Trump’s claims regime change in Iran complete, wants partnership with new leader | Janta Ka Reporter
Janta Ka Reporter
Mar 23, 2026
US President Donald Trump has now claimed that he would take the responsibility of policing the Strait of Hormuz in partnership with the new Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. Rifat Jawaid says that this shows just how out of touch the US president has been about Iran.
Transcript
Donald Trump today exposed himself in a spectacular manner yet again. Not that the world needed any proof of his
derangement, but he confirmed his mental instability today when he made several crazy statements while talking to the
members of the media. The highlight of his press conference was not his fake claims of starting diplomatic talks with
Iran, but his intention to run the state of Formuz with the new Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatah Mushtab.
I'm not making this up. He actually said this. This would be the broad focus of my video tonight. Also in my video, a
group of Jewish radicals trying to stop Al Jazzer reporters from doing their job in the heart of London and the police
not taking effective measures against these Jewish thugs. So please stay tuned. So Trump today said that he had
started holding talks with the Iranians in a bit to end the conflict. We have had very very strong talks.
We'll see where they lead. We have point major points of agreement. I would almost all points of agreement. Perhaps
that hasn't been conveyed. The communication, as you know, has been blown to pieces. They're unable to talk to each other, but we've had very strong
talks. Mr. Whit and Mr. Kushner had them. Uh they went, I would say
perfectly. I would say that if they carry through with that, it'll end that that problem, that conflict. And I think it'll end it very very substantially.
We have very much in mind our partners in the Middle East. We've had great relationships with a lot of them as you know. A lot of them were surprisingly
hit and uh I was surprised to see it and so was everyone else. But we've have uh they're very much in mind in the
discussions. So the discussions took place yesterday. They went into yesterday evening. Uh
they want very much to make a deal. We'd like to make a deal too. We're going to get together today
uh by probably phone because it's very hard to find a country. It's very hard for them to get out, I guess. But we'll
at some point very very soon meet. We're doing a -day period. We'll see how that goes. And if it goes well, we're going to end up with settling this. Otherwise,
we just keep bombing our little hearts out.
But Iran was quick to deny the start of any such talks with Trump. Well, there are no talks right now, direct or
indirect. I assure you, absolutely no talks. But the Iranians are on their guard. There is no way in the world that
the Iranians are going to trust Trump or the Trump regime for even a second. We are at war. We are This is a war of
defense. uh and uh we will continue to fight against the two aggressive regimes, the Trump regime and the
Netanyahu regime until they are defeated and until Iran's conditions are met. And Iran is prepared for a very very long
war. Iran has the United States, it has Trump by the throat. Iran controls the straight of Hormos and the United States
can do nothing about it. Even if the United States launches an assault, a land uh and tries to take territory from Iran or a foothold on Iranian territory,
nothing will change. There is not a chance in the world that Iran will allow oil to go through the strait of Homos without its consent and Trump knows it.
So Iran has the upper hand and time is definitely on Iran's side.
But this wasn't the only humiliation for Trump. He had also told a reporter that he would be jointly policing the state
of Hormuz with the new Iranian supreme leader Ayatah Mushtab. And what about the state of Hormuz? Who's going to be in control?
That will be opened very soon if this works. How soon? And who's in control of it?
Jointly control. By who? Maybe. the United States.
He and the Ayatollah, whoever the Ayatollah is.
Trump then pronounced even more insane stuff. I don't know if this has to do with his cognitive decline or his
inability to comprehend complex international issues, but his claim on Iran's regime change was something you
wouldn't expect any head of state to utter with a state face, let alone that person being the leader of the most powerful country in the world.
Trump said that the regime change had already taken place in Iran since all its leaders had been killed
and there'll also be a form of a a very serious form of a regime change. Now, in all fairness,
everybody's been killed from the regime.
They're really starting off. There's automatically a regime change. This is how he defines regime change.
Now you tell me why I mustn't continue to call him the deranged occupant of the White House. Even American TV presenters
are finding it hard to defend Trump's stupidity more than any uh any one person. President went on to say or
insist that this is regime change because it's totally different people that were involved um in the the last uh
uh regime. I would imagine some of the people are the same. Uh this is the president's uh take on that insisting
that it's regime change. If killing Ayat Ali Ki had marked a regime change then why didn't Trump announce the end of
hostility on the very first day? This would have helped him avoid the complete destruction of the American radar system
across West Asia and death and destruction in the settler colony and Gulf countries. The set of hormones
wouldn't have been shut for this long and it wouldn't have adversely impacted the oil and gas sector internationally
and he wouldn't have been forced to make such crazy utterances that he did today to calm the sentiments surrounding the
energy sector. Trump clearly made these fake claims to bring down the energy prices in the global market and boost
the stock market numbers in the US. His statement did both. Brand crude price
came down from $a barrel to $a barrel and the New York Stock Exchange saw a sudden boost. This is called
market manipulation using unscrupulous means and nothing else. Elsewhere,
prominent names on social media have reacted with horror to the video of a group of radical Jewish fanatics intimidating and harassing a Muslim
Aljazer reporter on the streets of London. This was after it emerged that a few ambulances belonging to London's Jewish community was set on fire.
London's Jewish community having their own dedicated ambulance service and other facilities have caused controversy
for quite some time. But a group of radical Jewish fanatics, thugs harassing a Muslim reporter because of his faith
from Al Jazzer and not facing any consequences for the illegal action has caused public outcry. Why? Because this
happened right in the presence of police.
Let's watch this extraordinary development first.
He won't be able to go live. He won't be able to go live. I'm stopping the live.
Whoever you speaking to, we don't want you here. We don't want you in the Jewish community. Tell your bosses in Alazer. Tell your bosses and al we don't
want you. We don't want you here. Tell your boss in Alz we don't want you. Bar
tell your bosses and alaz the one that paying you. There's no live finished.
You can pack up and go. Okayas. Finally go.
Thank you very much. It's a pleasure. How does it feel? Get lost. Excellent.
Get lost. Go. Go home. We don't want to see you here. We don't want to see you. Why do you guys support Hamas? I don't support. You wrap up your interview and get lost. You saved me the day.
What?
You saved me the day. I can Good. Good. I'm happy. I don't want to see your face here. Your face and your face. Get lost. Both your faces. Get lost from here. We don't need you here.
I can enjoy the rest of the day at home.
Enjoy the rest of the day. Do whatever you want. No one needs you. No one needs you here. No one needs Alazer. Alazer can go and get lost. Tell your bosses no
interview here because over here we don't need you. We don't need terrorist supporters over here. Get lost wankers.
Bor, I closed them down. Alazer back up and go.
We feel threatened. We don't feel safe.
Now you can go take go take your briefcase. Go take your alter zero equipment and go.
No one needs out. No one wants out zero over here. No one wants your people in the office. Don't attack me.
Yes, but your people you work for. The people you work for. The people who are I don't know who you work for.
I don't know about you, but I know that motives.
You represent an entity that has questionable motives and by association
or you will be moved down.
I'm calm down.
out there.
Don't touch me. I'm walking. I'm walking. I'm walking. Is not wanted here.
Please move on. Your face out here, you're not out.
Don't need Al over here. Go home
street off our street.
He wants to go. He knows the reality of the truth. Time to move on.
So, are we committing an offense by Are they committing an offense by harassing us when we're trying to work?
They are trying to stop us. They're reporting the news.
Don't make these guys harder. At this point here, feel to move on. is raise it in the appropriate channel. We're doing
it here on a day like today isn't the right place. The reason with you, we feel threatened.
Alz being here being here, we feel threatened. We don't feel safe.
The reporting is going to go to potential terrorists. That's what we don't want to see that on our streets. I understand that. I understand where you're coming from.
So, for our safety, please please remove them from the street. We're not going to be the How dare you? How dare you?
I can't define my own racism. I can't define my own racism. Don't tell me what's racism against me and what's not. How dare you? Don't tell me what's racist. Shame on you.
Many have now taken to social media to register their outrage as they condemn the m place for their double standards.
You wouldn't see any right-wing MPs talking about this sickness plaguing London. They would only have a problem with Muslims breaking their Ramadan fast
and offering prayers. The UK has gone to the dogs before our own eyes.
That's it for me. Thank you very much for your support of this platform and our journalism. If you haven't subscribed to my channel, please do so
because that's one of the many ways you can support independent journalism. God bless you all.
Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down ...
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 3:22 am
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 3:55 am
Iran's Biggest War Win? Trump's $13000000000 Warship USS Ford Out Of Service After 'Laundry Fire'
Hindustan Times
Mar 23, 2026
The withdrawal of the USS Gerald R. Ford from active operations marks a significant moment in the Iran conflict, raising questions over U.S. naval readiness. After months of high-intensity deployments, reported onboard damage and system strain have forced the $13B carrier into extended maintenance. As Donald Trump signals possible talks with Iran, the setback highlights growing pressure on U.S. military capabilities amid sustained Iranian retaliation.
Transcript
Brave men of the army of the Islamic Republic of Iran since Sunday morning,
March nd have employed a rush to destruction drones to target two Israeli aerospace industries near the Banarian air base and a US reconnaissance
aircraft deployment site at Prince Sultan Air Base in the Roman region with drone attacks. The th wave of operation promise of the faithful four
with a code named way am alumin Ali peace be upon him targeted American bases in the region as well as in the
center and south of the occupied territories continuing pre-planned war game scenarios with new tactics and upgraded systems the Melik Sultan base
the US fifth fleet and the Komala terrorist nest were targeted by feta giam and attacking drones continuing the lightning strikes of Recent days,
military bases and security centers in Tel Aviv, Yoknim and Raatghan were also powerfully destroyed on Sunday morning
following direct hits from Kaibashikin Cods and Korum Shafor missiles. A few hours ago, the th wave of operation
true promise was carried out against Zionist and American targets. In this wave based on
reconnaissance carried out by operational intelligence units,
new military deployment locations and concealment of Zionist army personnel in various areas of the occupied territories were targeted. The Prince
Sultan air base in Okaga, which is one of the main deployment and operational location for American aggressors against Iran, was also targeted with ballistic
missiles. The terrorist Israeli and American military personnel are warned that they are being fully monitored by the operational intelligence unit of our
armed forces and hiding in settlements such as hiding in a settlement in Arod does not save their lives due to the intelligence dominance of the armed
forces. The strategic confusion of the Sencom commander, the collapse of the multileled American Israeli defense network in the Middle East, and the
disruption of the US armed support system following the measures and strikes of the Iranian armed forces against hostile enemies have changed the
equations of war in favor of Iran. The anger and desperation of the American and Zionist wararm mongers were predictable, and we had previously
warned about the quagmire of war for the United States and the Zionist regime in a regional and all-encompassing war. looking for in these talks, Mr.
President?
We're looking for all of the things that we've been talking about. We want to see uh uh no nuclear bomb, no nuclear
weapon, not even close to it, lowkey in the missiles. We want to see peace in the Middle East. Uh we want uh the nuclear dust. We're going to want that.
And I think we're going to get that.
We've agreed to that. Yeah, we're gonna we've agreed to that.
You want the uranium before you could end this? So, we want no enrichment, but we also want the enriched uranium. We're if if this happens,
it's a great start for Iran to build itself back. And it's everything that we want. And it's also great for Israel and
it's great for the other Middle Eastern countries, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, all of them. Uh Kuwait and Bahrain in
particular. So, it's great for all of them. Is an exhausted Donald Trump quietly giving up as this Iran war suddenly exposes a terrifying US naval
nightmare? A catastrophic fire, broken toilets, and continuous Iran combat strain completely sideline America's
priced billion US naval flagship. Did a boasting President Trump get completely schooled by Majaba Kamee? The
USS Ford's brutally extended combat deployment abruptly ends. The mighty USS Gerald Ford is officially completely
out, but the strategic military damage is only just beginning, facing to months out of action. Has an aggressive
Iran essentially forced America's greatest maritime giant completely off the battlefield? Is a battered Washington finally quietly admitting
complete military defeat in this escalating highstakes Middle Eastern Iran standoff? The world's largest naval warship, USS Gerald Ford, is currently
out of active service during Donald Trump's ongoing war against Iran. The massive US Navy aircraft carrier will reportedly go into extended maintenance
for a sustained period of to months. At the present moment, the advanced Navy warship is safely docked at Cree Suda Bay directly after being permanently pulled from regional action.
In addition to physical damage, the US Navy carrier strike group was also battling severe operational system strain following many consecutive months of active combat operations, reports.
The USS Gerald R. Ford faced a significant operational setback directly after an alleged structural fire broke out in the warship's main laundry room.
The USS Gerald Ford's roughly internal births are allegedly completely displaced following the severe laundry room blaze that occurred on March th.
The destructive warship blaze also reportedly injured several active sailors and heavily damaged designated living spaces directly after extended
hours of continuous firefighting efforts. According to Sentcom officials,
the structural fire originated deep in the ship's primary laundry room, which eventually spread to several adjacent internal compartments. The US Navy
publicly claimed the primary propulsion systems were completely unaffected by flames and explicitly ensured the vessel was fully operational.
The active warship's historically extended deployment route originally running from the Caribbean directly to the Red Sea further severely mounted internal maintenance issues.
The advanced warship sudden withdrawal from the active Iran theater reportedly significantly reduced the US military's overall air power capacity during the ongoing war. The active USS Gerald R.
Ford is officially the US Navy's newest nuclearpowered vessel and serves as the lead carrier strike group platform. The massive naval warship is reportedly
physically designed to consistently carry roughly advanced combat aircraft and exactly deployed personnel during active war. The
flagship was considered entirely key for executing the US Navy's broader long-term Middle East strategy, and its sudden exit dealt a huge logistical blow
to its deployed military forces. Since its initial combat deployment stationed near Iran, more than individual aerial strikes were effectively carried
out launching directly from the USS Gerald R. Ford. But its historically extended deployment of plus continuous days operating at sea
effectively made it the third highest endurance record in the history of the US Navy.
Directly after the destructive blaze,
new reports emerged suggesting that various Gerald R. Ford sailors deliberately intentionally set the internal fire themselves. Severely
exhausted and heavily strained active duty sailors allegedly directly set the ship's laundry facility on fire simply to be officially relieved from
continuous combat operations. Some speculative media reports openly suggested there was actually no internal accidental fire, but rather an external
Iran drone attack that successfully set the vessel ablaze. However, US fifth fleet naval officials allegedly firmly denied that any hostile combat fire
actually caused the destructive ship blaze that day. Meanwhile, the US military has also been facing significant operational blows directly
to its regional air power strictly due to Iran's continuing military retaliation. Recently, an active US F-
combat jet was violently shot down operating in Kuwait, but America quickly claimed it was strictly due to accidental friendly fire. Previously on
March st, three separate F-E fighter jets were mistakenly shot down,
occurring in multiple separate combat incidents recorded over Kuwait.
, Meanwhile, America's most advanced operational F-stealth jet was also dealt a huge physical blow while participating directly during a recent
Iran combat mission. On March th, Iran officials claimed it successfully detected and accurately struck America's $million highly advanced stealth fighter jet mid-flight.
Uh we have had very very strong talks.
We'll see where they lead. We have points major points of agreement. I would say almost all points of agreement. Perhaps that hasn't been
conveyed. The communication as you know has been blown to pieces. They're unable to talk to each other. But we've had very strong talks. Mr. Witkoff and Mr.
Kushner had them. Uh they went I would say perfectly. I would say that if they
carry through with that, it'll end that that problem, that conflict, and I think it'll end it very very substantially.
We have very much in mind our partners in the Middle East. We've had great relationships with a lot of them, as you know. A lot of them were surprisingly
hit and uh I was surprised to see it and so was everyone else. But we've have uh they're very much in mind in the discussions.
So the discussions took place yesterday.
They went into yesterday evening. Uh they want very much to make a deal. We'd like to make a deal too. We're going to
get together today uh by probably phone because it's very hard to find a country. It's very hard
for them to get out, I guess. But uh we'll at some point very very soon meet.
We're doing a five-day period. We'll see how that goes. And if it goes well,
we're going to end up with settling this. Otherwise, we'll just keep bombing our little hearts out. Who is Steve speaking with, Mr. President?
Speaking with in a top a top person. Don't forget, we've wiped out the leadership phase one,
phase two, and largely phase three. But we're dealing with the man who I believe is the most respected and the leader.
Uh, you know, it's a little tough.
They've wiped out we've wiped out everybody. Supreme leader.
No, not the Supreme Leader. We don't Well, nobody's ever Nobody heard of the Supreme Leader, the Sun. Are these director?
Nobody. We have not heard from the Sun.
Every once in a while, you'll see a statement made, but we haven't. We don't know if he's living. But the people that seem to be running it and they seem that
based on really fact because things they've said have taken place. Mr. President again.
Hindustan Times
Mar 23, 2026
The withdrawal of the USS Gerald R. Ford from active operations marks a significant moment in the Iran conflict, raising questions over U.S. naval readiness. After months of high-intensity deployments, reported onboard damage and system strain have forced the $13B carrier into extended maintenance. As Donald Trump signals possible talks with Iran, the setback highlights growing pressure on U.S. military capabilities amid sustained Iranian retaliation.
Transcript
Brave men of the army of the Islamic Republic of Iran since Sunday morning,
March nd have employed a rush to destruction drones to target two Israeli aerospace industries near the Banarian air base and a US reconnaissance
aircraft deployment site at Prince Sultan Air Base in the Roman region with drone attacks. The th wave of operation promise of the faithful four
with a code named way am alumin Ali peace be upon him targeted American bases in the region as well as in the
center and south of the occupied territories continuing pre-planned war game scenarios with new tactics and upgraded systems the Melik Sultan base
the US fifth fleet and the Komala terrorist nest were targeted by feta giam and attacking drones continuing the lightning strikes of Recent days,
military bases and security centers in Tel Aviv, Yoknim and Raatghan were also powerfully destroyed on Sunday morning
following direct hits from Kaibashikin Cods and Korum Shafor missiles. A few hours ago, the th wave of operation
true promise was carried out against Zionist and American targets. In this wave based on
reconnaissance carried out by operational intelligence units,
new military deployment locations and concealment of Zionist army personnel in various areas of the occupied territories were targeted. The Prince
Sultan air base in Okaga, which is one of the main deployment and operational location for American aggressors against Iran, was also targeted with ballistic
missiles. The terrorist Israeli and American military personnel are warned that they are being fully monitored by the operational intelligence unit of our
armed forces and hiding in settlements such as hiding in a settlement in Arod does not save their lives due to the intelligence dominance of the armed
forces. The strategic confusion of the Sencom commander, the collapse of the multileled American Israeli defense network in the Middle East, and the
disruption of the US armed support system following the measures and strikes of the Iranian armed forces against hostile enemies have changed the
equations of war in favor of Iran. The anger and desperation of the American and Zionist wararm mongers were predictable, and we had previously
warned about the quagmire of war for the United States and the Zionist regime in a regional and all-encompassing war. looking for in these talks, Mr.
President?
We're looking for all of the things that we've been talking about. We want to see uh uh no nuclear bomb, no nuclear
weapon, not even close to it, lowkey in the missiles. We want to see peace in the Middle East. Uh we want uh the nuclear dust. We're going to want that.
And I think we're going to get that.
We've agreed to that. Yeah, we're gonna we've agreed to that.
You want the uranium before you could end this? So, we want no enrichment, but we also want the enriched uranium. We're if if this happens,
it's a great start for Iran to build itself back. And it's everything that we want. And it's also great for Israel and
it's great for the other Middle Eastern countries, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, all of them. Uh Kuwait and Bahrain in
particular. So, it's great for all of them. Is an exhausted Donald Trump quietly giving up as this Iran war suddenly exposes a terrifying US naval
nightmare? A catastrophic fire, broken toilets, and continuous Iran combat strain completely sideline America's
priced billion US naval flagship. Did a boasting President Trump get completely schooled by Majaba Kamee? The
USS Ford's brutally extended combat deployment abruptly ends. The mighty USS Gerald Ford is officially completely
out, but the strategic military damage is only just beginning, facing to months out of action. Has an aggressive
Iran essentially forced America's greatest maritime giant completely off the battlefield? Is a battered Washington finally quietly admitting
complete military defeat in this escalating highstakes Middle Eastern Iran standoff? The world's largest naval warship, USS Gerald Ford, is currently
out of active service during Donald Trump's ongoing war against Iran. The massive US Navy aircraft carrier will reportedly go into extended maintenance
for a sustained period of to months. At the present moment, the advanced Navy warship is safely docked at Cree Suda Bay directly after being permanently pulled from regional action.
In addition to physical damage, the US Navy carrier strike group was also battling severe operational system strain following many consecutive months of active combat operations, reports.
The USS Gerald R. Ford faced a significant operational setback directly after an alleged structural fire broke out in the warship's main laundry room.
The USS Gerald Ford's roughly internal births are allegedly completely displaced following the severe laundry room blaze that occurred on March th.
The destructive warship blaze also reportedly injured several active sailors and heavily damaged designated living spaces directly after extended
hours of continuous firefighting efforts. According to Sentcom officials,
the structural fire originated deep in the ship's primary laundry room, which eventually spread to several adjacent internal compartments. The US Navy
publicly claimed the primary propulsion systems were completely unaffected by flames and explicitly ensured the vessel was fully operational.
The active warship's historically extended deployment route originally running from the Caribbean directly to the Red Sea further severely mounted internal maintenance issues.
The advanced warship sudden withdrawal from the active Iran theater reportedly significantly reduced the US military's overall air power capacity during the ongoing war. The active USS Gerald R.
Ford is officially the US Navy's newest nuclearpowered vessel and serves as the lead carrier strike group platform. The massive naval warship is reportedly
physically designed to consistently carry roughly advanced combat aircraft and exactly deployed personnel during active war. The
flagship was considered entirely key for executing the US Navy's broader long-term Middle East strategy, and its sudden exit dealt a huge logistical blow
to its deployed military forces. Since its initial combat deployment stationed near Iran, more than individual aerial strikes were effectively carried
out launching directly from the USS Gerald R. Ford. But its historically extended deployment of plus continuous days operating at sea
effectively made it the third highest endurance record in the history of the US Navy.
Directly after the destructive blaze,
new reports emerged suggesting that various Gerald R. Ford sailors deliberately intentionally set the internal fire themselves. Severely
exhausted and heavily strained active duty sailors allegedly directly set the ship's laundry facility on fire simply to be officially relieved from
continuous combat operations. Some speculative media reports openly suggested there was actually no internal accidental fire, but rather an external
Iran drone attack that successfully set the vessel ablaze. However, US fifth fleet naval officials allegedly firmly denied that any hostile combat fire
actually caused the destructive ship blaze that day. Meanwhile, the US military has also been facing significant operational blows directly
to its regional air power strictly due to Iran's continuing military retaliation. Recently, an active US F-
combat jet was violently shot down operating in Kuwait, but America quickly claimed it was strictly due to accidental friendly fire. Previously on
March st, three separate F-E fighter jets were mistakenly shot down,
occurring in multiple separate combat incidents recorded over Kuwait.
, Meanwhile, America's most advanced operational F-stealth jet was also dealt a huge physical blow while participating directly during a recent
Iran combat mission. On March th, Iran officials claimed it successfully detected and accurately struck America's $million highly advanced stealth fighter jet mid-flight.
Uh we have had very very strong talks.
We'll see where they lead. We have points major points of agreement. I would say almost all points of agreement. Perhaps that hasn't been
conveyed. The communication as you know has been blown to pieces. They're unable to talk to each other. But we've had very strong talks. Mr. Witkoff and Mr.
Kushner had them. Uh they went I would say perfectly. I would say that if they
carry through with that, it'll end that that problem, that conflict, and I think it'll end it very very substantially.
We have very much in mind our partners in the Middle East. We've had great relationships with a lot of them, as you know. A lot of them were surprisingly
hit and uh I was surprised to see it and so was everyone else. But we've have uh they're very much in mind in the discussions.
So the discussions took place yesterday.
They went into yesterday evening. Uh they want very much to make a deal. We'd like to make a deal too. We're going to
get together today uh by probably phone because it's very hard to find a country. It's very hard
for them to get out, I guess. But uh we'll at some point very very soon meet.
We're doing a five-day period. We'll see how that goes. And if it goes well,
we're going to end up with settling this. Otherwise, we'll just keep bombing our little hearts out. Who is Steve speaking with, Mr. President?
Speaking with in a top a top person. Don't forget, we've wiped out the leadership phase one,
phase two, and largely phase three. But we're dealing with the man who I believe is the most respected and the leader.
Uh, you know, it's a little tough.
They've wiped out we've wiped out everybody. Supreme leader.
No, not the Supreme Leader. We don't Well, nobody's ever Nobody heard of the Supreme Leader, the Sun. Are these director?
Nobody. We have not heard from the Sun.
Every once in a while, you'll see a statement made, but we haven't. We don't know if he's living. But the people that seem to be running it and they seem that
based on really fact because things they've said have taken place. Mr. President again.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 7:09 pm
Russia just did something UNBELIEVABLE…Israel, Pentagon trapped - OPTM
OPTM
Mar 24, 2026
Transcript
Let me take you back to February th this year, a date that will likely be written in blood and fire in the history books. In a coordinated, brazen act of
aggression, the United States and Israel launched a massive military operation against the Islamic Republic of Iran.
And in the heart of Thrron, they committed an act so heinous, so beyond the pale of any civilized behavior that
it has fundamentally shifted the balance of power in the region. Reports confirmed that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Kame and members of his
family were assassinated in what Russian President Vladimir Putin immediately condemned as a cynical violation of all
norms of human morality and international law.
Russia has effectively broken through the sanctions wall and dispatched tons of humanitarian medical aid to Iran.
Sources tell CNN that Russia is aiding Iran's war effort by providing intel on US military targets. Ukrainian President
Womir Zalinski has issued a stark warning about growing military cooperation between Russia and Iran amid
the escalating conflict in the Middle East.
The White House in its infinite arrogance tried to justify this state sponsored terrorism by citing baseless claims of missile and nuclear threats.
But let's be clear about what this really was. A desperate attempt by a dying empire and a rogue apartheid state
to decapitate one of the last bastions of resistance in West Asia. And in doing so, they have awoken a sleeping giant.
While the world watched in horror, the Kremlin didn't just offer words of condolence, they activated the gears of a massive military machine. Russia is
now funneling an unprecedented arsenal of weaponry to Iran, not just through traditional routes, but through a meticulously planned logistical pipeline
running through Tajjikhstan. A move that completely exposes the lie of American sanctions and their so-called maximum
pressure campaign. This isn't just about supplying weapons. It's about ensuring the survival of the Iranian state and its leadership against the Zionist
American onslaught. Moscow has essentially drawn a red line in the sand, declaring that the fall of Thran is non-negotiable, and they are putting
their most advanced military hardware on the line to prove it. As we speak, heavy cargo planes are landing in Iran around
the clock. This is days into a conflict that Iran has made crystal clear will not end until the Israeli
terrorist entity is humiliated and forced to pay reparations for the utter destruction they have wrought. We have learned that Russia is deploying its
most sophisticated air defense systems to the Islamic Republic, specifically the Sand components of the S
alongside a staggering $million deal for Verbaman portable air defense systems, man pads. This contract signed
in Moscow back in December of involves the delivery of launchers
and Nman missiles designed to systematically shred the lowaltitude cruise missiles and drones that the US
and Israel rely on for their cowardly air strikes. This is not just a strategic partnership. This is a full-blown military alliance. And the lynch pin of this operation,
Tajjikhstan.
The relationship between Tehran and Duchan Bay has deepened into a critical military and economic axis. Iran and
Tajikhstan have been publicly stressing the need to boost military cooperation and fight against terrorism. But behind
closed doors, Russian cargo planes are using Tajik airspace and bases as a forward operating hub to offload sensitive military cargo, missiles,
guidance systems, and armored vehicles before they are transferred to Iran.
This is a masterclass in geopolitical chess. By using Tajikistan, Russia bypasses the Caspian Sea bottlenecks and
creates an overland route that is far more difficult for Western intelligence to interdict. Tajjikhstan with its deep
cultural and linguistic ties to Iran views the survival of the Islamic Republic as essential to its own
security. If Iran falls, Tajikiststan faces a potential flood of instability spilling over its borders. So, Duchoni
is not just a transit point. They are a willing and active participant in this logistical miracle, ensuring that the
Iranian military gets the tools it needs to obliterate the invaders. Before we go deeper into how this will reshape the
battlefield and what surprises Russia still has up its sleeve, I need to ask you for something. If you support honest journalism that tells you the truth
about who is really destabilizing our world, I need you to engage with this video. Smash the like button. It helps
us reach more people who are tired of the mainstream lies. Leave a comment, even if it's just a dot. Or better yet,
let the world know what you think about these American and Israeli war crimes.
And if you haven't already, subscribe to the channel. We are one of the few voices left willing to speak truth to power without the filter of Western
propaganda. Your subscription ensures we can keep bringing you the facts they don't want you to see. Do it now. Now,
let's talk about why this is happening and why Vladimir Putin is absolutely unwilling and unable to let the Iranian
regime fall. From a geopolitical standpoint, Iran is Russia's southern shield. If the United States and Israel
succeed in dismantling the Islamic Republic, they would establish a crescent of control stretching from the Mediterranean to Central Asia,
completely encircling Russia. Putin knows that the fall of Thrron would embolden Chetchin and Dagasthani separatists, destabilize the Caucases,
and hand the US a permanent foothold on Russia's soft underbelly. Moreover, the strategic partnership treaty signed between Moscow and Thran in January this
year contained a critical article, a clause that binds them to prevent any rupture and to ensure the victory of the
enemy does not occur. Well, the enemy thought they could deliver a knockout blow by assassinating the leadership.
Instead, they activated this mutual defense clause in real time. Russia is now doing exactly what it promised,
ensuring the Iranian military and its leadership structure do not collapse. Moscow is providing intelligence,
electronic warfare support, and heavy weaponry to stabilize the front lines.
They are essentially backstopping the entire Iranian defense apparatus,
ensuring that the chaos and the vacuum that the Americans hoped for never materializes. If you think the Americans and Israelis are winning, you haven't
been paying attention to what just landed on the tarmac in Tyrron. And this is where the story takes a terrifying turn for the aggressors. There are
credible reports and intelligence suggesting that Russia has not just sent air defense systems to Iran, they have deployed the Ornik missile. This is the
intermediate range ballistic missile that Russia used against Ukraine, a weapon designed to penetrate the deepest, most fortified bunkers. And now
Iran has either been supplied with this system or as some military analysts are suggesting has operationalized its own heavy version of it, the Koramshar
which is essentially an Iranian-made heavy Orchnik. This changes everything.
The Orchnic is a hypersonic weapon system that can travel at speeds exceeding Mach The American and Israeli air defense systems, the vaunted
arrow, the Patriot, the THAAD, are not designed to intercept this. They simply cannot track something moving that fast with the terminal velocity of a meteor.
Imagine the implications for the American bases scattered across the region. Right now, US Central Command has assets in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
Jordan, Qatar, and the UAE. The Orreshnik can reach all of them. It doesn't need a massive launch complex.
It can be fired from mobile launchers hidden in the mountains of Iran. We are talking about the ability to destroy the
runways at Al Uade in Qatar to level the naval facilities in Bahrain that house the US fifth fleet to turn the Muafak Salty air base in Jordan into a crater.
But more importantly, for the first time, the Zionist entity is within range of a weapon they simply cannot stop. The archnic can be programmed to hit
Bengurian airport, the Nevada air base where the F-s that bombed Iran are stationed, and the critical infrastructure deep within the occupied
territories. The equation of this conflict has just been rewritten. The days of Israel launching air strikes with impunity are over. If the Iranian military decides to deploy this weapon,
they can dismantle the Zionist war machine in a matter of hours. And make no mistake, after the assassination of
their leadership, the patience in Thrron is measured in negative numbers. Now,
let's get into the details of how this Russian support is fundamentally altering the balance of power. The intelligence that is coming out of
pro-Iranian sources and military analysis circles indicates that the Russian logistical funnel is working at a rate we haven't seen since the Cold
War. Reports from Iranian news agencies and military sources indicate that the strategic agreement is being implemented
to its fullest extent. The comprehensive strategic partnership treaty signed by Putin and Peskian was supposed to cover
trade and military cooperation. But in the crucible of war, that military cooperation has transformed into direct
intervention. The cargo planes landing in Thran are not just carrying Verba man pads. They are carrying electronic
warfare suites that can blind American satellites, advanced radar systems that can detect stealth aircraft and
crucially the components for the Ssystem which is capable of intercepting ballistic missiles in the upper
atmosphere. The role of Tajjikstan here cannot be overstated. This is a country that is often overlooked but it is the
pivot point for the entire Russian supply chain.
The economic relationship between Tehran and Duchan Bay has exploded. They are looking to strengthen mineral cooperation and have held joint consular
meetings to smooth over any bureaucratic hurdles. Why? Because the Russians are using Tajikhstan to launder the weapons
shipments. It's not just about flying over. It's about using the Tajik Iranian border as a transfer point for armored
vehicles like the Spartac attack helicopters like the MINE and these missile systems. This gives
Moscow plausible deniability while simultaneously hardening Iran's defenses. The Americans can scream about sanctions all they want, but their
sanctions on Russia and Iran have failed utterly. They are impotent. They can't stop the flow of weapons through Central
Asia because they have no leverage there. The countries of Central Asia,
including Tajikhstan, have watched the US abandon Afghanistan and they have no intention of being the next sacrificial
lamb on the altar of American foreign policy. They are hedging their bets and right now the Russian Iranian axis is
the winning bet. From a geopolitical analysis standpoint, what we are witnessing is the death of the unipolar
world order. The United States and Israel thought they could decapitate Iran with a surgical strike, install a
puppet regime, and walk away. They miscalculated. They underestimated the resilience of the Islamic Republic. But
more importantly, they underestimated the strategic depth that Iran has built with Russia.
Putin understands that if the Islamic Republic falls, Russia loses its influence in the Middle East entirely.
It would be a humiliation that would invite NATO aggression on his own borders. So what can Russia do to prevent the fall of the Iranian leadership? We are already seeing it.
They are providing over the horizon intelligence. Russian satellites are tracking the movements of American naval
assets in the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea and feeding that data directly to Iranian command centers. But there's
more. If the regime in Tehran were to be truly threatened, if the enemy were to push toward the capital, Russia has the capability to deploy little green men,
similar to what they did in Crimea, to secure key infrastructure.
They could also launch electronic warfare attacks from their own territory to jam the communications of American and Israeli strike packages. So as we
look at the current state of affairs, it is undeniable that the United States and Israel have walked into a trap of their own making. They believe the lies of
their intelligence agencies that Iran was isolated. But Russia has shown that true partnership means being there when the bombs are falling, not just signing
pieces of paper. The deployment of the archnik to Iran, the massive arms deliveries through Tajikhstan, and the deployment of advanced air defense
systems mean that Iran is now a fortress. The window for the United States and Israel to achieve their objectives has closed. They can no
longer bomb Iranian infrastructure without facing catastrophic retaliation.
The phrase Israel is trapped is not just a headline, it is a reality. They are trapped in a geography that is now
ringed by hypersonic missiles they cannot intercept. We will continue to track these developments and bring you the updates as the situation evolves.
Stay with us.
**********************************
You said:
is russia providing weapons and air systems to iran through tajikistan?
Gemini said
The current regional situation (as of late March 2026) has made Tajikistan a focal point for logistics between Russia and Iran, particularly since the escalation of the U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran on February 28, 2026.
While there is no confirmed public evidence that Russia is using Tajikistan as a formal hub for transferring heavy air defense systems like the S-400, several recent developments have drawn intense international scrutiny:
1. The "Humanitarian" Convoy (March 18–19, 2026)
Just last week, a massive convoy of 110 trucks departed Tajikistan for Iran.
Official Stance: The Tajik Ministry of Foreign Affairs labeled the 3,600 tons of cargo as "humanitarian aid," including medicines, tents, and construction materials.
The Concern: Given that Tajikistan hosts an Iranian drone production facility (established in 2022 to manufacture Ababil-2 UAVs), Western intelligence and analysts have raised alarms that these shipments may contain dual-use technology, drone components, or specialized parts to repair Iranian air defenses damaged in the recent strikes.
2. Russia’s Logistic Shift
With the Caspian Sea becoming a "hot zone" (Israel recently struck Iranian naval infrastructure and alleged arms-transport vessels there on March 18), overland routes through Central Asia have become more attractive to Moscow.
Transit Route: Any Russian equipment sent via Tajikistan must pass through Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan to reach the Iranian border.
Intelligence vs. Hardware: So far, Russia’s confirmed support during this 2026 conflict has focused more on real-time satellite intelligence and data sharing to help Iran target U.S. and Israeli assets, rather than the physical delivery of large-scale SAM (Surface-to-Air Missile) batteries, which are currently in high demand for Russia's own operations in Ukraine.
3. Existing Arms Agreements
It is worth noting that a €500 million secret arms deal was reported by the Financial Times in February 2026. This deal specifically involves Russia supplying Iran with Verba MANPADS (shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles) and thousands of 9M336 missiles.
+1
While the formal delivery schedule for the bulk of these was set for 2027, there are reports that "small numbers" of these systems may have been expedited to help Iran rebuild its low-altitude defenses following the June 2025 and February 2026 air campaigns.
Summary of Tajikistan's Role
Tajikistan currently serves as a strategic backyard for both nations. It provides a "plausibly deniable" corridor for logistics and a safe location for joint military production (drones) away from the immediate strike zones in Iran.
Would you like me to look into the specific types of Russian military transport aircraft that have been tracked flying between Russia, Tajikistan, and Iran recently?
You said
yes
Gemini said
The recent tracking of Russian and Belarusian transport aircraft suggests a "dual-track" logistics bridge into Iran. While Tajikistan is a key node for ground convoys, the heavy lifting of military hardware is being handled by strategic airlifters.
Here is what flight tracking and intelligence reports from March 2026 have revealed:
1. The "Air Bridge" (Il-76 and An-124)
Since the major U.S.-Israeli strikes began on February 28, there has been a significant uptick in heavy transport activity:
The 10-Day Surge: Flight data from Flightradar24 showed an Ilyushin Il-76TD (registration RA-76373, operated by Gelix Airlines) making four rapid rotations to Tehran in mid-February. Similar flights have continued through March, often appearing to originate from Moscow or Ulyanovsk (the site of the Aviastar plant).
Belarusian Involvement: In early 2026, four Belarusian Il-76s were tracked landing in Tehran within a 48-hour window. Analysts suggest Belarus is being used to provide "plausible deniability" for Russian and even Chinese-origin military components.
Heavy Lifting: Antonov An-124 flights from Irkutsk (where Su-35s are assembled) were reported throughout 2025 and into early 2026, likely delivering the Yak-130 combat trainers and initial parts for the Su-35 fighter jet contract.
2. Specific Cargo Suspicions
Given the intensity of the recent air campaign against Iran, the cargo on these flights is believed to prioritize immediate defense needs:
Verba MANPADS: Following the €500 million deal signed in February 2026, intelligence suggests "small numbers" of these advanced shoulder-fired missiles were expedited via air to help Iran counter low-altitude cruise missiles and drones.
Targeting Intelligence: Beyond hardware, Russia is reportedly providing Iran with real-time satellite and targeting data on U.S. and Israeli naval movements. This doesn't require a cargo plane, but the technical personnel and "encrypted terminal hardware" often arrive via these military transports.
Drone Components: The Tajikistan ground convoy (110 trucks) that departed on March 18 is suspected of carrying components for the Ababil-2 drones produced in the Dushanbe facility, likely to replace Iranian stock destroyed in recent strikes.
3. Logistical Constraints
The "bridge" is under pressure due to several factors:
Ukrainian Strikes: On March 16-17, 2026, Ukraine launched long-range drone strikes on the Aviastar plant in Ulyanovsk and the 123rd Aircraft Repair Plant. These facilities are the backbone of Russia's Il-76 and An-124 fleet maintenance, potentially slowing future deliveries to Iran.
Caspian Sea Risk: Since Israel struck the Bandar Anzali port on March 18, the maritime route has become dangerous, forcing more cargo into the air and onto the overland Tajikistan-Turkmenistan-Iran route.
Current Status: As of March 24, Russia has extended its official flight ban on civil routes to Iran and Israel until March 27, effectively clearing the airspace for these non-civilian military rotations.
Would you like me to monitor the "humanitarian" convoy's progress as it moves through Turkmenistan toward the Iranian border?
You said
yes
Gemini said
The 110-truck convoy that departed Tajikistan on Wednesday, March 18, is currently making its way through the Central Asian transit corridor. Given the distance and border logistics, it is expected to be crossing through Turkmenistan and approaching the northeastern Iranian border as of today, March 24, 2026.
Here is the latest on the convoy's progress and the surrounding military context:
1. Route and Current Location
The Path: The convoy is traveling from Dushanbe through Uzbekistan and into Turkmenistan.
Border Points: Turkmenistan has confirmed that its primary gateways to Iran—Sarakhs, Artyk, and Lotfabad—are operating at "design capacity" specifically to expedite these transit goods.
Timing: Based on the 1,200 km distance and typical customs processing for a 110-truck line, the lead vehicles are likely reaching the Sarakhs border crossing (the main rail and road gateway between Turkmenistan and Iran) within the next 24 to 48 hours.
2. Strategic "Humanitarian" Cover
While officially carrying 3,600 tons of "medicines, tents, and construction materials," the convoy's contents remain under intense scrutiny due to several red flags:
Dual-Use Construction: Analysts note that "construction materials" are a common euphemism for the specialized materials needed to repair hardened military sites and underground missile silos damaged in the recent air campaign.
The Drone Connection: Tajikistan is home to an Iranian Ababil-2 drone factory. Experts from Defence24 and United24 have pointed out that the Ababil-2 is small enough to be launched from the back of a standard cargo truck, making these "humanitarian" vehicles ideal for covertly replenishing Iranian UAV stocks.
Visa-Free Drivers: Conveniently, a pre-arranged agreement to abolish visa requirements for Iranian and Tajik road transport drivers went into effect this month (March 2026), significantly reducing the friction (and inspection time) for these specific border crossings.
3. Complementary Air Logistics
While the ground convoy moves slowly, Russia continues to use an "air bridge" for more urgent military hardware:
Gelix Airlines (Il-76): Flight tracking has identified repeated rotations by a Russian Il-76TD (RA-76373) into Tehran’s Mehrabad and Karaj Payam airports throughout February and March.
Belarusian "Ghost" Flights: Four Belarusian Il-76s were recently tracked entering Iranian airspace. These are believed to be carrying sensitive electronic warfare components and possibly parts for the Verba MANPADS (short-range air defense) that Russia agreed to supply in a secret €500 million deal last month.
4. Regional Response
Central Asian neighbors are walking a fine line. While Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are facilitating these convoys, they are also allowing for the evacuation of foreign nationals through the same border points. Over 250 people from 16 countries have used the Turkmenistan land border to escape the conflict in Iran so far this month.
You said:
Focus on S-400. is that being transferred?
Gemini said
Regarding the S-400 Triumf, the situation as of March 24, 2026, is a mix of confirmed deliveries and reports of significant combat losses. While the Tajikistan ground convoy is primarily linked to smaller systems and drone components, the S-400 has historically been moved by air.
1. Delivery Status: Ground vs. Air
There is no evidence that full S-400 batteries are in the current 110-truck convoy passing through Turkmenistan. Due to the extreme weight and sensitivity of the S-400’s radar (91N6E) and command vehicles, Russia has traditionally used An-124 Ruslan heavy lifters for these transfers.
The "Air Bridge": Secret flights by An-124s were tracked landing at Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport throughout late 2025 and as recently as early March 2026.
Current Deployment: Intelligence confirms that at least one full division (approximately 8 launchers) was delivered and deployed near Isfahan and the Natanz nuclear site by late 2025.
2. Recent Performance and Losses
The S-400 has faced a "baptism by fire" in the last three weeks of the current conflict:
Reported Destruction: Some defense analysts claim that up to three S-400 batteries were heavily damaged or destroyed during the initial U.S./Israeli "Operation Epic Fury" on February 28. These strikes reportedly used PrSM (Precision Strike Missiles) and stealth aircraft to overwhelm the system's radar.
The "Gap" in Defense: Because of these losses, there is intense speculation that Russia is trying to expedite replacement components (specifically replacement radars and 48N6DM missiles). These smaller "replacement parts" are more likely to be hidden in the "humanitarian" truck convoys currently moving through Central Asia than the massive launch vehicles themselves.
3. The Shift to "Short-Range" Replacements
Interestingly, because the S-400 struggled against stealth and low-altitude cruise missiles in Isfahan, the current logistics focus has shifted:
Verba and Majid Systems: Instead of more S-400s, recent manifests and "leaked" documents suggest Russia is prioritizing the delivery of 9K333 Verba MANPADS.
The €500 Million Deal: A contract signed in February 2026 specifically focuses on these high-volume, short-range defenses to protect the larger S-400 sites from being picked off by drones or cruise missiles.
Summary of the "Tajik Corridor" Role
The 110 trucks you are tracking are likely not carrying the S-400 "Big Bird" radars. Instead, they are suspected of carrying:
Replacement interceptor missiles for existing S-400/S-300 batteries.
Electronic warfare (EW) pods (like the Khibiny-M).
Components for the Ababil-2 drone factory in Tajikistan to replenish the IRGC's "counter-strike" inventory.
OPTM
Mar 24, 2026
Transcript
Let me take you back to February th this year, a date that will likely be written in blood and fire in the history books. In a coordinated, brazen act of
aggression, the United States and Israel launched a massive military operation against the Islamic Republic of Iran.
And in the heart of Thrron, they committed an act so heinous, so beyond the pale of any civilized behavior that
it has fundamentally shifted the balance of power in the region. Reports confirmed that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Kame and members of his
family were assassinated in what Russian President Vladimir Putin immediately condemned as a cynical violation of all
norms of human morality and international law.
Russia has effectively broken through the sanctions wall and dispatched tons of humanitarian medical aid to Iran.
Sources tell CNN that Russia is aiding Iran's war effort by providing intel on US military targets. Ukrainian President
Womir Zalinski has issued a stark warning about growing military cooperation between Russia and Iran amid
the escalating conflict in the Middle East.
The White House in its infinite arrogance tried to justify this state sponsored terrorism by citing baseless claims of missile and nuclear threats.
But let's be clear about what this really was. A desperate attempt by a dying empire and a rogue apartheid state
to decapitate one of the last bastions of resistance in West Asia. And in doing so, they have awoken a sleeping giant.
While the world watched in horror, the Kremlin didn't just offer words of condolence, they activated the gears of a massive military machine. Russia is
now funneling an unprecedented arsenal of weaponry to Iran, not just through traditional routes, but through a meticulously planned logistical pipeline
running through Tajjikhstan. A move that completely exposes the lie of American sanctions and their so-called maximum
pressure campaign. This isn't just about supplying weapons. It's about ensuring the survival of the Iranian state and its leadership against the Zionist
American onslaught. Moscow has essentially drawn a red line in the sand, declaring that the fall of Thran is non-negotiable, and they are putting
their most advanced military hardware on the line to prove it. As we speak, heavy cargo planes are landing in Iran around
the clock. This is days into a conflict that Iran has made crystal clear will not end until the Israeli
terrorist entity is humiliated and forced to pay reparations for the utter destruction they have wrought. We have learned that Russia is deploying its
most sophisticated air defense systems to the Islamic Republic, specifically the Sand components of the S
alongside a staggering $million deal for Verbaman portable air defense systems, man pads. This contract signed
in Moscow back in December of involves the delivery of launchers
and Nman missiles designed to systematically shred the lowaltitude cruise missiles and drones that the US
and Israel rely on for their cowardly air strikes. This is not just a strategic partnership. This is a full-blown military alliance. And the lynch pin of this operation,
Tajjikhstan.
The relationship between Tehran and Duchan Bay has deepened into a critical military and economic axis. Iran and
Tajikhstan have been publicly stressing the need to boost military cooperation and fight against terrorism. But behind
closed doors, Russian cargo planes are using Tajik airspace and bases as a forward operating hub to offload sensitive military cargo, missiles,
guidance systems, and armored vehicles before they are transferred to Iran.
This is a masterclass in geopolitical chess. By using Tajikistan, Russia bypasses the Caspian Sea bottlenecks and
creates an overland route that is far more difficult for Western intelligence to interdict. Tajjikhstan with its deep
cultural and linguistic ties to Iran views the survival of the Islamic Republic as essential to its own
security. If Iran falls, Tajikiststan faces a potential flood of instability spilling over its borders. So, Duchoni
is not just a transit point. They are a willing and active participant in this logistical miracle, ensuring that the
Iranian military gets the tools it needs to obliterate the invaders. Before we go deeper into how this will reshape the
battlefield and what surprises Russia still has up its sleeve, I need to ask you for something. If you support honest journalism that tells you the truth
about who is really destabilizing our world, I need you to engage with this video. Smash the like button. It helps
us reach more people who are tired of the mainstream lies. Leave a comment, even if it's just a dot. Or better yet,
let the world know what you think about these American and Israeli war crimes.
And if you haven't already, subscribe to the channel. We are one of the few voices left willing to speak truth to power without the filter of Western
propaganda. Your subscription ensures we can keep bringing you the facts they don't want you to see. Do it now. Now,
let's talk about why this is happening and why Vladimir Putin is absolutely unwilling and unable to let the Iranian
regime fall. From a geopolitical standpoint, Iran is Russia's southern shield. If the United States and Israel
succeed in dismantling the Islamic Republic, they would establish a crescent of control stretching from the Mediterranean to Central Asia,
completely encircling Russia. Putin knows that the fall of Thrron would embolden Chetchin and Dagasthani separatists, destabilize the Caucases,
and hand the US a permanent foothold on Russia's soft underbelly. Moreover, the strategic partnership treaty signed between Moscow and Thran in January this
year contained a critical article, a clause that binds them to prevent any rupture and to ensure the victory of the
enemy does not occur. Well, the enemy thought they could deliver a knockout blow by assassinating the leadership.
Instead, they activated this mutual defense clause in real time. Russia is now doing exactly what it promised,
ensuring the Iranian military and its leadership structure do not collapse. Moscow is providing intelligence,
electronic warfare support, and heavy weaponry to stabilize the front lines.
They are essentially backstopping the entire Iranian defense apparatus,
ensuring that the chaos and the vacuum that the Americans hoped for never materializes. If you think the Americans and Israelis are winning, you haven't
been paying attention to what just landed on the tarmac in Tyrron. And this is where the story takes a terrifying turn for the aggressors. There are
credible reports and intelligence suggesting that Russia has not just sent air defense systems to Iran, they have deployed the Ornik missile. This is the
intermediate range ballistic missile that Russia used against Ukraine, a weapon designed to penetrate the deepest, most fortified bunkers. And now
Iran has either been supplied with this system or as some military analysts are suggesting has operationalized its own heavy version of it, the Koramshar
which is essentially an Iranian-made heavy Orchnik. This changes everything.
The Orchnic is a hypersonic weapon system that can travel at speeds exceeding Mach The American and Israeli air defense systems, the vaunted
arrow, the Patriot, the THAAD, are not designed to intercept this. They simply cannot track something moving that fast with the terminal velocity of a meteor.
Imagine the implications for the American bases scattered across the region. Right now, US Central Command has assets in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
Jordan, Qatar, and the UAE. The Orreshnik can reach all of them. It doesn't need a massive launch complex.
It can be fired from mobile launchers hidden in the mountains of Iran. We are talking about the ability to destroy the
runways at Al Uade in Qatar to level the naval facilities in Bahrain that house the US fifth fleet to turn the Muafak Salty air base in Jordan into a crater.
But more importantly, for the first time, the Zionist entity is within range of a weapon they simply cannot stop. The archnic can be programmed to hit
Bengurian airport, the Nevada air base where the F-s that bombed Iran are stationed, and the critical infrastructure deep within the occupied
territories. The equation of this conflict has just been rewritten. The days of Israel launching air strikes with impunity are over. If the Iranian military decides to deploy this weapon,
they can dismantle the Zionist war machine in a matter of hours. And make no mistake, after the assassination of
their leadership, the patience in Thrron is measured in negative numbers. Now,
let's get into the details of how this Russian support is fundamentally altering the balance of power. The intelligence that is coming out of
pro-Iranian sources and military analysis circles indicates that the Russian logistical funnel is working at a rate we haven't seen since the Cold
War. Reports from Iranian news agencies and military sources indicate that the strategic agreement is being implemented
to its fullest extent. The comprehensive strategic partnership treaty signed by Putin and Peskian was supposed to cover
trade and military cooperation. But in the crucible of war, that military cooperation has transformed into direct
intervention. The cargo planes landing in Thran are not just carrying Verba man pads. They are carrying electronic
warfare suites that can blind American satellites, advanced radar systems that can detect stealth aircraft and
crucially the components for the Ssystem which is capable of intercepting ballistic missiles in the upper
atmosphere. The role of Tajjikstan here cannot be overstated. This is a country that is often overlooked but it is the
pivot point for the entire Russian supply chain.
The economic relationship between Tehran and Duchan Bay has exploded. They are looking to strengthen mineral cooperation and have held joint consular
meetings to smooth over any bureaucratic hurdles. Why? Because the Russians are using Tajikhstan to launder the weapons
shipments. It's not just about flying over. It's about using the Tajik Iranian border as a transfer point for armored
vehicles like the Spartac attack helicopters like the MINE and these missile systems. This gives
Moscow plausible deniability while simultaneously hardening Iran's defenses. The Americans can scream about sanctions all they want, but their
sanctions on Russia and Iran have failed utterly. They are impotent. They can't stop the flow of weapons through Central
Asia because they have no leverage there. The countries of Central Asia,
including Tajikhstan, have watched the US abandon Afghanistan and they have no intention of being the next sacrificial
lamb on the altar of American foreign policy. They are hedging their bets and right now the Russian Iranian axis is
the winning bet. From a geopolitical analysis standpoint, what we are witnessing is the death of the unipolar
world order. The United States and Israel thought they could decapitate Iran with a surgical strike, install a
puppet regime, and walk away. They miscalculated. They underestimated the resilience of the Islamic Republic. But
more importantly, they underestimated the strategic depth that Iran has built with Russia.
Putin understands that if the Islamic Republic falls, Russia loses its influence in the Middle East entirely.
It would be a humiliation that would invite NATO aggression on his own borders. So what can Russia do to prevent the fall of the Iranian leadership? We are already seeing it.
They are providing over the horizon intelligence. Russian satellites are tracking the movements of American naval
assets in the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea and feeding that data directly to Iranian command centers. But there's
more. If the regime in Tehran were to be truly threatened, if the enemy were to push toward the capital, Russia has the capability to deploy little green men,
similar to what they did in Crimea, to secure key infrastructure.
They could also launch electronic warfare attacks from their own territory to jam the communications of American and Israeli strike packages. So as we
look at the current state of affairs, it is undeniable that the United States and Israel have walked into a trap of their own making. They believe the lies of
their intelligence agencies that Iran was isolated. But Russia has shown that true partnership means being there when the bombs are falling, not just signing
pieces of paper. The deployment of the archnik to Iran, the massive arms deliveries through Tajikhstan, and the deployment of advanced air defense
systems mean that Iran is now a fortress. The window for the United States and Israel to achieve their objectives has closed. They can no
longer bomb Iranian infrastructure without facing catastrophic retaliation.
The phrase Israel is trapped is not just a headline, it is a reality. They are trapped in a geography that is now
ringed by hypersonic missiles they cannot intercept. We will continue to track these developments and bring you the updates as the situation evolves.
Stay with us.
**********************************
You said:
is russia providing weapons and air systems to iran through tajikistan?
Gemini said
The current regional situation (as of late March 2026) has made Tajikistan a focal point for logistics between Russia and Iran, particularly since the escalation of the U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran on February 28, 2026.
While there is no confirmed public evidence that Russia is using Tajikistan as a formal hub for transferring heavy air defense systems like the S-400, several recent developments have drawn intense international scrutiny:
1. The "Humanitarian" Convoy (March 18–19, 2026)
Just last week, a massive convoy of 110 trucks departed Tajikistan for Iran.
Official Stance: The Tajik Ministry of Foreign Affairs labeled the 3,600 tons of cargo as "humanitarian aid," including medicines, tents, and construction materials.
The Concern: Given that Tajikistan hosts an Iranian drone production facility (established in 2022 to manufacture Ababil-2 UAVs), Western intelligence and analysts have raised alarms that these shipments may contain dual-use technology, drone components, or specialized parts to repair Iranian air defenses damaged in the recent strikes.
2. Russia’s Logistic Shift
With the Caspian Sea becoming a "hot zone" (Israel recently struck Iranian naval infrastructure and alleged arms-transport vessels there on March 18), overland routes through Central Asia have become more attractive to Moscow.
Transit Route: Any Russian equipment sent via Tajikistan must pass through Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan to reach the Iranian border.
Intelligence vs. Hardware: So far, Russia’s confirmed support during this 2026 conflict has focused more on real-time satellite intelligence and data sharing to help Iran target U.S. and Israeli assets, rather than the physical delivery of large-scale SAM (Surface-to-Air Missile) batteries, which are currently in high demand for Russia's own operations in Ukraine.
3. Existing Arms Agreements
It is worth noting that a €500 million secret arms deal was reported by the Financial Times in February 2026. This deal specifically involves Russia supplying Iran with Verba MANPADS (shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles) and thousands of 9M336 missiles.
+1
While the formal delivery schedule for the bulk of these was set for 2027, there are reports that "small numbers" of these systems may have been expedited to help Iran rebuild its low-altitude defenses following the June 2025 and February 2026 air campaigns.
Summary of Tajikistan's Role
Tajikistan currently serves as a strategic backyard for both nations. It provides a "plausibly deniable" corridor for logistics and a safe location for joint military production (drones) away from the immediate strike zones in Iran.
Would you like me to look into the specific types of Russian military transport aircraft that have been tracked flying between Russia, Tajikistan, and Iran recently?
You said
yes
Gemini said
The recent tracking of Russian and Belarusian transport aircraft suggests a "dual-track" logistics bridge into Iran. While Tajikistan is a key node for ground convoys, the heavy lifting of military hardware is being handled by strategic airlifters.
Here is what flight tracking and intelligence reports from March 2026 have revealed:
1. The "Air Bridge" (Il-76 and An-124)
Since the major U.S.-Israeli strikes began on February 28, there has been a significant uptick in heavy transport activity:
The 10-Day Surge: Flight data from Flightradar24 showed an Ilyushin Il-76TD (registration RA-76373, operated by Gelix Airlines) making four rapid rotations to Tehran in mid-February. Similar flights have continued through March, often appearing to originate from Moscow or Ulyanovsk (the site of the Aviastar plant).
Belarusian Involvement: In early 2026, four Belarusian Il-76s were tracked landing in Tehran within a 48-hour window. Analysts suggest Belarus is being used to provide "plausible deniability" for Russian and even Chinese-origin military components.
Heavy Lifting: Antonov An-124 flights from Irkutsk (where Su-35s are assembled) were reported throughout 2025 and into early 2026, likely delivering the Yak-130 combat trainers and initial parts for the Su-35 fighter jet contract.
2. Specific Cargo Suspicions
Given the intensity of the recent air campaign against Iran, the cargo on these flights is believed to prioritize immediate defense needs:
Verba MANPADS: Following the €500 million deal signed in February 2026, intelligence suggests "small numbers" of these advanced shoulder-fired missiles were expedited via air to help Iran counter low-altitude cruise missiles and drones.
Targeting Intelligence: Beyond hardware, Russia is reportedly providing Iran with real-time satellite and targeting data on U.S. and Israeli naval movements. This doesn't require a cargo plane, but the technical personnel and "encrypted terminal hardware" often arrive via these military transports.
Drone Components: The Tajikistan ground convoy (110 trucks) that departed on March 18 is suspected of carrying components for the Ababil-2 drones produced in the Dushanbe facility, likely to replace Iranian stock destroyed in recent strikes.
3. Logistical Constraints
The "bridge" is under pressure due to several factors:
Ukrainian Strikes: On March 16-17, 2026, Ukraine launched long-range drone strikes on the Aviastar plant in Ulyanovsk and the 123rd Aircraft Repair Plant. These facilities are the backbone of Russia's Il-76 and An-124 fleet maintenance, potentially slowing future deliveries to Iran.
Caspian Sea Risk: Since Israel struck the Bandar Anzali port on March 18, the maritime route has become dangerous, forcing more cargo into the air and onto the overland Tajikistan-Turkmenistan-Iran route.
Current Status: As of March 24, Russia has extended its official flight ban on civil routes to Iran and Israel until March 27, effectively clearing the airspace for these non-civilian military rotations.
Would you like me to monitor the "humanitarian" convoy's progress as it moves through Turkmenistan toward the Iranian border?
You said
yes
Gemini said
The 110-truck convoy that departed Tajikistan on Wednesday, March 18, is currently making its way through the Central Asian transit corridor. Given the distance and border logistics, it is expected to be crossing through Turkmenistan and approaching the northeastern Iranian border as of today, March 24, 2026.
Here is the latest on the convoy's progress and the surrounding military context:
1. Route and Current Location
The Path: The convoy is traveling from Dushanbe through Uzbekistan and into Turkmenistan.
Border Points: Turkmenistan has confirmed that its primary gateways to Iran—Sarakhs, Artyk, and Lotfabad—are operating at "design capacity" specifically to expedite these transit goods.
Timing: Based on the 1,200 km distance and typical customs processing for a 110-truck line, the lead vehicles are likely reaching the Sarakhs border crossing (the main rail and road gateway between Turkmenistan and Iran) within the next 24 to 48 hours.
2. Strategic "Humanitarian" Cover
While officially carrying 3,600 tons of "medicines, tents, and construction materials," the convoy's contents remain under intense scrutiny due to several red flags:
Dual-Use Construction: Analysts note that "construction materials" are a common euphemism for the specialized materials needed to repair hardened military sites and underground missile silos damaged in the recent air campaign.
The Drone Connection: Tajikistan is home to an Iranian Ababil-2 drone factory. Experts from Defence24 and United24 have pointed out that the Ababil-2 is small enough to be launched from the back of a standard cargo truck, making these "humanitarian" vehicles ideal for covertly replenishing Iranian UAV stocks.
Visa-Free Drivers: Conveniently, a pre-arranged agreement to abolish visa requirements for Iranian and Tajik road transport drivers went into effect this month (March 2026), significantly reducing the friction (and inspection time) for these specific border crossings.
3. Complementary Air Logistics
While the ground convoy moves slowly, Russia continues to use an "air bridge" for more urgent military hardware:
Gelix Airlines (Il-76): Flight tracking has identified repeated rotations by a Russian Il-76TD (RA-76373) into Tehran’s Mehrabad and Karaj Payam airports throughout February and March.
Belarusian "Ghost" Flights: Four Belarusian Il-76s were recently tracked entering Iranian airspace. These are believed to be carrying sensitive electronic warfare components and possibly parts for the Verba MANPADS (short-range air defense) that Russia agreed to supply in a secret €500 million deal last month.
4. Regional Response
Central Asian neighbors are walking a fine line. While Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are facilitating these convoys, they are also allowing for the evacuation of foreign nationals through the same border points. Over 250 people from 16 countries have used the Turkmenistan land border to escape the conflict in Iran so far this month.
You said:
Focus on S-400. is that being transferred?
Gemini said
Regarding the S-400 Triumf, the situation as of March 24, 2026, is a mix of confirmed deliveries and reports of significant combat losses. While the Tajikistan ground convoy is primarily linked to smaller systems and drone components, the S-400 has historically been moved by air.
1. Delivery Status: Ground vs. Air
There is no evidence that full S-400 batteries are in the current 110-truck convoy passing through Turkmenistan. Due to the extreme weight and sensitivity of the S-400’s radar (91N6E) and command vehicles, Russia has traditionally used An-124 Ruslan heavy lifters for these transfers.
The "Air Bridge": Secret flights by An-124s were tracked landing at Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport throughout late 2025 and as recently as early March 2026.
Current Deployment: Intelligence confirms that at least one full division (approximately 8 launchers) was delivered and deployed near Isfahan and the Natanz nuclear site by late 2025.
2. Recent Performance and Losses
The S-400 has faced a "baptism by fire" in the last three weeks of the current conflict:
Reported Destruction: Some defense analysts claim that up to three S-400 batteries were heavily damaged or destroyed during the initial U.S./Israeli "Operation Epic Fury" on February 28. These strikes reportedly used PrSM (Precision Strike Missiles) and stealth aircraft to overwhelm the system's radar.
The "Gap" in Defense: Because of these losses, there is intense speculation that Russia is trying to expedite replacement components (specifically replacement radars and 48N6DM missiles). These smaller "replacement parts" are more likely to be hidden in the "humanitarian" truck convoys currently moving through Central Asia than the massive launch vehicles themselves.
3. The Shift to "Short-Range" Replacements
Interestingly, because the S-400 struggled against stealth and low-altitude cruise missiles in Isfahan, the current logistics focus has shifted:
Verba and Majid Systems: Instead of more S-400s, recent manifests and "leaked" documents suggest Russia is prioritizing the delivery of 9K333 Verba MANPADS.
The €500 Million Deal: A contract signed in February 2026 specifically focuses on these high-volume, short-range defenses to protect the larger S-400 sites from being picked off by drones or cruise missiles.
Summary of the "Tajik Corridor" Role
The 110 trucks you are tracking are likely not carrying the S-400 "Big Bird" radars. Instead, they are suspected of carrying:
Replacement interceptor missiles for existing S-400/S-300 batteries.
Electronic warfare (EW) pods (like the Khibiny-M).
Components for the Ababil-2 drone factory in Tajikistan to replenish the IRGC's "counter-strike" inventory.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 7:38 pm
Iran Just Tried to Choke Saudi Arabia’s Lifeline — Is the Strait of Hormuz Now Useless?
Money Lines Exposed
Mar 24, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz has been the most dangerous chokepoint on earth for half a century. Twenty-one miles wide at its narrowest point, it carries nearly a third of the world's seaborne oil — the lifeblood of the global economy flowing through a corridor that Iran has repeatedly threatened to close. For decades, this vulnerability defined Saudi Arabia's strategic exposure and anchored American naval policy in the Gulf. That era is over.
Iran's repeated threats to weaponize the Strait of Hormuz have produced an outcome Tehran never intended and cannot reverse. They accelerated Saudi Arabia's most ambitious and consequential infrastructure project — the systematic construction of alternative oil export routes, pipeline networks, and Red Sea terminals that have quietly rendered the Strait strategically redundant for Riyadh's purposes. The threat that was supposed to be Iran's ultimate leverage has instead become the catalyst for its own obsolescence.
The numbers tell the story with brutal clarity. Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline, the expanded Yanbu terminal complex, the NEOM-linked logistics infrastructure, and the deepening of Red Sea port capacity have together created an export architecture that can move the kingdom's oil to global markets without a single tanker passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran spent decades building the threat. Saudi Arabia spent billions building around it.
For Iran, the strategic consequences are devastating. The Hormuz card — the centerpiece of Tehran's deterrence doctrine against Gulf Arab states — has been played so often and so recklessly that Riyadh has simply removed itself from the table. The chokepoint that was supposed to give Iran permanent leverage over Saudi Arabia has been engineered into irrelevance.
In this video, we examine how Saudi Arabia built its way out of the Hormuz trap, why Iran's most powerful strategic weapon has been rendered useless, and what this infrastructure masterplan means for the future balance of power in the Gulf.
Transcript
Imagine waking up tomorrow morning and your gas station has no fuel. The shelves at your grocery store are half empty. Your stock portfolio has lost %
of its value overnight. Your government is on emergency alert. And the reason for all of this is a narrow strip of water, barely mi wide, sitting on the
other side of the world. That is not a hypothetical. That is exactly what is happening right now. Now, by the end of this video, you will understand why the
decisions being made in the next hours may determine the fate of the global economy, the balance of power in the Middle East, and the future of oil
as we know it. Stay with me because what Iran just did in the straight of Hormuz is something no analyst, no general, and
no world leader truly prepared for. Let us go back to where this started because to understand what is happening today,
you need to understand the chain of events that brought the world to this exact breaking point. For decades, the straight of Hormuz has been called the jugular vein of the global economy.
Every single day, roughly million barrels of oil pass through this narrow channel between Iran and the Oman Peninsula. That represents approximately
minute% of all the oil traded anywhere on Earth. Saudi Arabia's oil goes through it. UAE's oil goes through it. Kuwait,
Iraq, Bahrain, Qatar, every major Gulf producer depends on this single waterway to keep the world running. If you shut
the straight of Hormuz, you do not just hurt the Middle East. You strangle Europe. You Asia. You send shock waves through every economy on Earth.
Iran has understood this reality for years. And for years, the world assumed Thran would never actually do it because doing so would be military and economic suicide. The world was wrong.
When the first wave of American and Israeli strikes hit Iranian territory,
targeting nuclear facilities, missile production sites, and command infrastructure, the Iranian leadership faced a stark and binary choice. They
could absorb the strikes, retreat to the negotiating table from a position of weakness, and accept a humiliating defeat in front of their own people. Or
they could activate the one strategic card that no other nation on Earth possesses in quite the same way. The card that could transform a regional military conflict into a genuine global
catastrophe. And in the early hours of what would become one of the most consequential knights in modern strategic history, Iran made its choice.
Iranian naval forces, backed by the full operational capacity of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, began systematically deploying assets across
the Persian Gulf. Fast attack boats moved into their pre-planned positions.
Underwater mines, a weapon system that Iran has been stockpiling and refining for exactly this scenario for decades,
began appearing across the critical shipping lanes. Anti-hship missile batteries were activated along hundreds of kilometers of Iranian coastline. And within hours, the straight of Hormuz,
the most strategically vital stretch of water on the planet, became effectively impassible for commercial shipping traffic. The numbers tell the story with
brutal clarity. Before this crisis began, tanker traffic through the straight averaged approximately weekly transits. Within hours of Iran
activating its blockade strategy, that number collapsed to single digits. Seven tankers, seven vessels daring to attempt the crossing. Each one operating at
enormous personal and financial risk with insurance premiums that had exploded beyond anything the maritime industry had ever seen. And with crews
navigating conditions that no sailor ever agreed to when they signed their contract, the International Energy Agency responded with language it almost
never uses. They called this disruption larger in scale and potential economic impact than anything witnessed since the oil shocks of the s, larger than
larger than the Arab oil embargo that sent the entire Western world into recession, forced fuel rationing across America and Europe, and permanently
reshaped global energy policy for the next years. What Iran just did is by the IEA's own assessment bigger than all of that. And while the world was still
processing the Hormuz blockade, Iran was far from finished. Because here is the critical piece of this story that most mainstream coverage has almost entirely
missed. Iran did not limit its retaliation to the waterway. Iran went after the physical infrastructure of the Gulf States themselves. And this is
precisely where the story transforms from a regional military confrontation into something that directly threatens the foundations of modern civilization.
Kuwait felt the blow first. The Mina Alahmadi refinery, one of the largest and most strategically significant petroleum processing facilities in the
entire Middle East, was struck by Iranian drones in two separate coordinated waves. Mina Alahmadi was not just any industrial facility. It
processed approximately barrels of crude oil per day. It was the central pillar of Kuwait's entire energy export economy. The fires that broke out
following the strikes were visible from space. And the message Iran was delivering to every Gulf state was unmistakably clear. This is not only about the water. We can reach your land.
We can reach your refineries, your ports, your pipelines. We can reach everything you have spent years building. Everything you consider permanent and protected is now within
our operational reach. Now, this is where you need to step back and understand why what is happening in Kuwait matters far beyond Kuwait's borders. The Gulf Cooperation Council states Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait,
Qatar, Bahrain, and Oman collectively hold approximately % of the world's proven oil reserves. Their ability to pump, process, refine, and export that
oil is the single most important pillar of global energy supply. If Iran can consistently incredibly threaten that infrastructure, not just theoretically,
but with actual drone strikes, then the entire architecture of global energy markets, an architecture painstakingly constructed over the last years, that the entire global economy depends upon,
begins to fracture. Every barrel of Gulf oil suddenly carries a geopolitical risk premium that the market has never fully
priced before. Every tanker captain asks himself whether today is the day his vessel becomes a target. Every insurance company fundamentally reprices its
entire Gulf exposure overnight. And every finance minister in every oil importing nation on Earth stares at spreadsheets that are turning red faster
than any policy toolkit can possibly respond. The oil markets reflected this reality with the kind of unambiguous honesty that financial markets sometimes
deliver when the stakes are genuinely high enough. Brent crude, the international benchmark for global oil pricing, spiked to $per barrel at the peak of the crisis. $
For context, when Brent crude has crossed $per barrel in the past, it was sufficient to trigger consumer panic, inflationary spirals, and policy emergencies across the globe. At $
you are entering territory that begins to structurally damage economic growth in every major oil importing nation simultaneously. China, the world's
single largest oil importer, was suddenly facing an energy import bill that threatened to unravel years of carefully managed economic planning.
India, whose entire manufacturing revival depends on relatively affordable energy inputs, was caught in a vice with no obvious escape. Japan and South
Korea, almost entirely dependent on Gulf imports for their energy security, activated emergency strategic reserves.
Europe, still healing its industrial base from the energy shock of the Ukraine conflict, braced itself for another wave of energy-driven economic
pain with no political reserves left to absorb it. When President Trump announced a -day pause on American strikes against Iranian power plants,
oil markets breathed temporarily. Brent crude dropped back below $per barrel, a fall of more than % in a single trading session. Financial
headlines celebrated the relief, but do not allow that temporary market movement to mislead you about the actual state of affairs on the ground. The International
Energy Agency was explicit. A -day pause solves nothing structurally. The mines are still in the water. The Iranian Navy is still fully deployed.
across the Gulf. The infrastructure in Kuwait is still smoldering. A -day pause is not a ceasefire. It is a timeout in a confrontation where neither
side has agreed on the terms of resolution. And the most dangerous window of this entire crisis begins the moment those days expire. Iran's
strategic leadership understands something that Washington and Tel Aviv are still calculating. The longer the strait remains disrupted, even partially
disrupted, the more permanent and structural the economic damage becomes.
Oil markets do not merely respond to current supply levels. They respond to expected future supply. If traders believe there is even a % probability
that Hormuz remains restricted for the next months, oil prices will price in that risk immediately. Today, right now,
that is the fundamental logic of how commodity markets function. And at the current trajectory, IA modeling suggests we could be looking at a global economic
contraction that pushes tens of millions of additional people into energy poverty before the end of this calendar year.
This war does not stay in the Middle East. It never could. It was never designed to. Let us now examine the military and strategic dimension more
carefully because understanding the chess match being played between these powers is essential to understanding where this conflict is actually headed.
And what you're about to hear will completely reframe how you understand the balance of power in the modern Middle East. When the United States and
Israel executed strikes against Iran's nuclear and military infrastructure,
they were operating on a strategic theory. The theory was straightforward.
A sufficiently powerful strike campaign would either compel Iran to negotiate from weakness or degrade Iran's military capabilities enough that Thran could not
mount meaningful retaliation. That theory is now under serious and perhaps terminal question. Because what Iran demonstrated through the Hormuz closure
and the drone strikes on Gulf infrastructure is that its most powerful strategic weapons are not its nuclear program. They are not its ballistic
missiles. Iran's ultimate weapon is geography and the doctrine of asymmetric disruption. Iran sits at the northern edge of the Persian Gulf like a hand
positioned around a throat. You can destroy every missile silo, every enrichment centrifuge, every radar installation, every command bunker in
Iran. And Iran retains the ability to make the surrounding water too dangerous and too costly for the global economy to accept. That is the fundamental
strategic reality that no amount of air power alone fully resolves. And Washington understands this, which is why alongside the military strikes and
diplomatic signaling, the United States has been internally evaluating a plan that if executed would represent one of the most audacious combined military and economic operations in recent decades.
The plan centers on Car Island. Car Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal. Approximately % of Iran's
crude oil exports are processed and shipped from Car Island's facilities. A sustained naval blockade or physical seizure of Carg Island would not merely hurt Iran economically at the margins.
It would cut off Thrron's primary source of foreign currency revenue with near immediate effect. Without oil export income, Iran cannot sustain its military
operational tempo, cannot continue funding its regional proxy network,
cannot prevent domestic economic conditions from deteriorating to the point where the regime faces genuinely threatening internal pressure. In
theory, this creates conditions for a negotiated settlement. In practice,
executing a naval operation in the Persian Gulf in Iran's own backyard with Iranian shore-based anti-hship missiles,
submarines, and fast attack craft, all actively operational, is not a clean mission. And any miscalculation in that environment risks escalating from an
economic pressure campaign into a full-scale direct naval engagement between American and Iranian forces. The kind of engagement that historically rarely stays contained at the level
where it begins. Now, I need to tell you about the nuclear dimension of this conflict because it is the piece of the story most people are still not fully
processing and it changes the entire strategic calculus. Iranian missile strikes targeted areas in Israel's southern negative desert in retaliation
for the initial strikes on Iranian territory. Among the zones that came under fire were areas near Deona and Arad. You need to understand what exists
in that region. The negative nuclear research center near Deona is widely understood based on decades of consistent intelligence assessments to
be the central facility of Israel's nuclear weapons program. It is where Israel has developed and maintains its strategic nuclear deterrent. When
Iranian missiles land in proximity to that facility, you're no longer discussing a conventional military exchange with conventional stakes. You are introducing the possibility, however
remote, at this moment, of a nuclear dimension to a conflict that is already threatening global economic stability.
The IAEA confirmed no nuclear material release occurred. But the message Iran embedded in this targeting decision was
as unambiguous as a message can be. We know exactly where your most sensitive assets are. And we have demonstrated publicly and undeniably that we can
reach them. That kind of signal changes the private calculations of every leader in the region and every nuclear armed power watching this situation develop
from outside. There is something else that has received almost no serious attention in mainstream international coverage. Yet, it may be the single most
destabilizing element of the entire crisis. Iran's supreme leadership publicly committed to a position that makes diplomatic deescalation
structurally very difficult. The language used was deliberate and precise. The file of retaliation remains open until full accountability is
delivered. What does that mean in operational terms? It means that even if a temporary ceasefire is brokered in the next few days, even if oil prices
stabilize temporarily, even if the mines in the straight are partially cleared,
Iran's leadership has made a public commitment to continued pressure on Gulf states and on Israel. There is no diplomatic off-ramp available that does
not require Iran to visibly and publicly retreat from that commitment in front of its own domestic audience. And in the political culture of the Islamic
Republic, such a visible public retreat is not merely diplomatically uncomfortable. It carries genuine existential implications for the
regime's domestic legitimacy and its credibility among its regional allies and proxy networks across the Middle East. Meanwhile, something is fracturing
within the Arab world that the Western media has almost entirely overlooked.
And this fracture may carry more long-term strategic significance than any individual air strike or missile exchange in this conflict. The UAE has
spent the last two decades constructing itself into one of the world's premier commercial, financial, and logistics hubs. Dubai's identity as a global trade
gateway, Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth architecture, the UAE's carefully cultivated reputation as a stable and neutral business environment, all of it
is built on the foundational assumption of Gulf stability and open maritime access. This crisis threatens that foundation directly. and a senior UAE
official in a statement that sent genuine shock waves through Arab diplomatic networks publicly criticized the fundamental failure of major Arab
and Islamic nations to rally in support of Gulf countries during this crisis.
The UAE is publicly and explicitly calling out the broader Arab world for abandoning the Gulf in its moment of maximum vulnerability. This is not a
minor diplomatic complaint. This is a visible and documented fracture in the architecture of Arab collective security. the very fracture Iran has
been strategically attempting to create and widen for years. If the Gulf States cannot count on broader Arab solidarity in a crisis of this magnitude, they face
a fundamental strategic reassessment. Do they deepen dependency on American military protection and accept the political costs? Do they accelerate
their own independent military development at a pace that permanently reshapes the regional balance of power?
Do they pursue back channel direct negotiations with Thran, seeking a separate bilateral accommodation that reduces their exposure? These are not academic questions. These are
conversations happening in actual rooms and actual capitals right now today.
Now, let us talk about water. Because in the shadow of dramatic headlines about oil prices and naval blockades, Iran issued a specific threat that barely
registered in the global news cycle despite carrying humanitarian implications of the highest possible order. Iran's parliament speaker issued a public warning that directly targeted
Gulf nations desalination plants and freshwater supply infrastructure. In Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait, dissalination is not a luxury.
It is the biological foundation of human survival. These are countries built in the middle of one of the most extreme desert environments on Earth with virtually no naturally occurring
freshwater supply. The plants that convert sea water into drinking water are as fundamentally critical to life in these countries as the electrical grid
is to any modern city. A sustained offensive campaign against desalination infrastructure would not produce an economic crisis. It would produce a
humanitarian emergency the international system is completely unprepared to manage. Millions of people in some of the most densely populated cities on
Earth, Riyad, Dubai, Kuwait City, Doha would face acute and rapidly deteriorating freshwater shortages. The
fact that this threat is now publicly on the table tells you everything you need to understand about how far the escalatory logic of this conflict is
prepared to reach. Let us now bring this back to what all of this means for ordinary people watching this video from anywhere on Earth.
Energy prices are the primary transmission mechanism through which this conflict reaches every household,
regardless of how far from the Gulf they are located. When oil sustains itself above $per barrel, you do not merely pay more at the fuel station. Fertilizer
production costs spike sharply because making fertilizer is an energyintensive industrial process. And higher fertilizer costs mean higher food prices at every grocery store in every country.
Shipping and logistics costs rise across the board because every container ship and cargo freighter runs on fuel. And when the cost of moving goods rises, the
price of every product that was moved also rises. Electronics, clothing,
medicine, construction materials, every item in every global supply chain becomes more expensive simultaneously.
Central banks already engaged in a difficult battle against inflation in most major economies suddenly face an impossible policy choice. Do they raise
interest rates aggressively to fight the new inflationary wave from elevated energy prices and risk tipping their economies into recession? Or do they
hold rates steady and allow a sustained erosion of the purchasing power of workers and families who are already financially stretched? Neither option
avoids real economic pain for real people. For emerging market economies,
and this is particularly relevant for viewers in South Asia, Southeast Asia,
Africa, and Latin America, the impact is even more severe. Countries that import most of their energy and maintain limited foreign currency reserves are
facing a compounding double shock. Their energy import bills are surging in dollar terms at exactly the moment when global risk sentiment is deteriorating.
And as investors pull capital out of emerging markets and reposition into safe haven assets, the currencies of vulnerable countries weaken, making
those already surging dollar denominated energy bills even more expensive in local currency terms. The IMF has already initiated emergency sovereign
debt stress assessments for a sustained high oil price scenario. Several countries that were already navigating difficult debt situations before this crisis began are now in genuinely
precarious fiscal positions. Here's the question every analyst, every strategist, and every world leader is now urgently working to answer. How does
this end? What is the path to deescalation?
Because conflicts that are structurally easy to enter are almost never structurally easy to exit. Iran cannot visibly retreat from its public
commitments without triggering a domestic political crisis. Israel cannot accept any outcome that leaves Iran with an intact capability to threaten Israeli
population centers. The United States is publicly committed to defending its Gulf allies and supporting Israel, but privately aware that a full-scale
Persian Gulf war would be economically catastrophic and politically damaging at home. Russia and China, both of which maintain significant interests in Gulf
energy markets and complex bilateral relationships with Iran, are watching and calculating their own positions with everything they observe. It is not a
solution. Within that window, back channel diplomatic communication is reportedly occurring through at least two intermediary governments. The
signals are genuinely mixed. Iran's foreign ministry has publicly denied any formal dialogue is underway while simultaneously not slamming every
possible channel shut. Washington is attempting to thread the needle between maintaining enough pressure on Iran to incentivize negotiation while avoiding
the kind of trigger event that could activate Iranian proxy forces across the region simultaneously in Iraq, in Yemen,
in Lebanon, in Syria, creating a multiffront conflict that American forces are not resourced to manage cleanly. That scenario is not the
inevitable outcome, but it has crossed from the realm of the unthinkable into the realm of the genuinely possible. And this brings us to the final revelation,
the one I promised you at the very beginning of this video. We have spent decades living in a world where a catastrophic disruption of global energy
supply was always theoretical. Something that could happen under extreme conditions, but that military deterrence and international institutions would
ultimately prevent. What the last hours have demonstrated with absolute and undeniable clarity is that the theoretical has become actual. The
assumption that the straight of Hormuz would always remain open was one of the great unexamined structural vulnerabilities of the modern global economy. We built an entire civilization that requires that waterway to function.
We never constructed a serious scaled alternative. We never honestly priced the risk of its closure into our strategic planning. And the bill for that failure of foresight is now
arriving in the form of burning refineries, empty shipping lanes,
spiking oil prices, and a global economy holding its breath while a small number of people in a small number of rooms decide the fate of everyone else on
Earth. The next hours will tell us whether those people still have enough rationality, enough communication, and enough shared interest in avoiding
catastrophe to pull the world back from the edge. Watch closely because history is being written right now. And this time, every single one of us has a stake in how it ends.
Money Lines Exposed
Mar 24, 2026
Librarian's Notice: These videos are self-described as "AI-powered analysis hubs that use AI-driven visuals and narration for precision analysis. All content is derived from public reports and systems-based intelligence. No classified data. No political bias."
Don't trust the information in these videos, use them as a goad to your own research. I've verified some and disconfirmed other statements made in these videos. The vidoes do trend towards accuracy, but deviations from reality, seem to occur.
The Strait of Hormuz has been the most dangerous chokepoint on earth for half a century. Twenty-one miles wide at its narrowest point, it carries nearly a third of the world's seaborne oil — the lifeblood of the global economy flowing through a corridor that Iran has repeatedly threatened to close. For decades, this vulnerability defined Saudi Arabia's strategic exposure and anchored American naval policy in the Gulf. That era is over.
Iran's repeated threats to weaponize the Strait of Hormuz have produced an outcome Tehran never intended and cannot reverse. They accelerated Saudi Arabia's most ambitious and consequential infrastructure project — the systematic construction of alternative oil export routes, pipeline networks, and Red Sea terminals that have quietly rendered the Strait strategically redundant for Riyadh's purposes. The threat that was supposed to be Iran's ultimate leverage has instead become the catalyst for its own obsolescence.
The numbers tell the story with brutal clarity. Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline, the expanded Yanbu terminal complex, the NEOM-linked logistics infrastructure, and the deepening of Red Sea port capacity have together created an export architecture that can move the kingdom's oil to global markets without a single tanker passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran spent decades building the threat. Saudi Arabia spent billions building around it.
For Iran, the strategic consequences are devastating. The Hormuz card — the centerpiece of Tehran's deterrence doctrine against Gulf Arab states — has been played so often and so recklessly that Riyadh has simply removed itself from the table. The chokepoint that was supposed to give Iran permanent leverage over Saudi Arabia has been engineered into irrelevance.
In this video, we examine how Saudi Arabia built its way out of the Hormuz trap, why Iran's most powerful strategic weapon has been rendered useless, and what this infrastructure masterplan means for the future balance of power in the Gulf.
Transcript
Imagine waking up tomorrow morning and your gas station has no fuel. The shelves at your grocery store are half empty. Your stock portfolio has lost %
of its value overnight. Your government is on emergency alert. And the reason for all of this is a narrow strip of water, barely mi wide, sitting on the
other side of the world. That is not a hypothetical. That is exactly what is happening right now. Now, by the end of this video, you will understand why the
decisions being made in the next hours may determine the fate of the global economy, the balance of power in the Middle East, and the future of oil
as we know it. Stay with me because what Iran just did in the straight of Hormuz is something no analyst, no general, and
no world leader truly prepared for. Let us go back to where this started because to understand what is happening today,
you need to understand the chain of events that brought the world to this exact breaking point. For decades, the straight of Hormuz has been called the jugular vein of the global economy.
Every single day, roughly million barrels of oil pass through this narrow channel between Iran and the Oman Peninsula. That represents approximately
minute% of all the oil traded anywhere on Earth. Saudi Arabia's oil goes through it. UAE's oil goes through it. Kuwait,
Iraq, Bahrain, Qatar, every major Gulf producer depends on this single waterway to keep the world running. If you shut
the straight of Hormuz, you do not just hurt the Middle East. You strangle Europe. You Asia. You send shock waves through every economy on Earth.
Iran has understood this reality for years. And for years, the world assumed Thran would never actually do it because doing so would be military and economic suicide. The world was wrong.
When the first wave of American and Israeli strikes hit Iranian territory,
targeting nuclear facilities, missile production sites, and command infrastructure, the Iranian leadership faced a stark and binary choice. They
could absorb the strikes, retreat to the negotiating table from a position of weakness, and accept a humiliating defeat in front of their own people. Or
they could activate the one strategic card that no other nation on Earth possesses in quite the same way. The card that could transform a regional military conflict into a genuine global
catastrophe. And in the early hours of what would become one of the most consequential knights in modern strategic history, Iran made its choice.
Iranian naval forces, backed by the full operational capacity of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, began systematically deploying assets across
the Persian Gulf. Fast attack boats moved into their pre-planned positions.
Underwater mines, a weapon system that Iran has been stockpiling and refining for exactly this scenario for decades,
began appearing across the critical shipping lanes. Anti-hship missile batteries were activated along hundreds of kilometers of Iranian coastline. And within hours, the straight of Hormuz,
the most strategically vital stretch of water on the planet, became effectively impassible for commercial shipping traffic. The numbers tell the story with
brutal clarity. Before this crisis began, tanker traffic through the straight averaged approximately weekly transits. Within hours of Iran
activating its blockade strategy, that number collapsed to single digits. Seven tankers, seven vessels daring to attempt the crossing. Each one operating at
enormous personal and financial risk with insurance premiums that had exploded beyond anything the maritime industry had ever seen. And with crews
navigating conditions that no sailor ever agreed to when they signed their contract, the International Energy Agency responded with language it almost
never uses. They called this disruption larger in scale and potential economic impact than anything witnessed since the oil shocks of the s, larger than
larger than the Arab oil embargo that sent the entire Western world into recession, forced fuel rationing across America and Europe, and permanently
reshaped global energy policy for the next years. What Iran just did is by the IEA's own assessment bigger than all of that. And while the world was still
processing the Hormuz blockade, Iran was far from finished. Because here is the critical piece of this story that most mainstream coverage has almost entirely
missed. Iran did not limit its retaliation to the waterway. Iran went after the physical infrastructure of the Gulf States themselves. And this is
precisely where the story transforms from a regional military confrontation into something that directly threatens the foundations of modern civilization.
Kuwait felt the blow first. The Mina Alahmadi refinery, one of the largest and most strategically significant petroleum processing facilities in the
entire Middle East, was struck by Iranian drones in two separate coordinated waves. Mina Alahmadi was not just any industrial facility. It
processed approximately barrels of crude oil per day. It was the central pillar of Kuwait's entire energy export economy. The fires that broke out
following the strikes were visible from space. And the message Iran was delivering to every Gulf state was unmistakably clear. This is not only about the water. We can reach your land.
We can reach your refineries, your ports, your pipelines. We can reach everything you have spent years building. Everything you consider permanent and protected is now within
our operational reach. Now, this is where you need to step back and understand why what is happening in Kuwait matters far beyond Kuwait's borders. The Gulf Cooperation Council states Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait,
Qatar, Bahrain, and Oman collectively hold approximately % of the world's proven oil reserves. Their ability to pump, process, refine, and export that
oil is the single most important pillar of global energy supply. If Iran can consistently incredibly threaten that infrastructure, not just theoretically,
but with actual drone strikes, then the entire architecture of global energy markets, an architecture painstakingly constructed over the last years, that the entire global economy depends upon,
begins to fracture. Every barrel of Gulf oil suddenly carries a geopolitical risk premium that the market has never fully
priced before. Every tanker captain asks himself whether today is the day his vessel becomes a target. Every insurance company fundamentally reprices its
entire Gulf exposure overnight. And every finance minister in every oil importing nation on Earth stares at spreadsheets that are turning red faster
than any policy toolkit can possibly respond. The oil markets reflected this reality with the kind of unambiguous honesty that financial markets sometimes
deliver when the stakes are genuinely high enough. Brent crude, the international benchmark for global oil pricing, spiked to $per barrel at the peak of the crisis. $
For context, when Brent crude has crossed $per barrel in the past, it was sufficient to trigger consumer panic, inflationary spirals, and policy emergencies across the globe. At $
you are entering territory that begins to structurally damage economic growth in every major oil importing nation simultaneously. China, the world's
single largest oil importer, was suddenly facing an energy import bill that threatened to unravel years of carefully managed economic planning.
India, whose entire manufacturing revival depends on relatively affordable energy inputs, was caught in a vice with no obvious escape. Japan and South
Korea, almost entirely dependent on Gulf imports for their energy security, activated emergency strategic reserves.
Europe, still healing its industrial base from the energy shock of the Ukraine conflict, braced itself for another wave of energy-driven economic
pain with no political reserves left to absorb it. When President Trump announced a -day pause on American strikes against Iranian power plants,
oil markets breathed temporarily. Brent crude dropped back below $per barrel, a fall of more than % in a single trading session. Financial
headlines celebrated the relief, but do not allow that temporary market movement to mislead you about the actual state of affairs on the ground. The International
Energy Agency was explicit. A -day pause solves nothing structurally. The mines are still in the water. The Iranian Navy is still fully deployed.
across the Gulf. The infrastructure in Kuwait is still smoldering. A -day pause is not a ceasefire. It is a timeout in a confrontation where neither
side has agreed on the terms of resolution. And the most dangerous window of this entire crisis begins the moment those days expire. Iran's
strategic leadership understands something that Washington and Tel Aviv are still calculating. The longer the strait remains disrupted, even partially
disrupted, the more permanent and structural the economic damage becomes.
Oil markets do not merely respond to current supply levels. They respond to expected future supply. If traders believe there is even a % probability
that Hormuz remains restricted for the next months, oil prices will price in that risk immediately. Today, right now,
that is the fundamental logic of how commodity markets function. And at the current trajectory, IA modeling suggests we could be looking at a global economic
contraction that pushes tens of millions of additional people into energy poverty before the end of this calendar year.
This war does not stay in the Middle East. It never could. It was never designed to. Let us now examine the military and strategic dimension more
carefully because understanding the chess match being played between these powers is essential to understanding where this conflict is actually headed.
And what you're about to hear will completely reframe how you understand the balance of power in the modern Middle East. When the United States and
Israel executed strikes against Iran's nuclear and military infrastructure,
they were operating on a strategic theory. The theory was straightforward.
A sufficiently powerful strike campaign would either compel Iran to negotiate from weakness or degrade Iran's military capabilities enough that Thran could not
mount meaningful retaliation. That theory is now under serious and perhaps terminal question. Because what Iran demonstrated through the Hormuz closure
and the drone strikes on Gulf infrastructure is that its most powerful strategic weapons are not its nuclear program. They are not its ballistic
missiles. Iran's ultimate weapon is geography and the doctrine of asymmetric disruption. Iran sits at the northern edge of the Persian Gulf like a hand
positioned around a throat. You can destroy every missile silo, every enrichment centrifuge, every radar installation, every command bunker in
Iran. And Iran retains the ability to make the surrounding water too dangerous and too costly for the global economy to accept. That is the fundamental
strategic reality that no amount of air power alone fully resolves. And Washington understands this, which is why alongside the military strikes and
diplomatic signaling, the United States has been internally evaluating a plan that if executed would represent one of the most audacious combined military and economic operations in recent decades.
The plan centers on Car Island. Car Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal. Approximately % of Iran's
crude oil exports are processed and shipped from Car Island's facilities. A sustained naval blockade or physical seizure of Carg Island would not merely hurt Iran economically at the margins.
It would cut off Thrron's primary source of foreign currency revenue with near immediate effect. Without oil export income, Iran cannot sustain its military
operational tempo, cannot continue funding its regional proxy network,
cannot prevent domestic economic conditions from deteriorating to the point where the regime faces genuinely threatening internal pressure. In
theory, this creates conditions for a negotiated settlement. In practice,
executing a naval operation in the Persian Gulf in Iran's own backyard with Iranian shore-based anti-hship missiles,
submarines, and fast attack craft, all actively operational, is not a clean mission. And any miscalculation in that environment risks escalating from an
economic pressure campaign into a full-scale direct naval engagement between American and Iranian forces. The kind of engagement that historically rarely stays contained at the level
where it begins. Now, I need to tell you about the nuclear dimension of this conflict because it is the piece of the story most people are still not fully
processing and it changes the entire strategic calculus. Iranian missile strikes targeted areas in Israel's southern negative desert in retaliation
for the initial strikes on Iranian territory. Among the zones that came under fire were areas near Deona and Arad. You need to understand what exists
in that region. The negative nuclear research center near Deona is widely understood based on decades of consistent intelligence assessments to
be the central facility of Israel's nuclear weapons program. It is where Israel has developed and maintains its strategic nuclear deterrent. When
Iranian missiles land in proximity to that facility, you're no longer discussing a conventional military exchange with conventional stakes. You are introducing the possibility, however
remote, at this moment, of a nuclear dimension to a conflict that is already threatening global economic stability.
The IAEA confirmed no nuclear material release occurred. But the message Iran embedded in this targeting decision was
as unambiguous as a message can be. We know exactly where your most sensitive assets are. And we have demonstrated publicly and undeniably that we can
reach them. That kind of signal changes the private calculations of every leader in the region and every nuclear armed power watching this situation develop
from outside. There is something else that has received almost no serious attention in mainstream international coverage. Yet, it may be the single most
destabilizing element of the entire crisis. Iran's supreme leadership publicly committed to a position that makes diplomatic deescalation
structurally very difficult. The language used was deliberate and precise. The file of retaliation remains open until full accountability is
delivered. What does that mean in operational terms? It means that even if a temporary ceasefire is brokered in the next few days, even if oil prices
stabilize temporarily, even if the mines in the straight are partially cleared,
Iran's leadership has made a public commitment to continued pressure on Gulf states and on Israel. There is no diplomatic off-ramp available that does
not require Iran to visibly and publicly retreat from that commitment in front of its own domestic audience. And in the political culture of the Islamic
Republic, such a visible public retreat is not merely diplomatically uncomfortable. It carries genuine existential implications for the
regime's domestic legitimacy and its credibility among its regional allies and proxy networks across the Middle East. Meanwhile, something is fracturing
within the Arab world that the Western media has almost entirely overlooked.
And this fracture may carry more long-term strategic significance than any individual air strike or missile exchange in this conflict. The UAE has
spent the last two decades constructing itself into one of the world's premier commercial, financial, and logistics hubs. Dubai's identity as a global trade
gateway, Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth architecture, the UAE's carefully cultivated reputation as a stable and neutral business environment, all of it
is built on the foundational assumption of Gulf stability and open maritime access. This crisis threatens that foundation directly. and a senior UAE
official in a statement that sent genuine shock waves through Arab diplomatic networks publicly criticized the fundamental failure of major Arab
and Islamic nations to rally in support of Gulf countries during this crisis.
The UAE is publicly and explicitly calling out the broader Arab world for abandoning the Gulf in its moment of maximum vulnerability. This is not a
minor diplomatic complaint. This is a visible and documented fracture in the architecture of Arab collective security. the very fracture Iran has
been strategically attempting to create and widen for years. If the Gulf States cannot count on broader Arab solidarity in a crisis of this magnitude, they face
a fundamental strategic reassessment. Do they deepen dependency on American military protection and accept the political costs? Do they accelerate
their own independent military development at a pace that permanently reshapes the regional balance of power?
Do they pursue back channel direct negotiations with Thran, seeking a separate bilateral accommodation that reduces their exposure? These are not academic questions. These are
conversations happening in actual rooms and actual capitals right now today.
Now, let us talk about water. Because in the shadow of dramatic headlines about oil prices and naval blockades, Iran issued a specific threat that barely
registered in the global news cycle despite carrying humanitarian implications of the highest possible order. Iran's parliament speaker issued a public warning that directly targeted
Gulf nations desalination plants and freshwater supply infrastructure. In Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait, dissalination is not a luxury.
It is the biological foundation of human survival. These are countries built in the middle of one of the most extreme desert environments on Earth with virtually no naturally occurring
freshwater supply. The plants that convert sea water into drinking water are as fundamentally critical to life in these countries as the electrical grid
is to any modern city. A sustained offensive campaign against desalination infrastructure would not produce an economic crisis. It would produce a
humanitarian emergency the international system is completely unprepared to manage. Millions of people in some of the most densely populated cities on
Earth, Riyad, Dubai, Kuwait City, Doha would face acute and rapidly deteriorating freshwater shortages. The
fact that this threat is now publicly on the table tells you everything you need to understand about how far the escalatory logic of this conflict is
prepared to reach. Let us now bring this back to what all of this means for ordinary people watching this video from anywhere on Earth.
Energy prices are the primary transmission mechanism through which this conflict reaches every household,
regardless of how far from the Gulf they are located. When oil sustains itself above $per barrel, you do not merely pay more at the fuel station. Fertilizer
production costs spike sharply because making fertilizer is an energyintensive industrial process. And higher fertilizer costs mean higher food prices at every grocery store in every country.
Shipping and logistics costs rise across the board because every container ship and cargo freighter runs on fuel. And when the cost of moving goods rises, the
price of every product that was moved also rises. Electronics, clothing,
medicine, construction materials, every item in every global supply chain becomes more expensive simultaneously.
Central banks already engaged in a difficult battle against inflation in most major economies suddenly face an impossible policy choice. Do they raise
interest rates aggressively to fight the new inflationary wave from elevated energy prices and risk tipping their economies into recession? Or do they
hold rates steady and allow a sustained erosion of the purchasing power of workers and families who are already financially stretched? Neither option
avoids real economic pain for real people. For emerging market economies,
and this is particularly relevant for viewers in South Asia, Southeast Asia,
Africa, and Latin America, the impact is even more severe. Countries that import most of their energy and maintain limited foreign currency reserves are
facing a compounding double shock. Their energy import bills are surging in dollar terms at exactly the moment when global risk sentiment is deteriorating.
And as investors pull capital out of emerging markets and reposition into safe haven assets, the currencies of vulnerable countries weaken, making
those already surging dollar denominated energy bills even more expensive in local currency terms. The IMF has already initiated emergency sovereign
debt stress assessments for a sustained high oil price scenario. Several countries that were already navigating difficult debt situations before this crisis began are now in genuinely
precarious fiscal positions. Here's the question every analyst, every strategist, and every world leader is now urgently working to answer. How does
this end? What is the path to deescalation?
Because conflicts that are structurally easy to enter are almost never structurally easy to exit. Iran cannot visibly retreat from its public
commitments without triggering a domestic political crisis. Israel cannot accept any outcome that leaves Iran with an intact capability to threaten Israeli
population centers. The United States is publicly committed to defending its Gulf allies and supporting Israel, but privately aware that a full-scale
Persian Gulf war would be economically catastrophic and politically damaging at home. Russia and China, both of which maintain significant interests in Gulf
energy markets and complex bilateral relationships with Iran, are watching and calculating their own positions with everything they observe. It is not a
solution. Within that window, back channel diplomatic communication is reportedly occurring through at least two intermediary governments. The
signals are genuinely mixed. Iran's foreign ministry has publicly denied any formal dialogue is underway while simultaneously not slamming every
possible channel shut. Washington is attempting to thread the needle between maintaining enough pressure on Iran to incentivize negotiation while avoiding
the kind of trigger event that could activate Iranian proxy forces across the region simultaneously in Iraq, in Yemen,
in Lebanon, in Syria, creating a multiffront conflict that American forces are not resourced to manage cleanly. That scenario is not the
inevitable outcome, but it has crossed from the realm of the unthinkable into the realm of the genuinely possible. And this brings us to the final revelation,
the one I promised you at the very beginning of this video. We have spent decades living in a world where a catastrophic disruption of global energy
supply was always theoretical. Something that could happen under extreme conditions, but that military deterrence and international institutions would
ultimately prevent. What the last hours have demonstrated with absolute and undeniable clarity is that the theoretical has become actual. The
assumption that the straight of Hormuz would always remain open was one of the great unexamined structural vulnerabilities of the modern global economy. We built an entire civilization that requires that waterway to function.
We never constructed a serious scaled alternative. We never honestly priced the risk of its closure into our strategic planning. And the bill for that failure of foresight is now
arriving in the form of burning refineries, empty shipping lanes,
spiking oil prices, and a global economy holding its breath while a small number of people in a small number of rooms decide the fate of everyone else on
Earth. The next hours will tell us whether those people still have enough rationality, enough communication, and enough shared interest in avoiding
catastrophe to pull the world back from the edge. Watch closely because history is being written right now. And this time, every single one of us has a stake in how it ends.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 7:46 pm
Someone Knew! $9B in Bets Placed Before Trump’s Iran U‑Turn | Who Profited? WATCH
Times Of India
Mar 24, 2026 #stockmarket #trump #iran
The market didn’t react to the news. It moved before it. Minutes before Donald Trump announced a pause in strikes against Iran, massive trades were placed across equities and oil markets, bets perfectly aligned with what followed. Within minutes, markets surged, oil prices fell, and profits worth hundreds of crores were made. At that moment, there was no public information pointing to such a move. Which raises the real question: was this extraordinary foresight or early access to information? Because in markets, timing is everything. And sometimes, timing says more than the trade itself.
Times Of India
Mar 24, 2026 #stockmarket #trump #iran
The market didn’t react to the news. It moved before it. Minutes before Donald Trump announced a pause in strikes against Iran, massive trades were placed across equities and oil markets, bets perfectly aligned with what followed. Within minutes, markets surged, oil prices fell, and profits worth hundreds of crores were made. At that moment, there was no public information pointing to such a move. Which raises the real question: was this extraordinary foresight or early access to information? Because in markets, timing is everything. And sometimes, timing says more than the trade itself.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 9:06 pm
Iran Genetics — Scientists Didn't Expect This!
The DNA Thread
Mar 2, 2026 #ancientdna #hiddenhistory #dnasecrets
Iran's DNA just broke every rule scientists had.
What they found inside 10,000-year-old bones will change how you see history forever.
This isn't the Iran your textbooks taught you. Beneath every empire, every conquest, every religion — there was a genome running silently for thousands of years. And it was hiding secrets nobody expected.
From a forgotten woman buried in the Zagros Mountains to a ghost civilization swallowed by the Persian Gulf — this is the real story of Iranian blood.
Transcript
What if everything you learned about
Iran was built on a story that was never
fully true? Not the history books, not
the maps, not the empires, the DNA.
For decades, scientists thought they
understood where Iranians came from.
They had the Persians, they had the
Aryans, they had Cyrus the Great and the
greatest empire the ancient world had
ever seen. But then they started digging
into the actual genome, into the bones,
into the blood. And what they found,
nobody expected. Not the historians, not
the geneticists, not even the
researchers who designed the
experiments. Because beneath the story
of Persia, beneath the empires and the
invasions and the conquests, there was a
deeper story, a biological story, one
that had been quietly running for
years and waiting for science to finally
catch up. Today, we are going to read
that story layer by layer, genome by
genome. And I promise you, by the end of
this video, the way you think about
ancestry, your identity, and history
will never be the same again.
If you are fascinated by lost histories
and ancient DNA mysteries, hit that
subscribe button right now because this
channel exists for exactly this kind of
story. And before we go any further,
drop your country in the comments below.
Where are you watching this from? And
have you ever done a DNA ancestry test?
What did it reveal about you? Let us
know because by the end of this video,
your answer might surprise you more than
you think. Though, now let's go back,
way back, not to Cyrus, not to the
Persian Empire, much further.
years ago, in the highlands of
Western Iran, there was a valley. The
Zagros mountains rose around it like
walls. The air was cold and thin, and a
small group of people lived there in
mudbrick rooms, farming goats, grinding
barley, and building a life that history
would completely forget. We don't know
what they called themselves. We don't
know what language they spoke. We don't
know what gods they prayed to, but in
the s, archaeologists found their
home, a site called Ganj Dar, which
means treasure valley in Persian. and
buried in the floor of a small room.
They found her, a woman around to
years old in a grave with two other
people beside her. For decades, she was
just a skeleton in a storage room. Then
in scientists from Cambridge
University, University College Dublin,
that in South Korea's UNIST extracted
her DNA from her petrus bone, the
densest bone in the human skull, the one
that survives the longest, and sequenced
her genome. What they found stopped
everyone in their tracks. Researchers
Ggo Yorrene Jones Ericson and their team
publishing in scientific reports
confirmed something extraordinary.
This woman's DNA did not match the early
farmers of Anatolia who built Europe. It
did not match the Levventine farmers of
the Middle East. Say it did not match
anything in the known ancient Eurasian
database. She was something separate,
something isolated, something older in
the sense of divergence, a population
that had split off from the rest of the
world's farming communities and gone its
own way quietly in those mountains for
thousands of years. Think about what
that means. At the very moment
civilization was being invented,
agriculture, animal farming, we
permanent settlements. Three completely
different groups of people were doing it
independently in parallel without
knowing about each other. the Anatolians
in Turkey, the Levventines in modern
Israel and Jordan, and her people, the
Zagros farmers of Iran. Three separate
human experiments running at the same
time, never talking to each other, never
mixing their blood.
And here is the part
that will stay with you. Where her
community at Ganjara holds the earliest
confirmed evidence of goat domestication
on Earth. Her people were the first
humans in history to look at a wild
animal and decide, "We can tame this. We
can build a life around this. The
agricultural revolution that eventually
fed all of humanity. It may have had one
of its earliest roots right here in this
forgotten valley with these forgotten
people. She gave the world its food
system. And history never even gave her
a name. But but here is what makes this
even more remarkable. Her DNA, this
-year-old genome, didn't
disappear. It survived. It passed down
through generations, through thousands
of years, through every empire that rose
and fell over that land. Scientists
found her genetic signal alive in modern
Iranians today. She is still there in
the blood of people living right now,
millennia later.
But her descendants
didn't stay isolated forever, because
something was coming. We something fast
and powerful and completely unstoppable.
And it was coming from the north around
2,000 B.CE. Roughly 4,000 years ago, the
world changed. Out on the vast
grasslands north of the Black Sea and
the Caspian Sea, there lived a people we
now call the Yamna. Bronze Age
pastoralists, herders, riders, warriors.
Genetically, they were built from a
mixture of Eastern European hunter
gatherers and ancient Cauasus ancestry,
and they started moving. Well, most
people know that the yamnia swept into
Europe. Genetic studies, including the
landmark paper by Hawk and
colleagues published in Nature, showed
that up to 75% of the ancestry of Bronze
Age Europeans, traces back to this steppe
migration. They brought horses. They
brought wheels. They brought a language
that would eventually become almost
every language spoken in Europe today.
But here is what almost nobody teaches.
They also went south into Iran.
Researchers analyzing Y chromosome data
from modern Iranians, including a study
published in PLS 1in found Hapla
group R1A, the genetic fingerprint of
the Yamna step populations, distributed
across multiple Iranian ethnic groups,
Kurds, Persians, Mazanderanis, all
carrying a piece of that Bronze Age
steppe wave in their Y chromosomes. This
wasn't a peaceful migration. Settlement
patterns from that era, weapon burials,
skeletal trauma evidence. We sudden
population shifts all point to something
violent. A confrontation between the new
arrivals and the people already there.
And now here is the twist that nobody in
mainstream history will say out loud.
The people we celebrate as the builders
of the Persian Empire, the forebears of
Cyrus, Darius, Xerxes, may themselves be
the descendants of invaders who replaced
an earlier civilization, the great
Persian kings, warriors, conquerors, who
may have had conquerors in their own
ancestry.
But the Zagros woman's people
were not erased. A 2025 study, the
results of which were presented in
February of that year, confirmed over 3,000
years of genetic continuity in
northern Iranian highland populations.
The ancient genome held on. It went
underground, but it survived.
And it wasn't the only thing arriving in Iran
from the outside. Because while the steppe
warriors came from the north, well,
something completely different was
traveling along the most famous road in
human history, and it was coming from
the east. For over a thousand years, the
Silk Road connected China to the
Mediterranean. Merchants, ideas,
religions, diseases, all of it moved
along those routes. But no one thought
about what else was moving along them,
until geneticists looked.
A 2019 genome study covered by Ura from the Basque
Country Research Network, confirmed
measurable East Asian and Central Asian
genetic components in specific Iranian
populations, particularly in eastern
Iran. The signal traces back to Silk
Road era Sagdian merchants, Turk
pastoralists, and later Mongol era
movement.
Now stop and think about that.
The Mongols invaded Iran in 1258 CE.
They destroyed cities. They burned
libraries. They killed millions. Iranian
historians call it one of the darkest
chapters in their entire civilization.
And yet, the Mongol genetic signal is
still detectable in living Iranians
today. The people your history books
call destroyers, they became part of the
Iranian genome. They are inside the
descendants of the civilization they
supposedly destroyed.
This is what DNA
does that history cannot. It doesn't
take sides. It just records what
happened. And the genetic record of the
Hzara and Balac communities of eastern
Iran, communities that have historically
faced discrimination within Iran for
being too foreign, too central Asian,
shows that they carry a layer of Iranian
and Central Asian genetic history that
no other group preserves. The people
called outsiders were carrying history
that insiders had lost.
But the east came from the east and the north came
from the north. So, the strangest signal
of all came from somewhere no Iranian
history book ever looks. It came from
across the water from the south in the
southernmost part of Iran along the
coast of Hormuz province on the shores
of the Persian Gulf. There live a people
called the Bandari. They are Iranian
citizens. They speak Persian and Arabic
dialects. They have lived on that coast
for centuries. But something about their
DNA confused scientists. A 2011 study
published in the Journal of Human
Genetics examining mitochondrial DNA and
Y chromosome variation across Iran found
a subsaharan African-related genetic
signal in these southern coastal
populations. Not a small signal, a real
measurable ancient one. And it wasn't
from the Arab slave trade, which is what
most people assume when they hear
African ancestry in the Gulf region.
This signal was older, much older. It
pointed to prehistoric maritime
exchange, ancient seafaring across
the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean, long
before recorded history, when people on
both sides of the water were crossing it,
and leaving pieces of themselves on the
other shore.
Supporting this, a landmark
2023 study published in Nature, led by
researchers from Harvard, revealed that
Persian Gulf merchants were genetically
embedded in the medieval Swahili coast
of East Africa.
The Indian Ocean wasn't a barrier. It
was a highway, a two-way genetic
highway, and Iran was at one end of it.
Now, look at the Bandari people today.
Their music, especially the healing
ceremonies called Zar rituals, carries
rhythms and structures that directly
echo subsaharan East African traditions.
Scholars of ethnomusicology have noted
this for decades. And now, genetics
confirms that the cultural echo has a
biological root. These are not borrowed
traditions. These are inherited ones.
When and here is the injustice in this
story. For generations, Bandari people
were looked at as foreign within their
own country. Too dark, too different,
too African. Yet, their genetic data
shows they may represent some of the
oldest continuous coastal populations on
the Iranian plateau. The people called
foreign were the most ancient ones of
all.
But Iran's south remembered Africa.
Its east carried the Silk Road. Its
north held the steppe warriors. And in
Iran's northwest, something was
quietly doing something no scientist
thought was possible. It was preserving
an entire civilization in its blood.
There is a small religious community in
Iran called the Zoroastrians. They
follow one of the oldest religions in
the world, a faith that was born in Iran
during the second millennium B.CE,
centuries before Islam, centuries before
Christianity was established in the
region. Today, they number only a few
thousand in Iran itself, quietly living,
quietly practicing
men almost invisible to the outside
world. But when scientists sequenced
their DNA, something extraordinary
emerged. A 2017 study published in the
American Journal of Human Genetics, led
by Scioa Lopez, Mark Thomas, Lucy Van
Dorp, and Garrett Helenthal at
University College London, revealed that
Iranian Zoroastrians show increased
genetic homogeneity compared to every
other Iranian population tested. In
plain language, they had been marrying
within their own community for a very
very long time. In the study used
advanced hapletype analysis and found
that the last significant genetic mixing
in the ancestors of Iranian Zoroastrians
dated to somewhere between 570 B.CE and
746 CE, older than the admixture date
of any other Iranian group tested. In
other words, their genome stopped taking
in outside DNA right around the time the
Achaeminid Persian Empire was at its
height. Around the time of Cyrus the
Great, around the time of Darius, around
the time of Xerxes.
One, they froze
themselves in time genetically. Every
generation that married within the
faith, not out of hatred of others, but
out of preservation of themselves, was
unknowingly keeping ancient Iran alive
in their cells.
And the proof extends beyond Iran's borders.
When the Islamic
conquest arrived in the 7th century CE,
many Zoroastrians fled. They sailed to
the western coast of India. They settled
in Gujarat. They became the Parsis, the
Persian people. And they have lived
in India ever since, maintaining their
identity, their fire temples, their
sacred traditions.
The UCL study found
that Parsis carry almost the same
genetic signature as Iranian
Zoroastrians.
The migration story their oral tradition
had always told, confirmed, validated,
written in the genome. Think about what
that means. Two communities separated by
an ocean for over a thousand years. One
in Mumbai, one in Tehran, and their DNA
still telling the same story. They didn't just preserve a religion, they
preserved a genome. A biological letter
written 2,500 years ago, still being
read today.
But here is the question
that nobody asks next. If Zoroastrians
preserved the old Iran in their blood,
what did 1,400 years of Islamic
civilization actually do to everyone
else? The answer will surprise you. In
651 CE, the last assassinated emperor
was killed and the Arab Islamic conquest
of Iran was complete. A new language
poured in. A new religion, a new
architecture, new poetry, new law, new
science, new everything.
For 1,400 years, Iran has been one of
the great centers of Islamic
civilization. Persian and Arabic became
so deeply intertwined that Persian
itself absorbed thousands of Arabic
words. The Iranian cultural golden age,
its philosophers, its astronomers, its
poets, all built their legacy inside an
Arab Islamic framework.
You would assume
that means a lot of Arab DNA entered the
Iranian population. You would be wrong.
So an HLA class 2 genetic diversity
study conducted at Shiraz University of
Medical Sciences published in the
Iranian Journal of Immunology used a MOA
analysis to compare the genetic
distances between Iranian populations
and populations across the broader
Middle East. The findings were stark.
Iranian Arabs, the Arabic speaking
communities of southwest Iran, are
genetically more similar to other
Iranians than to Arabs from Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait, or the Arabian
Peninsula. So this means the Arabic-
speaking Iranians are largely Iranians
who adopted the language, not Arab
immigrants who moved in.
And at the broader genome level, multiple studies
confirm that the Arab genetic
contribution to the overall Iranian gene
pool is small, measurable, but small.
Iran speaks Arabic infused Persian. Iran
practices a religion born in Arabia.
Iran built its medieval golden age on
Arab Persian intellectual exchange.
But its genome, its actual biological
inheritance, remained almost entirely
pre-Islamic.
Culture is a costume. You
can take it off and put on a new one.
DNA is a skeleton. It doesn't change
because a new empire arrived. And
nowhere in Iran did the skeleton hold
more firmly than in the mountains.
Deep in the Zagros range, in the highlands of
western Iran, there are communities that
live the way their ancestors lived 4,000
years ago. The lure, the baktiari, says
the mazanderani of the Albor's mountains
in the north. Every spring, baktiari
families pack everything they own onto
the backs of horses and mules and walk
across mountain passes covered in snow
down into green valleys. Then back again
in autumn, the same roots, the same
mountains, the same rhythm of life their
great great grandparents walked and
their DNA walks with them.
A 2025 study, a collaboration between
the Max Plank Institute for Evolutionary
Anthropology, Harvard's Reich Lab,
and the University of Tehran, analyzed
ancient Iranian samples spanning from
the copper age through the Sassinid era.
The results confirmed that Highland
Iranian populations show the strongest
genetic continuity with Bronze Age
Iranian samples of any group in Western
Asia. Scientists have a term for this, a
genetic refugeium. A place so
geographically protected by mountains,
by deserts, by sheer inaccessibility,
that invasions couldn't reach the
bloodlines. It's where the ancient
genome just kept going generation after
generation untouched. The people who
call these communities rural, backward,
old-fashioned are looking at the most
direct living link to the builders of
the first Iranian civilizations. The
very people who carry the least mixed
genome are the ones carrying the deepest
Iranian history.
But here is where the
story takes its most unexpected turn.
Because the most shocking discovery in
Iranian genetics wasn't about the
Baktiari in the mountains. It wasn't
about the Bandari on the coast. It
wasn't even about the Zoroastrians in
their fire temples. It was found when a
scientist decided to compare the Iranian
genome to a population that Iranians are
told to consider their enemy. Multiple
population genomic studies
cross-referencing ancient Zagros
Neolithic ancestry data with modern
population genetics might have found
something that stops you cold when you
see it. Modern Iranians and Ashkenazi
Jews share a significant specific
ancient ancestry component. Both
populations trace part of their genetic
inheritance to the same source, the
Zagros Neolithic farming population, the
same people as the woman in the Ganjari
grave. This is not recent mixing. This
is not medieval exchange. This is not
the result of Persian and Jewish
communities living near each other for
centuries, though they did. If this
shared lineage is old, 10,000 years old,
from before Persia, before Israel,
before any of these names existed,
before written language, before history
itself was invented. These are two
populations connected by a genetic
thread that goes back further than any
religion, any border, any conflict ever
could.
And now the history hits
different. In 539 B.CE, Cyrus the Great
marched into Babylon and freed the
Jewish people from captivity. It is
recorded in the Hebrew Bible in the book
of Isaiah, ch. 45. Cyrus is the only
non-Jewish figure in the entire Hebrew
Bible to be called the anointed one, the
Messiah, by the Jewish prophets. The
Cyrus cylinder, the clay tablet he
issued, now sitting in the British
Museum in London, is considered the
world's first declaration of human
rights. It freed enslaved people. It
allowed exiled communities to return
home. And why would a Persian king show
that kind of respect and care for a
Jewish population? History gives
political answers. DNA gives a different
one. The king who freed them, and the
people he freed, were at a genetic level
distant cousins sharing ancestry from a
world that had existed and gone silent
6,000 years before either of their
civilizations was born. They did not
know this. They could not have known
this. But the genome knew.
In a modern world, where Iran and Israel are locked
in one of the most dangerous
geopolitical conflicts on the planet,
where missiles are exchanged, where
leaders speak of each other's
destruction, the DNA of their
populations is quietly telling a
10,000-year-old story of shared origin.
Ancient DNA has a way of making enemies
into cousins. The question is what you
do with that information.
But here is where Iran's genetic story leaves
everyone, including the scientists,
without an answer. Because after all of
this, the Zagros farmers, the steppe
warriors, the Silk Road migrants, the
African maritime connections, the
Zoroastrian time capsule, the conquest
that couldn't conquer the genome, there
is still a portion of the Iranian
genetic profile that doesn't match
anything.
A 2021 study by Fernandez and
colleagues published through molecular
biology and evolution, specifically
examined ancient ancestry patterns in
modern Iranians and Arabians and they
found it clearly -- a component the
researchers called deep Iranian ancestry
or basal Eurasian ancestry. A genetic
signal so old and so isolated that it
doesn't match any sequenced ancient
population in the database. No grave has
been found. No site has been excavated
that explains it. No human remains have
been unearthed that carry it in its
original unmixed form. Yet, it exists
only as a shadow in the genome of living
people.
And here is the theory that
keeps scientists up at night. Around
20,000 years ago, during the last ice
age, sea levels were much lower than
today. The Persian Gulf, that body of
water between Iran and the Arabian
Peninsula, was not a sea at all. It was
dry land, a fertile basin fed by the
Tigris, the Euphrates, the Karun, and
other rivers. Possibly one of the most
habitable pieces of land on Earth at the
time. And cientists have theorized that
the basal Eurasian population, the
source of this deep, unmatched signal,
may have lived in that basin. A
civilization that never built monuments
on land we can reach today, because their
land is now under 100m of salt water.
If this theory is correct, then the
Iranian plateau doesn't just sit at a
crossroads of ancient civilizations. It
sits at the edge of the Genetic Ground
Zero of modern humanity's expansion into
all of Eurasia. Every non-African person
alive today carries some trace of what
those people carried. And the clearest
echo of them, the least diluted signal,
may survive in Iran. An entire
civilization swallowed by the sea,
leaving only a thread of code in the
bloodstream of the living. No name, no
language, no monuments, no stories, just
the genome still running, still being
carried forward by people who will never
know whose ancient breath they are
continuing.
And right now, as you
are watching this, there is an
excavation underway on the eastern
Iranian plateau. Results not yet
published.
Researchers who have said quietly in
academic circles that what they are
finding may require a fundamental
rewrite of when and how modern humans
first spread across Asia. When those
results drop, this channel will be the
first to cover it. So, make sure you are
subscribed and leave this video on for
someone who needs to hear this story.
Because this is not just Iran's history.
The DNA Thread
Mar 2, 2026 #ancientdna #hiddenhistory #dnasecrets
Iran's DNA just broke every rule scientists had.
What they found inside 10,000-year-old bones will change how you see history forever.
This isn't the Iran your textbooks taught you. Beneath every empire, every conquest, every religion — there was a genome running silently for thousands of years. And it was hiding secrets nobody expected.
From a forgotten woman buried in the Zagros Mountains to a ghost civilization swallowed by the Persian Gulf — this is the real story of Iranian blood.
Transcript
What if everything you learned about
Iran was built on a story that was never
fully true? Not the history books, not
the maps, not the empires, the DNA.
For decades, scientists thought they
understood where Iranians came from.
They had the Persians, they had the
Aryans, they had Cyrus the Great and the
greatest empire the ancient world had
ever seen. But then they started digging
into the actual genome, into the bones,
into the blood. And what they found,
nobody expected. Not the historians, not
the geneticists, not even the
researchers who designed the
experiments. Because beneath the story
of Persia, beneath the empires and the
invasions and the conquests, there was a
deeper story, a biological story, one
that had been quietly running for
years and waiting for science to finally
catch up. Today, we are going to read
that story layer by layer, genome by
genome. And I promise you, by the end of
this video, the way you think about
ancestry, your identity, and history
will never be the same again.
If you are fascinated by lost histories
and ancient DNA mysteries, hit that
subscribe button right now because this
channel exists for exactly this kind of
story. And before we go any further,
drop your country in the comments below.
Where are you watching this from? And
have you ever done a DNA ancestry test?
What did it reveal about you? Let us
know because by the end of this video,
your answer might surprise you more than
you think. Though, now let's go back,
way back, not to Cyrus, not to the
Persian Empire, much further.
years ago, in the highlands of
Western Iran, there was a valley. The
Zagros mountains rose around it like
walls. The air was cold and thin, and a
small group of people lived there in
mudbrick rooms, farming goats, grinding
barley, and building a life that history
would completely forget. We don't know
what they called themselves. We don't
know what language they spoke. We don't
know what gods they prayed to, but in
the s, archaeologists found their
home, a site called Ganj Dar, which
means treasure valley in Persian. and
buried in the floor of a small room.
They found her, a woman around to
years old in a grave with two other
people beside her. For decades, she was
just a skeleton in a storage room. Then
in scientists from Cambridge
University, University College Dublin,
that in South Korea's UNIST extracted
her DNA from her petrus bone, the
densest bone in the human skull, the one
that survives the longest, and sequenced
her genome. What they found stopped
everyone in their tracks. Researchers
Ggo Yorrene Jones Ericson and their team
publishing in scientific reports
confirmed something extraordinary.
This woman's DNA did not match the early
farmers of Anatolia who built Europe. It
did not match the Levventine farmers of
the Middle East. Say it did not match
anything in the known ancient Eurasian
database. She was something separate,
something isolated, something older in
the sense of divergence, a population
that had split off from the rest of the
world's farming communities and gone its
own way quietly in those mountains for
thousands of years. Think about what
that means. At the very moment
civilization was being invented,
agriculture, animal farming, we
permanent settlements. Three completely
different groups of people were doing it
independently in parallel without
knowing about each other. the Anatolians
in Turkey, the Levventines in modern
Israel and Jordan, and her people, the
Zagros farmers of Iran. Three separate
human experiments running at the same
time, never talking to each other, never
mixing their blood.
And here is the part
that will stay with you. Where her
community at Ganjara holds the earliest
confirmed evidence of goat domestication
on Earth. Her people were the first
humans in history to look at a wild
animal and decide, "We can tame this. We
can build a life around this. The
agricultural revolution that eventually
fed all of humanity. It may have had one
of its earliest roots right here in this
forgotten valley with these forgotten
people. She gave the world its food
system. And history never even gave her
a name. But but here is what makes this
even more remarkable. Her DNA, this
-year-old genome, didn't
disappear. It survived. It passed down
through generations, through thousands
of years, through every empire that rose
and fell over that land. Scientists
found her genetic signal alive in modern
Iranians today. She is still there in
the blood of people living right now,
millennia later.
But her descendants
didn't stay isolated forever, because
something was coming. We something fast
and powerful and completely unstoppable.
And it was coming from the north around
2,000 B.CE. Roughly 4,000 years ago, the
world changed. Out on the vast
grasslands north of the Black Sea and
the Caspian Sea, there lived a people we
now call the Yamna. Bronze Age
pastoralists, herders, riders, warriors.
Genetically, they were built from a
mixture of Eastern European hunter
gatherers and ancient Cauasus ancestry,
and they started moving. Well, most
people know that the yamnia swept into
Europe. Genetic studies, including the
landmark paper by Hawk and
colleagues published in Nature, showed
that up to 75% of the ancestry of Bronze
Age Europeans, traces back to this steppe
migration. They brought horses. They
brought wheels. They brought a language
that would eventually become almost
every language spoken in Europe today.
But here is what almost nobody teaches.
They also went south into Iran.
Researchers analyzing Y chromosome data
from modern Iranians, including a study
published in PLS 1in found Hapla
group R1A, the genetic fingerprint of
the Yamna step populations, distributed
across multiple Iranian ethnic groups,
Kurds, Persians, Mazanderanis, all
carrying a piece of that Bronze Age
steppe wave in their Y chromosomes. This
wasn't a peaceful migration. Settlement
patterns from that era, weapon burials,
skeletal trauma evidence. We sudden
population shifts all point to something
violent. A confrontation between the new
arrivals and the people already there.
And now here is the twist that nobody in
mainstream history will say out loud.
The people we celebrate as the builders
of the Persian Empire, the forebears of
Cyrus, Darius, Xerxes, may themselves be
the descendants of invaders who replaced
an earlier civilization, the great
Persian kings, warriors, conquerors, who
may have had conquerors in their own
ancestry.
But the Zagros woman's people
were not erased. A 2025 study, the
results of which were presented in
February of that year, confirmed over 3,000
years of genetic continuity in
northern Iranian highland populations.
The ancient genome held on. It went
underground, but it survived.
And it wasn't the only thing arriving in Iran
from the outside. Because while the steppe
warriors came from the north, well,
something completely different was
traveling along the most famous road in
human history, and it was coming from
the east. For over a thousand years, the
Silk Road connected China to the
Mediterranean. Merchants, ideas,
religions, diseases, all of it moved
along those routes. But no one thought
about what else was moving along them,
until geneticists looked.
A 2019 genome study covered by Ura from the Basque
Country Research Network, confirmed
measurable East Asian and Central Asian
genetic components in specific Iranian
populations, particularly in eastern
Iran. The signal traces back to Silk
Road era Sagdian merchants, Turk
pastoralists, and later Mongol era
movement.
Now stop and think about that.
The Mongols invaded Iran in 1258 CE.
They destroyed cities. They burned
libraries. They killed millions. Iranian
historians call it one of the darkest
chapters in their entire civilization.
And yet, the Mongol genetic signal is
still detectable in living Iranians
today. The people your history books
call destroyers, they became part of the
Iranian genome. They are inside the
descendants of the civilization they
supposedly destroyed.
This is what DNA
does that history cannot. It doesn't
take sides. It just records what
happened. And the genetic record of the
Hzara and Balac communities of eastern
Iran, communities that have historically
faced discrimination within Iran for
being too foreign, too central Asian,
shows that they carry a layer of Iranian
and Central Asian genetic history that
no other group preserves. The people
called outsiders were carrying history
that insiders had lost.
But the east came from the east and the north came
from the north. So, the strangest signal
of all came from somewhere no Iranian
history book ever looks. It came from
across the water from the south in the
southernmost part of Iran along the
coast of Hormuz province on the shores
of the Persian Gulf. There live a people
called the Bandari. They are Iranian
citizens. They speak Persian and Arabic
dialects. They have lived on that coast
for centuries. But something about their
DNA confused scientists. A 2011 study
published in the Journal of Human
Genetics examining mitochondrial DNA and
Y chromosome variation across Iran found
a subsaharan African-related genetic
signal in these southern coastal
populations. Not a small signal, a real
measurable ancient one. And it wasn't
from the Arab slave trade, which is what
most people assume when they hear
African ancestry in the Gulf region.
This signal was older, much older. It
pointed to prehistoric maritime
exchange, ancient seafaring across
the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean, long
before recorded history, when people on
both sides of the water were crossing it,
and leaving pieces of themselves on the
other shore.
Supporting this, a landmark
2023 study published in Nature, led by
researchers from Harvard, revealed that
Persian Gulf merchants were genetically
embedded in the medieval Swahili coast
of East Africa.
The Indian Ocean wasn't a barrier. It
was a highway, a two-way genetic
highway, and Iran was at one end of it.
Now, look at the Bandari people today.
Their music, especially the healing
ceremonies called Zar rituals, carries
rhythms and structures that directly
echo subsaharan East African traditions.
Scholars of ethnomusicology have noted
this for decades. And now, genetics
confirms that the cultural echo has a
biological root. These are not borrowed
traditions. These are inherited ones.
When and here is the injustice in this
story. For generations, Bandari people
were looked at as foreign within their
own country. Too dark, too different,
too African. Yet, their genetic data
shows they may represent some of the
oldest continuous coastal populations on
the Iranian plateau. The people called
foreign were the most ancient ones of
all.
But Iran's south remembered Africa.
Its east carried the Silk Road. Its
north held the steppe warriors. And in
Iran's northwest, something was
quietly doing something no scientist
thought was possible. It was preserving
an entire civilization in its blood.
There is a small religious community in
Iran called the Zoroastrians. They
follow one of the oldest religions in
the world, a faith that was born in Iran
during the second millennium B.CE,
centuries before Islam, centuries before
Christianity was established in the
region. Today, they number only a few
thousand in Iran itself, quietly living,
quietly practicing
men almost invisible to the outside
world. But when scientists sequenced
their DNA, something extraordinary
emerged. A 2017 study published in the
American Journal of Human Genetics, led
by Scioa Lopez, Mark Thomas, Lucy Van
Dorp, and Garrett Helenthal at
University College London, revealed that
Iranian Zoroastrians show increased
genetic homogeneity compared to every
other Iranian population tested. In
plain language, they had been marrying
within their own community for a very
very long time. In the study used
advanced hapletype analysis and found
that the last significant genetic mixing
in the ancestors of Iranian Zoroastrians
dated to somewhere between 570 B.CE and
746 CE, older than the admixture date
of any other Iranian group tested. In
other words, their genome stopped taking
in outside DNA right around the time the
Achaeminid Persian Empire was at its
height. Around the time of Cyrus the
Great, around the time of Darius, around
the time of Xerxes.
One, they froze
themselves in time genetically. Every
generation that married within the
faith, not out of hatred of others, but
out of preservation of themselves, was
unknowingly keeping ancient Iran alive
in their cells.
And the proof extends beyond Iran's borders.
When the Islamic
conquest arrived in the 7th century CE,
many Zoroastrians fled. They sailed to
the western coast of India. They settled
in Gujarat. They became the Parsis, the
Persian people. And they have lived
in India ever since, maintaining their
identity, their fire temples, their
sacred traditions.
The UCL study found
that Parsis carry almost the same
genetic signature as Iranian
Zoroastrians.
The migration story their oral tradition
had always told, confirmed, validated,
written in the genome. Think about what
that means. Two communities separated by
an ocean for over a thousand years. One
in Mumbai, one in Tehran, and their DNA
still telling the same story. They didn't just preserve a religion, they
preserved a genome. A biological letter
written 2,500 years ago, still being
read today.
But here is the question
that nobody asks next. If Zoroastrians
preserved the old Iran in their blood,
what did 1,400 years of Islamic
civilization actually do to everyone
else? The answer will surprise you. In
651 CE, the last assassinated emperor
was killed and the Arab Islamic conquest
of Iran was complete. A new language
poured in. A new religion, a new
architecture, new poetry, new law, new
science, new everything.
For 1,400 years, Iran has been one of
the great centers of Islamic
civilization. Persian and Arabic became
so deeply intertwined that Persian
itself absorbed thousands of Arabic
words. The Iranian cultural golden age,
its philosophers, its astronomers, its
poets, all built their legacy inside an
Arab Islamic framework.
You would assume
that means a lot of Arab DNA entered the
Iranian population. You would be wrong.
So an HLA class 2 genetic diversity
study conducted at Shiraz University of
Medical Sciences published in the
Iranian Journal of Immunology used a MOA
analysis to compare the genetic
distances between Iranian populations
and populations across the broader
Middle East. The findings were stark.
Iranian Arabs, the Arabic speaking
communities of southwest Iran, are
genetically more similar to other
Iranians than to Arabs from Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait, or the Arabian
Peninsula. So this means the Arabic-
speaking Iranians are largely Iranians
who adopted the language, not Arab
immigrants who moved in.
And at the broader genome level, multiple studies
confirm that the Arab genetic
contribution to the overall Iranian gene
pool is small, measurable, but small.
Iran speaks Arabic infused Persian. Iran
practices a religion born in Arabia.
Iran built its medieval golden age on
Arab Persian intellectual exchange.
But its genome, its actual biological
inheritance, remained almost entirely
pre-Islamic.
Culture is a costume. You
can take it off and put on a new one.
DNA is a skeleton. It doesn't change
because a new empire arrived. And
nowhere in Iran did the skeleton hold
more firmly than in the mountains.
Deep in the Zagros range, in the highlands of
western Iran, there are communities that
live the way their ancestors lived 4,000
years ago. The lure, the baktiari, says
the mazanderani of the Albor's mountains
in the north. Every spring, baktiari
families pack everything they own onto
the backs of horses and mules and walk
across mountain passes covered in snow
down into green valleys. Then back again
in autumn, the same roots, the same
mountains, the same rhythm of life their
great great grandparents walked and
their DNA walks with them.
A 2025 study, a collaboration between
the Max Plank Institute for Evolutionary
Anthropology, Harvard's Reich Lab,
and the University of Tehran, analyzed
ancient Iranian samples spanning from
the copper age through the Sassinid era.
The results confirmed that Highland
Iranian populations show the strongest
genetic continuity with Bronze Age
Iranian samples of any group in Western
Asia. Scientists have a term for this, a
genetic refugeium. A place so
geographically protected by mountains,
by deserts, by sheer inaccessibility,
that invasions couldn't reach the
bloodlines. It's where the ancient
genome just kept going generation after
generation untouched. The people who
call these communities rural, backward,
old-fashioned are looking at the most
direct living link to the builders of
the first Iranian civilizations. The
very people who carry the least mixed
genome are the ones carrying the deepest
Iranian history.
But here is where the
story takes its most unexpected turn.
Because the most shocking discovery in
Iranian genetics wasn't about the
Baktiari in the mountains. It wasn't
about the Bandari on the coast. It
wasn't even about the Zoroastrians in
their fire temples. It was found when a
scientist decided to compare the Iranian
genome to a population that Iranians are
told to consider their enemy. Multiple
population genomic studies
cross-referencing ancient Zagros
Neolithic ancestry data with modern
population genetics might have found
something that stops you cold when you
see it. Modern Iranians and Ashkenazi
Jews share a significant specific
ancient ancestry component. Both
populations trace part of their genetic
inheritance to the same source, the
Zagros Neolithic farming population, the
same people as the woman in the Ganjari
grave. This is not recent mixing. This
is not medieval exchange. This is not
the result of Persian and Jewish
communities living near each other for
centuries, though they did. If this
shared lineage is old, 10,000 years old,
from before Persia, before Israel,
before any of these names existed,
before written language, before history
itself was invented. These are two
populations connected by a genetic
thread that goes back further than any
religion, any border, any conflict ever
could.
And now the history hits
different. In 539 B.CE, Cyrus the Great
marched into Babylon and freed the
Jewish people from captivity. It is
recorded in the Hebrew Bible in the book
of Isaiah, ch. 45. Cyrus is the only
non-Jewish figure in the entire Hebrew
Bible to be called the anointed one, the
Messiah, by the Jewish prophets. The
Cyrus cylinder, the clay tablet he
issued, now sitting in the British
Museum in London, is considered the
world's first declaration of human
rights. It freed enslaved people. It
allowed exiled communities to return
home. And why would a Persian king show
that kind of respect and care for a
Jewish population? History gives
political answers. DNA gives a different
one. The king who freed them, and the
people he freed, were at a genetic level
distant cousins sharing ancestry from a
world that had existed and gone silent
6,000 years before either of their
civilizations was born. They did not
know this. They could not have known
this. But the genome knew.
In a modern world, where Iran and Israel are locked
in one of the most dangerous
geopolitical conflicts on the planet,
where missiles are exchanged, where
leaders speak of each other's
destruction, the DNA of their
populations is quietly telling a
10,000-year-old story of shared origin.
Ancient DNA has a way of making enemies
into cousins. The question is what you
do with that information.
But here is where Iran's genetic story leaves
everyone, including the scientists,
without an answer. Because after all of
this, the Zagros farmers, the steppe
warriors, the Silk Road migrants, the
African maritime connections, the
Zoroastrian time capsule, the conquest
that couldn't conquer the genome, there
is still a portion of the Iranian
genetic profile that doesn't match
anything.
A 2021 study by Fernandez and
colleagues published through molecular
biology and evolution, specifically
examined ancient ancestry patterns in
modern Iranians and Arabians and they
found it clearly -- a component the
researchers called deep Iranian ancestry
or basal Eurasian ancestry. A genetic
signal so old and so isolated that it
doesn't match any sequenced ancient
population in the database. No grave has
been found. No site has been excavated
that explains it. No human remains have
been unearthed that carry it in its
original unmixed form. Yet, it exists
only as a shadow in the genome of living
people.
And here is the theory that
keeps scientists up at night. Around
20,000 years ago, during the last ice
age, sea levels were much lower than
today. The Persian Gulf, that body of
water between Iran and the Arabian
Peninsula, was not a sea at all. It was
dry land, a fertile basin fed by the
Tigris, the Euphrates, the Karun, and
other rivers. Possibly one of the most
habitable pieces of land on Earth at the
time. And cientists have theorized that
the basal Eurasian population, the
source of this deep, unmatched signal,
may have lived in that basin. A
civilization that never built monuments
on land we can reach today, because their
land is now under 100m of salt water.
If this theory is correct, then the
Iranian plateau doesn't just sit at a
crossroads of ancient civilizations. It
sits at the edge of the Genetic Ground
Zero of modern humanity's expansion into
all of Eurasia. Every non-African person
alive today carries some trace of what
those people carried. And the clearest
echo of them, the least diluted signal,
may survive in Iran. An entire
civilization swallowed by the sea,
leaving only a thread of code in the
bloodstream of the living. No name, no
language, no monuments, no stories, just
the genome still running, still being
carried forward by people who will never
know whose ancient breath they are
continuing.
And right now, as you
are watching this, there is an
excavation underway on the eastern
Iranian plateau. Results not yet
published.
Researchers who have said quietly in
academic circles that what they are
finding may require a fundamental
rewrite of when and how modern humans
first spread across Asia. When those
results drop, this channel will be the
first to cover it. So, make sure you are
subscribed and leave this video on for
someone who needs to hear this story.
Because this is not just Iran's history.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 10:52 pm
Part 1 of 2
Trump & Israel ATTACK Iran's Power Grid, Iran POUNDS Gulf Energy & Tel Aviv | Patrick Henningsen
Danny Haiphong
Streamed live 6 hours ago #trump #iran #israel
Trump and Israel just struck Iran's power grid and now Tehran is hitting Gulf energy sites in a massive escalation. Danny Haiphong is joined by Patrick Henningsen for a daily update on the latest news and analysis on the war!
Transcript
Welcome everyone. Welcome back to the show. It's your host Danny High Fong and I am here with Patrick Hennington of
st Century Wire and uh geopolitical analyst and independent journalist. Patrick, good to see you again. It's great to be with you Danny.
Yes, let's hit the like button everyone because that helps boost the show in YouTube's algorithm. So, Patrick, I want to get to the last uh since the last
time we we were on this show, this show aired. Uh many things have happened.
Donald Trump said uh that there would be a -day moratorum on any strikes on Iran's energy related to power grids and
power grids itself. Well, according to drop site news, it wasn't even hours after that announcement that the US and Israel struck new energy facility,
including ones that were connected to a gas line which was critical to the power
plant in Kuram Shahar. And uh there were reports of blackouts. There were also other um energy targets that were hit as well.
Blackout on this though in the mainstream media and Iran responded. Uh they hit Kuwait. There were reports of
drone debris and missile debris that uh knocked out six to seven transmission power lines there. And there were
explosions heard in Saudi Arabia as well uh near their oil refineries. And uh Iran targeted Tel Aviv in a massive way
in the last uh to hours, multi waves. And this includes three destroyed buildings uh and a promise by Iran that
if the United States and Israel hit the uh power grid uh in Iran that would go
for not only power but also water desalination plants in the region. So, Patrick, assess where we are right now,
especially given this -day deadline that Trump has set. And it appears that this means very little uh as the last hours have shown us.
It's it's tragic. Uh Danny, great to be with you. Um it's really tragic because uh it's it seems to be this just
inescapable pattern with this president and every time he is basically feigning
to want to negotiate on at least the US side um on every single every single
instance the Israelis use this as a window to attack to do the opposite of whatever the United States is uh saying
publicly. So, what this looks like is kind of a tag team uh operation and uh Trump is the uh the king of WWF or WWE,
whatever. I mean, that's the world that he used to inhabit. And that's exactly what you're looking at with this relationship between the US and Israel,
the good cop, bad cop relationship. And he's saying, "Well, look, uh you know,
we don't have any control over the Israelis. I'm very upset with BB and etc." And no, nobody's buying this anymore. And you know what, Danny? It's
it so reminds me of the Suez crisis because the French and the British were doing exactly the same thing with the Israelis. They had a secret agreement uh
to that Israel would sort of be the aggressor and on the attack and then looking like they're going to accept a
ceasefire deal. Meanwhile, all three parties were just moving aggressively to retake the Suez Canal. And eventually
that the whole thing imploded and and blew up in their face and the rest is history. And and by the way, as a result
of that, the world order changed. That was the end of the British Empire's dominance over the Middle East. So there's some historical parallels here.
You could say the same thing is happening uh to this current imperial hedgeimon, the United States, and they
may go the way of the uh British and the French uh which they did in uh the US took over in and that was a sea
change uh and brought us the modern geopolitical configuration that we see today. Um, but what what's more telling about this, we can talk more about this,
uh, Danny, because there's things going on in the background here with this announcement. This announcement, and I
say announcement on Truth Social. This is not through official that I mean, this is a this is part of
the problem. What What are the official US government channels of communication?
Is it the State Department? Is it the president having a press briefing? Is it the White House press room or is it
Truth Social? Is it a a Twitter platform that that's owned by Donald Trump himself? I mean, is that a legitimate uh
communication line for a country that's a world superpower like the United States? Because you can't take it seriously. He tweets out in all caps.
Uh, and then when he does that, moments before, we find out now, moments before his tweet, $million in oil bets were placed.
And guess what happened? Oil prices probably came down as a result. Also,
what happened was there was a surge in the S&P and you saw an increase of market cap, approximately $trillion.
$trillion. And then the Iranian denial came two hours later and guess what happened? The prices moved in the other
direction. The stock market lost a trillion in market cap etc. And then it recovered and then it came back up again. So it's clear that people uh who
have access to institutional finance or who are um putting large sums of money on um what should be illegal websites
like Poly Market uh and Koshi, these sort of political betting sites. But that that's nothing compared to what has
been leveraged on Wall Street and we haven't audited that yet. But just this is what I'm telling you now has been reported in the Financial Times this
morning. Okay. So, and this what I suspected is what I was I said and many others like me, but I I said this yesterday that this is this is what's
happening. And uh so Trump is playing with the markets and he might be, you know, he could very easily shore up the
price of oil, you know, to bring it back from two two, you know, a barrel down towards or even below based
on announcements he makes. Whether those announcements have any grounding in reality is another matter altogether.
And the the sick part about this is the White House inner circle, including many members of his inner circle, including
his commerce secretary who's the former head of Caner Fitzgerald. These are Wall Street oligarchs. Okay? And Trump's
family as well, Don Jr., his son is on the advisory board of Poly Market,
Donald Trump Jr. And these this scam website that people are using for political insider trading is a next
level of insider trading. This is just stock tips. We're talking about people betting on political outcomes and things
like what we're talking about here. And so I I really think this is just the next level of corruption. This is so
classic late empire, you know, this is um something extraordinary. So that
let's so what exactly is Trump saying and how does it correspond to reality or
is this just to move markets and for people behind him to make uh ex insane amounts of money?
Well, it definitely appears uh what you're saying is is bearing fruit uh in reality, but it seems every time Trump
does this, there's another escalation that leads to the opposite effect. And I'm wondering Patrick if you can comment. It seems like the last uh you
know overnight these strikes at least overnight uh in US time these strikes on Iran's uh uh you know uh gas facilities
linked to power linked to water uh that they were almost like testing the waters because uh Iran is reporting minimal damage and minimal impact. I think there
were partial blackouts for uh a period of time uh but nothing uh extensive and Iran's attack seemed to have been very
much in kind retaliating with the same level of impact. But at the same time uh uh Patrick that announcement that Trump
made this like ultimatum pushed to days it also corresponds with US Marines that are coming. uh it seems like they
will be arriving these uh multiple meus will be arriving at the same time and markets close on that day.
So we have days or four days now uh for uh the US and Israel to continue to violate the exact thing that they said
they wouldn't do. Uh and there's also this escalation on the horizon. So uh I'm wondering how you have seen Iran's
response and all of this. uh uh they don't seem phased by this and uh given last night's activity especially in
Israel uh they seem like they are very much ready to respond uh to any escalation with something inind or even
harsher which is what they've guaranteed and I would add uh Danny there that we're coming up to the end of the financial quarter as well final days of
the financial quarter so and and those are things that the this white house um looks at and and reacts too. Uh and so
the the narrative might change after this uh financial quarter is over. And then uh you know other commentators um
have made some interesting uh assertions that uh you know the narrative could change after this financial quarter. So
what you're seeing here is a flurry of activity uh in the last couple of days and then this could go into a totally different direction. Um, if the US want
to reorientate their narrative, they can. It's very easy. You've seen in the previous weeks, Danny, uh, short-term
pain for long-term game. How that talking point was basically that that talking point's memo, which probably came from either a PR company, uh, in
Washington DC working for the White House or it came from IPAC. And then you see that basically repeated by all the news anchors and politicians. So
actually to me the only organization that has access to all of those you know politics and media simultaneously would
be an Israeli lobby organization. So uh the the so those talking points were beamed out. So we we could see a narrative change. They could blame you
know they could really ramp up the blaming of Iran next week and and then get Americans have very short-term
memories. So they, this is a genetic disposition apparently with Americans is they can't think past. It's the goldfish
syndrome and uh they will forget everything that happened over the last month as long as the media tells them it's okay to forget that and adopt a new
narrative. So back to the uh original point here, Danny, the key the key point you're making is so Trump calls off the energy strikes. That was the
announcement and then Israel does the energy strikes. You see? So, good cop,
bad cop. So, Iran basically warned them in advance. They said, "Don't do it because if you do, we're going to
unleash uh retaliation on all the Gulf States and Israel." So, I can't work it out where where the Israelis
if if the if the object is to degrade Israel's infrastructure uh and degrade the Gulf infrastructure, then this is
makes perfect sense. But we still have to maintain that possibility is that so for some people this is this is this a
thing is certainly I can see from an Israeli point of view and an American point of view while you know and if we
go back to that talking point short-term pain for long-term gain that wasn't just a panic talking point that's strategy.
So if that's the strategy then the idea would be to degrade the Gulf states uh across the board and that would lead if
the Gulf states um are wrecked economically this would invariably lead to regime change that these u families
would have to at some point flee at least I would say Bahrain definitely um and and the others maybe not so easily
but uh you know they always have an escape route they have money they can go to Europe they can go to America, they can go to Singapore, they can go
basically wherever they want and they could take a large uh portion of their uh wealth with them enough to you know
survive for a few generations uh anyway and whatever happens to those countries probably uh the US could or Israel
jointly could engineer coups very easily military coups it's really a question of money at that point that would be the
easiest thing for the CIA or MSAD to do which was to convert a a couple of Gulf states into military uh dictatorships and then promised to have elections and
you know a year or two whatever. I mean look at Syria. They put the the US and Israel installed the head of al-Qaeda, a terrorist, a wanted terrorist. They
installed him into power in Damascus and the first thing he did Golani when he came into power was, "Hey, you know, we can't be dealing with this democracy
stuff. We've got programs to run. We've got Alawites and Christians to slaughter. Uh we've got the women to kidnap and put on the bridal markets in
Idlib. It's too much work for us right now. We'll have elections in four, maybe five years. It's not really a priority.
After all, we're terrorists. Um I think you probably not going to get any complaints if there's a military coup in any of these Gulf States. And then the
US and Israel would effectively move to take over the energy infrastructure of those countries to rebuild them. They'll
have they'll say, "We're going to rebuild them. we're going to bring them back online and that that would be a plan and based on what we're seeing now
the the complete evisceration and gutting of these countries through this conflict uh that would be the sort of
you know the the mop-up operation I would I would expect uh from the Iranian point of view they're simply exerting
deterrence they're trying to defend themselves and they're also trying to evict the United States uh from the
Persian Gulf militarily early and send a message to these regimes, these family regimes in the Gulf that, you know, this isn't tenable anymore. This old
arrangement, it's not going to work anymore going forward. This is a new Middle East. Uh, and Iran is going to defend itself and defend his interest
and also uh def create a security perimeter that doesn't have the United States in it. Because Iran's thinking is
that they can fight Israel themselves come what may, but it's much more difficult when they're encircled by
American bases uh in the region. And Israel as well pretending to be an independent actor. But this is a
complete pantomime. This is a lie. The US and Israel are running joint operations centers on this this this war
right now. So um you know it that's one of the problems I think as well is they're able to do this good cop bad cop
thing which is is a source of deception and it's the same exact good cop bad cop arrangement that uh the US and NATO use
in Ukraine saying oh Zalinski there he goes again drone attacks on Moscow we told him not to do that especially
during high level negotiations that Zalinski we need to have a talking to him we might have to throttle his funds or whatever it's not credible
They're they're getting all of their uh intelligence, their ISR, their targeting, their equipment. We've got American trainers on the ground running
all this gear. Uh we've had we've had American personnel on the ground with the high uh the military tech engineers,
people running these systems now for like over a decade. And they still talk to you from CNN, Fox and Sky, and all
these nerd do wells in the mainstream media like this is somehow two separate parties here that the Ukrainians are independent. It's ridiculous at this
point. And anyone who's so stupid enough to continue to swallow this garbage and they're doing it again with the between
the US and Israel, pretending that Israel is just not working uh on its own and they're not coordinating with the United States. Then Trump can lie to the
public. He'll he'll lie. They'll they'll all lie, right? Bold-faced lies to the American and the global public. They'll lie to other world leaders and say, "Oh,
we didn't know about that. That's uh you know, that's that's a shame what happened. We'll have a word with BB, you know, and and meanwhile, we're careening
towards World War II." I think at some point the press need to pull their finger out on this and stop entertaining
this uh this this vaudeville act because it's just um it's not it's not going to be a good result for anybody.
Yeah. And the censorship has been absolutely incredible. Those strikes that we uh opened with uh Patrick uh the mainstream media and the collective was
not covering them at all. And then of course the retaliatory strikes not covered at all other than what's happening in in Israel right now. uh
which is the biggest uh impact uh that is being uh leveled by Iran right now in its continued operation. But what's an
interesting development also as all of this is happening we have now Gulf states numerous Gulf states saying that they're going to get more involved.
Actually I believe as we speak Kuwait has just uh launched Haimars into Iran.
Uh Saudi Arabia, according to the Wall Street Journal, is seeking to not only enter the war, but has been supposedly pushing Donald Trump to continue the
war. Hard to know what to believe actually with all of that. But nonetheless, it seems like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, according to the New York
Times, are itching to not only elongate this war and prolong it, but to get involved in some way. So in many ways uh
it reflects this dynamic of uh the United States and Israel essentially creating the very scenario that uh Iran
is warning could lead to uh massive blackouts turning the lights out on the Gulf and as well as maybe their water
systems given that the US and Israel just tested that out just a bit. They tested out just a bit just to uh see how far they could get with their uh lives.
But this is the exact same scenario that started the war, right? Oh, Donald Trump says something. He they're negotiating or he says something. Oh, we're not, you
know, no war yet or uh we're not interested and then they do it. So, this is all I think uh important to note just
given that this is a dynamic that continues to cause whiplash I believe for people following. What's your reaction to these developments,
especially with the Gulf States supposedly wanting to get more involved in a war that already is having devastating effects uh for them?
I I I I think you can see reports of this, but uh I don't think they're all credible. Um, I can tell you these Gulf
States and you know like I've spent a limited amount of time in the Gulf working reporting over the years and
I've been to different um of these emirates and look if there's highars firing from Kuwait the press will say
it's Kuwait uh firing the highar it's not it's the United States and the same with uh with Saudi Arabia they'll say well that look at Saudi's very
impressive air force there Saudis got the this it's got that that's all US weapons %. It's all US weapons
staffed by US personnel in in in the war in Yemen. There are reports that uh you
know Saudi was short pilots on sort. So they're employing quote retired American pilots to fly bombing runs on Yemen.
Okay. contractors who or people who are just uh maybe maybe still active duty, I don't know, but they're flying uh bombing missions for Saudi Arabia,
flying US jets, working with a US tower,
US command. I mean, so but how far did that get Saudi Arabia after what was it
years? nine years of war to with Yemen and Yemen basically kicked their you know what
how how's Saudi gonna fair uh starting with picking a fight with Iran honestly even even if Iran's air defenses are uh
degraded they won't be degraded forever and not only that you know Iran Iran could really really destroy Saudi Arabia
so the the problem with the Gulf states is they're not accountable to their own population. They're not they they only
have to maintain this veneer of consent from the population and then with that and they have to provide certain things
and it's it's usually money they have to pay residents there and so their constituents uh are not very big anyway.
the constituents for the Gulf. I mean,
if you look at the UAE, the foreign residents there vastly outnumber the Amiradis. There's only probably about
Amiradis that are native that are there. The the rest of the other millions are from countries everywhere
else. And most of them are going to cut and run uh if if they haven't already and divest uh from from these areas. And then what's the other constituency?
Well, it's US military. it's US businesses and US uh middle management and contractors and you know people you
know not not Eric Prince but people like that who are in the mercenary business.
Um that's then the only remaining constituency that's going to um give uh
legitimacy uh to the royal families and that's only extends as far as those people are getting paid. If they're not
getting paid, then they could only be there if the US is picking up the tab.
And how's that going to work? Uh, the US has already made it clear they're not going to put US troops in harm's way and
they've evacuated them from many of these bases. So, I'm looking at this this story about the Gulf wanting to join the fight against Iran and it's
just not to me it's not it's not credible. These families are not uh born fighters, okay? They are born to hang
out in casinos uh most of the week and to go uh watch the raceh horses at the Hollywood Bowl
one week, royal ascot the next week and whatever. I mean that's their life. Um that's what their kids have been bred to
do. They're not bred to fight wars and uh uh that's not the same. Iran, they're born fighters. Iraqi born fighters.
Lebanese born fighters. Syria, they're they're all born fighters as well. So these other Arab countries, it's a
different story. Uh but with the Gulf States, forget it. It's not credible. Um if the US pull out any resources at all,
um basically they're paralyzed. If if the US pull any personnel from Saudi Arabia, they have no military. It's not
it's not going to function. Uh so I I'm I don't know. I I I have yet to see
anything credible on with those threats from the Gulf. I just don't see it.
Yeah. Yeah. And it seems to be muddling the understanding of who exactly is in control uh of these states. Uh uh we've
already seen Wall Street Journal report that despite Saudi Arabia and UAE and other countries saying uh that they were
not going to allow their airspace to be used, they were not going to allow their uh country to be used as launching pads for attacks on Iran. Uh the Wall Street Journal even that that's not the case.
actually the United States has indeed used these countries as launching pads for attacks on Iran and of course uh
they've paid the price for them. Um so uh you know Patrick I wanted to get your reaction to the uh Iranian response so
far you know in relation to the the attacks on Iran's electricity and uh
even its water. There was an interesting comment by the energy minister in Iran who said that uh Iran generates
electricity in a decentralized system with more than power plants built entirely on their own while uh the Gulf
states that uh surround the region rely on centralized power plants concentrated
in a very small area making them very very vulnerable. So, uh, all of this seems to be leading to a catastrophic
situation for the Gulf States, for the global economy. And then there's this what's coming. It seems like I don't think that these Marines are coming for
zero reason. There's that happening as we hear from the Huffington Post that US troops in general are losing morale.
They are very concerned about what they say dying for Israel. So, uh, and you know that probably has something to do
with Christian Zionist superiors telling them that this is about Armageddon and the coming of Jesus. So,
so there's a there's a there seems to be a massive crisis building and I'm curious on how you've seen Iran's
response to all of this. Um, as much of the mainstream media is now talking about Iran actually having the initiative. Iran can go a long time.
Iran has capabilities that we're seeing all the things that we've been talking about for so long. uh now be admitted all across the western mainstream media
now that this is not going so well. What one one thing you said there was uh was really important I'll I'll address but um regarding the power grids uh Danny.
So right now I'm in my uh home state of Arizona. So I'm near Phoenix. Now, if I drive out here onto the highway and I
look at our power grids, we look at our transformers, we look at our highways,
all of it, and I go now, I transport myself to Saudi Arabia and Jedha or
Riad. And you know what? It's hard to tell the difference between that and Arizona because it's all American. All
American. So if you can't get American contractors and engineers to come in and fix and redo everything in the Gulf,
then it's not going to get fixed or redone. Iran, on the other hand, is not relying on any foreign country uh in
order to basically uh you know maintain its uh infrastructure. And so all of the Gulf States are totally and that's part
of the gravy train. as part of the deal uh with them existing is that they're going to use all these American and British companies, maybe some French,
they've divvied out a few to maybe there's even a Italian firm uh here or there, a Spanish firm here or there, but majority it's American and and then some
British firms and they they basically do everything uh in that region. So that's not the case in Iran. So what Iran will
do is they will double down and they will rebuild. And and for them it's a war of attrition. They've already pro I mean it's it's it's going to it's bad.
It's painful but they've already priced it in. I'm tell you the Iranians fought an -year war, a proxy war where the the
West was was arming and backing Saddam Hussein, this so this supposed evil dictator that they fought the Iraq war
over. They were the United States and Britain were arming and backing Saddam for eight years while he rained missiles
down on Tehran and Iranian cities and the Iranians lost uh well between the two between the Iraqis and the Iranians I
think uh well in excess well in excess of six maybe or I don't know the totals but it's equivalent to what
the US lost in the Second World War in Europe just to give you an indication.
So over eight-year period. So they're willing to do that. Iranians will go to the wall to defend their country, to
defend their homeland, and they will mobilize. They will mo they'll remobilize. Do you think right now, and you know, Americans are so thick, okay,
they're so thick. Do you think after what what they've done to Iran over the last four weeks, what do you think
mobilization numbers are like with young people wanting to join the IOGC? What do you think the recruitment's like right now? Do you think it's down or do you
think it's up? And I'm going to tell you, it's at levels right now that they've never seen in their history. It's the same exact thing with Hamas.
It's the same with uh the the Hashe right now in Iraq. if if they want to mobilize, they could add hashtoh
shabi PMUs just like it would take one announcement by the Ayatollah and that's it. That's it. Now all of a sudden
you've got a strong force and it won't take long to train them up. And it's the same with Iran. So I if this is
a war of attrition, the United States better have unlimited ammunition. Donald Trump says we have unlimited ordinances,
unlimited uh air-to-air refueling tankers, unlimited this, unlimited that.
No, no, they don't. They have finite resources. And Israel does not have unlimited interceptors for their uh Patriot missiles, which they call the
Iron Dome. See, that's another thing is that it's not Israel's Iron Dome. It's US missile defense, which they supply uh to and maintain for the Israelis. Okay?
It's not unlimited. is finite. So if if you if you want to play this war of attrition game, Iran is ready to take
the short the short-term pain for the long-term gain, just ask tan. They've already priced it in. So, but the
problem is, and this is the same problem with Ukraine that the US and Europe have run into, is because it's it's amazing
how these people don't pay attention to the long arc of history because all the answers are there. If you look at the
Russia Ukraine situation, clearly a proxy war, okay, but there's a political timeline for Zalinski where he expires and I think he's past that point now.
There's a political timeline for Europe as to how much they can bankrupt Europe and bankrupt the US to support this proxy war. But guess what? Does Russia have a a short timeline on that? No.
Trump & Israel ATTACK Iran's Power Grid, Iran POUNDS Gulf Energy & Tel Aviv | Patrick Henningsen
Danny Haiphong
Streamed live 6 hours ago #trump #iran #israel
Trump and Israel just struck Iran's power grid and now Tehran is hitting Gulf energy sites in a massive escalation. Danny Haiphong is joined by Patrick Henningsen for a daily update on the latest news and analysis on the war!
Transcript
Welcome everyone. Welcome back to the show. It's your host Danny High Fong and I am here with Patrick Hennington of
st Century Wire and uh geopolitical analyst and independent journalist. Patrick, good to see you again. It's great to be with you Danny.
Yes, let's hit the like button everyone because that helps boost the show in YouTube's algorithm. So, Patrick, I want to get to the last uh since the last
time we we were on this show, this show aired. Uh many things have happened.
Donald Trump said uh that there would be a -day moratorum on any strikes on Iran's energy related to power grids and
power grids itself. Well, according to drop site news, it wasn't even hours after that announcement that the US and Israel struck new energy facility,
including ones that were connected to a gas line which was critical to the power
plant in Kuram Shahar. And uh there were reports of blackouts. There were also other um energy targets that were hit as well.
Blackout on this though in the mainstream media and Iran responded. Uh they hit Kuwait. There were reports of
drone debris and missile debris that uh knocked out six to seven transmission power lines there. And there were
explosions heard in Saudi Arabia as well uh near their oil refineries. And uh Iran targeted Tel Aviv in a massive way
in the last uh to hours, multi waves. And this includes three destroyed buildings uh and a promise by Iran that
if the United States and Israel hit the uh power grid uh in Iran that would go
for not only power but also water desalination plants in the region. So, Patrick, assess where we are right now,
especially given this -day deadline that Trump has set. And it appears that this means very little uh as the last hours have shown us.
It's it's tragic. Uh Danny, great to be with you. Um it's really tragic because uh it's it seems to be this just
inescapable pattern with this president and every time he is basically feigning
to want to negotiate on at least the US side um on every single every single
instance the Israelis use this as a window to attack to do the opposite of whatever the United States is uh saying
publicly. So, what this looks like is kind of a tag team uh operation and uh Trump is the uh the king of WWF or WWE,
whatever. I mean, that's the world that he used to inhabit. And that's exactly what you're looking at with this relationship between the US and Israel,
the good cop, bad cop relationship. And he's saying, "Well, look, uh you know,
we don't have any control over the Israelis. I'm very upset with BB and etc." And no, nobody's buying this anymore. And you know what, Danny? It's
it so reminds me of the Suez crisis because the French and the British were doing exactly the same thing with the Israelis. They had a secret agreement uh
to that Israel would sort of be the aggressor and on the attack and then looking like they're going to accept a
ceasefire deal. Meanwhile, all three parties were just moving aggressively to retake the Suez Canal. And eventually
that the whole thing imploded and and blew up in their face and the rest is history. And and by the way, as a result
of that, the world order changed. That was the end of the British Empire's dominance over the Middle East. So there's some historical parallels here.
You could say the same thing is happening uh to this current imperial hedgeimon, the United States, and they
may go the way of the uh British and the French uh which they did in uh the US took over in and that was a sea
change uh and brought us the modern geopolitical configuration that we see today. Um, but what what's more telling about this, we can talk more about this,
uh, Danny, because there's things going on in the background here with this announcement. This announcement, and I
say announcement on Truth Social. This is not through official that I mean, this is a this is part of
the problem. What What are the official US government channels of communication?
Is it the State Department? Is it the president having a press briefing? Is it the White House press room or is it
Truth Social? Is it a a Twitter platform that that's owned by Donald Trump himself? I mean, is that a legitimate uh
communication line for a country that's a world superpower like the United States? Because you can't take it seriously. He tweets out in all caps.
Uh, and then when he does that, moments before, we find out now, moments before his tweet, $million in oil bets were placed.
And guess what happened? Oil prices probably came down as a result. Also,
what happened was there was a surge in the S&P and you saw an increase of market cap, approximately $trillion.
$trillion. And then the Iranian denial came two hours later and guess what happened? The prices moved in the other
direction. The stock market lost a trillion in market cap etc. And then it recovered and then it came back up again. So it's clear that people uh who
have access to institutional finance or who are um putting large sums of money on um what should be illegal websites
like Poly Market uh and Koshi, these sort of political betting sites. But that that's nothing compared to what has
been leveraged on Wall Street and we haven't audited that yet. But just this is what I'm telling you now has been reported in the Financial Times this
morning. Okay. So, and this what I suspected is what I was I said and many others like me, but I I said this yesterday that this is this is what's
happening. And uh so Trump is playing with the markets and he might be, you know, he could very easily shore up the
price of oil, you know, to bring it back from two two, you know, a barrel down towards or even below based
on announcements he makes. Whether those announcements have any grounding in reality is another matter altogether.
And the the sick part about this is the White House inner circle, including many members of his inner circle, including
his commerce secretary who's the former head of Caner Fitzgerald. These are Wall Street oligarchs. Okay? And Trump's
family as well, Don Jr., his son is on the advisory board of Poly Market,
Donald Trump Jr. And these this scam website that people are using for political insider trading is a next
level of insider trading. This is just stock tips. We're talking about people betting on political outcomes and things
like what we're talking about here. And so I I really think this is just the next level of corruption. This is so
classic late empire, you know, this is um something extraordinary. So that
let's so what exactly is Trump saying and how does it correspond to reality or
is this just to move markets and for people behind him to make uh ex insane amounts of money?
Well, it definitely appears uh what you're saying is is bearing fruit uh in reality, but it seems every time Trump
does this, there's another escalation that leads to the opposite effect. And I'm wondering Patrick if you can comment. It seems like the last uh you
know overnight these strikes at least overnight uh in US time these strikes on Iran's uh uh you know uh gas facilities
linked to power linked to water uh that they were almost like testing the waters because uh Iran is reporting minimal damage and minimal impact. I think there
were partial blackouts for uh a period of time uh but nothing uh extensive and Iran's attack seemed to have been very
much in kind retaliating with the same level of impact. But at the same time uh uh Patrick that announcement that Trump
made this like ultimatum pushed to days it also corresponds with US Marines that are coming. uh it seems like they
will be arriving these uh multiple meus will be arriving at the same time and markets close on that day.
So we have days or four days now uh for uh the US and Israel to continue to violate the exact thing that they said
they wouldn't do. Uh and there's also this escalation on the horizon. So uh I'm wondering how you have seen Iran's
response and all of this. uh uh they don't seem phased by this and uh given last night's activity especially in
Israel uh they seem like they are very much ready to respond uh to any escalation with something inind or even
harsher which is what they've guaranteed and I would add uh Danny there that we're coming up to the end of the financial quarter as well final days of
the financial quarter so and and those are things that the this white house um looks at and and reacts too. Uh and so
the the narrative might change after this uh financial quarter is over. And then uh you know other commentators um
have made some interesting uh assertions that uh you know the narrative could change after this financial quarter. So
what you're seeing here is a flurry of activity uh in the last couple of days and then this could go into a totally different direction. Um, if the US want
to reorientate their narrative, they can. It's very easy. You've seen in the previous weeks, Danny, uh, short-term
pain for long-term game. How that talking point was basically that that talking point's memo, which probably came from either a PR company, uh, in
Washington DC working for the White House or it came from IPAC. And then you see that basically repeated by all the news anchors and politicians. So
actually to me the only organization that has access to all of those you know politics and media simultaneously would
be an Israeli lobby organization. So uh the the so those talking points were beamed out. So we we could see a narrative change. They could blame you
know they could really ramp up the blaming of Iran next week and and then get Americans have very short-term
memories. So they, this is a genetic disposition apparently with Americans is they can't think past. It's the goldfish
syndrome and uh they will forget everything that happened over the last month as long as the media tells them it's okay to forget that and adopt a new
narrative. So back to the uh original point here, Danny, the key the key point you're making is so Trump calls off the energy strikes. That was the
announcement and then Israel does the energy strikes. You see? So, good cop,
bad cop. So, Iran basically warned them in advance. They said, "Don't do it because if you do, we're going to
unleash uh retaliation on all the Gulf States and Israel." So, I can't work it out where where the Israelis
if if the if the object is to degrade Israel's infrastructure uh and degrade the Gulf infrastructure, then this is
makes perfect sense. But we still have to maintain that possibility is that so for some people this is this is this a
thing is certainly I can see from an Israeli point of view and an American point of view while you know and if we
go back to that talking point short-term pain for long-term gain that wasn't just a panic talking point that's strategy.
So if that's the strategy then the idea would be to degrade the Gulf states uh across the board and that would lead if
the Gulf states um are wrecked economically this would invariably lead to regime change that these u families
would have to at some point flee at least I would say Bahrain definitely um and and the others maybe not so easily
but uh you know they always have an escape route they have money they can go to Europe they can go to America, they can go to Singapore, they can go
basically wherever they want and they could take a large uh portion of their uh wealth with them enough to you know
survive for a few generations uh anyway and whatever happens to those countries probably uh the US could or Israel
jointly could engineer coups very easily military coups it's really a question of money at that point that would be the
easiest thing for the CIA or MSAD to do which was to convert a a couple of Gulf states into military uh dictatorships and then promised to have elections and
you know a year or two whatever. I mean look at Syria. They put the the US and Israel installed the head of al-Qaeda, a terrorist, a wanted terrorist. They
installed him into power in Damascus and the first thing he did Golani when he came into power was, "Hey, you know, we can't be dealing with this democracy
stuff. We've got programs to run. We've got Alawites and Christians to slaughter. Uh we've got the women to kidnap and put on the bridal markets in
Idlib. It's too much work for us right now. We'll have elections in four, maybe five years. It's not really a priority.
After all, we're terrorists. Um I think you probably not going to get any complaints if there's a military coup in any of these Gulf States. And then the
US and Israel would effectively move to take over the energy infrastructure of those countries to rebuild them. They'll
have they'll say, "We're going to rebuild them. we're going to bring them back online and that that would be a plan and based on what we're seeing now
the the complete evisceration and gutting of these countries through this conflict uh that would be the sort of
you know the the mop-up operation I would I would expect uh from the Iranian point of view they're simply exerting
deterrence they're trying to defend themselves and they're also trying to evict the United States uh from the
Persian Gulf militarily early and send a message to these regimes, these family regimes in the Gulf that, you know, this isn't tenable anymore. This old
arrangement, it's not going to work anymore going forward. This is a new Middle East. Uh, and Iran is going to defend itself and defend his interest
and also uh def create a security perimeter that doesn't have the United States in it. Because Iran's thinking is
that they can fight Israel themselves come what may, but it's much more difficult when they're encircled by
American bases uh in the region. And Israel as well pretending to be an independent actor. But this is a
complete pantomime. This is a lie. The US and Israel are running joint operations centers on this this this war
right now. So um you know it that's one of the problems I think as well is they're able to do this good cop bad cop
thing which is is a source of deception and it's the same exact good cop bad cop arrangement that uh the US and NATO use
in Ukraine saying oh Zalinski there he goes again drone attacks on Moscow we told him not to do that especially
during high level negotiations that Zalinski we need to have a talking to him we might have to throttle his funds or whatever it's not credible
They're they're getting all of their uh intelligence, their ISR, their targeting, their equipment. We've got American trainers on the ground running
all this gear. Uh we've had we've had American personnel on the ground with the high uh the military tech engineers,
people running these systems now for like over a decade. And they still talk to you from CNN, Fox and Sky, and all
these nerd do wells in the mainstream media like this is somehow two separate parties here that the Ukrainians are independent. It's ridiculous at this
point. And anyone who's so stupid enough to continue to swallow this garbage and they're doing it again with the between
the US and Israel, pretending that Israel is just not working uh on its own and they're not coordinating with the United States. Then Trump can lie to the
public. He'll he'll lie. They'll they'll all lie, right? Bold-faced lies to the American and the global public. They'll lie to other world leaders and say, "Oh,
we didn't know about that. That's uh you know, that's that's a shame what happened. We'll have a word with BB, you know, and and meanwhile, we're careening
towards World War II." I think at some point the press need to pull their finger out on this and stop entertaining
this uh this this vaudeville act because it's just um it's not it's not going to be a good result for anybody.
Yeah. And the censorship has been absolutely incredible. Those strikes that we uh opened with uh Patrick uh the mainstream media and the collective was
not covering them at all. And then of course the retaliatory strikes not covered at all other than what's happening in in Israel right now. uh
which is the biggest uh impact uh that is being uh leveled by Iran right now in its continued operation. But what's an
interesting development also as all of this is happening we have now Gulf states numerous Gulf states saying that they're going to get more involved.
Actually I believe as we speak Kuwait has just uh launched Haimars into Iran.
Uh Saudi Arabia, according to the Wall Street Journal, is seeking to not only enter the war, but has been supposedly pushing Donald Trump to continue the
war. Hard to know what to believe actually with all of that. But nonetheless, it seems like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, according to the New York
Times, are itching to not only elongate this war and prolong it, but to get involved in some way. So in many ways uh
it reflects this dynamic of uh the United States and Israel essentially creating the very scenario that uh Iran
is warning could lead to uh massive blackouts turning the lights out on the Gulf and as well as maybe their water
systems given that the US and Israel just tested that out just a bit. They tested out just a bit just to uh see how far they could get with their uh lives.
But this is the exact same scenario that started the war, right? Oh, Donald Trump says something. He they're negotiating or he says something. Oh, we're not, you
know, no war yet or uh we're not interested and then they do it. So, this is all I think uh important to note just
given that this is a dynamic that continues to cause whiplash I believe for people following. What's your reaction to these developments,
especially with the Gulf States supposedly wanting to get more involved in a war that already is having devastating effects uh for them?
I I I I think you can see reports of this, but uh I don't think they're all credible. Um, I can tell you these Gulf
States and you know like I've spent a limited amount of time in the Gulf working reporting over the years and
I've been to different um of these emirates and look if there's highars firing from Kuwait the press will say
it's Kuwait uh firing the highar it's not it's the United States and the same with uh with Saudi Arabia they'll say well that look at Saudi's very
impressive air force there Saudis got the this it's got that that's all US weapons %. It's all US weapons
staffed by US personnel in in in the war in Yemen. There are reports that uh you
know Saudi was short pilots on sort. So they're employing quote retired American pilots to fly bombing runs on Yemen.
Okay. contractors who or people who are just uh maybe maybe still active duty, I don't know, but they're flying uh bombing missions for Saudi Arabia,
flying US jets, working with a US tower,
US command. I mean, so but how far did that get Saudi Arabia after what was it
years? nine years of war to with Yemen and Yemen basically kicked their you know what
how how's Saudi gonna fair uh starting with picking a fight with Iran honestly even even if Iran's air defenses are uh
degraded they won't be degraded forever and not only that you know Iran Iran could really really destroy Saudi Arabia
so the the problem with the Gulf states is they're not accountable to their own population. They're not they they only
have to maintain this veneer of consent from the population and then with that and they have to provide certain things
and it's it's usually money they have to pay residents there and so their constituents uh are not very big anyway.
the constituents for the Gulf. I mean,
if you look at the UAE, the foreign residents there vastly outnumber the Amiradis. There's only probably about
Amiradis that are native that are there. The the rest of the other millions are from countries everywhere
else. And most of them are going to cut and run uh if if they haven't already and divest uh from from these areas. And then what's the other constituency?
Well, it's US military. it's US businesses and US uh middle management and contractors and you know people you
know not not Eric Prince but people like that who are in the mercenary business.
Um that's then the only remaining constituency that's going to um give uh
legitimacy uh to the royal families and that's only extends as far as those people are getting paid. If they're not
getting paid, then they could only be there if the US is picking up the tab.
And how's that going to work? Uh, the US has already made it clear they're not going to put US troops in harm's way and
they've evacuated them from many of these bases. So, I'm looking at this this story about the Gulf wanting to join the fight against Iran and it's
just not to me it's not it's not credible. These families are not uh born fighters, okay? They are born to hang
out in casinos uh most of the week and to go uh watch the raceh horses at the Hollywood Bowl
one week, royal ascot the next week and whatever. I mean that's their life. Um that's what their kids have been bred to
do. They're not bred to fight wars and uh uh that's not the same. Iran, they're born fighters. Iraqi born fighters.
Lebanese born fighters. Syria, they're they're all born fighters as well. So these other Arab countries, it's a
different story. Uh but with the Gulf States, forget it. It's not credible. Um if the US pull out any resources at all,
um basically they're paralyzed. If if the US pull any personnel from Saudi Arabia, they have no military. It's not
it's not going to function. Uh so I I'm I don't know. I I I have yet to see
anything credible on with those threats from the Gulf. I just don't see it.
Yeah. Yeah. And it seems to be muddling the understanding of who exactly is in control uh of these states. Uh uh we've
already seen Wall Street Journal report that despite Saudi Arabia and UAE and other countries saying uh that they were
not going to allow their airspace to be used, they were not going to allow their uh country to be used as launching pads for attacks on Iran. Uh the Wall Street Journal even that that's not the case.
actually the United States has indeed used these countries as launching pads for attacks on Iran and of course uh
they've paid the price for them. Um so uh you know Patrick I wanted to get your reaction to the uh Iranian response so
far you know in relation to the the attacks on Iran's electricity and uh
even its water. There was an interesting comment by the energy minister in Iran who said that uh Iran generates
electricity in a decentralized system with more than power plants built entirely on their own while uh the Gulf
states that uh surround the region rely on centralized power plants concentrated
in a very small area making them very very vulnerable. So, uh, all of this seems to be leading to a catastrophic
situation for the Gulf States, for the global economy. And then there's this what's coming. It seems like I don't think that these Marines are coming for
zero reason. There's that happening as we hear from the Huffington Post that US troops in general are losing morale.
They are very concerned about what they say dying for Israel. So, uh, and you know that probably has something to do
with Christian Zionist superiors telling them that this is about Armageddon and the coming of Jesus. So,
so there's a there's a there seems to be a massive crisis building and I'm curious on how you've seen Iran's
response to all of this. Um, as much of the mainstream media is now talking about Iran actually having the initiative. Iran can go a long time.
Iran has capabilities that we're seeing all the things that we've been talking about for so long. uh now be admitted all across the western mainstream media
now that this is not going so well. What one one thing you said there was uh was really important I'll I'll address but um regarding the power grids uh Danny.
So right now I'm in my uh home state of Arizona. So I'm near Phoenix. Now, if I drive out here onto the highway and I
look at our power grids, we look at our transformers, we look at our highways,
all of it, and I go now, I transport myself to Saudi Arabia and Jedha or
Riad. And you know what? It's hard to tell the difference between that and Arizona because it's all American. All
American. So if you can't get American contractors and engineers to come in and fix and redo everything in the Gulf,
then it's not going to get fixed or redone. Iran, on the other hand, is not relying on any foreign country uh in
order to basically uh you know maintain its uh infrastructure. And so all of the Gulf States are totally and that's part
of the gravy train. as part of the deal uh with them existing is that they're going to use all these American and British companies, maybe some French,
they've divvied out a few to maybe there's even a Italian firm uh here or there, a Spanish firm here or there, but majority it's American and and then some
British firms and they they basically do everything uh in that region. So that's not the case in Iran. So what Iran will
do is they will double down and they will rebuild. And and for them it's a war of attrition. They've already pro I mean it's it's it's going to it's bad.
It's painful but they've already priced it in. I'm tell you the Iranians fought an -year war, a proxy war where the the
West was was arming and backing Saddam Hussein, this so this supposed evil dictator that they fought the Iraq war
over. They were the United States and Britain were arming and backing Saddam for eight years while he rained missiles
down on Tehran and Iranian cities and the Iranians lost uh well between the two between the Iraqis and the Iranians I
think uh well in excess well in excess of six maybe or I don't know the totals but it's equivalent to what
the US lost in the Second World War in Europe just to give you an indication.
So over eight-year period. So they're willing to do that. Iranians will go to the wall to defend their country, to
defend their homeland, and they will mobilize. They will mo they'll remobilize. Do you think right now, and you know, Americans are so thick, okay,
they're so thick. Do you think after what what they've done to Iran over the last four weeks, what do you think
mobilization numbers are like with young people wanting to join the IOGC? What do you think the recruitment's like right now? Do you think it's down or do you
think it's up? And I'm going to tell you, it's at levels right now that they've never seen in their history. It's the same exact thing with Hamas.
It's the same with uh the the Hashe right now in Iraq. if if they want to mobilize, they could add hashtoh
shabi PMUs just like it would take one announcement by the Ayatollah and that's it. That's it. Now all of a sudden
you've got a strong force and it won't take long to train them up. And it's the same with Iran. So I if this is
a war of attrition, the United States better have unlimited ammunition. Donald Trump says we have unlimited ordinances,
unlimited uh air-to-air refueling tankers, unlimited this, unlimited that.
No, no, they don't. They have finite resources. And Israel does not have unlimited interceptors for their uh Patriot missiles, which they call the
Iron Dome. See, that's another thing is that it's not Israel's Iron Dome. It's US missile defense, which they supply uh to and maintain for the Israelis. Okay?
It's not unlimited. is finite. So if if you if you want to play this war of attrition game, Iran is ready to take
the short the short-term pain for the long-term gain, just ask tan. They've already priced it in. So, but the
problem is, and this is the same problem with Ukraine that the US and Europe have run into, is because it's it's amazing
how these people don't pay attention to the long arc of history because all the answers are there. If you look at the
Russia Ukraine situation, clearly a proxy war, okay, but there's a political timeline for Zalinski where he expires and I think he's past that point now.
There's a political timeline for Europe as to how much they can bankrupt Europe and bankrupt the US to support this proxy war. But guess what? Does Russia have a a short timeline on that? No.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 10:53 pm
Part 2 of 2
Russia has a very long long timeline.
The the president has a mandate. the government has a mandate to uh prosecute that conflict and to secure Russia's
national interests. And that's a long mandate. It's a long timeline. So they could play the war of attrition for the next years. It's going to be fine for
Russia. They'll cope. The same with Iran. They now the the government now has a mandate to defend its country and
repel the invaders and these people like the crusaders basically. So the but there's a timeline on Donald Trump. He's
looking at the markets. It's like every five he's probably like, "Oh, do we stop? Do we go? Do we stop? Do we go? Oh, how much money are we going to make?
How much are we going to lose?" For Israel, do you think they have an unlimited timeline on this? I don't think so. Very short. For Netanyahu's survival, for the Israeli state itself,
could effectively collapse as a society if this carries on for another week or two. I'm not I'm not exaggerating. you
you could see huge uh moves in Israel uh along these lines. So, but for Iran,
what's the you know, is where's the pressure on the Iranian government to to to sign a peace treaty right now? It's not there. So, so this is the nature of
the the the country, the political economy in Iran, the civilizational uh dimension. The same with the Russian
Federation and also they're playing on their home field. The US is playing away. So, and these are just basics. And
I I honestly, yeah, I I I don't see how this is going to get any better for
Trump, for the for America, for the Gulf by extending this another I I would say
you're looking at total catastrophe uh in probably or weeks time. You know,
not to mention a global economic meltdown that's already begun. But politically, the the Donald Trump is
caught in an undertow that is now inescapable politically and historically. So is Benjamin Netanyahu.
And so I don't know. Uh I'm I'm trying to look for another scenario that we might be able to build an argument for some kind of a off-ramp,
but it's hard to see it.
Well, there are reports, Patrick. I mean, what you're saying, it does have a a very,
I think, rooted basis in reality right now because uh there were reports that after Donald Trump announced that uh
they were going to obliterate the power grids in Iran, um no one was thinking ceasefire even after the so-called -day
moratorum to that threat. And what you had actually were Iranians all across the country around these power plants that the energy minister was talking
about actually forming human circles around them uh shielding them and rallying around them uh demonstrating
that Iranians themselves they're not only willing to join the military but they're also willing to put their bodies on the line uh for the protection of
their own infrastructure which um given the losses that Iran has had to deal with in terms of civilians in terms of infrastructure
I think says a lot about um who has the initiative to continue fighting versus
the United States in Israel which um the inter we're already seeing the interceptors run out. Uh there was
somebody in the comments who was saying oh what about the our lasers? It must be an Israel. What about our laser? We have lasers now. Uh the laser cannot deal
with uh Iran's hypersonic missiles at the level of their medium range or long range. uh they are getting through and
every single day. Now, I've been saying this for the last hours, for the last hours, we've seen uh the interceptors
essentially either be non-existent or fired at a very low level to the point where they're not even trying to show these videos. We're only seeing this
from Iranian sources and and independent sources. Israel is not trying to show any impacts at all because just a couple
days ago, uh they were brutal. uh we saw what happened to Deona uh and the you know the town that holds the the nuclear
research facility and we just now I'm getting reports that uh uh uh the Raphael uh defense tech uh uh tech industry uh of Israel has just been hit.
So they're very sensitive targets right now being hit uh with basically no defenses present. So all of this is
bearing fruit of reality and it's leading to I think uh a huge crisis especially given we know that the United
States and Israel are ready to take it to this next level in large part. I'm wondering your thoughts on this because there really is nothing else. I mean you have you have US Marines coming and you
have threats and uh you know attempts to carry out these threats on the power grid on water. Uh where does it can only
go get worse from here Patrick? it seems like for the US and Israeli side.
Yeah. And look, I mean, I don't want to I'm not a military um strategist and you can get Scott Ritter or, you know,
Colonel Larry Wilkerson to Opine on issues like if the United States were to deploy Marines to retake Car Island or
try to secure the Straits of Warmuse or occupy any Iranian territory. um what's that going to require in terms of air
cover by the United States and and naval uh assets that need to be positioned uh in in proximity of that? I mean, they're
now putting they're now exposing all of those different um those different aspects of of the military operation which are aren't exposed at the moment
because they're basically firing standoff munitions at Iran from a safe distance and then pulling back accordingly to protect themselves. So, I
mean, how does the US expect they do they think they're going to degrade Iran to such a degree that then they'll be able to just march in there? This is not
Cuba, okay? You can't you're not going to be able to enforce a siege uh military blockade on Iran. It's just not
it's not going to happen. So, like what's the plan? Or is this just posturing by the Trump administration?
Because the numbers are minuscule. I mean, even even the nd Airborne, uh,
you know, what's what's the attachment of troops there? I mean, what are we talking about? Even if it was
uh, is it's it's nothing. They're not,
you know, and and they will incur losses. Maybe that's the plan. They want to have dead American bodies come back to get the patriots fired up to support
uh a bigger war. I mean, if that's the plan, well, we'll see how that works out. So, but um besides that, we have uh
some fundamental um problems uh with the the way the United States are, you know,
what they're threatening to do, what they can actually deliver um to with those threats. And that's
this that's the escalation ladder as it were. So, what more can the US do? I mean, we we talked about nuclear weapons
in the past, tactical nukes, strategic nukes. Uh, I don't think there's an appetite I hope there's not an appetite
to go down that road. I wouldn't rule it out in this case, but there is kind of getting to desperate days here because
the the US is going to be running out of munitions. They're going to be running out of assets. They've lost a lot already. There's a record number and
they're probably under reporting quite a lot in terms of uh drones,
aircraft that have been lost. Uh things have been lost in Iranian missile attacks that have hit US bases. I'm sure
this is grossly under reported on the US side. Um and I don't think the US has incurred this level of losses
militarily in any conflict probably is in our lifetime. And so normally that would mean that you know the secretary
of defense would get fired would have to resign. The president might be sort of in front of a congressional hearing or a senate hearing or somebody from the
administration. Somebody have to answer for uh these record losses of US equipment and US assets totally and
probably at this point tens of billions if not hundreds of billions.
Um it's hard to calculate. It's not only that, but the sunken cost of all those US uh to to build all those bases, to
protect them, to staff them, the what they've put into those bases over the years, the United States by by launching
this undeclared war of aggression against Iran, with Israel, the they're risking forfeiting their their their
military footprint, their geopolitical footprint in the Middle East, in the Persian Gulf specifically. Now, for for
somebody that regards themsself as an empire, that's a big big thing to risk and it's a big thing to lose. That we
even saw the the the the American and the NATO there was a NATO attachment in Iraq. They had they had to cut and run.
They basically negotiated a ceasefire with uh the Iraqi militias and they left the country. And then of course you never negotiate a ceasefire with the
United States or if you do never believe that they'll ever uphold it because the US promptly attacked and targeted those
uh Iraqi militias. And what's that again? What's that going to do? It it might it might give Pete Hegsth a
dopamine rush for a few hours and then he can feson uh in front of the White House uh press corps with this silly
Captain Kangaroo suit that he wears with the American creat. I mean it's just ridiculous because what he just did is
mobilize the entire Iraqi uh defense and the Iraqi population against the United States again. And if
the US tried Iraq, if if if we were in now, how the US bought off all of
Saddam Hussein's generals, how the the the amount of corruption that they used to basically invade and take Iraq, and the US had their proxy in power anyway,
a Sunni minority ruling over the Shiite majority, which is the colonial model.
That's not Iraq anymore. you couldn't do what you did in in today's Iraq in So, uh, you didn't do yourself any
favors. And the United States, if they haven't already, evacuated their what was their largest embassy, international
embassy in Baghdad. It's only only surpassed by the fortress that they built in, um, in Lebanon uh, in this
this past year. But they're out of there. It's gone. And this these are huge CIA stations um as well. So I mean
so so I I I don't know it's um strategically that's a that's a lot to sacrifice for an empire. So that's that
can't be in the US interest if the US interest is to project power and to contain China, right? Because normally
you'd want operational control o over the Silk Road in the Middle East. And if they're if they're going to lose that as
a result of this errant uh uh preemptive war of choice, then I anyone who's making the argument that, you know,
Israel is not is is not the tail wagging the US dog, I don't think it's a credible argument because the only
explanation, rational explanation we can have here is that the US have been dragged into, pushed into, and made to
fought a war on behalf of a foreign power that has total political control over the entire US legislature and the
executive branch because they paid for that in the last election cycle. That to me is the logical argument. But there's people out there making another argument say, "No, no, no, don't look at Israel.
No, no, no. It's US empire. Nothing to do with uh nothing to do with Israel and so forth." So anyway, that's uh yeah, no, I mean those are great points,
Patrick. uh because uh there are also some people who are making the argument that uh the US empire is uh hoping to
raise the gas and oil prices uh to such a large degree so they can just reap all the profits and control all energy. But I think what the what is actually
happening in real time is that uh uh we have even if the US empire at this moment does have quote unquote interests
to destroy Iran and to you know we've talked about those reasons on this show multipolar world Iran sovereignty all of this it's the timing of this and it's
also the way it's go the way it's happening which is pointing to uh just
major of course Israeli involvement in how this war is going. There's just no doubt about that. And uh the impact is
the way that this has ricocheted and backfired. You know, people have been saying uh who watch this show you that you know the Zionists in the US empire,
they're not winning big here. They are taking big hits. You mentioned the assets. uh the assets that that number
is they're never going to want to release what that number is because uh just these air defense systems alone whether they're destroyed like they have
been a patriot patriot system have been destroyed that radars have been destroyed we're talking about you know billions that just that alone let alone
the aircraft you know all of this that have been shot down the drones the bill is high um but there's also the fact
that you just said it the the resistance has been reignited we see what's happening in Hezbollah. Israel is caught in what is going to be a disastrous
quagmire to try to reocc to try to occupy Lebanon. Um a losing one at that.
Hezbollah is coordinating with Iran right now. The Iraqi resistance what you just said about pushing the US back.
Iran has said that the US is huddling now with the Barzani clan in Kurdish Iraq. But also NATO has left. So all of
the NATO support, all of that, the Polish troops, everyone, uh, they've left Iraq, uh, because they are too afraid of the resistance, not just
Iranian missiles, but the resistance in Iraq has been activated in a big way.
They're conducting sometimes an operation an hour on average, which is causing huge problems. So this is the reality on the ground. And then you add
in US troops, you add in Marines, you add in Car Island straight of Hormuz,
and you have a real potential for a massive disaster. And if the US and Israel go forward and escalate on Iran's
power and water, well, uh, then you have not just an economic crisis, but you have a humanitarian catastrophe, uh,
that Iran could also ignite if it were forced to do so. Uh so this is not a great equation Patrick at this moment.
This is kind of the sum of all the parts that I feel is um there's a lot of whistling past the graveyard. Yet Donald
Trump is saying in order to ease the markets in order to um buy time perhaps to say well we're negotiating we're
negotiating with Iran right now even though there's no such thing happening.
So, so this is this doesn't feel like an empire that is uh seeking uh in winning some kind of full spectrum dominance
over energy and the world. I I just don't see that. But what's your uh what's your um assessment of that?
No, the the the net result the the net net is that the you know the multipolar world uh bricks as a network is looking
more attractive this after this last month. I think I don't think you can argue there. So, if I if I was an oligarch, if I was a billionaire, if I
was like Elon Musk with morals and ethics, um, and I wasn't aloof and whacked out of my head on ketamine all
day like some oligarchs are, um, I would be looking for a safe place to put my money and the Asia looks like a much more stable investment environment uh,
for for capital. So that that was the case before the war and I think that's probably going to be the case after this
is over when this is over if we survive this. And in terms of the political realities, if if you if you're running a
business or if you're running a investment bank or if you're running a country, if you're running a country like Donald Trump, you're CEO of America
Incorporated, um you'd want good information, wouldn't you? uh in terms of how you're going to position your assets, how you're going to use your
resources, you'd want you want to be operating on the best possible information, wouldn't you? If you're going to be risking and expending money
and capital and resources now, that's how businesses operate. US government is no longer operating like that. And it
probably haven't been operating like that for a very long time because they're able to deficit spend to the tune of like under this President Donald
Trump and with Elon's great Doge revolution. You remember Doge? Oh, Doge is going to fix all this government
waste. And what did Donald Trump do is add another $trillion to the deficit.
Uh and so in his first year, I think you'll see deficit has surpassed the Biden administration and Trump year two
is going to is going to be probably you're probably looking at towards trillion in in US deficit spending in
Donald Trump's year. So all this um theater that Elon Musk was fronting about Doge and how we're going to trim government and that the federal government's got to be more efficient,
more accountable, it's the opposite.
they're less efficient, less accountable, and they're going to burn through more money. So, it's of course if you do that, if you have free money
available, which this government does in terms of US dollar, we pay for that in inflation when they drive the deficit
up. We pay for that. Ron Paul's been making that argument for for years.
Uh, no one's listened. Um, so, but if you do that, um, it it breeds corruption. Free money breeds
corruption. Look at Ukraine. you inject uh billion into that uh cauldron of corruption, what do you get? More corruption, more graft. So this is what
this is how the US government's operating. So if I tell you that uh the Iraqi parliament uh decided twice to
tell the United States to get out of Iraq in the last years, but they couldn't do that because they weren't in a position to do that politically. Um
and also with the the the level of US um uh the embedded US uh mini economy in
Iraq uh as well as the corruption and and the graft and the bribery and all that stuff the blackmail um it wasn't
tenable but now it is now it is now the prime minister or the US US is trying to prevent
uh Maliki from becoming uh prime minister because they don't they don't want because they know exactly where he's going to take this,
which is where he took it before, and they didn't like that. So this now that's a political reality. So I I see
that people who are in the region see that. But Donald Trump, everything that I just said, he doesn't know. So the president of United States is illiterate
geopolitically and he's illiterate. He doesn't watch podcasts like this or listen to the type of guests that you have on who have very
good pedigree on these matters. And so the so the US government is making decisions based on bad information. I have to that's how I have to conclude
that um and you know and the argument that this shutting down oil supplies from the Persian Gulf um is benefiting
is it's a plot for US empire. It's definitely a plot for uh the oligarchs in the oil and gas sector that that are
part of Trump's remaining base. You have to remember the coalition that elected Donald Trump and again we come back to the political the political dimension in
Iraq which I just explained that's real and it has outcomes attached to it and along timelines opportunistic outcomes
along timelines. The same in the United States the oligarchs who helped to bankroll Trump's uh last campaign, the oil and gas sector, the guys in Houston,
the guys in Dallas. Okay, those guys,
that's that's one of the remaining, you know, hardcore uh factions of of Trump's
base. So, MAGA at the moment, the longer this goes on, MAGA is AI billionaires.
It's the Larry Ellison and Sam Alman class. It's the Epstein class. It's the oil and gas guys. It's the guys who are
fracking uh uh natural gas. That's pretty soon. That's all. and Wall Street and the people who who insider trade on
Wall Street and poly market that is Trump's base rem that that's what MAGA has has been reduced to that's where it
will end up and there'll be a few people wearing their red hats who just will believe anything that Trump says and stand there during the rallies and go h
like that put their kids up there in front of the camera but but that's not the same type of coalition that got him
a mandate in the last election but how did he get that mandate He got that mandate by courting the independents,
the populist anti-war votes, the the Democrat centrists who swung over to MAGA because Trump said no new wars.
We're not going to get involved in regime change wars. That's why they voted for him. So because he has clearly gone the other direction, uh he's now
looking like a political fraud, as is everybody else in his cabinet, including Tulsi Gabbard and all these other people that sang this tune about, oh no more
regime change wars. We can't be putting our brothers and sisters in harm's way.
Bring the troops home. So I mean, that's it's just not credible um at this point.
So the the oil the oil price spike cutting off supplies from the Middle East that will benefit the oligarchs,
but that's not going to benefit the American people. Um that's going to create inflation. It's going to create uh an economic recession, a depression.
It's going to contract economic activity. It's going to make uh businesses and people less reliable as potential loan candidates from banks.
Um, so you have a tightening of lending,
a liquidity crisis, all of that is coming with this. So that's not and and the American empire only exists because
of the promise that it can deliver prosperity to its people at home. Um,
and also the American Empire only exists that it's able to leverage cooperation from its allies and even neutral allies
or fremies internationally through international institutions that have been cultivated since the Second World
War. That is the source of American imperial power. And everything that they've done in the last month has
undermined all of those things. So if if this is some imperial plot, it's a it's
a suicidal plot is the only thing that I I can conclude at this point. And I think that's a a rational
argument. So maybe it's a a case of hubris. Maybe it's a case of bestlaid plans of m men. Uh or maybe it's just a
case of this is what happens with latestage uh empire. the corruption overtakes the rationality and do you see
a sort of you know disintegration uh of the foundations of that empire and Israel has been the catalyst I think
undoubtedly is if that's if that's what's going to happen Israel is the catalyst uh for this process
well talk about suicide missions uh trying to permanently not only permanently establish a settler colony in the year you know from to
and try to expand and that uh model beyond uh even Palestine is uh it could
in many ways be seen as a a catalyst toward um everything that you're talking about uh Patrick and you know uh that
phrase short-term uh pain for long-term gain um you know it seems like if you flip that for the oligarchs it's like
short-term gain yeah let's shortterm gains disregard all the long-term pain that actually is undermining the very
edifice of the system. So yeah, I mean sure make a lot of money off of gas and
raise oil prices and all of that, but the petro dollars intimately connected to what happens in West Asia, you know,
Saudi Arabia, all of that. Uh you know,
uh US military projection and power needed to ensure that uh US economic markets are stable. Uh it's heavily dependent on Israel. So yeah, you know,
okay, you have sui that's a suicide mission because you are essentially building up toward a conflict that leads to win, lose, draw. You right now it
doesn't look like the US and Israel are winning at all. But whatever the outcome, destruction is really well that's laid in the wake and destruction that they can't rebuild. So it's it's it's it's incredibly a risky venture.
And I think this is what we're seeing.
And not not to mention uh Patrick and maybe we can end on this question from someone in the audience who asked how are troops actually going to get into
Car Island you know is it a death trap and I wanted you to comments on this given that Iran has now been uh with the
straight of four moves instituting this toll you know ships ships are getting in more ships European ships especially
Chinese ships especially Chinese ships um and others India bang you know Bangladesh others they are get working with the Iranian government in Iran has
said, "Yeah, we're we're exacting a toll uh for ships u to be able to get through here." So, they're saying they're in control. And all of Trump's bluster and the US administration's bluster around,
you know, escalating with ground troops is about um either uh you know, cutting
off Iranian energy bar or literally trying to intervene in the straight of
Hormuz all to reopen the straight of Hormuz. So let me guess last question is this is this a death trap uh to try to
occupy and invade Car Island and uh what you make of now the situation with the straight of Hormuz given that all the US
is surging with US Marines is about this.
Look, you have to ask yourself the question and maybe this is a gamble on the US part. If they're if they're if they're genuinely sincere and the Trump
or the White House or the US military believe that they can invade and occupy Carg Island, I I I have a hard time believing that. Maybe the Trump, maybe
the White House, maybe Pete Hexath thinks he can do that. anybody in the joint chiefs or anybody with actual military experience, real military
experience terms of command and real responsibility for US troops and personnel. Not Pete Hegsth, by the way,
uh who's a reservist whose highest rank was major, who basically didn't do anything of note in the US military
other than get quite a lot of tattoos uh on his body as uh souvenirs of his
crusader ship or whatever. But the that so they're gambling that if they put US assets and troops on the ground in Car
Island that Iran is not going to uh besiege them with drones and missiles because they because Iran doesn't want
to destroy its pro uh petroleum uh storage and distribution and shipping facilities there because that's
essential Iranian infrastructure. The Americans think that is the heart of the Iranian economy right there at Kar Island. That's why they're focused on
it. Um, do you do you think if if the Iranians had to choose between allowing the US to occupy Iranian soil or
sacrificing short-term pain for long-term gain? What do you think the Iranians are going to
choose based on this behavior pattern we've seen now in the last month and also historically uh I think it's pretty
obvious what the Iranians are going to do. They're like their attitude is we're not going to tolerate the US on our shores and we will rebuild our
infrastructure. That's the risk that Iran will take. They'll take the short-term pain for the long-term gain.
Is the US is America prepared to take the short-term pain of losing a few
thousand of our finest troops uh sacrificed at the altar of the Donald
Trump and the the MAGA collective ego or the US imperial ego? Are you willing to
take that risk? and uh you know so between so this comes down to the balance of force and the balance of
resolve in the region I would say the balance of force the US has quite a bit of force that it can um impose and
inflict on Iran there's no doubt about that quite a lot of damage and the Israelis too between the between Israel and the US they can impose a lot of
suffering a lot of damage but who and this goes back to the essential political timeline that we cannot take out of this equation. There's a
political timeline for all the actors involved. The Gulf, the Americans, the Trump administration, specifically
Netanyahu, his government, and Israel as a country, and Iran and the Iranian government. All of those actors have a
timeline, a political timeline attached to their actions. And so, I would give the balance of resolve in favor of the
Islamic Republic of Iran. And I think that's just common sense. uh looking at this as a basic uh equation in the same
way I would give the balance of resolve to Russia in the Ukraine war and that looks like it's gone in Russia's favor after all of the three years of we're
being told that the Russia's defeated and the Russian military has spent force and you know they're fighting with shovels running out of bullets that
those were all lies and so how how much of what we've been told about the US and the Israeli military conquests of the
last four weeks weeks. How much of that is true and how much of that has been exaggerated? Exactly like they did to
us, the western public with the Ukraine war. I will wager to say, Danny, uh,
that it's probably a significant amount of tall tales and fish stories and exaggerations on the part of the United
States uh, in Israel in terms of what they've done. uh that it's going to be the hammer, the Thor hammer blow that's
going to bring down the regime. That hasn't happened. It's not going to happen. What they've done is mobilized the Iran, the Iranians, not just this
generation. The US and Israel have mobilized Iran for the next two generations minimum. Minimum. and
they've sharpened the blade of the Islamic uh republic's revolutionary society and government in a way that it
could never have been done before. And they've done it. They're responsible for that. And I think the the the takeaway on this, Danny, the last thing I can say
is I think right now Iran has demonstrated by uh closing the Straits of Hormuz but not closing it, keeping
it open for their partners on their terms.
[Patrick Henningsen] See, that's the other lie, that the straits of Hormuz are closed. They're not. They're not closed. They're open, but not for everybody. And they're open for those who will abide by the new terms of the new regional hegemon, and the new regional hegemon is the Islamic Republic of Iran until further notice. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. All caps.
Yeah, it's a that's a I think that's a a great place uh to end, Patrick.
um you know uh we're going to have to keep a breast of all these developments because it this is the direction all things have gone to. I want to thank
everyone uh for joining. I want to thank everyone who joined as new members. I want to make sure everyone knows to go to the video description after this
program is over to uh to check out st Century Wire to check out uh Patrick
Substack. You can support him via those uh channels. Um so definitely do that. Uh this was a great show today, Patrick.
We'll have to do it again uh very soon.
Um and we're gonna head out of here today. Every single day there's new developments in this war. And as you were saying, Patrick, with the uh you
know, political timelines with each and every US and Israeli escalation, it seems like that timeline actually gets shorter. Whatever consequences was going to come out of this timeline uh is
coming faster and faster and faster. the way they escalate. While Iran, we're seeing the response is is quite strategic, quite um very much uh
methodical in escalating when needing to escalate and just keeping a general plan of attack at all times every single day.
Um, and the demands that they're putting out there, Patrick, they're they're pretty ironclad demands that they're not rolling back on, which shows a level of
initiative and uh uh willingness to stand uh on their ground for quite a long time. So, this is where we're at
everybody. Uh Patrick, any last word before I hit the end stream here?
No. Um just want to say, yeah, thank you very much for uh the conversation today,
Danny. This is a fluid ongoing situation. And so disclaimer, everything that we said could be completely
irrelevant and null and void by this evening. So, uh, just thought I'd put that in there as a caveat. All right, everybody. Take care. us.
We'll see you again soon.
Russia has a very long long timeline.
The the president has a mandate. the government has a mandate to uh prosecute that conflict and to secure Russia's
national interests. And that's a long mandate. It's a long timeline. So they could play the war of attrition for the next years. It's going to be fine for
Russia. They'll cope. The same with Iran. They now the the government now has a mandate to defend its country and
repel the invaders and these people like the crusaders basically. So the but there's a timeline on Donald Trump. He's
looking at the markets. It's like every five he's probably like, "Oh, do we stop? Do we go? Do we stop? Do we go? Oh, how much money are we going to make?
How much are we going to lose?" For Israel, do you think they have an unlimited timeline on this? I don't think so. Very short. For Netanyahu's survival, for the Israeli state itself,
could effectively collapse as a society if this carries on for another week or two. I'm not I'm not exaggerating. you
you could see huge uh moves in Israel uh along these lines. So, but for Iran,
what's the you know, is where's the pressure on the Iranian government to to to sign a peace treaty right now? It's not there. So, so this is the nature of
the the the country, the political economy in Iran, the civilizational uh dimension. The same with the Russian
Federation and also they're playing on their home field. The US is playing away. So, and these are just basics. And
I I honestly, yeah, I I I don't see how this is going to get any better for
Trump, for the for America, for the Gulf by extending this another I I would say
you're looking at total catastrophe uh in probably or weeks time. You know,
not to mention a global economic meltdown that's already begun. But politically, the the Donald Trump is
caught in an undertow that is now inescapable politically and historically. So is Benjamin Netanyahu.
And so I don't know. Uh I'm I'm trying to look for another scenario that we might be able to build an argument for some kind of a off-ramp,
but it's hard to see it.
Well, there are reports, Patrick. I mean, what you're saying, it does have a a very,
I think, rooted basis in reality right now because uh there were reports that after Donald Trump announced that uh
they were going to obliterate the power grids in Iran, um no one was thinking ceasefire even after the so-called -day
moratorum to that threat. And what you had actually were Iranians all across the country around these power plants that the energy minister was talking
about actually forming human circles around them uh shielding them and rallying around them uh demonstrating
that Iranians themselves they're not only willing to join the military but they're also willing to put their bodies on the line uh for the protection of
their own infrastructure which um given the losses that Iran has had to deal with in terms of civilians in terms of infrastructure
I think says a lot about um who has the initiative to continue fighting versus
the United States in Israel which um the inter we're already seeing the interceptors run out. Uh there was
somebody in the comments who was saying oh what about the our lasers? It must be an Israel. What about our laser? We have lasers now. Uh the laser cannot deal
with uh Iran's hypersonic missiles at the level of their medium range or long range. uh they are getting through and
every single day. Now, I've been saying this for the last hours, for the last hours, we've seen uh the interceptors
essentially either be non-existent or fired at a very low level to the point where they're not even trying to show these videos. We're only seeing this
from Iranian sources and and independent sources. Israel is not trying to show any impacts at all because just a couple
days ago, uh they were brutal. uh we saw what happened to Deona uh and the you know the town that holds the the nuclear
research facility and we just now I'm getting reports that uh uh uh the Raphael uh defense tech uh uh tech industry uh of Israel has just been hit.
So they're very sensitive targets right now being hit uh with basically no defenses present. So all of this is
bearing fruit of reality and it's leading to I think uh a huge crisis especially given we know that the United
States and Israel are ready to take it to this next level in large part. I'm wondering your thoughts on this because there really is nothing else. I mean you have you have US Marines coming and you
have threats and uh you know attempts to carry out these threats on the power grid on water. Uh where does it can only
go get worse from here Patrick? it seems like for the US and Israeli side.
Yeah. And look, I mean, I don't want to I'm not a military um strategist and you can get Scott Ritter or, you know,
Colonel Larry Wilkerson to Opine on issues like if the United States were to deploy Marines to retake Car Island or
try to secure the Straits of Warmuse or occupy any Iranian territory. um what's that going to require in terms of air
cover by the United States and and naval uh assets that need to be positioned uh in in proximity of that? I mean, they're
now putting they're now exposing all of those different um those different aspects of of the military operation which are aren't exposed at the moment
because they're basically firing standoff munitions at Iran from a safe distance and then pulling back accordingly to protect themselves. So, I
mean, how does the US expect they do they think they're going to degrade Iran to such a degree that then they'll be able to just march in there? This is not
Cuba, okay? You can't you're not going to be able to enforce a siege uh military blockade on Iran. It's just not
it's not going to happen. So, like what's the plan? Or is this just posturing by the Trump administration?
Because the numbers are minuscule. I mean, even even the nd Airborne, uh,
you know, what's what's the attachment of troops there? I mean, what are we talking about? Even if it was
uh, is it's it's nothing. They're not,
you know, and and they will incur losses. Maybe that's the plan. They want to have dead American bodies come back to get the patriots fired up to support
uh a bigger war. I mean, if that's the plan, well, we'll see how that works out. So, but um besides that, we have uh
some fundamental um problems uh with the the way the United States are, you know,
what they're threatening to do, what they can actually deliver um to with those threats. And that's
this that's the escalation ladder as it were. So, what more can the US do? I mean, we we talked about nuclear weapons
in the past, tactical nukes, strategic nukes. Uh, I don't think there's an appetite I hope there's not an appetite
to go down that road. I wouldn't rule it out in this case, but there is kind of getting to desperate days here because
the the US is going to be running out of munitions. They're going to be running out of assets. They've lost a lot already. There's a record number and
they're probably under reporting quite a lot in terms of uh drones,
aircraft that have been lost. Uh things have been lost in Iranian missile attacks that have hit US bases. I'm sure
this is grossly under reported on the US side. Um and I don't think the US has incurred this level of losses
militarily in any conflict probably is in our lifetime. And so normally that would mean that you know the secretary
of defense would get fired would have to resign. The president might be sort of in front of a congressional hearing or a senate hearing or somebody from the
administration. Somebody have to answer for uh these record losses of US equipment and US assets totally and
probably at this point tens of billions if not hundreds of billions.
Um it's hard to calculate. It's not only that, but the sunken cost of all those US uh to to build all those bases, to
protect them, to staff them, the what they've put into those bases over the years, the United States by by launching
this undeclared war of aggression against Iran, with Israel, the they're risking forfeiting their their their
military footprint, their geopolitical footprint in the Middle East, in the Persian Gulf specifically. Now, for for
somebody that regards themsself as an empire, that's a big big thing to risk and it's a big thing to lose. That we
even saw the the the the American and the NATO there was a NATO attachment in Iraq. They had they had to cut and run.
They basically negotiated a ceasefire with uh the Iraqi militias and they left the country. And then of course you never negotiate a ceasefire with the
United States or if you do never believe that they'll ever uphold it because the US promptly attacked and targeted those
uh Iraqi militias. And what's that again? What's that going to do? It it might it might give Pete Hegsth a
dopamine rush for a few hours and then he can feson uh in front of the White House uh press corps with this silly
Captain Kangaroo suit that he wears with the American creat. I mean it's just ridiculous because what he just did is
mobilize the entire Iraqi uh defense and the Iraqi population against the United States again. And if
the US tried Iraq, if if if we were in now, how the US bought off all of
Saddam Hussein's generals, how the the the amount of corruption that they used to basically invade and take Iraq, and the US had their proxy in power anyway,
a Sunni minority ruling over the Shiite majority, which is the colonial model.
That's not Iraq anymore. you couldn't do what you did in in today's Iraq in So, uh, you didn't do yourself any
favors. And the United States, if they haven't already, evacuated their what was their largest embassy, international
embassy in Baghdad. It's only only surpassed by the fortress that they built in, um, in Lebanon uh, in this
this past year. But they're out of there. It's gone. And this these are huge CIA stations um as well. So I mean
so so I I I don't know it's um strategically that's a that's a lot to sacrifice for an empire. So that's that
can't be in the US interest if the US interest is to project power and to contain China, right? Because normally
you'd want operational control o over the Silk Road in the Middle East. And if they're if they're going to lose that as
a result of this errant uh uh preemptive war of choice, then I anyone who's making the argument that, you know,
Israel is not is is not the tail wagging the US dog, I don't think it's a credible argument because the only
explanation, rational explanation we can have here is that the US have been dragged into, pushed into, and made to
fought a war on behalf of a foreign power that has total political control over the entire US legislature and the
executive branch because they paid for that in the last election cycle. That to me is the logical argument. But there's people out there making another argument say, "No, no, no, don't look at Israel.
No, no, no. It's US empire. Nothing to do with uh nothing to do with Israel and so forth." So anyway, that's uh yeah, no, I mean those are great points,
Patrick. uh because uh there are also some people who are making the argument that uh the US empire is uh hoping to
raise the gas and oil prices uh to such a large degree so they can just reap all the profits and control all energy. But I think what the what is actually
happening in real time is that uh uh we have even if the US empire at this moment does have quote unquote interests
to destroy Iran and to you know we've talked about those reasons on this show multipolar world Iran sovereignty all of this it's the timing of this and it's
also the way it's go the way it's happening which is pointing to uh just
major of course Israeli involvement in how this war is going. There's just no doubt about that. And uh the impact is
the way that this has ricocheted and backfired. You know, people have been saying uh who watch this show you that you know the Zionists in the US empire,
they're not winning big here. They are taking big hits. You mentioned the assets. uh the assets that that number
is they're never going to want to release what that number is because uh just these air defense systems alone whether they're destroyed like they have
been a patriot patriot system have been destroyed that radars have been destroyed we're talking about you know billions that just that alone let alone
the aircraft you know all of this that have been shot down the drones the bill is high um but there's also the fact
that you just said it the the resistance has been reignited we see what's happening in Hezbollah. Israel is caught in what is going to be a disastrous
quagmire to try to reocc to try to occupy Lebanon. Um a losing one at that.
Hezbollah is coordinating with Iran right now. The Iraqi resistance what you just said about pushing the US back.
Iran has said that the US is huddling now with the Barzani clan in Kurdish Iraq. But also NATO has left. So all of
the NATO support, all of that, the Polish troops, everyone, uh, they've left Iraq, uh, because they are too afraid of the resistance, not just
Iranian missiles, but the resistance in Iraq has been activated in a big way.
They're conducting sometimes an operation an hour on average, which is causing huge problems. So this is the reality on the ground. And then you add
in US troops, you add in Marines, you add in Car Island straight of Hormuz,
and you have a real potential for a massive disaster. And if the US and Israel go forward and escalate on Iran's
power and water, well, uh, then you have not just an economic crisis, but you have a humanitarian catastrophe, uh,
that Iran could also ignite if it were forced to do so. Uh so this is not a great equation Patrick at this moment.
This is kind of the sum of all the parts that I feel is um there's a lot of whistling past the graveyard. Yet Donald
Trump is saying in order to ease the markets in order to um buy time perhaps to say well we're negotiating we're
negotiating with Iran right now even though there's no such thing happening.
So, so this is this doesn't feel like an empire that is uh seeking uh in winning some kind of full spectrum dominance
over energy and the world. I I just don't see that. But what's your uh what's your um assessment of that?
No, the the the net result the the net net is that the you know the multipolar world uh bricks as a network is looking
more attractive this after this last month. I think I don't think you can argue there. So, if I if I was an oligarch, if I was a billionaire, if I
was like Elon Musk with morals and ethics, um, and I wasn't aloof and whacked out of my head on ketamine all
day like some oligarchs are, um, I would be looking for a safe place to put my money and the Asia looks like a much more stable investment environment uh,
for for capital. So that that was the case before the war and I think that's probably going to be the case after this
is over when this is over if we survive this. And in terms of the political realities, if if you if you're running a
business or if you're running a investment bank or if you're running a country, if you're running a country like Donald Trump, you're CEO of America
Incorporated, um you'd want good information, wouldn't you? uh in terms of how you're going to position your assets, how you're going to use your
resources, you'd want you want to be operating on the best possible information, wouldn't you? If you're going to be risking and expending money
and capital and resources now, that's how businesses operate. US government is no longer operating like that. And it
probably haven't been operating like that for a very long time because they're able to deficit spend to the tune of like under this President Donald
Trump and with Elon's great Doge revolution. You remember Doge? Oh, Doge is going to fix all this government
waste. And what did Donald Trump do is add another $trillion to the deficit.
Uh and so in his first year, I think you'll see deficit has surpassed the Biden administration and Trump year two
is going to is going to be probably you're probably looking at towards trillion in in US deficit spending in
Donald Trump's year. So all this um theater that Elon Musk was fronting about Doge and how we're going to trim government and that the federal government's got to be more efficient,
more accountable, it's the opposite.
they're less efficient, less accountable, and they're going to burn through more money. So, it's of course if you do that, if you have free money
available, which this government does in terms of US dollar, we pay for that in inflation when they drive the deficit
up. We pay for that. Ron Paul's been making that argument for for years.
Uh, no one's listened. Um, so, but if you do that, um, it it breeds corruption. Free money breeds
corruption. Look at Ukraine. you inject uh billion into that uh cauldron of corruption, what do you get? More corruption, more graft. So this is what
this is how the US government's operating. So if I tell you that uh the Iraqi parliament uh decided twice to
tell the United States to get out of Iraq in the last years, but they couldn't do that because they weren't in a position to do that politically. Um
and also with the the the level of US um uh the embedded US uh mini economy in
Iraq uh as well as the corruption and and the graft and the bribery and all that stuff the blackmail um it wasn't
tenable but now it is now it is now the prime minister or the US US is trying to prevent
uh Maliki from becoming uh prime minister because they don't they don't want because they know exactly where he's going to take this,
which is where he took it before, and they didn't like that. So this now that's a political reality. So I I see
that people who are in the region see that. But Donald Trump, everything that I just said, he doesn't know. So the president of United States is illiterate
geopolitically and he's illiterate. He doesn't watch podcasts like this or listen to the type of guests that you have on who have very
good pedigree on these matters. And so the so the US government is making decisions based on bad information. I have to that's how I have to conclude
that um and you know and the argument that this shutting down oil supplies from the Persian Gulf um is benefiting
is it's a plot for US empire. It's definitely a plot for uh the oligarchs in the oil and gas sector that that are
part of Trump's remaining base. You have to remember the coalition that elected Donald Trump and again we come back to the political the political dimension in
Iraq which I just explained that's real and it has outcomes attached to it and along timelines opportunistic outcomes
along timelines. The same in the United States the oligarchs who helped to bankroll Trump's uh last campaign, the oil and gas sector, the guys in Houston,
the guys in Dallas. Okay, those guys,
that's that's one of the remaining, you know, hardcore uh factions of of Trump's
base. So, MAGA at the moment, the longer this goes on, MAGA is AI billionaires.
It's the Larry Ellison and Sam Alman class. It's the Epstein class. It's the oil and gas guys. It's the guys who are
fracking uh uh natural gas. That's pretty soon. That's all. and Wall Street and the people who who insider trade on
Wall Street and poly market that is Trump's base rem that that's what MAGA has has been reduced to that's where it
will end up and there'll be a few people wearing their red hats who just will believe anything that Trump says and stand there during the rallies and go h
like that put their kids up there in front of the camera but but that's not the same type of coalition that got him
a mandate in the last election but how did he get that mandate He got that mandate by courting the independents,
the populist anti-war votes, the the Democrat centrists who swung over to MAGA because Trump said no new wars.
We're not going to get involved in regime change wars. That's why they voted for him. So because he has clearly gone the other direction, uh he's now
looking like a political fraud, as is everybody else in his cabinet, including Tulsi Gabbard and all these other people that sang this tune about, oh no more
regime change wars. We can't be putting our brothers and sisters in harm's way.
Bring the troops home. So I mean, that's it's just not credible um at this point.
So the the oil the oil price spike cutting off supplies from the Middle East that will benefit the oligarchs,
but that's not going to benefit the American people. Um that's going to create inflation. It's going to create uh an economic recession, a depression.
It's going to contract economic activity. It's going to make uh businesses and people less reliable as potential loan candidates from banks.
Um, so you have a tightening of lending,
a liquidity crisis, all of that is coming with this. So that's not and and the American empire only exists because
of the promise that it can deliver prosperity to its people at home. Um,
and also the American Empire only exists that it's able to leverage cooperation from its allies and even neutral allies
or fremies internationally through international institutions that have been cultivated since the Second World
War. That is the source of American imperial power. And everything that they've done in the last month has
undermined all of those things. So if if this is some imperial plot, it's a it's
a suicidal plot is the only thing that I I can conclude at this point. And I think that's a a rational
argument. So maybe it's a a case of hubris. Maybe it's a case of bestlaid plans of m men. Uh or maybe it's just a
case of this is what happens with latestage uh empire. the corruption overtakes the rationality and do you see
a sort of you know disintegration uh of the foundations of that empire and Israel has been the catalyst I think
undoubtedly is if that's if that's what's going to happen Israel is the catalyst uh for this process
well talk about suicide missions uh trying to permanently not only permanently establish a settler colony in the year you know from to
and try to expand and that uh model beyond uh even Palestine is uh it could
in many ways be seen as a a catalyst toward um everything that you're talking about uh Patrick and you know uh that
phrase short-term uh pain for long-term gain um you know it seems like if you flip that for the oligarchs it's like
short-term gain yeah let's shortterm gains disregard all the long-term pain that actually is undermining the very
edifice of the system. So yeah, I mean sure make a lot of money off of gas and
raise oil prices and all of that, but the petro dollars intimately connected to what happens in West Asia, you know,
Saudi Arabia, all of that. Uh you know,
uh US military projection and power needed to ensure that uh US economic markets are stable. Uh it's heavily dependent on Israel. So yeah, you know,
okay, you have sui that's a suicide mission because you are essentially building up toward a conflict that leads to win, lose, draw. You right now it
doesn't look like the US and Israel are winning at all. But whatever the outcome, destruction is really well that's laid in the wake and destruction that they can't rebuild. So it's it's it's it's incredibly a risky venture.
And I think this is what we're seeing.
And not not to mention uh Patrick and maybe we can end on this question from someone in the audience who asked how are troops actually going to get into
Car Island you know is it a death trap and I wanted you to comments on this given that Iran has now been uh with the
straight of four moves instituting this toll you know ships ships are getting in more ships European ships especially
Chinese ships especially Chinese ships um and others India bang you know Bangladesh others they are get working with the Iranian government in Iran has
said, "Yeah, we're we're exacting a toll uh for ships u to be able to get through here." So, they're saying they're in control. And all of Trump's bluster and the US administration's bluster around,
you know, escalating with ground troops is about um either uh you know, cutting
off Iranian energy bar or literally trying to intervene in the straight of
Hormuz all to reopen the straight of Hormuz. So let me guess last question is this is this a death trap uh to try to
occupy and invade Car Island and uh what you make of now the situation with the straight of Hormuz given that all the US
is surging with US Marines is about this.
Look, you have to ask yourself the question and maybe this is a gamble on the US part. If they're if they're if they're genuinely sincere and the Trump
or the White House or the US military believe that they can invade and occupy Carg Island, I I I have a hard time believing that. Maybe the Trump, maybe
the White House, maybe Pete Hexath thinks he can do that. anybody in the joint chiefs or anybody with actual military experience, real military
experience terms of command and real responsibility for US troops and personnel. Not Pete Hegsth, by the way,
uh who's a reservist whose highest rank was major, who basically didn't do anything of note in the US military
other than get quite a lot of tattoos uh on his body as uh souvenirs of his
crusader ship or whatever. But the that so they're gambling that if they put US assets and troops on the ground in Car
Island that Iran is not going to uh besiege them with drones and missiles because they because Iran doesn't want
to destroy its pro uh petroleum uh storage and distribution and shipping facilities there because that's
essential Iranian infrastructure. The Americans think that is the heart of the Iranian economy right there at Kar Island. That's why they're focused on
it. Um, do you do you think if if the Iranians had to choose between allowing the US to occupy Iranian soil or
sacrificing short-term pain for long-term gain? What do you think the Iranians are going to
choose based on this behavior pattern we've seen now in the last month and also historically uh I think it's pretty
obvious what the Iranians are going to do. They're like their attitude is we're not going to tolerate the US on our shores and we will rebuild our
infrastructure. That's the risk that Iran will take. They'll take the short-term pain for the long-term gain.
Is the US is America prepared to take the short-term pain of losing a few
thousand of our finest troops uh sacrificed at the altar of the Donald
Trump and the the MAGA collective ego or the US imperial ego? Are you willing to
take that risk? and uh you know so between so this comes down to the balance of force and the balance of
resolve in the region I would say the balance of force the US has quite a bit of force that it can um impose and
inflict on Iran there's no doubt about that quite a lot of damage and the Israelis too between the between Israel and the US they can impose a lot of
suffering a lot of damage but who and this goes back to the essential political timeline that we cannot take out of this equation. There's a
political timeline for all the actors involved. The Gulf, the Americans, the Trump administration, specifically
Netanyahu, his government, and Israel as a country, and Iran and the Iranian government. All of those actors have a
timeline, a political timeline attached to their actions. And so, I would give the balance of resolve in favor of the
Islamic Republic of Iran. And I think that's just common sense. uh looking at this as a basic uh equation in the same
way I would give the balance of resolve to Russia in the Ukraine war and that looks like it's gone in Russia's favor after all of the three years of we're
being told that the Russia's defeated and the Russian military has spent force and you know they're fighting with shovels running out of bullets that
those were all lies and so how how much of what we've been told about the US and the Israeli military conquests of the
last four weeks weeks. How much of that is true and how much of that has been exaggerated? Exactly like they did to
us, the western public with the Ukraine war. I will wager to say, Danny, uh,
that it's probably a significant amount of tall tales and fish stories and exaggerations on the part of the United
States uh, in Israel in terms of what they've done. uh that it's going to be the hammer, the Thor hammer blow that's
going to bring down the regime. That hasn't happened. It's not going to happen. What they've done is mobilized the Iran, the Iranians, not just this
generation. The US and Israel have mobilized Iran for the next two generations minimum. Minimum. and
they've sharpened the blade of the Islamic uh republic's revolutionary society and government in a way that it
could never have been done before. And they've done it. They're responsible for that. And I think the the the takeaway on this, Danny, the last thing I can say
is I think right now Iran has demonstrated by uh closing the Straits of Hormuz but not closing it, keeping
it open for their partners on their terms.
[Patrick Henningsen] See, that's the other lie, that the straits of Hormuz are closed. They're not. They're not closed. They're open, but not for everybody. And they're open for those who will abide by the new terms of the new regional hegemon, and the new regional hegemon is the Islamic Republic of Iran until further notice. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. All caps.
Yeah, it's a that's a I think that's a a great place uh to end, Patrick.
um you know uh we're going to have to keep a breast of all these developments because it this is the direction all things have gone to. I want to thank
everyone uh for joining. I want to thank everyone who joined as new members. I want to make sure everyone knows to go to the video description after this
program is over to uh to check out st Century Wire to check out uh Patrick
Substack. You can support him via those uh channels. Um so definitely do that. Uh this was a great show today, Patrick.
We'll have to do it again uh very soon.
Um and we're gonna head out of here today. Every single day there's new developments in this war. And as you were saying, Patrick, with the uh you
know, political timelines with each and every US and Israeli escalation, it seems like that timeline actually gets shorter. Whatever consequences was going to come out of this timeline uh is
coming faster and faster and faster. the way they escalate. While Iran, we're seeing the response is is quite strategic, quite um very much uh
methodical in escalating when needing to escalate and just keeping a general plan of attack at all times every single day.
Um, and the demands that they're putting out there, Patrick, they're they're pretty ironclad demands that they're not rolling back on, which shows a level of
initiative and uh uh willingness to stand uh on their ground for quite a long time. So, this is where we're at
everybody. Uh Patrick, any last word before I hit the end stream here?
No. Um just want to say, yeah, thank you very much for uh the conversation today,
Danny. This is a fluid ongoing situation. And so disclaimer, everything that we said could be completely
irrelevant and null and void by this evening. So, uh, just thought I'd put that in there as a caveat. All right, everybody. Take care. us.
We'll see you again soon.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Tue Mar 24, 2026 10:56 pm
US media’s big revelation; Trump desperately reached out to Iran for peace deal | Janta Ka Reporter
Janta Ka Reporter
Mar 24, 2026
Hours after Donald Trump claimed Iran was willing to hold diplomatic talks, it has emerged that it was the US president who was looking for an off-ramp to end hostility against the Islamic Republic. Rifat Jawaid analyses the development which has also brought Trump under the scanner for different reasons.
Transcript
So, as I said in my last video, Trump was lying when he said Iran wanted a deal. No, it's the other way around.
Taco Trump has in fact reached out to the Islamic Republic with a desperate plea to secure a peace deal. This would be the broad focus of my video today.
Also in my video, another example of Israeli barbarity involving a Palestinian baby. And the western world
particularly it media is silent because they mortgaged the conscience for a few shekels a long time ago. So please stay
tuned. So the mighty America under Donald Trump has capitulated. Now it has emerged that Trump desperately reached
out to the Iranians to consider agreeing to halt its retaliatory strikes and end the blockade of the state of Hormuz.
Watch the latest broadcast of the American media outlet CNN.
All right, there's important breaking news coming into the situation room.
We're now learning from a senior Iranian source that there has been an outreach between the US and Iran. The source tells CNN that this was initiated by
Washington. With us now, CNN military analyst, retired US Air Force Colonel Cedric Leighton, and CNN global affairs analyst Kim Doer. Kim, what do you make of this development?
Ah, the US just blinked. I mean, we already saw it in the series of changing tweets or truths from President Trump.
You know, one day he's like, "The war's about to end, the next day we're going to obliterate your um energy facilities,
and then the next day we think there are talks." From the perspective of the Iranians, this means the US has capitulated and I think they're going to
have a hard time getting much more at the negotiating table than they had before this whole war was launched.
Colonel Leighton, at this point, does Iran win simply by not outright losing this war?
Yes, absolutely. I think that's certainly from the Iranian perception,
that's exactly what's going on because they need to just outlast the United States. And we have to remember they've been around for well over years in
one form or another as as an empire and then now in its latest form as the Islamic Republic. And that is going to
be the key. They have outlasted the United States and have basically told not only their their own people uh but
the region as a whole uh that they are here to stay and that their influence is going to be uh paramount once again in the Persian Gulf region.
In fact, Trump himself confirmed just how desperate he is about finding an offramp for a quick exit from the
illegal war that he started to appease his war criminal Israeli master Benjamin Nathan Yao. He shared a tweet posted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shabbah Sharif.
Sharif had written in his tweet and I quote, "Pakistan welcomes and fully supports ongoing efforts to pursue dialogue to end the war in Middle East.
In the interest of peace and stability in region and beyond, subject to concurrence by the US and Iran, Pakistan
stands ready and honored to be the host to facilitate meaningful and conclusive talks for a comprehensive settlement of the ongoing conflict." End quote.
Sharif had also tagged Donald Trump, his Jewish envoy T Vitkov and Iranian foreign minister Sayyadas Arachi in his
tweet. Trump shared this tweet on his truth social platform. The Pakistani PM said his country was ready to play the
role of a mediator if the US and Iran agreed with his initiative. Arashi didn't even bother responding to his
tweet, but Trump was quick to share that on his truth social page. Doesn't it show that Trump and not Iran is dying for a peace deal?
Trump on Monday had said that Vitkov and his Jewish son-in-law Jared Kushner were talking to Iran. The Islamic Republic
denied his claim saying that Iran was not holding any talks with the US. In fact, according to latest media reports,
Iran has even rejected the presence of Witkov and Kushner in any future mediation talks. That's because these
two individuals were involved in previous talks when Trump and Netanyahu decided to bomb Iran and killed the top
leadership. Trump had even said that he decided to attack Iran based on the advice that he received from Vitkov and
Kushner. The situation was very quickly approaching the point of no return and the United States found it intolerable
in my opinion based on what Steve and Jared and Pete and others were telling me. Marco so involved that I thought
that they were going to attack us. I thought they would if we didn't do this at the time we did it. I think they had in mind to attack us. And then there is
another question. Will Trump agree to the Iranian demands? look like the Iranian line is very simple. A sessation of all hostilities, not now but forever.
As in we need a total and a final peace to this conflict. Second, we will demand some reparation of some kind either in
payments or in sanctions relief as a result of this war. The United States line, the Egyptians and the Turks have been calling the United States, this is what eventually caused Trump to taco and
to say that he was calling and extending his -day deadline off. The United States line remains today. No ballistic missiles, no regional proxies, no
nuclear program. Now remember, on the nuclear program, they've already said that they're not going to pursue a nuclear program. But on the ballistic missile front and especially on the
regional proxy front, those two, it's a non-starter. Regional proxy is already a nebulous term. It means nothing. But let's talk about the ballistic missile. I mean, really, really think about this.
You are in a war and the other side says, "Well, we will stop shooting you if you just give up all your bullets. What are you going to do?" All right.
Right. And by the way, the B that's the only credible deterrent that you actually have, the only ability to extend and project power, have some deterrence, have to be able to extract some cost from the enemy and its allies.
Would you give up your missile program?
years of a new of a missile, basically giving up not only missiles, but all of your production.
Who would be stupid enough to sign up for that deal? Oh, and by the way,
you've been bombed twice under the cover of diplomacy. So, this is where things now currently stand.
It doesn't get more insulting for Trump when a former CIA director says that he is inclined to trust Iran more than his own president.
Well, I tend to believe Iran more than I do because he could not acknowledge the truth even when it is he's slapped in the face with
it repeatedly and it's clear that you know he is flailing right now. He's trying to figure out how he's going to get out of this debacle that he has
created. And so he's going to make these claims about negotiations that the Iranians now are sending signals that they really want to make a deal and
indicates that it's going to make a deal on our terms. I don't think anything close to the truth in that statement.
Trump is aware of the catastrophic impact the blockade of the state of Horos is already having on the global economy and especially in his own
country. This is disastrous for him politically since the midterm polls aren't too far. His derangement has
already led to human tragedies in Iran as the Americans and Israeli terrorists deliberately bombed civilian infrastructure including hospitals,
schools, oil refineries and oil depots among others.
They also massacred little school children from an elementary school. They assassinated the members of the Iranian
leadership who were relatively moderate only to be replaced by more hardline individuals. The Americans and Israeli
terrorists killed Ali Larijani only to learn that Iran has now replaced him with Muhammad Bahar Zulkhadra as the new
head of the Supreme National Security Council. Zoladre is a senior IRGC figure and has years of experience as a deputy commander-in-chief.
He's known to be a hardliner within the Iranian establishment. What is even more comical is Trump's desperation to walk
away from his illegal war despite having none of his so-called war objectives fulfilled. No wonder this deranged
occupant of the White House has become a laughingstock.
Also, Iranians would be foolish to fall for this latest American initiative for another round of diplomatic talks.
Then there's global scrutiny of Trump's announcement to withdraw his our ultimatum. I told you first about market
manipulation last night. Normally in these screens, in the last few weeks,
we've been talking about the economic implications of the Iran war, but this time I want to talk about something else. It's kind of a mystery story. It's
a mystery story. And the mystery begins with this. This was the Donald Trump social media post, Truth Social, that
for a lot of people made them think that maybe this war might be coming to an end. At the very least, it had a big impact on markets. And the thing I want
you to focus on is not necessarily the text of this, but it's the time it came out. that's UK time. So in
in the UK, it was morning uh earlier in the morning in the US, obviously. Um, and look at the impact that this had.
Okay, so this is showing you the crude oil price. It's the US kind of benchmark of the crude oil price, WTI as it's known. And you can probably spot already
the moment that that Donald Trump post happened. The oil price went down really sharply. And we've had lots of ups and
downs, lots of volatiles day days on markets in recent days. But this was something else. As traders went out there and they basically said, "We're
selling oil because we think that things might get a little bit better." But here's what I want to focus on that you you don't normally see in these charts.
Not just the price. So that's the the oil oil price, but the volumes. You can get you can actually look at this. You can look at just how many people are buying and buying and selling at any
given moment. And have a look at volumes. So that these bars are showing you the volumes. So at the given moment that that obviously that Donald Trump
post happened, you had this massive increase in a lot of people going out there into the market and say, "Look,
something's happening. We need to actually act on it." In the most case,
for the most case, selling at this point. But here's the curious thing and here's kind of where the mystery is. I want to kind of zoom in on this area here. So I'll kind of zoom in so you can
see this is just the volumes of people going into that oil market and kind of for the most part selling uh after that
Donald Trump post. You can see there's this real spike in activity. A lot of people going in there uh kind of this frenzy and that's the kind of flip side of of prices.
But look at this.
minutes before that Donald Trump post,
there was a very big uh amount of trading volume. Very big. In fact,
actually, when you're looking at that amount of of volume, that spike, um that was the biggest trading volume that we saw that day. We're starting here just
at in the morning. We're going through to that moment of the Donald Trump post. Um relatively quiet volumes,
not much going on in the market. And then all of a sudden that and if you're wondering okay maybe this was just a one-off it was someone who made a lucky
bet have a look not just at this so this is WCI it's one measure the US measure of oil have a look at Brent which is the kind of the European seen as the
international measure of oil again the same thing Donald Trump makes his post flurry of activity lots of people there
but look at that again minutes before that Donald Trump post a very big trade.
Trump knows that his ability to prevent Iran from earning oil revenue has failed spectacularly.
According to treats, a renowned Middle East expert of Iranian origin, Iran has been earning more money from oil during
the war than it did before th of February. He wrote this and I quote,
"Energy industry insider in Iran tells me the following and it is stunning.
Before the war, Iran produced just shy of million barrels of oil per day and sold it at $per barrel minus $
discount, i.e. $Today, it produces $million barrels a day and sells it
at $with only $to$discount. And this does not include prochemical sales
that not only have increased but are now being sold to a larger set of customers compared to before the war. Moreover,
Iran is receiving payments through new mechanisms that bypass the UAE which was set up after the June war. In essence,
and this is really important to understand, Trump and Israel's war has ended up delivering Iran de facto
anctions relief. This means that Iran is all the less incentivized to end the war unless the agreement provides Iran with formal sanctions relief. End quote.
Elsewhere, a video of Israeli terrorists torturing a Palestinian baby by burning the little angel with cigarette butts
has gone viral. Israeli comebacks did this to force a confession from the father of the child. We share that video
on our Telegram channel. You can watch it there. Details are on your screen and also in the description of this video.
Now you tell me what kind of devils or monsters would show such barbarity on a small baby?
Why is this acceptable? Why is there no outrage in the western governments or their media outlets? Why must we allow
these Zionist monsters to normalize such cruelty against babies?
What does our silence over this appalling act of terror by Israelis say about our moral compass in the West? We
are quick to react to the burning of ambulances and rightly so run by Jews in northwest London but want to look the other way on this ghastly act.
I will leave you with another animation video released by Iran. Clearly, the Iranians haven't forgotten their sense of humor even during this war.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
That's it for me. Thank you very much for your support of this platform and our journalism. If you haven't subscribed to my channel, please do so
because that's one of the many ways you can support independent journalism.
Janta Ka Reporter
Mar 24, 2026
Hours after Donald Trump claimed Iran was willing to hold diplomatic talks, it has emerged that it was the US president who was looking for an off-ramp to end hostility against the Islamic Republic. Rifat Jawaid analyses the development which has also brought Trump under the scanner for different reasons.
Transcript
So, as I said in my last video, Trump was lying when he said Iran wanted a deal. No, it's the other way around.
Taco Trump has in fact reached out to the Islamic Republic with a desperate plea to secure a peace deal. This would be the broad focus of my video today.
Also in my video, another example of Israeli barbarity involving a Palestinian baby. And the western world
particularly it media is silent because they mortgaged the conscience for a few shekels a long time ago. So please stay
tuned. So the mighty America under Donald Trump has capitulated. Now it has emerged that Trump desperately reached
out to the Iranians to consider agreeing to halt its retaliatory strikes and end the blockade of the state of Hormuz.
Watch the latest broadcast of the American media outlet CNN.
All right, there's important breaking news coming into the situation room.
We're now learning from a senior Iranian source that there has been an outreach between the US and Iran. The source tells CNN that this was initiated by
Washington. With us now, CNN military analyst, retired US Air Force Colonel Cedric Leighton, and CNN global affairs analyst Kim Doer. Kim, what do you make of this development?
Ah, the US just blinked. I mean, we already saw it in the series of changing tweets or truths from President Trump.
You know, one day he's like, "The war's about to end, the next day we're going to obliterate your um energy facilities,
and then the next day we think there are talks." From the perspective of the Iranians, this means the US has capitulated and I think they're going to
have a hard time getting much more at the negotiating table than they had before this whole war was launched.
Colonel Leighton, at this point, does Iran win simply by not outright losing this war?
Yes, absolutely. I think that's certainly from the Iranian perception,
that's exactly what's going on because they need to just outlast the United States. And we have to remember they've been around for well over years in
one form or another as as an empire and then now in its latest form as the Islamic Republic. And that is going to
be the key. They have outlasted the United States and have basically told not only their their own people uh but
the region as a whole uh that they are here to stay and that their influence is going to be uh paramount once again in the Persian Gulf region.
In fact, Trump himself confirmed just how desperate he is about finding an offramp for a quick exit from the
illegal war that he started to appease his war criminal Israeli master Benjamin Nathan Yao. He shared a tweet posted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shabbah Sharif.
Sharif had written in his tweet and I quote, "Pakistan welcomes and fully supports ongoing efforts to pursue dialogue to end the war in Middle East.
In the interest of peace and stability in region and beyond, subject to concurrence by the US and Iran, Pakistan
stands ready and honored to be the host to facilitate meaningful and conclusive talks for a comprehensive settlement of the ongoing conflict." End quote.
Sharif had also tagged Donald Trump, his Jewish envoy T Vitkov and Iranian foreign minister Sayyadas Arachi in his
tweet. Trump shared this tweet on his truth social platform. The Pakistani PM said his country was ready to play the
role of a mediator if the US and Iran agreed with his initiative. Arashi didn't even bother responding to his
tweet, but Trump was quick to share that on his truth social page. Doesn't it show that Trump and not Iran is dying for a peace deal?
Trump on Monday had said that Vitkov and his Jewish son-in-law Jared Kushner were talking to Iran. The Islamic Republic
denied his claim saying that Iran was not holding any talks with the US. In fact, according to latest media reports,
Iran has even rejected the presence of Witkov and Kushner in any future mediation talks. That's because these
two individuals were involved in previous talks when Trump and Netanyahu decided to bomb Iran and killed the top
leadership. Trump had even said that he decided to attack Iran based on the advice that he received from Vitkov and
Kushner. The situation was very quickly approaching the point of no return and the United States found it intolerable
in my opinion based on what Steve and Jared and Pete and others were telling me. Marco so involved that I thought
that they were going to attack us. I thought they would if we didn't do this at the time we did it. I think they had in mind to attack us. And then there is
another question. Will Trump agree to the Iranian demands? look like the Iranian line is very simple. A sessation of all hostilities, not now but forever.
As in we need a total and a final peace to this conflict. Second, we will demand some reparation of some kind either in
payments or in sanctions relief as a result of this war. The United States line, the Egyptians and the Turks have been calling the United States, this is what eventually caused Trump to taco and
to say that he was calling and extending his -day deadline off. The United States line remains today. No ballistic missiles, no regional proxies, no
nuclear program. Now remember, on the nuclear program, they've already said that they're not going to pursue a nuclear program. But on the ballistic missile front and especially on the
regional proxy front, those two, it's a non-starter. Regional proxy is already a nebulous term. It means nothing. But let's talk about the ballistic missile. I mean, really, really think about this.
You are in a war and the other side says, "Well, we will stop shooting you if you just give up all your bullets. What are you going to do?" All right.
Right. And by the way, the B that's the only credible deterrent that you actually have, the only ability to extend and project power, have some deterrence, have to be able to extract some cost from the enemy and its allies.
Would you give up your missile program?
years of a new of a missile, basically giving up not only missiles, but all of your production.
Who would be stupid enough to sign up for that deal? Oh, and by the way,
you've been bombed twice under the cover of diplomacy. So, this is where things now currently stand.
It doesn't get more insulting for Trump when a former CIA director says that he is inclined to trust Iran more than his own president.
Well, I tend to believe Iran more than I do because he could not acknowledge the truth even when it is he's slapped in the face with
it repeatedly and it's clear that you know he is flailing right now. He's trying to figure out how he's going to get out of this debacle that he has
created. And so he's going to make these claims about negotiations that the Iranians now are sending signals that they really want to make a deal and
indicates that it's going to make a deal on our terms. I don't think anything close to the truth in that statement.
Trump is aware of the catastrophic impact the blockade of the state of Horos is already having on the global economy and especially in his own
country. This is disastrous for him politically since the midterm polls aren't too far. His derangement has
already led to human tragedies in Iran as the Americans and Israeli terrorists deliberately bombed civilian infrastructure including hospitals,
schools, oil refineries and oil depots among others.
They also massacred little school children from an elementary school. They assassinated the members of the Iranian
leadership who were relatively moderate only to be replaced by more hardline individuals. The Americans and Israeli
terrorists killed Ali Larijani only to learn that Iran has now replaced him with Muhammad Bahar Zulkhadra as the new
head of the Supreme National Security Council. Zoladre is a senior IRGC figure and has years of experience as a deputy commander-in-chief.
He's known to be a hardliner within the Iranian establishment. What is even more comical is Trump's desperation to walk
away from his illegal war despite having none of his so-called war objectives fulfilled. No wonder this deranged
occupant of the White House has become a laughingstock.
Also, Iranians would be foolish to fall for this latest American initiative for another round of diplomatic talks.
Then there's global scrutiny of Trump's announcement to withdraw his our ultimatum. I told you first about market
manipulation last night. Normally in these screens, in the last few weeks,
we've been talking about the economic implications of the Iran war, but this time I want to talk about something else. It's kind of a mystery story. It's
a mystery story. And the mystery begins with this. This was the Donald Trump social media post, Truth Social, that
for a lot of people made them think that maybe this war might be coming to an end. At the very least, it had a big impact on markets. And the thing I want
you to focus on is not necessarily the text of this, but it's the time it came out. that's UK time. So in
in the UK, it was morning uh earlier in the morning in the US, obviously. Um, and look at the impact that this had.
Okay, so this is showing you the crude oil price. It's the US kind of benchmark of the crude oil price, WTI as it's known. And you can probably spot already
the moment that that Donald Trump post happened. The oil price went down really sharply. And we've had lots of ups and
downs, lots of volatiles day days on markets in recent days. But this was something else. As traders went out there and they basically said, "We're
selling oil because we think that things might get a little bit better." But here's what I want to focus on that you you don't normally see in these charts.
Not just the price. So that's the the oil oil price, but the volumes. You can get you can actually look at this. You can look at just how many people are buying and buying and selling at any
given moment. And have a look at volumes. So that these bars are showing you the volumes. So at the given moment that that obviously that Donald Trump
post happened, you had this massive increase in a lot of people going out there into the market and say, "Look,
something's happening. We need to actually act on it." In the most case,
for the most case, selling at this point. But here's the curious thing and here's kind of where the mystery is. I want to kind of zoom in on this area here. So I'll kind of zoom in so you can
see this is just the volumes of people going into that oil market and kind of for the most part selling uh after that
Donald Trump post. You can see there's this real spike in activity. A lot of people going in there uh kind of this frenzy and that's the kind of flip side of of prices.
But look at this.
minutes before that Donald Trump post,
there was a very big uh amount of trading volume. Very big. In fact,
actually, when you're looking at that amount of of volume, that spike, um that was the biggest trading volume that we saw that day. We're starting here just
at in the morning. We're going through to that moment of the Donald Trump post. Um relatively quiet volumes,
not much going on in the market. And then all of a sudden that and if you're wondering okay maybe this was just a one-off it was someone who made a lucky
bet have a look not just at this so this is WCI it's one measure the US measure of oil have a look at Brent which is the kind of the European seen as the
international measure of oil again the same thing Donald Trump makes his post flurry of activity lots of people there
but look at that again minutes before that Donald Trump post a very big trade.
Trump knows that his ability to prevent Iran from earning oil revenue has failed spectacularly.
According to treats, a renowned Middle East expert of Iranian origin, Iran has been earning more money from oil during
the war than it did before th of February. He wrote this and I quote,
"Energy industry insider in Iran tells me the following and it is stunning.
Before the war, Iran produced just shy of million barrels of oil per day and sold it at $per barrel minus $
discount, i.e. $Today, it produces $million barrels a day and sells it
at $with only $to$discount. And this does not include prochemical sales
that not only have increased but are now being sold to a larger set of customers compared to before the war. Moreover,
Iran is receiving payments through new mechanisms that bypass the UAE which was set up after the June war. In essence,
and this is really important to understand, Trump and Israel's war has ended up delivering Iran de facto
anctions relief. This means that Iran is all the less incentivized to end the war unless the agreement provides Iran with formal sanctions relief. End quote.
Elsewhere, a video of Israeli terrorists torturing a Palestinian baby by burning the little angel with cigarette butts
has gone viral. Israeli comebacks did this to force a confession from the father of the child. We share that video
on our Telegram channel. You can watch it there. Details are on your screen and also in the description of this video.
Now you tell me what kind of devils or monsters would show such barbarity on a small baby?
Why is this acceptable? Why is there no outrage in the western governments or their media outlets? Why must we allow
these Zionist monsters to normalize such cruelty against babies?
What does our silence over this appalling act of terror by Israelis say about our moral compass in the West? We
are quick to react to the burning of ambulances and rightly so run by Jews in northwest London but want to look the other way on this ghastly act.
I will leave you with another animation video released by Iran. Clearly, the Iranians haven't forgotten their sense of humor even during this war.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
That's it for me. Thank you very much for your support of this platform and our journalism. If you haven't subscribed to my channel, please do so
because that's one of the many ways you can support independent journalism.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Re: Part 2 Anti-Anti-Nazi Barbarian Hordes are Knocking Down
by admin » Wed Mar 25, 2026 1:17 am
Saudi and UAE Pipelines Bypass Strait of Hormuz as U S Iran War Threatens Global Oil Routes
Money Line Exposed 2.0
Mar 24, 2026
Transcript
Right now, at this very moment, over oil tankers are sitting completely still in the Persian Gulf, fully loaded,
engines running, going absolutely nowhere. The narrow corridor of water they need to pass through to reach the rest of the world has become one of the most dangerous stretches of ocean on the
planet. And the energy that powers your city, heats your home, fills your car,
and keeps the global economy moving is trapped behind it. % of the entire world's daily oil supply blocked. But here's what makes this story different
from every energy crisis that came before it. Two countries, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, built a secret exit decades ago. A way out that
nobody thought they would ever actually need to use. They are using it right now. And whether those two pipelines can hold the global economy together long
enough for this war to end is the single most important infrastructure question on the planet today. By the end of this video, you will understand exactly what
these pipelines are, why they were built, how far they can actually take us, and most critically, why the people who built them never imagined they would
ever be asked to carry this much weight for this long. Stay with me because the final reveal in this video completely changes everything you think you know
about who is actually winning this energy war right now. Let us start at the very beginning of this crisis because the pipeline story only makes sense once you fully understand the
scale of what just happened to the world. On the th of February the United States and Israel launched a coordinated military operation called
Operation Epic Fury, targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, military installations, and its top leadership simultaneously across dozens of sites.
The strikes were enormous in scale and extraordinary in their coordination.
Within the first few hours of that operation, Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Kam, was killed. The regime was thrown into a state of total shock and internal
confusion. And Iran's military, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,
immediately reached for the one weapon it had always publicly promised to deploy, if this precise moment ever arrived. The weapon was not a missile
system. It was not a nuclear device. It was not a cyber attack on Western infrastructure. It was geography itself.
the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC announced the strait was closed to enemy shipping.
On the th of March, Iran formally clarified that it was specifically targeting vessels linked to the United States, Israel, and their Western
allies. But in practice, the effect on all commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf was catastrophic and nearly universal from the very first day of the
closure. War risk insurance premiums for vessels attempting Gulf transits exploded overnight to levels that had not been seen in modern maritime
history. Shipping companies immediately suspended transits entirely and began rerouting vessels around the southern tip of Africa, adding weeks to
delivery times and enormous additional cost to every single cargo on the water.
By the th of March, tanker traffic through the straight had dropped by approximately % from its normal pre-conlict baseline, over fully.
Loaded super tankers had anchored on the Gulf side of the strait, waiting with absolutely nowhere to go as Iran conducted confirmed attacks on
merchant vessels in just under two weeks of open conflict. The world's single most important waterway had become an active combat zone overnight. Iran
believed this was checkmate. Iran was wrong. Now, to understand exactly why Iran believed the straight closure was such an unbeatable weapon, you need to
understand precisely what the straight of Hormuz moves on a completely normal day. The straight is just miles wide at its narrowest point, sitting between
the southern coastline of Iran and the northern coast of Oman, connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and the wider global ocean. Through that mile
gap, approximately million barrels of oil flow every single day under normal conditions. That is roughly if of all
the oil consumed anywhere on Earth on any given day. Every barrel of crude leaving Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, the
UAE, Bahrain, and Qatar. Every single barrel of it travels through that corridor to reach global markets. There is no other maritime way out. There is
no alternative ocean route for the Gulf States, or at least there was not supposed to be. The moment the IRGC closed that corridor, Tran believed it
had triggered the ultimate economic hostage situation. [clears throat] The world needed that oil. The world had no other efficient way to get it. And so the United States and its coalition
partners would eventually be forced to halt or significantly scale back the military campaign before the economic pain became so severe it became
politically unsustainable at home. That was the theory. It was a carefully constructed theory built on decades of strategic analysis and it contained one
single fatal assumption. The assumption that Saudi Arabia and the UAE had absolutely no exit strategy. They did.
They had been quietly building,
expanding and maintaining it for years while the world watched in Iran planned. Let us talk about Saudi Arabia first because what the kingdom built in
the desert over those four and a half decades is genuinely one of the most extraordinary acts of long range strategic infrastructure planning in the entire modern era. The year was
The Iran Iraq war was already consuming the entire region. Oil tankers were being attacked in the Persian Gulf with increasing frequency as both Iran and
Iraq deliberately targeted each other's oil shipping in what historians would later call the tanker war. Saudi Arabia was watching the shipping lanes it
completely depended on for its national revenue turning into an active war zone.
And the kingdom's leadership made a decision that would quietly echo across the next four and a half decades. They decided that if Iran ever truly and
fully closed the straight of Hormuz in a future conflict, Saudi Arabia needed a completely independent way to keep its oil moving. A route that did not depend
on the Persian Gulf at all. So they built the East West Crude oil pipeline known simply as Petroline throughout the industry. a hour km pipeline
system that is miles in total length running from the Abkike oil processing complex on Saudi Arabia's eastern Gulf Coast all the way westward across the
Arabian Peninsula through hundreds of miles of empty desert to the Red Sea port of Yanvu on the kingdom's western coast. Two massive steel pipes running
side by side the entire length of the route, one in in diameter, one in in diameter. These were not ordinary
pipelines. These were among the largest and most ambitious long-distance pipeline systems ever constructed anywhere on Earth at the time of their
construction. Built not just to move oil, but to move it at a scale large enough to keep Saudi Arabia financially solvent and contractually compliant,
even if every single Persian Gulf export route was simultaneously cut off. Over the following four decades, the pipeline was gradually expanded in capacity,
upgraded with modern pumping stations,
and quietly maintained at operational readiness even during long periods when it was not needed at anything close to full capacity. By with both main
pipeline lines running at full rated capacity, and with the parallel natural gas liquids pipeline converted to carry crude oil as well, under a declared
supply emergency, the entire system could push up to million barrels per day westward across the desert to Yanbu,
completely bypassing the straight of Hormuz entirely and with no exposure whatsoever to Iranian interdiction in the Gulf. million barrels every single
day flowing west through the desert under the sand and rock of the Arabian Peninsula, emerging at the Red Sea coast and loading directly onto super tankers
that would head north through the Suez Canal toward European markets or south and east across the Indian Ocean toward Asia and the Pacific. When the conflict
erupted in early March, Aramco CEO Amin Nasser publicly confirmed that the pipeline system would hit its full daily rated capacity within days of the crisis
beginning. A flotilla of super tankers immediately began assembling off the coast of Yamu. Vessels that had been sitting in the Persian Gulf with
absolutely nowhere to go now rerouting urgently toward the Red Sea coast.
Loadings at Yanboo surged dramatically within the first two weeks. Analysts at Bloomberg called it a strategic master stroke that had been years in the
making and was finally delivering exactly what its original planners had intended. The contingency plan had been called into action. But Saudi Arabia was
not alone in this. The United Arab Emirates had built its own bypass infrastructure independently and that story is equally significant for
understanding how the global energy system has managed to absorb any portion of this crisis at all. The Abu Dhabi crude oil pipeline widely known as ADCOP
or the Habshan Fujera pipeline connects the major onshore oil production fields located deep inside UAE territory to the port of Fujera which sits on the Gulf of
Oman coastline entirely outside and east of the straight of Hormuz. The pipeline has a rated capacity of million
barrels per day. Under normal peacetime conditions, the UAE had already been regularly using it as a standard part of its export operations. The US Energy
Information Administration estimated that by the pipeline was already handling a meaningful and growing proportion of total UAE crude exports,
particularly as domestic refinery upgrades, had gradually shifted the balance between what was processed locally and what needed to travel abroad
as unrefined crude. When the conflict hit, the UAE immediately activated ADCOP at full capacity, routing all available
crude production directly to Fujera for loading onto tankers in the open Arabian Sea, completely outside the zone of Iranian interdiction in the Gulf.
Together, the Saudi East West pipeline and the UAE's ADCOP system represented exactly what the global energy market had desperately needed the moment the
straight of Hormuz closed. an alternative route, a partial lifeline, a mechanism to keep some significant volume of oil moving to global
customers. While the military and diplomatic situation inside the Gulf remained entirely unpredictable and dangerous, Saudi Arabia managed to
revive more than half of its normal export volumes through the pipeline rerouting within just the first two weeks of the conflict. Brent crude oil,
which had spiked toward $a barrel during the peak of the early market panic, pulled back somewhat as pipeline capacity came fully online. The price
remained extremely volatile, still trading, g near $a barrel dayto-day.
But the immediate fear of complete and irreversible market collapse had been partially and meaningfully contained by the pipelines doing exactly what they
were built four decades ago to do. But here is the part of this story that makes the most experienced people in the global energy industry deeply
uncomfortable to say out loud because the implications are serious, the numbers are hard, and they do not lie.
The pipelines are extraordinary achievements. They are historic. They represent foresight and planning of a kind that almost never survives intact across four decades of changing
political priorities and budget pressures. And they are simply not enough. Not for a crisis of this scale.
Not for a conflict with no visible end date. The math is completely unforgiving. The straight of Hormuz carries approximately million barrels
of oil per day under normal peaceime conditions. The Saudi East West pipeline can carry a maximum of million barrels per day. The UAE's ADC cop can carry
million barrels per day. Combined at absolute full capacity stretch, both bypass systems together can move somewhere between and million
barrels per day of additional volume above what they were already transporting before the crisis began.
Even in the most optimistic projection possible, that still leaves a structural gap of roughly to million barrels per day that has simply ceased to reach
global markets and has no realistic alternative route. Iraq has no bypass pipeline at all. Kuwait has no bypass
pipeline. Bahrain's state energy company BAPco immediately declared force majour. Qatar, which produces approximately %
of the entire world's liqufied natural gas supply, also declared force majour within days. And Qatar has absolutely no pipeline bypass for its liqufied natural
gas. LG cannot be transported through a crude oil pipeline. It goes through the straight and highly specialized cryogenic tankers or it does not go
anywhere at all. That means roughly to % of the entire world's LNG supply has gone simultaneously offline with no
workaround and no alternative delivery mechanism available on any time scale measured in weeks. The bypass infrastructure brilliantly and
successfully solved the immediate revenue crisis for two countries. It left the much larger and more complex global supply problem entirely
unresolved. There is also a second deeply uncomfortable complication running directly through the heart of the Saudi pipeline solution itself. The
East West pipeline was designed and built to move crude oil. But Saudi Arabia does not only export crude oil to its international customers. The Kingdom
also exports very significant volumes of refined petroleum products, including diesel, jet fuel, gasoline, and a wide range of petrochemicals, products that
are processed at Saudi refineries and then distributed to regional and global customers under long-term contractual commitments.
Energy consultant Ellen Wald of Transversal Consulting explained the problem to Middle East eye with precise and uncomfortable clarity. If the East
West pipeline is entirely converted to carrying crude oil exports westward to Yanboo at maximum capacity, it cannot simultaneously carry the natural gas
liquids and refined products that the region's customers also depend on receiving. Saudi Arabia was being forced to make impossible real-time trade-off
decisions between different contractual obligations under active wartime conditions. Senior Vice President Pankage Shivastava of Rristad Energy
stated plainly and directly that refined products from the UAE's enormous ruace industrial complex one of the largest integrated refinery and petrochemical
facilities in the entire world with a capacity of barrels per day still largely dependent on tanker export routes running through
the straight and with the straight effectively closed UAE refineries might need to curtail their product export volumes entirely regardless of whatever
adiop was successfully achieving for crude. The bypass solved crude exports partially. It did not solve refined products. It did not solve LG. It did not solve the problem for Iraq, Kuwait,
or Bahrain. And then there's the most dangerous complication of all. The complication that could transform Saudi Arabia's brilliant -year desert escape
route into a trap of a completely different and equally serious kind. By rrooting all of its oil export volumes through Yanbu and the Red Sea corridor,
Saudi Arabia moved its entire national revenue stream directly into the operational range of the Houthy movement in Yemen. The Houthies, Iran's most
active, experienced, and militarily capable regional proxy force, spent two full consecutive years from to
demonstrating conclusively to the entire international community that they possessed the practical capability to systematically hit commercial shipping
vessels in the Red Sea with drones and anti-hship ballistic missiles. They forced every one of the world's largest container and tanker shipping companies
to completely reroute their fleets around the southern tip of Africa at enormous additional cost. They drove war risk insurance premiums on a maritime
corridor that handles roughly % of total global maritime trade to levels that made the route economically unviable for many operators. And now, as
analyst Greg Pritty of the Center for the National Interest told Middle East I in direct and unambiguous terms, the Saudi pipeline bypass strategy makes the
Houthis critically and centrally important in a way they simply were not before this conflict began. Saudi Arabia has effectively traded the Iranian
threat in the Persian Gulf for a proxy threat in the Red Sea. The Babel Mandip Strait at the southern end of the Red Sea, flanked by Yemen on one side and
Djibouti on the other, has now become the new most dangerous choke point in the entire global energy supply chain.
And the forces aligned with Thran are positioned right next to it. Iran appears to have fully understood this new vulnerability from the very beginning of the conflict. Drones struck
Dumpport on the Arabian sea coast of Oman on March st. A fuel storage tank at Dukum was hit directly days later on March rd. Debris from a separately
intercepted drone damaged a storage tank at Fujiraa's oil terminal on the same day. Shipping giant MK suspended all Fujera port operations entirely on March
th. GPS jamming and navigation signal denial incidents were recorded across UAE coastal waters beginning as early as March th. Directly complicating
navigation for commercial vessels attempting to use the bypass routes.
Iran was not simply closing the front door of the straight of Hormuz. It was simultaneously and methodically going after every alternative door, every
secondary window, and every identified escape route it could reach across hundreds of miles of coastline. Now, let us talk about what all of this means for the rest of the world. Because the
economic fallout from the Hormuz closure and its partial bypass is cascading outward in ways that reach far beyond any oil market and affect the daily
lives of ordinary people in every country on Earth. Japan obtains approximately % of its entire crude. oil supply from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
the UAE, and Qatar. Roughly % of that Middle Eastern oil reaches Japan through vessels transiting the straight of
Hormuz. Japanese refiners immediately requested emergency government authorization to begin releasing national strategic petroleum stockpiles.
South Korea faced the identical acute supply crisis. China, which received approximately one-third of its total national oil imports through the Hormuz
corridor, was scrambling urgently to secure alternative supply arrangements while simultaneously sending its Middle East special envoy to the region,
carrying pointed diplomatic messages for every government involved in the conflict. India and Pakistan both dispatched naval destroyer escorts to the Gulf of Oman to provide protection
for tankers in the outer approaches to the strait. an unmistakable signal of how serious the fear of supply disruption had become for the major Asian economies that depend on Gulf
energy. Europe found itself in a position that energy analysts described as particularly exposed. As Jim Crane of Rice University's Baker Institute explained clearly to Middle East eye,
the Hormuz closure was especially damaging for Europe because the continent had already replaced the sanctioned Russian refined petroleum products it lost after the Ukraine war
with imports sourced from Gulf refineries. By the beginning of
approximately % of Europe's diesel imports and roughly half of its jet fuel imports were arriving from Middle Eastern refining facilities. Europe had
solved one energy crisis by creating a structural dependency on exactly the region now under active military attack.
Fertilizer prices spiked sharply as Qatar's stranded LNG supply, a primary feed stock for nitrogen fertilizer production globally, disappeared for
markets. Aluminum prices rose as energyintensive industrial smelting operations faced suddenly unpredictable and unsustainable power cost
projections. Airline ticket prices began climbing across every major global route as jet fuel supply chains fractured
under the combined pressure of regional refinary shutdowns and maritime disruption. CNBC's Federal Reserve survey showed that professional
economists were already explicitly flagging stagflation. The economically devastating combination of accelerating price inflation and simultaneously
slowing GDP growth as the dominant emerging macroeconomic risk for the United States emanating from this conflict. Sasha Foss, energy market
analyst at Marx, framed the long-term supply side endgame with stark and unscentimental clarity when speaking to CNBC directly. The longer this conflict
continues, the more oil storage capacity inside the landlocked Gulf countries simply fills up with crude that is nowhere to go. And eventually the only option left is production cuts. Iraq,
Kuwait, and Bahrain cannot sell their oil. They cannot move it through the closed straight. They cannot turn their wells off overnight without causing serious, potentially irreversible,
long-term technical damage to reservoir pressure and underground production capacity. So their onshore storage fills to capacity. Their national revenues
collapse towards zero. Tair governments face acute fiscal crises layered directly on top of active security crisis and infrastructure damage and
production. They cannot be safely or quickly restarted once shutdown begins declining in ways that will affect global supply volumes long after
whatever political or military resolution eventually arrives. This is the single deepest and most uncomfortable truth of the entire
pipeline bypass story. Saudi Arabia made an extraordinary and historically significant move. A -year-old contingency plan executed with
remarkable speed and operational precision at exactly the moment it was needed. But a pressure valve buys time.
It does not resolve the underlying conflict. It does not replace the missing million barrels per day. It does not restore Qatar's LNG. It does
not fix Iraq or Kuwait. The East West Pipeline was designed and built for a disruption measured in days or at most a
few weeks. What this conflict appears to be heading inexraably toward is a disruption measured in months. The bypass infrastructure is running at
absolute full capacity right now with no remaining headroom and no additional pipelines waiting anywhere in the system to be switched on. No further unactivated alternative routes exist.
Saudi Arabia and the UAE have deployed every piece of infrastructure they possess at maximum output. The gap between what those pipelines can move
and what the world actually needs to function remains enormous. Every week that passes without a genuine resolution to the US Iran military conflict is
another week of irreversible cumulative damage to the global energy infrastructure, damage to commodity supply chains, to inflation trajectories, to economic growth,
projections, and to investment decisions that will not simply reverse themselves the moment a ceasefire is eventually signed. Saudi Arabia found a door when
Iran tried to seal every exit. Whether that door leads to genuine and lasting safety or simply to a different and equally serious danger in the Red Sea is
the question that will define the entire next chapter of this conflict. And the answer for every economy and every ordinary person paying for fuel and food
and transportation anywhere in the world is coming faster than anyone is currently prepared for. Now think about what that actually means in practice for global energy security going forward.
Even if a ceasefire was signed tomorrow morning, the structural vulnerabilities this conflict has exposed will not disappear. Every government in Asia,
Europe, and North America that depends on Gulf Energy has now seen in real time and in the most direct possible terms
exactly how fragile the architecture of the global energy system truly is.
Insurance companies have repriced Gulf risk permanently. Shipping companies have rerouted fleets and invested in alternative corridors.
Governments that delayed investment in domestic energy production or renewable alternatives are now facing the political and economic consequences of
those decisions simultaneously. and the engineers, planners and policy makers who must now decide whether to invest billions in expanded bypass
infrastructure, whether to build new pipeline roots, whether to develop emergency LNG receiving terminals in countries that currently have none, are
making those decisions with the full and vivid knowledge that the -year-old contingency plans that were supposed to protect global energy supply were not
built for a conflict of this duration or this intensity. Saudi Arabia found a door when Iran tried to seal every exit.
Whether that door leads to genuine and lasting safety or simply to a different and equally serious danger in the Red Sea is the question that will define the entire next chapter of this conflict.
And the answer for every economy and every ordinary person paying for fuel and food and transportation anywhere in the world is coming faster than anyone
is currently prepared for. If you want to stay ahead of this story as it develops in real time, subscribe right now and turn on notifications. The
pipeline capacity question, the Houthy threat to Red Sea shipping, the stranded LNG crisis, and the full economic endgame of this war are all going to
break with new developments in real time. This channel will break every single development down clearly and accurately for you the moment it happens.
As tensions rise between the U.S. and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz — a key route for global oil shipments — faces unprecedented threats. In response, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are activating pipelines that bypass the strait, ensuring crude oil continues to reach international markets.
Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline moves oil from its eastern fields to the Red Sea port at Yanbu, while the UAE relies on the Habshan–Fujairah pipeline to deliver oil to the Gulf of Oman. These strategic moves help maintain energy flow even as maritime traffic through Hormuz faces disruption.
Despite these measures, experts warn that bypass capacity is limited, and escalating tensions could still tighten global supplies and drive prices higher. The world watches closely to see whether these pipelines will become a permanent alternative or just a temporary solution.
Money Line Exposed 2.0
Mar 24, 2026
Librarian's Notice: These videos are self-described as "AI-powered analysis hubs that use AI-driven visuals and narration for precision analysis. All content is derived from public reports and systems-based intelligence. No classified data. No political bias."
Don't trust the information in these videos, use them as a goad to your own research. I've verified some and disconfirmed other statements made in these videos. The vidoes do trend towards accuracy, but deviations from reality, seem to occur.
Transcript
Right now, at this very moment, over oil tankers are sitting completely still in the Persian Gulf, fully loaded,
engines running, going absolutely nowhere. The narrow corridor of water they need to pass through to reach the rest of the world has become one of the most dangerous stretches of ocean on the
planet. And the energy that powers your city, heats your home, fills your car,
and keeps the global economy moving is trapped behind it. % of the entire world's daily oil supply blocked. But here's what makes this story different
from every energy crisis that came before it. Two countries, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, built a secret exit decades ago. A way out that
nobody thought they would ever actually need to use. They are using it right now. And whether those two pipelines can hold the global economy together long
enough for this war to end is the single most important infrastructure question on the planet today. By the end of this video, you will understand exactly what
these pipelines are, why they were built, how far they can actually take us, and most critically, why the people who built them never imagined they would
ever be asked to carry this much weight for this long. Stay with me because the final reveal in this video completely changes everything you think you know
about who is actually winning this energy war right now. Let us start at the very beginning of this crisis because the pipeline story only makes sense once you fully understand the
scale of what just happened to the world. On the th of February the United States and Israel launched a coordinated military operation called
Operation Epic Fury, targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, military installations, and its top leadership simultaneously across dozens of sites.
The strikes were enormous in scale and extraordinary in their coordination.
Within the first few hours of that operation, Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Kam, was killed. The regime was thrown into a state of total shock and internal
confusion. And Iran's military, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,
immediately reached for the one weapon it had always publicly promised to deploy, if this precise moment ever arrived. The weapon was not a missile
system. It was not a nuclear device. It was not a cyber attack on Western infrastructure. It was geography itself.
the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC announced the strait was closed to enemy shipping.
On the th of March, Iran formally clarified that it was specifically targeting vessels linked to the United States, Israel, and their Western
allies. But in practice, the effect on all commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf was catastrophic and nearly universal from the very first day of the
closure. War risk insurance premiums for vessels attempting Gulf transits exploded overnight to levels that had not been seen in modern maritime
history. Shipping companies immediately suspended transits entirely and began rerouting vessels around the southern tip of Africa, adding weeks to
delivery times and enormous additional cost to every single cargo on the water.
By the th of March, tanker traffic through the straight had dropped by approximately % from its normal pre-conlict baseline, over fully.
Loaded super tankers had anchored on the Gulf side of the strait, waiting with absolutely nowhere to go as Iran conducted confirmed attacks on
merchant vessels in just under two weeks of open conflict. The world's single most important waterway had become an active combat zone overnight. Iran
believed this was checkmate. Iran was wrong. Now, to understand exactly why Iran believed the straight closure was such an unbeatable weapon, you need to
understand precisely what the straight of Hormuz moves on a completely normal day. The straight is just miles wide at its narrowest point, sitting between
the southern coastline of Iran and the northern coast of Oman, connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and the wider global ocean. Through that mile
gap, approximately million barrels of oil flow every single day under normal conditions. That is roughly if of all
the oil consumed anywhere on Earth on any given day. Every barrel of crude leaving Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, the
UAE, Bahrain, and Qatar. Every single barrel of it travels through that corridor to reach global markets. There is no other maritime way out. There is
no alternative ocean route for the Gulf States, or at least there was not supposed to be. The moment the IRGC closed that corridor, Tran believed it
had triggered the ultimate economic hostage situation. [clears throat] The world needed that oil. The world had no other efficient way to get it. And so the United States and its coalition
partners would eventually be forced to halt or significantly scale back the military campaign before the economic pain became so severe it became
politically unsustainable at home. That was the theory. It was a carefully constructed theory built on decades of strategic analysis and it contained one
single fatal assumption. The assumption that Saudi Arabia and the UAE had absolutely no exit strategy. They did.
They had been quietly building,
expanding and maintaining it for years while the world watched in Iran planned. Let us talk about Saudi Arabia first because what the kingdom built in
the desert over those four and a half decades is genuinely one of the most extraordinary acts of long range strategic infrastructure planning in the entire modern era. The year was
The Iran Iraq war was already consuming the entire region. Oil tankers were being attacked in the Persian Gulf with increasing frequency as both Iran and
Iraq deliberately targeted each other's oil shipping in what historians would later call the tanker war. Saudi Arabia was watching the shipping lanes it
completely depended on for its national revenue turning into an active war zone.
And the kingdom's leadership made a decision that would quietly echo across the next four and a half decades. They decided that if Iran ever truly and
fully closed the straight of Hormuz in a future conflict, Saudi Arabia needed a completely independent way to keep its oil moving. A route that did not depend
on the Persian Gulf at all. So they built the East West Crude oil pipeline known simply as Petroline throughout the industry. a hour km pipeline
system that is miles in total length running from the Abkike oil processing complex on Saudi Arabia's eastern Gulf Coast all the way westward across the
Arabian Peninsula through hundreds of miles of empty desert to the Red Sea port of Yanvu on the kingdom's western coast. Two massive steel pipes running
side by side the entire length of the route, one in in diameter, one in in diameter. These were not ordinary
pipelines. These were among the largest and most ambitious long-distance pipeline systems ever constructed anywhere on Earth at the time of their
construction. Built not just to move oil, but to move it at a scale large enough to keep Saudi Arabia financially solvent and contractually compliant,
even if every single Persian Gulf export route was simultaneously cut off. Over the following four decades, the pipeline was gradually expanded in capacity,
upgraded with modern pumping stations,
and quietly maintained at operational readiness even during long periods when it was not needed at anything close to full capacity. By with both main
pipeline lines running at full rated capacity, and with the parallel natural gas liquids pipeline converted to carry crude oil as well, under a declared
supply emergency, the entire system could push up to million barrels per day westward across the desert to Yanbu,
completely bypassing the straight of Hormuz entirely and with no exposure whatsoever to Iranian interdiction in the Gulf. million barrels every single
day flowing west through the desert under the sand and rock of the Arabian Peninsula, emerging at the Red Sea coast and loading directly onto super tankers
that would head north through the Suez Canal toward European markets or south and east across the Indian Ocean toward Asia and the Pacific. When the conflict
erupted in early March, Aramco CEO Amin Nasser publicly confirmed that the pipeline system would hit its full daily rated capacity within days of the crisis
beginning. A flotilla of super tankers immediately began assembling off the coast of Yamu. Vessels that had been sitting in the Persian Gulf with
absolutely nowhere to go now rerouting urgently toward the Red Sea coast.
Loadings at Yanboo surged dramatically within the first two weeks. Analysts at Bloomberg called it a strategic master stroke that had been years in the
making and was finally delivering exactly what its original planners had intended. The contingency plan had been called into action. But Saudi Arabia was
not alone in this. The United Arab Emirates had built its own bypass infrastructure independently and that story is equally significant for
understanding how the global energy system has managed to absorb any portion of this crisis at all. The Abu Dhabi crude oil pipeline widely known as ADCOP
or the Habshan Fujera pipeline connects the major onshore oil production fields located deep inside UAE territory to the port of Fujera which sits on the Gulf of
Oman coastline entirely outside and east of the straight of Hormuz. The pipeline has a rated capacity of million
barrels per day. Under normal peacetime conditions, the UAE had already been regularly using it as a standard part of its export operations. The US Energy
Information Administration estimated that by the pipeline was already handling a meaningful and growing proportion of total UAE crude exports,
particularly as domestic refinery upgrades, had gradually shifted the balance between what was processed locally and what needed to travel abroad
as unrefined crude. When the conflict hit, the UAE immediately activated ADCOP at full capacity, routing all available
crude production directly to Fujera for loading onto tankers in the open Arabian Sea, completely outside the zone of Iranian interdiction in the Gulf.
Together, the Saudi East West pipeline and the UAE's ADCOP system represented exactly what the global energy market had desperately needed the moment the
straight of Hormuz closed. an alternative route, a partial lifeline, a mechanism to keep some significant volume of oil moving to global
customers. While the military and diplomatic situation inside the Gulf remained entirely unpredictable and dangerous, Saudi Arabia managed to
revive more than half of its normal export volumes through the pipeline rerouting within just the first two weeks of the conflict. Brent crude oil,
which had spiked toward $a barrel during the peak of the early market panic, pulled back somewhat as pipeline capacity came fully online. The price
remained extremely volatile, still trading, g near $a barrel dayto-day.
But the immediate fear of complete and irreversible market collapse had been partially and meaningfully contained by the pipelines doing exactly what they
were built four decades ago to do. But here is the part of this story that makes the most experienced people in the global energy industry deeply
uncomfortable to say out loud because the implications are serious, the numbers are hard, and they do not lie.
The pipelines are extraordinary achievements. They are historic. They represent foresight and planning of a kind that almost never survives intact across four decades of changing
political priorities and budget pressures. And they are simply not enough. Not for a crisis of this scale.
Not for a conflict with no visible end date. The math is completely unforgiving. The straight of Hormuz carries approximately million barrels
of oil per day under normal peaceime conditions. The Saudi East West pipeline can carry a maximum of million barrels per day. The UAE's ADC cop can carry
million barrels per day. Combined at absolute full capacity stretch, both bypass systems together can move somewhere between and million
barrels per day of additional volume above what they were already transporting before the crisis began.
Even in the most optimistic projection possible, that still leaves a structural gap of roughly to million barrels per day that has simply ceased to reach
global markets and has no realistic alternative route. Iraq has no bypass pipeline at all. Kuwait has no bypass
pipeline. Bahrain's state energy company BAPco immediately declared force majour. Qatar, which produces approximately %
of the entire world's liqufied natural gas supply, also declared force majour within days. And Qatar has absolutely no pipeline bypass for its liqufied natural
gas. LG cannot be transported through a crude oil pipeline. It goes through the straight and highly specialized cryogenic tankers or it does not go
anywhere at all. That means roughly to % of the entire world's LNG supply has gone simultaneously offline with no
workaround and no alternative delivery mechanism available on any time scale measured in weeks. The bypass infrastructure brilliantly and
successfully solved the immediate revenue crisis for two countries. It left the much larger and more complex global supply problem entirely
unresolved. There is also a second deeply uncomfortable complication running directly through the heart of the Saudi pipeline solution itself. The
East West pipeline was designed and built to move crude oil. But Saudi Arabia does not only export crude oil to its international customers. The Kingdom
also exports very significant volumes of refined petroleum products, including diesel, jet fuel, gasoline, and a wide range of petrochemicals, products that
are processed at Saudi refineries and then distributed to regional and global customers under long-term contractual commitments.
Energy consultant Ellen Wald of Transversal Consulting explained the problem to Middle East eye with precise and uncomfortable clarity. If the East
West pipeline is entirely converted to carrying crude oil exports westward to Yanboo at maximum capacity, it cannot simultaneously carry the natural gas
liquids and refined products that the region's customers also depend on receiving. Saudi Arabia was being forced to make impossible real-time trade-off
decisions between different contractual obligations under active wartime conditions. Senior Vice President Pankage Shivastava of Rristad Energy
stated plainly and directly that refined products from the UAE's enormous ruace industrial complex one of the largest integrated refinery and petrochemical
facilities in the entire world with a capacity of barrels per day still largely dependent on tanker export routes running through
the straight and with the straight effectively closed UAE refineries might need to curtail their product export volumes entirely regardless of whatever
adiop was successfully achieving for crude. The bypass solved crude exports partially. It did not solve refined products. It did not solve LG. It did not solve the problem for Iraq, Kuwait,
or Bahrain. And then there's the most dangerous complication of all. The complication that could transform Saudi Arabia's brilliant -year desert escape
route into a trap of a completely different and equally serious kind. By rrooting all of its oil export volumes through Yanbu and the Red Sea corridor,
Saudi Arabia moved its entire national revenue stream directly into the operational range of the Houthy movement in Yemen. The Houthies, Iran's most
active, experienced, and militarily capable regional proxy force, spent two full consecutive years from to
demonstrating conclusively to the entire international community that they possessed the practical capability to systematically hit commercial shipping
vessels in the Red Sea with drones and anti-hship ballistic missiles. They forced every one of the world's largest container and tanker shipping companies
to completely reroute their fleets around the southern tip of Africa at enormous additional cost. They drove war risk insurance premiums on a maritime
corridor that handles roughly % of total global maritime trade to levels that made the route economically unviable for many operators. And now, as
analyst Greg Pritty of the Center for the National Interest told Middle East I in direct and unambiguous terms, the Saudi pipeline bypass strategy makes the
Houthis critically and centrally important in a way they simply were not before this conflict began. Saudi Arabia has effectively traded the Iranian
threat in the Persian Gulf for a proxy threat in the Red Sea. The Babel Mandip Strait at the southern end of the Red Sea, flanked by Yemen on one side and
Djibouti on the other, has now become the new most dangerous choke point in the entire global energy supply chain.
And the forces aligned with Thran are positioned right next to it. Iran appears to have fully understood this new vulnerability from the very beginning of the conflict. Drones struck
Dumpport on the Arabian sea coast of Oman on March st. A fuel storage tank at Dukum was hit directly days later on March rd. Debris from a separately
intercepted drone damaged a storage tank at Fujiraa's oil terminal on the same day. Shipping giant MK suspended all Fujera port operations entirely on March
th. GPS jamming and navigation signal denial incidents were recorded across UAE coastal waters beginning as early as March th. Directly complicating
navigation for commercial vessels attempting to use the bypass routes.
Iran was not simply closing the front door of the straight of Hormuz. It was simultaneously and methodically going after every alternative door, every
secondary window, and every identified escape route it could reach across hundreds of miles of coastline. Now, let us talk about what all of this means for the rest of the world. Because the
economic fallout from the Hormuz closure and its partial bypass is cascading outward in ways that reach far beyond any oil market and affect the daily
lives of ordinary people in every country on Earth. Japan obtains approximately % of its entire crude. oil supply from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
the UAE, and Qatar. Roughly % of that Middle Eastern oil reaches Japan through vessels transiting the straight of
Hormuz. Japanese refiners immediately requested emergency government authorization to begin releasing national strategic petroleum stockpiles.
South Korea faced the identical acute supply crisis. China, which received approximately one-third of its total national oil imports through the Hormuz
corridor, was scrambling urgently to secure alternative supply arrangements while simultaneously sending its Middle East special envoy to the region,
carrying pointed diplomatic messages for every government involved in the conflict. India and Pakistan both dispatched naval destroyer escorts to the Gulf of Oman to provide protection
for tankers in the outer approaches to the strait. an unmistakable signal of how serious the fear of supply disruption had become for the major Asian economies that depend on Gulf
energy. Europe found itself in a position that energy analysts described as particularly exposed. As Jim Crane of Rice University's Baker Institute explained clearly to Middle East eye,
the Hormuz closure was especially damaging for Europe because the continent had already replaced the sanctioned Russian refined petroleum products it lost after the Ukraine war
with imports sourced from Gulf refineries. By the beginning of
approximately % of Europe's diesel imports and roughly half of its jet fuel imports were arriving from Middle Eastern refining facilities. Europe had
solved one energy crisis by creating a structural dependency on exactly the region now under active military attack.
Fertilizer prices spiked sharply as Qatar's stranded LNG supply, a primary feed stock for nitrogen fertilizer production globally, disappeared for
markets. Aluminum prices rose as energyintensive industrial smelting operations faced suddenly unpredictable and unsustainable power cost
projections. Airline ticket prices began climbing across every major global route as jet fuel supply chains fractured
under the combined pressure of regional refinary shutdowns and maritime disruption. CNBC's Federal Reserve survey showed that professional
economists were already explicitly flagging stagflation. The economically devastating combination of accelerating price inflation and simultaneously
slowing GDP growth as the dominant emerging macroeconomic risk for the United States emanating from this conflict. Sasha Foss, energy market
analyst at Marx, framed the long-term supply side endgame with stark and unscentimental clarity when speaking to CNBC directly. The longer this conflict
continues, the more oil storage capacity inside the landlocked Gulf countries simply fills up with crude that is nowhere to go. And eventually the only option left is production cuts. Iraq,
Kuwait, and Bahrain cannot sell their oil. They cannot move it through the closed straight. They cannot turn their wells off overnight without causing serious, potentially irreversible,
long-term technical damage to reservoir pressure and underground production capacity. So their onshore storage fills to capacity. Their national revenues
collapse towards zero. Tair governments face acute fiscal crises layered directly on top of active security crisis and infrastructure damage and
production. They cannot be safely or quickly restarted once shutdown begins declining in ways that will affect global supply volumes long after
whatever political or military resolution eventually arrives. This is the single deepest and most uncomfortable truth of the entire
pipeline bypass story. Saudi Arabia made an extraordinary and historically significant move. A -year-old contingency plan executed with
remarkable speed and operational precision at exactly the moment it was needed. But a pressure valve buys time.
It does not resolve the underlying conflict. It does not replace the missing million barrels per day. It does not restore Qatar's LNG. It does
not fix Iraq or Kuwait. The East West Pipeline was designed and built for a disruption measured in days or at most a
few weeks. What this conflict appears to be heading inexraably toward is a disruption measured in months. The bypass infrastructure is running at
absolute full capacity right now with no remaining headroom and no additional pipelines waiting anywhere in the system to be switched on. No further unactivated alternative routes exist.
Saudi Arabia and the UAE have deployed every piece of infrastructure they possess at maximum output. The gap between what those pipelines can move
and what the world actually needs to function remains enormous. Every week that passes without a genuine resolution to the US Iran military conflict is
another week of irreversible cumulative damage to the global energy infrastructure, damage to commodity supply chains, to inflation trajectories, to economic growth,
projections, and to investment decisions that will not simply reverse themselves the moment a ceasefire is eventually signed. Saudi Arabia found a door when
Iran tried to seal every exit. Whether that door leads to genuine and lasting safety or simply to a different and equally serious danger in the Red Sea is
the question that will define the entire next chapter of this conflict. And the answer for every economy and every ordinary person paying for fuel and food
and transportation anywhere in the world is coming faster than anyone is currently prepared for. Now think about what that actually means in practice for global energy security going forward.
Even if a ceasefire was signed tomorrow morning, the structural vulnerabilities this conflict has exposed will not disappear. Every government in Asia,
Europe, and North America that depends on Gulf Energy has now seen in real time and in the most direct possible terms
exactly how fragile the architecture of the global energy system truly is.
Insurance companies have repriced Gulf risk permanently. Shipping companies have rerouted fleets and invested in alternative corridors.
Governments that delayed investment in domestic energy production or renewable alternatives are now facing the political and economic consequences of
those decisions simultaneously. and the engineers, planners and policy makers who must now decide whether to invest billions in expanded bypass
infrastructure, whether to build new pipeline roots, whether to develop emergency LNG receiving terminals in countries that currently have none, are
making those decisions with the full and vivid knowledge that the -year-old contingency plans that were supposed to protect global energy supply were not
built for a conflict of this duration or this intensity. Saudi Arabia found a door when Iran tried to seal every exit.
Whether that door leads to genuine and lasting safety or simply to a different and equally serious danger in the Red Sea is the question that will define the entire next chapter of this conflict.
And the answer for every economy and every ordinary person paying for fuel and food and transportation anywhere in the world is coming faster than anyone
is currently prepared for. If you want to stay ahead of this story as it develops in real time, subscribe right now and turn on notifications. The
pipeline capacity question, the Houthy threat to Red Sea shipping, the stranded LNG crisis, and the full economic endgame of this war are all going to
break with new developments in real time. This channel will break every single development down clearly and accurately for you the moment it happens.
As tensions rise between the U.S. and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz — a key route for global oil shipments — faces unprecedented threats. In response, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are activating pipelines that bypass the strait, ensuring crude oil continues to reach international markets.
Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline moves oil from its eastern fields to the Red Sea port at Yanbu, while the UAE relies on the Habshan–Fujairah pipeline to deliver oil to the Gulf of Oman. These strategic moves help maintain energy flow even as maritime traffic through Hormuz faces disruption.
Despite these measures, experts warn that bypass capacity is limited, and escalating tensions could still tighten global supplies and drive prices higher. The world watches closely to see whether these pipelines will become a permanent alternative or just a temporary solution.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Posts: 40420
- Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 5:21 am
Return to United States Government Crime
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests