Prof. John Mearsheimer : Can Israel Save Itself?
Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
July 31 2025
Transcript
Professor Mearsheimer, welcome here my dear friend. Thank you for accommodating
my schedule during my travels. I thought of you and missed you and I know the audience missed you and I'm happy to be back with you and have you back with us. Before we get to
the Benjamin Netanyahu regime's destruction of Israel, a few
questions about some bizarre events, and I don't know if you can call them bizarre, because they happen so many
times now. Bizarre events in the news this week. Threats against President
Putin. President Trump issued a threat. Senator Lindsey Graham issued a threat.
General Christopher Donaghue issued a threat. We'll start with the president. I want your thoughts on this, and how
you think the Kremlin reacts to it.
The president said on Monday, "forget about the 50-days
I gave President Putin to end the war. I'm giving him 10 to 12 days.
And then on Wednesday, yesterday, he said, "Ah, it's not 10 to 12 days. It's Saturday. You better end the war on
Saturday, otherwise, I'm going to impose secondary tariffs on whoever buys oil from
Russia, namely China and India. Is this any way to conduct diplomacy?
Is this likely to affect one iota of the Russian military strategy in Ukraine?
Yeah, I don't think it'll have any effect on the Russians in
terms of what they do in their war against Ukraine. I think the big question is whether President Trump
would be foolish enough to put these secondary sanctions on China and on
India. I mean, with regard to China, he's had to back off with regard to
tariffs because the Chinese have a lot of leverage over us when it comes to
rare earths and rare earth magnets. They really have a lot of coercive
leverage on us. So I don't see how he can possibly get tough with the Chinese
with secondary sanctions of the magnitude that he's talking about. And with regard to India, it's really quite
amazing what's happening there. It looked like the United States was going to have very good relations with India,
with Modi in the driver's seat in India, and Trump in the driver's seat here in the United States. They have a history
of good relations, but those relations have gone steadily downhill since
Trump took over. And if he were to put secondary sanctions on India, that
would just wreck our relations with India. And that is not in America's national interest because the United
States and India have a vested interest in working together in terms of dealing with China. Furthermore, if he puts
these sanctions on China and India, and they actually go into effect, the end result is going to be disastrous for the
international economy. So I think this is all an empty threat.
And I'm really curious what exactly he's going to do on
Saturday that he thinks is going to bring the Russians or these other countries to their knees. I often
wonder if he and his economic advisors view economics 101 the
way I do, and I think you do.
Who who pays these tariffs?
A tariff is a sales
tax paid by the ultimate consumer, the ultimate user of the good. You want to
buy a toaster made in China that used to cost $25. Now it cost $28.50.
You want to buy a MercedesBenz made in Germany that used to cost $100,000.
Now thanks to Ursula Vander Lion and her caving to Trump, it costs 115,000. Who's
paying it? The American purchaser in the United States.
Now we have this issue
about whether or not the president can impose a tax because the Congress gives that power, the Constitution gives
that power exclusively to the Congress.
Well, that doesn't seem to bother him. I
mean, he thinks that he's a sovereign who can do pretty much anything he wants. I
think what's going on here is that since he launched this tariff campaign, I think it was on April 2nd of this year, he's
gone back and forth, but he is definitely levied tariffs on a lot of countries, and
it has not damaged the American economy, so I think he believes, and his
supporters believe, that Trump can levy tariffs and get away with it, and there
are no real costs to pay, that the consumer is not going to have to worry about
paying higher costs. But I think most people, and this would include me, believe that at some point the bill is
going to come due. And when it does, he's going to be in serious trouble. But for the time being, he's operating on
the assumption that tariffs are the magic weapon. They bring everybody to their knees and we're not hurt at
all.
I was on a Russian talk show
called The Great Game, which is one of Moscow's premier prime time shows. And two of the other
guests, both of whom questioned me, one was a Russian general, and the other was
the John Thune, the leader of the majority party in the
upper house of the Russian uh legislature. And they asked me if I thought
Trump was serious about the sanctions, and they asked
me why he makes these wild statements. Now, put aside my answer, but I I
detected from the tone of their questions, which were long long typically Russian style questions,
uh that they think this is just bluster and they and they really it goes in one ear and out the other when he says this
uh this kind of stuff and they almost don't care uh if he imposes uh if he
imposes tariffs. They they believe they're immune uh from his uh blustering. But Senator Graham
uh threatened President Putin and said that I'm going to use the phrase the senator used that's a little crude.
Forgive me. President um Trump will whoop Putin's ass. That's what he said.
Cut number one. Putin, your turn is coming. You know, Donald Trump is the Scottish shuffler of American politics
and foreign diplomacy and he's about to put a whooping on your ass. What's going to happen here is that Trump is going to
impose tariffs on people that buy Russian oil. China, India, and Brazil. Those three countries uh buy about 80%
of cheap Russian oil. That's what keeps Putin's war machine going. So, President
Trump's going to put 100% tariff on all those countries, punishing them uh for
helping Putin. Putin can live through sanctions. he could give a damn about Russian soldiers. But China, India, and
Brazil, um they're about to face a choice between the American economy or helping Putin. And I think they're going
to come pick pick the American economy. Why are they with abandoned bricks?
Before you respond, I know you have a response. This is the guy that gets to whisper into Trump's ear every time they
play golf and they sit next to each other in the golf cart. This is a dangerous attitude, but go ahead,
please. I mean, I think that people like Lindsey Graham and many people in the American foreign policy establishment
have no sense of the limits of American power. Whether you're talking about military might or economic might, they
think we can just run around the world pushing people around by threatening them. And if the threats don't work, we
can use military force against them. Uh maybe you could think that way during the unipolar moment, but those days are
in the rear view mirror. We now live in a multipolar world. China's a pure competitor. As I said, it's not
plausible to argue that we can put 100% tariffs on China. We've gone down this
road in the past few months. We tried to get tough with the Chinese and Trump was forced to back off. Furthermore, he
can't do this with India. It would be disastrous uh for American foreign
policy. So, I I just don't know what these people are talking about. Uh
maybe Trump is crazy enough that he'll try to do it and we'll see what happens. But at some point this is really going
to come back and bite him in the high knee. Senator, excuse me, General Christopher
Donahghue commands more troops than any other American general. All American troops in
Europe and in Africa. uh and at a recent uh conference
uh in Germany speaking to other an international military group including
American um uh general generals who are colleagues of his
uh threatened to put American ground troops on the ground in Russia. Now you
are a graduate of West Point and a veteran of the Air Force. I'm going to ask you some questions about what
generals should be saying, but I want you to hear this first. It's relatively brief. It's only about 20 seconds.
Chris, cut number 16. If you look at Kenrad at its, you know,
you can argue back and forth, but it's about 47 miles wide, surrounded by NATO on all sides. There's
absolutely no reason why that A2D bubble to deter Russia. We cannot take that
down from the ground in a time frame that is unheard of and faster than we've ever been able to do. We've already
planned that. We've already developed it on the ground, planned it, developed it.
Professor Mir Shammer, could such a statement have been made by a fourstar general without approval of the
Secretary of Defense and the President of the United States? It's hard to believe that uh he didn't
get approval to say that. It's a remarkably provocative and foolish
statement. Uh and I find it hard to imagine that a general uh would make a
statement of that sort without getting it cleared uh by at least the Pentagon
and I would imagine even the president of the United States. I mean, could could you imagine if a Russian general
said, "We could take the Aleutian Islands off the coast of Alaska in remarkable speed.
We've trained it for it. We're prepared to do it." It would be the moral equivalent of that. And you can imagine
how President Trump, Secretary Heg, Seth, Senator Graham, and and that crowd and then the American public would react
to that. But very importantly, it's not the strategic equivalent.
That's the key point. When you talk about the Illutian Islands, you're not talking about taking American real
estate uh in the context of a war. There's no war over Alaska or Canada or
anything like that. We're talking about taking Kalinenrad in
the context of an almost war between the United States and Russia. I wouldn't
even call it a proxy war. I call it an almost war because it's so close to being a war. We been very close to being
fully at war with the Russians for over three years now, right? This is serious
business. and we've made it clear to the Russians that we're bent on knocking them out of the ranks of the great
powers. We want to defeat the Russians. So, it's in that context that you have
General Donnu talking about American or NATO troops taking Kinenrad. Kiningrad
is Russian territory. That's another way of saying it's sacred territory.
Yes. Yes. the idea that NATO would even threaten
to initiate a campaign that involves
invading and conquering Keningrad is almost unthinkable to me. Uh well,
what's going on here with these threats? Trump threatens Putin, Senator Graham threatens Putin. Now, this general comes
out of nowhere. I never heard of him before, although it turns out he was in charge of the disastrous evacuation of
Afghanistan. and then they promoted him and gave him a fourth star which requires Senate confirmation. He
threatens uh the Russians. Is the American foreign policy both reckless
and depraved? Yes. I mean certainly reckless. I mean
this is in my opinion a reckless statement. Look, if you're the Russians,
right, and you know that Kiningrad is exposed, the general is correct that
it's exposed Russian territory because it's detached from uh mother Russia and
it's surrounded by a handful of NATO states. Uh so it's exposed and he's
saying that we can take it very easily and he's intimating that we may take it very easily. Very important to
understand that he's basically sending a signal or trying to send a signal to the Russians. We may take Keningrad. This
means that in a crisis, the Russians have a powerful incentive to preempt to
prevent that from happening. If you get into a crisis with the Russians, you do not want them to have an incentive to
preempt. And this is what that does. We would have never done anything like this in the Cold War. If you go back and look
at American policym during the cold war, we were much more cautious. Now you can
say Russia is not the Soviet Union. The problem with that argument is that Russia has thousands of nuclear weapons
just like the Soviet Union had thousands of nuclear weapons. And yes, Russia is
not as powerful as the Soviet Union was, but that probably makes them more scared
than the Soviets would have been in an analogous situation. So, you don't want to threaten these people by talking
about taking Kinenrad with great ease. It just makes no sense at all. And my
I have to I have to tell you, I never heard of it. Where is it and what is it? It's a small piece of territory that
used to be part of Germany. It was referred to as East Prussia. Uh and uh
basically the Baltic states separated from Bellarus and from Russia. Uh so it
is sort of out there by itself. It's uh it's a part of Russia but it's not
contiguous to the mainland. That's correct. I mean under international law
as I understand it, General Donahghue has justified a Russian military strike on whatever
forces he claims he's got are ready to come in and take Kinenrad. They don't have to wait for it to happen under the
law. after that statement, we don't care about international law. And in fact, if you know about what's
going on in Gaza, we're basically wrecking international law, right? We'll move to Gaza now. Do you
sense, excuse me, excuse me, professor, do you sense
a slow growth of international consensus
of what you've been saying for a couple of years and everybody in this program has
uh that the Israelis are engaged in genocide and a recognition that their
more recent behavior is the use of starvation as an instrument to produce
this genocidal effect. Do you sense a growing consensus around that view?
I think there's no question that there are increasing numbers of people every
week who were saying this is a genocide or if it's not a genocide, it is a war
crime and that Israel needs to be punished and everything needs to be done
to stop this genocide uh in Gaza. There's no question about that. And you
see that um with regard to countries like Britain, France, uh Canada, and now
Portugal talking about recognizing a Palestinian state and even punishing
Israel in certain ways. Uh I think it's so clear at this point in time what the
Israelis are up to that it's inevitable that this tide will only grow with the
passage of time. I know you were uh just interviewed
uh by my friend and colleague, my friend and former colleague, still my friend, but formerly uh my colleague Tucker
Carlson. And of course, I commend that fabulous interview to everybody that is
a regular viewer uh of Judging Freedom. Shortly after you were interviewed,
Tucker Carlson interviewed a retired Lieutenant Colonel by the name of Tony Aguilar, whom we hope to have uh on the
show soon, who made some profound statements
uh about his own observations uh in Gaza. Take a listen.
You've spent your life in combat zones. That's why I think your uh testimony is so compelling um because you have a
frame of reference. You've seen a lot of destruction and a lot of killing in your life for 25 years. How would you compare what you saw in Gaza to what you've seen
in say Afghanistan or Iraq? Nothing compares. Nothing I have seen in Iraq, in
Afghanistan, in Baghdad, in Mosul, Solder City, all throughout Afghanistan,
Syria, the southern Philippines, some places where there's dense populations. I have never witnessed anything as
brutal, destructive, violent, and I would say that that that steps far
over our international laws of of of how we persecute wars and how we engage
in warfare. Um, we've we've long departed from that standard and America
America is a part of it. You've been saying this for a long time.
Colonel McGregor's been saying it. Scott Ritter's been saying it. Jeff Sax has been saying it. Almost everybody in the
show has been saying it. But here you have a a hardened uh military guy
telling us all over the world where he has been, where these horrible conflrations have occurred, and he's
never seen anything worse than what is happening uh in Gaza now. And yet
and yet I hope I have the right number here. Chris Netanyahu
denying that there is starvation. Israel is presented
as though we are applying a campaign of starvation in Gaza. What a boldfaced
lie. There is no policy of starvation in Gaza
and there is no starvation in Gaza. We've enabled
the amount required by international law to come in.
Senator Bernie Sanders a little late to this referred to what Benjamin Netanyahu
said as a dis that of the mouth of a disgusting liar.
It's even worse than that. Uh, it's hard to find words to describe Netanyahu and
especially what he just said there. I mean, it's patently obvious that the
Israelis are engaged in genocide or if that word is too strong for you, mass
murder. Uh, it's patently obvious that they're starving the population. Uh
they're creating a giant concentration camp now. Uh and it's all aimed at
pushing the Palestinians out of Gaza. This is it's just so obvious. A and the
Lieutenant Colonel who just talked to Tucker made this clear. And by the way, Judge, this is one of the reasons the
Israelis don't want to let journalists and other observers into Gaza. They
don't want those observers to see what's happening and then report back uh to
people in the west. Uh but some people get in like this lieutenant colonel and
they tell you the truth and it's consistent with everything you hear from UN UN workers uh from aid workers from
doctors who are in there and so forth and so on. This is a genocide. The
Israelis are committing what is the greatest crime against humanity,
genocide. I want you to talk about the damage that
the Netanyahu regime is causing to Israeli society. And I I I came across a
phrase in some of my reading this week that I suspect you're familiar with and have written about, Israeli victim
identity. What is that? I'm not sure exactly what it means. Uh
it probably means uh the famous saying from Ellie Wiselle that uh Jews are
never the perpetrator, they're always the victim. Or to put it in slightly different terms, they're never uh the
victimizer, they're always the victim. Well, this piece in Harets claims that
they can never again make that claim after what they're doing in Gaza. Well,
the truth is they could never make that claim a long time ago because what's
going on in Gaza is just a continuation of a long story that started uh in the
early 20th century. Uh so they have not always been the victim. If you go to
Nazi Germany and what happened during the Holocaust, of course the Jews were the victims. They were not the
victimizers. Nobody in their right mind would make that argument. But if you go
to the Middle East, if you go to what was once Palestine and is now Israel,
it's impossible to make the argument that the Israelis were the victims and not the victimizer. They were the
victimizer. uh they went into an area where there were hardly any Jews and the
land and the villages and the people were Palestinians and they stole their
land and they created this state of Israel and to do that you had to commit
crimes. You had to be the victimizer. There is no way the Zionists could have
created the state of Israel without being victimizers. And the principal victims were the Palestinians, as I like
to say. And this is an argument that will strike most people as being uh on
the extreme side, but it really is not. What the Zionists and now the Israelis
have done to the Palestinians over time is one of the great crimes of modern history.
You have made that case uh very powerfully. And judge, by the way, based on
empirical empirical evidence. Exactly. You took the words right out of my mouth. People may think John is making
this up. This is just him putting the facts together uh to suit his own views.
No. I learned this from reading books and reading articles that were written by Israelis and Western Jews. There is a
huge amount of evidence to support the argument that the Israelis were the
victimizers and the Palestinians were the victims in the context of the Middle
East. There's just no question about this and anybody who's interested and wants to study this issue will find
plenty of supporting evidence for the point that I'm making. How much damage has Netanyahu's regime
done to Israeli society? Is it recoverable? Well, I don't think Israel is going to
disappear from the map. Uh I think the Israeli state is going to remain intact.
But the question you have to ask yourself is what is that Israeli state going to look like uh when all of this
is done? Uh, I think that what Benjamin Netanyahu has done is he has exacerbated
serious tensions inside the body politic that were already there that are going
to continue well after he leaves office. He's also gotten Israel involved in
conflicts in places like Syria, uh, Lebanon, uh, and, uh, uh, and, and with
Iran in, in ways that are going to linger for a long time and cause really
serious damage on the Israeli home front. I'm a firm believer that a thoroughly militarized state that is
fighting wars all the time is undermining basic liberal values, basic
decency on the home front. And you see this in spades inside of Israel when you
look at the body populace's attitude towards what's going on in Gaza. Right?
Furthermore, he's got Israel stuck back in Gaza. The Israelis got out of Gaza in
2005. And they got out of Gaza in 2005 under the leadership of Ariel Chiron,
who was no pussycat. And Chiron got out because Chiron understood full well that
that place is a hornets's nest. Well, they're back in there and they've been unable to expel the Palestinians. And
the question you have to ask yourself is, how does this all end? And it's very hard to tell a happy story. The final
point I'd make to you is that Israel is in a position where it is extremely
dependent on the United States. Israel and the United States fight these wars
together. They execute the genocide together. Israel is no longer the independent state that it once thought
it was. So I think for all of these different reasons, Israel is a country that is in serious trouble and that
situation does not improve with time. If anything, it gets worse. Does Donald
Trump control Benjamin Netanyahu or does Benjamin Netanyahu control Donald Trump?
Well, I think it's quite clear that the balance of power in that relationship clearly favors Benjamin Netanyahu. And I
constantly wonder what's going on with Trump. Because if you look around the
world, almost every leader, and here we're talking mainly about the West,
almost every leader in the West is beginning to bend on what is happening
inside of Gaza. You see this with the French, you see this with the British, the Canadians, right? They're all
beginning to move in a way uh that is antagonistic towards Israel. Not
completely, but Trump doesn't move at all. It's really quite amazing. And it's
hard to believe that this is in the American national interest, that he thinks it's in our interest to support
Israel no matter what. We are getting he is getting a huge amount of uh criticism
for this. But he's not bending at all. And I sometimes wonder why that's the
case. And I wouldn't be surprised if behind closed doors he's been threatened
in ways that make it clear that he better not show any criticism of Israel
or he'll be punished for it. Professor Mir Shimemer, thank you very much. These are such unpleasant topics,
but you have a way of explaining it so that it's easy uh and fulfilling to
understand. Thank you, my dear friend. Thanks for coming back on the show, back at your regular time. and we look
forward to seeing you next week. You're welcome, judge. Thank you. All the best to you, my dear friend. Coming up at 4:00 today from a
beach in the south of France, I think, uh, Pepe Escobar, judge Npalitano for
judging freedom.