the systems that are supposed to make interception possible in the first place. On March the 11th,
4:594 minutes, 59 secondsthe New York Times published an analysis based on commercial satellite imagery,
5:035 minutes, 3 secondsverified video footage, and official statements. That analysis identified at least 17 American military and other facilities damaged by Iranian strikes
5:115 minutes, 11 secondsacross the Gulf region. 11 of those are US military installations. The sites include Aludade air base in Qatar, Alial
5:185 minutes, 18 secondsSalam Air Base in Camp Wearing in Kuwait and the Fifth Fleet Headquarters in Bahrain. Several were struck more than once. Satellite images show damage to
5:265 minutes, 26 secondsredones, satellite dishes, and structures adjacent to THAD/TPY,
5:315 minutes, 31 secondstwo radar systems. The tracking radars that coordinate ballistic missile interception across the entire region near Al Ruis in the United Arab
5:395 minutes, 39 secondsEmirates. Satellite imagery captured structural damage immediately adjacent to where an A/TPY2 system was positioned. If damage
5:475 minutes, 47 secondsaffected radar support or communications, it could have reduced detection and coordination, but the full operational effect has not been publicly
5:545 minutes, 54 secondsconfirmed. Senior US defense officials told the Times that Iran adapted its targeting strategy since the start of the conflict to focus specifically on
6:026 minutes, 2 secondsAmerican vulnerabilities, the interceptors and air defense systems meant to protect US forces and assets.
6:086 minutes, 8 secondsThe Times reported that Iran's ability to damage these facilities, and this is the critical phrase, defied expectations in the Trump administration. That is not
6:166 minutes, 16 secondsneutral language. Defied expectations means the planning assumptions were wrong. It means the pre-war intelligence assessment underestimated what Iran could reach and what it could damage.
6:256 minutes, 25 secondsThe Pentagon itself admitted it does not have a complete picture of all Iranian launchers still operational. Damage to the fifth fleet headquarters alone was
6:326 minutes, 32 secondsestimated at roughly $200 million. At Ali Salem, at least six structures tied to satellite communications infrastructure were destroyed or
6:406 minutes, 40 secondsdamaged. Now connect the sequence. Iran neutralized or degraded early warning radars in previous waves. Then it struck the Hyella satellite communications
6:496 minutes, 49 secondsrelay south of Tel Aviv twice. Then it hit THAAD, tracking radars and comms infrastructure across the Gulf. The pattern is systematic. Radars first,
6:576 minutes, 57 secondscommunication second. Then the heavy warheads arrive into a detection environment that can no longer see them coming or coordinate the response. The
7:057 minutes, 5 secondsCorormshaw reaches Mach 16 outside the atmosphere and Mach 8 during re-entry.
7:097 minutes, 9 secondsIf the tracking radar feeding your interceptor battery is offline, speed becomes academic. You're not shooting at what you cannot acquire. The Israeli
7:167 minutes, 16 secondsside of the counter-strike is equally intense and it is equally worth interrogating. On March the 10th, the Israeli Air Force struck regime headquarters in Thran and Trez where
7:257 minutes, 25 secondssoldiers and security personnel were gathered. Targets included a special forces headquarters, an IRGC compound, a ballistic missile launch coordination
7:337 minutes, 33 secondscenter, a security police facility, and a base compound. Dozens of jets delivered over 170 munitions across
7:407 minutes, 40 secondsTehran, Isvahan, and Shiraz. The IDF also confirmed targeting nuclear laboratories in Tran, some of which had been struck previously during the 12-day
7:487 minutes, 48 secondswar in June 2025. Israel says it has struck hundreds of military and government linked targets since the war began. In a single engagement, IDF
7:567 minutes, 56 secondssurveillance detected a missile crew in western Iran preparing to launch. A drone destroyed the armed launcher minutes before it could fire.
8:028 minutes, 2 secondsSimultaneously, the United States destroyed 16 Iranian mine laying vessels near the Straight of Hormas, a preemptive operation triggered by intelligence indicating Iran intended to deploy naval mines in the waterway.
8:128 minutes, 12 secondsAbout 20% of global oil transits that choke point. Marisk and other major shipping firms suspended or rerouted key sailings as the conflict endangered transit through the straight of Hormuz.
8:228 minutes, 22 secondsAnd there's a second front that matters here. Hezbollah entered the war on March II, launching attacks from Lebanon that opened an additional front against
8:308 minutes, 30 secondsIsrael. Israel responded with extensive strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, including targets in Beirut's Dahier district and Hezbollah linked
8:388 minutes, 38 secondsfinancial assets. The cumulative toll on the Israeli side as of March the 10th sourced from the Alma Research and Education C Center's daily report. 14
8:468 minutes, 46 secondscivilians killed, 2339 injured to varying degrees. In one 24-hour period alone, two were killed in the Tel Aviv
8:548 minutes, 54 secondsarea, and approximately 200 were wounded. More than 3,000 residents have been displaced by direct hits and falling interception debris. The
9:019 minutes, 1 seconddeadliest single event remains the march the first strike on Bait Sheamesh where an Iranian missile penetrated a communal bomb shelter beneath a synagogue killing
9:089 minutes, 8 secondsnine people including three teenage siblings. Two interceptors had been fired at that missile. Both failed to destroy it. The shelter roof collapsed.
9:169 minutes, 16 secondsNow recall the official narrative 4 days before wave 37. Caroline Livit strikes down 90%. Trump on March the 10th. Over
9:249 minutes, 24 seconds5,000 targets destroyed. 80 to 90% of launchers eliminated. Israeli broadcaster CAN 11 reported the daily missile count falling from roughly 90 on
9:339 minutes, 33 secondsday 1 to 65 on day two to 25 on day three to 20 on day four. By day six, the White House presented the decline as
9:409 minutes, 40 secondsproof the campaign was working. By day 10, multiple analysts credited joint suppression efforts with eliminating as many as 75% of Iran's operational
9:489 minutes, 48 secondslauncher fleet. Most people look at a falling launch rate and see a weakening enemy. In reality, the CON 11 data reveals something the headline number conceals. While the volume of launches
9:579 minutes, 57 secondsdropped, the missiles themselves got bigger and more capable with each successive wave. Iran was not running out. It was sequencing volume first to
10:0510 minutes, 5 secondssaturate defenses and exposed detection gaps. Heavy warheads later into a degraded detection environment. Wave 37 is the end point of that sequence. 3 hours class payloads, FTA hypersonics,
10:1710 minutes, 17 secondscluster munitions across central Israel. Multiple theaters hit simultaneously.
10:2110 minutes, 21 secondsThe IDF assessed at the start of this war that Iran possessed approximately 2500 ballistic missiles and was accelerating production at dozens per
10:2910 minutes, 29 secondsmonth. Before 2026, Iran had been working to expand its stockpile from roughly 3,000 toward a target of 8,000
10:3610 minutes, 36 secondswithin 2 years. During the 12-day war in June 2020, five, Israel destroyed hundreds of missiles in strikes and disrupted production of 1,500 more by
10:4510 minutes, 45 secondstargeting manufacturing sites. Iran rebuilt the morning after wave 37. IDF Homeront Command Chief Major General
10:5210 minutes, 52 secondsShea Clapper addressed the country from northern Israel. His words, "More difficult days are expected. Schools remain closed and gathering restrictions
11:0011 minutesstayed in place pending further assessment. That is not the posture of a military that believes its adversary is spent. Both governments claim escalation
11:0811 minutes, 8 secondsdominance." And the most devastating barrage of this entire war landed 4 days after the White House told the world the threat was 90% gone. The gap between
11:1611 minutes, 16 secondsthose two realities is not a reporting error. It is the war itself and neither side has a theory for ending it that matches the situation actually unfolding
11:2411 minutes, 24 secondson the ground. Thanks a lot for watching. I really appreciate your support. Join the discussion in the comments below. Let me know your thoughts.

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Iran Just Fired 90 Ballistic Missiles at Tel Aviv in One Night
Money over history and Geld über Geschichte
Mar 11, 2026

Iran launched a massive overnight missile barrage targeting Tel Aviv and central Israel, with reports of dozens of ballistic missiles fired in multiple waves over several hours. Air-raid sirens sounded across the city as Israel’s air defense systems scrambled to intercept incoming projectiles. Explosions were reported across the Tel Aviv metropolitan area as missiles and interception debris lit up the night sky.

In this video, we break down what happened during the 3-hour missile barrage, how many missiles were launched, and how Israel’s Iron Dome and Arrow defense systems responded to the attack. Iranian missile strikes have repeatedly targeted major Israeli cities during the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, with ballistic missile waves sending civilians into shelters across central Israel.

We also analyze the military strategy behind Iran’s missile campaign, the potential escalation in the Middle East, and what this means for the ongoing war between Iran, Israel, and their allies.



Transcript

0:00At some point in the early hours of March 11th, nobody agrees exactly when because there were so many sirens that Israelis stopped counting, a
0:077 secondsnotification arrived on millions of Israeli mobile phones. It was not from the homeront command. It was not from the IDF. It was not a government alert.
0:1515 secondsThe message was signed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. In plain text, sent directly to Israeli civilian phones. It said, "Your government is lying to you. Missiles are on their way.
0:2424 secondsNo shelter can keep you safe." That message arrived in the middle of the longest sustained overnight missile barrage Tel Aviv had experienced since this war began. For approximately 3
0:3333 secondshours, Iranian ballistic missiles and drones arrived in waves over central Israel. Sirens did not stop long enough for people to return to their beds.
0:4141 secondsFamilies went to shelters and stayed there, not for minutes, but for hours.
0:4545 secondsBuildings across Tel Aviv sustained damage. Vehicles on the streets filled with the residue of explosions and falling debris. When dawn came, millions
0:5252 secondsof Israelis had not slept. That was the point. This is the dimension of this war that most people have not fully understood because it does not produce the dramatic satellite images of a
1:011 minute, 1 seconddestroyed building or the clear headline of a military objective achieved. It produces something slower and more corrosive. Exhaustion, sleep
1:091 minute, 9 secondsdeprivation, the psychological unraveling of a civilian population that cannot predict when the next siren will sound, cannot trust that the shelter
1:161 minute, 16 secondsthey run to is safe, and cannot turn to their phones for information without finding an IRGC message telling them their own leaders are deceiving them.
1:241 minute, 24 secondsIsraeli analysts quoted across multiple outlets have been explicit about what Iran is doing. It is not trying to destroy Tel Aviv. It is trying to
1:321 minute, 32 secondsdestroy the Israeli government's ability to keep its own people willing to endure. The Alazer correspondent in the West Bank reported this verbatim that
1:391 minute, 39 secondsIran's strategy is to keep millions of Israelis in shelters throughout the night, creating political pressure so intense that the Israeli government loses the domestic mandate to continue
1:481 minute, 48 secondsthe war. Iran does not need to win on the battlefield. It needs Israel's citizens to decide that no military objective is worth this. To understand
1:561 minute, 56 secondswhy this strategy has intensified so dramatically in the last 48 hours, why the warheads are getting heavier, why the overnight barges are getting longer,
2:032 minutes, 3 secondswhy the psychological operations have escalated to direct text messages on Israeli civilian phones. You need to understand who is giving the orders now.
2:112 minutes, 11 secondsOn March 8th, Mustava Kamani was confirmed as Iran's new supreme leader.
2:152 minutes, 15 secondsHe is 55 years old. He has never held public office. He has no formal military title in his background. He inherited a war he did not start. Commanding a
2:232 minutes, 23 secondsmilitary apparatus that has already burned through a significant portion of its ballistic missile stockpile against an adversary with American air power,
2:302 minutes, 30 secondsIsraeli intelligence networks, and the most sophisticated air defense architecture in the Middle East. And he is the son of a man who was killed by American and Israeli bombs on the first day of that war along with his mother,
2:422 minutes, 42 secondshis sister, his daughter, his niece, his brother-in-law, and his son-in-law.
2:462 minutes, 46 secondsEvery close family member killed in a single strike. The IRGC, according to multiple Iranian military sources and reporting by outlets tracking the
2:542 minutes, 54 secondsconflict, has confirmed a decision made after Mojaba took command. No future missile attack on Israel will use a warhead smaller than one metric ton. The
3:033 minutes, 3 secondsovernight barrage on March 11th included warheads of two metric tonses. 2,000 kgs of explosive delivered by a single ballistic missile into one of the most densely populated urban areas on Earth.
3:143 minutes, 14 secondsFor context, the warhead that collapsed the civilian bomb shelter in Beth Shemesh on March 1st. The strike that killed nine people even inside a
3:213 minutes, 21 secondsreinforced underground structure weighed approximately 500 kg. Most first command decision was to quadruple the minimum
3:293 minutes, 29 secondsdestructive payload of every missile Iran fires at Israel. That is not a military calculation. That is a grieving man with access to a ballistic missile
3:373 minutes, 37 secondsarsenal making a decision that every military strategist in the world is now watching. Because the gap between personal vengeance and strategic
3:443 minutes, 44 secondsdiscipline is where wars become uncontrollable. The text message on Israeli civilian phones was not a random escalation. The heavier warheads were
3:533 minutes, 53 secondsnot a random escalation. The three-hour overnight barrage was not a random escalation. Moshaba Kamune has inherited a war, a military, and a grief that has
4:014 minutes, 1 secondno diplomatic equivalent. And for 12 days now, Israel and America have been absorbing what that combination produces. one city block at a time, one
4:094 minutes, 9 secondssleepless night at a time, one text message at a time. The information war running alongside the physical war is something neither government wants you
4:174 minutes, 17 secondsto examine too closely because both sides are fighting it. Both sides are losing control of it. And the gap between what both governments are saying and what is actually happening has
4:254 minutes, 25 secondsbecome one of the defining features of this conflict. Begin with what Iran did to Israeli phones. The IRGC mass text to Israeli civilians was not a single
4:344 minutes, 34 secondsincident. It was the escalation point of an information campaign that has been running since day one. The Jerusalem Post and Israel's National Cyber
4:414 minutes, 41 secondsDirectorate both confirmed that since the war began, Iranian actors and pro-Iranian hacker groups have conducted over 2,000 threatening communications
4:504 minutes, 50 secondstargeting Israeli institutions. Cyber security firm Radwware reported a 700%
4:544 minutes, 54 secondssurge in malicious activity within the first 48 hours of the war. DOS attacks,
4:594 minutes, 59 secondsinfiltration attempts against critical infrastructure, data theft, and malware distribution. The cyber directorate warned Israelis specifically about fake
5:065 minutes, 6 secondstext messages claiming shelter attacks were imminent, urging civilians to stay out of bomb shelters. A direct attempt to make Israelis choose between the risk
5:145 minutes, 14 secondsof a missile and the risk of a message telling them the shelter was the danger.
5:185 minutes, 18 secondsThe IRGC's mass text message signed in its own name sent in Hebrew claiming that American radar systems had been destroyed and that no shelter was safe
5:265 minutes, 26 secondsrepresented the shift from anonymous cyber operations to overt psychological operations. Iran stopped hiding behind anonymous actors and put its own
5:335 minutes, 33 secondsinstitutional name on a message delivered to Israeli civilian phones during an active missile barrage. Israel has run the same operation in reverse.
5:415 minutes, 41 secondsOn the first day of the war, Israel co-opted a popular Iranian religious calendar app, the Bates Saba app, with more than 5 million downloads and sent
5:495 minutes, 49 secondsmass notifications to Iranian phones urging IRGC soldiers and regular army members to desert. The era of the dictators is over. Do not sacrifice your
5:585 minutes, 58 secondslives for a regime that has already fallen. Lay down your arms. That operation reported by the Wall Street Journal was designed to maximize defections from Iran's military in the
6:066 minutes, 6 secondsfirst hours of the war before the regime could regain communication control.
6:106 minutes, 10 secondsNeither operation has achieved its stated goal. Iranian troops did not defect in significant numbers. Israeli civilians did not abandon shelters based
6:186 minutes, 18 secondson fake IRGC texts. But both operations have done something else. They have created an environment in which both populations no longer fully trust any
6:266 minutes, 26 secondsinformation reaching them from their own governments, from the other side, from their phones, from official channels. In a war where managing civilian resolve is as important as battlefield outcomes,
6:376 minutes, 37 secondsthat trust collapse is itself a strategic weapon. Now look at what is happening inside that information vacuum on the American side. Trump called the
6:446 minutes, 44 secondsIran war a short-term excursion in a press conference in Dal, Florida on March 9th. He said it would be over very
6:516 minutes, 51 secondssoon. He told the Times of Israel that the decision to end the war would be mutual between himself and Netanyahu.
6:576 minutes, 57 secondsIsraeli media, including the Jerusalem Post, immediately noted that the phrase very much complete, used by Trump,
7:047 minutes, 4 secondsraised some concerns among Israeli officials about alignment between Washington and Jerusalem on war objectives. Multiple American media outlets, Reuters, the New York Times,
7:147 minutes, 14 secondsthe Washington Post have all separately reported that the Pentagon is underounting American casualties. The number of confirmed US soldiers killed
7:217 minutes, 21 secondspublicly stands at seven. Anonymous US officials and military sources speaking to reporters suggests the true number is significantly higher with many
7:297 minutes, 29 secondsadditional wounded who are being categorized in ways that do not trigger public reporting requirements. A senior defense analyst quoted in Reuters said
7:367 minutes, 36 secondsbluntly that the reported numbers do not match the operational picture from bases across the Gulf. Iran's President Pzeskian made Trump's unconditional
7:447 minutes, 44 secondssurrender demand the center of his public response. The Iranian people, he said, would take that demand to its grave. Iran's foreign minister, Arachi,
7:527 minutes, 52 secondsposted on social media calling the US operation operation epic mistake and said Iran has many surprises in store.
8:008 minutesThe IRGC confirmed publicly that its drone and missile factories have been ordered to operate at double capacity,
8:068 minutes, 6 seconds24 hours a day, 7 days a week, building the stockpile back as fast as combat operations consume it. And through all of this, through the contradictory statements, the undercounted casualties,
8:168 minutes, 16 secondsthe heavier warheads, the text messages on civilian phones, the Trump press conference calling a war entering its second week a short-term excursion. The
8:248 minutes, 24 secondspeople of Israel are running to shelters at 3:00 in the morning and finding on their phones when they get there, a message from Iran telling them their government is lying. The information war
8:338 minutes, 33 secondsis not a sideshow. It is the war inside the war. And right now, nobody is winning it cleanly. Let us be direct about what the next phase of this war
8:418 minutes, 41 secondslooks like because the signals are all pointing in the same direction and neither government is being honest with their own people about where this goes.
8:488 minutes, 48 secondsIran has declared publicly through the IRGC that it has the capacity to sustain this war at its current intensity for at least 6 months. That is not a boast. It
8:578 minutes, 57 secondsis a strategic declaration of endurance designed to communicate to Washington that any timeline Trump announces publicly for ending the war will be met
9:049 minutes, 4 secondswith Iranian operations that contradict it. Trump says very soon. Iran fires three hours of missiles at Tel Aviv overnight. Trump says short-term
9:139 minutes, 13 secondsexcursion. Iran sends text messages to Israeli civilian phones at 3 in the morning. The gap between the presidential statement and the operational reality is being filled by
9:229 minutes, 22 secondsIran deliberately in real time. The economic pressure on Israel is documented and accelerating. Netanyahu and Finance Minister Smutrich issued a
9:309 minutes, 30 secondsjoint statement on March 10th, saying the war requires a special budget of tens of billions of shekels, a figure that Israel's current fiscal architecture cannot absorb without
9:399 minutes, 39 secondssignificant restructuring. Smotish announced the temporary suspension of multiple legislative priorities,
9:449 minutes, 44 secondsincluding the ultraorththodox draft exemption law to focus resources on the war effort. Israel is a country of approximately 9.5 million people. It
9:529 minutes, 52 secondscannot sustain a total war footing indefinitely without economic consequences that cascade through every sector of its society. Israeli airlines
10:0110 minutes, 1 secondhave stopped publishing flight schedules. The airports are effectively closed to normal commercial traffic.
10:0510 minutes, 5 secondsIsraelis with means to leave are heading to airports and finding no departures.
10:0910 minutes, 9 secondsIsraelis without means are staying in apartments that may have no safe rooms,
10:1310 minutes, 13 secondsrunning to public shelters, and waking up to find an IRGC message on their phone telling them the shelter was not safe either. The Israeli government's
10:2110 minutes, 21 secondsposition officially is that this war is on schedule, objectives are being achieved, and Iranian military capability is being systematically
10:2910 minutes, 29 secondsdegraded. The evidence supports some of this. US Sentcom confirmed that Iranian ballistic missile launches dropped approximately 90% from day one to day
10:3810 minutes, 38 secondssix, the result of Israeli and American strikes destroying over 300 Iranian mobile missile launchers. Iran's navy has been described by the White House as
10:4610 minutes, 46 secondscombat ineffective after American forces sank more than 50 Iranian naval vessels.
10:5110 minutes, 51 secondsB2 stealth bombers dropped bunker penetrating munitions on deeply buried Iranian missile sites, but the rate of launches dropping 90% from 90 per day
10:5910 minutes, 59 secondsstill means launches happening every day. Missiles are still reaching Tel Aviv. Cluster warheads are still scattering submunitions across central Israeli neighborhoods. Overnight
11:0811 minutes, 8 secondsbarriages are still preventing millions of people from sleeping. And Iran,
11:1211 minutes, 12 secondsaccording to its own public statements and the factory orders that have been confirmed, is building new missiles and drones as fast as it fires the ones it
11:1911 minutes, 19 secondshas. Washington Post reporting confirmed that a few senior Israeli officials have begun asking privately how this war ends. They are not calling for
11:2611 minutes, 26 secondssurrender. They are asking a question that has no official answer. What does Israeli victory actually look like? And is the current military campaign
11:3311 minutes, 33 secondsproducing it? The US military's stated position is that it needs four to six weeks to achieve its objectives. Its objectives, as stated by White House
11:4111 minutes, 41 secondspress secretary Caroline Levit, are destroy Iran's missile program, ensure Iran never obtains a nuclear weapon, and end Iranian proxy capability to
11:4911 minutes, 49 secondsdestabilize the region. None of those objectives has a clear military finish line. Destroying every missile launcher in Iran is not the same as destroying Iran's capacity to build more.
11:5911 minutes, 59 secondsPreventing nuclear weapons acquisition is a permanent monitoring requirement,
12:0212 minutes, 2 secondsnot a one-time military outcome. Ending proxy capability requires either regime change or a durable political agreement,
12:0912 minutes, 9 secondsneither of which is currently on the table because Iran's new supreme leader is not negotiating and America's demand of unconditional surrender has been
12:1612 minutes, 16 secondsrejected publicly and repeatedly by every Iranian official with a microphone. Moshaba Kame has now been supreme leader for 4 days. In that time,
12:2512 minutes, 25 secondshe has ordered heavier warheads. He has authorized overnight barges. He has not reached out to any mediator. He has not signaled any interest in any ceasefire
12:3212 minutes, 32 secondsunder any terms. He has, according to the IRGC's own public statements, given standing orders to sustain the war at maximum intensity. A man who lost his entire family in a single air strike,
12:4312 minutes, 43 secondsholding the command authority over the largest missile arsenal in the Middle East, with three nuclear powers backing him and his factories running double shift, is the person that America and
12:5212 minutes, 52 secondsIsrael need to either defeat or negotiate with. There is no third option in this war. The text messages will keep coming. The missiles will keep flying.
13:0013 minutesThe overnight sirens will keep sounding.
13:0213 minutes, 2 secondsAnd in the shelters of Tel Aviv, on the phones of families who have not slept through the night since February 28th,
13:0813 minutes, 8 secondsthe screen will keep lighting up with messages from a man who has nothing left to lose and everything left to