PART 3 ANTI-ANTI-NAZI BARBARIAN HORDES ARE KNOCKING DOWN THE

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Iran and Israel Make Peace? The Funniest Deal in World History! (LEGO Song Rock Story)
Iron Verdict
May 27, 2026 LEGO Satire
SIGN THE FIRE — A LEGO Song Rock Story

Can two old enemies shake hands while the smoke is still rising?
A peace deal hits the table.
The cameras start rolling.
But the room remembers everything.

This cinematic rock story turns a major geopolitical tension into a dramatic LEGO-style music video. The story follows a powerful leader trying to turn a dangerous Iran-Israel conflict into a historic peace moment, while regional players watch, the media spins the headline, and the deal becomes harder than it looks.

With heavy guitars, dark humor, and a bold rock chorus, this video asks one simple question:
Is this a peace deal… or just a headline before the fire gets higher?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mByXslR0KE4



Transcript

[screaming]
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Peace Talks.
[music] With the smoke still rising, drums hit,
guitars wake up, the cameras roll.
[music]
[music]
[music]
Yeah.
[music]
The president walks in [music] with a smile in a pen.
says, "Everybody shake hands. [music] Let the New Deal begin." One side [music] counts missiles.
One side counts graves.
One side wants sanctions [music] gone, one side wants guarantees [singing] made.
The straight is still tense. The money [music] is still locked. The uranium question still ticks like a clock.
[music]
But the man in the red tie points to the stage bringing the neighbors turn the page. Saudi [music] online when Qatar
online to Turkey and Egypt wonder what they're asked to do. Jordan looks [music] sideways. Pakistan says no. And
the cameras keep asking is this how peace will grow?
But you can't [music] paint the walls while the roof is on fire. You can't sell a treaty on a broken wire. You
[music] can't make old enemies smile for the flash. When the whole room smells like smoke and [music] ash, drums rise,
2 minutescrowd claps, guitar, bends high. Sign the fire. Call it peace. [music] Shake the match hand.
Sign [music] the fire. Smile for the choir. Everybody say great deal. [music] While the flames climb higher, sign the fire.
Sign the fire. Peace in [music] a press line.
War in the wire.
The anchor [music] starts spinning in [singing] bright little squares. Historic momentum. New hope in the air.
But down in the desert, the silence [music] is loud. The leader speaks softly. When no microphones crowd, one country says, [music and singing] without Palestine.
Another says not on this timeline.
The eastern power says [music] we won't bow our heads. The western ally says we heard what they said. And
somewhere behind a [music] goldplated door, a map gets unfolded on the floor.
Add one more nation. [music] Add one more line. Make the old accord look brand new and shine. But this is [music]
not business. This is not a suite. You can't compliment it bar and call that retreat. This is blood memory. This is
fear [music] in the ground. This is 40 plus years of no backing down. And [music] the crowd wants answers. The screen wants light. The deal wants
daylight. The generals want night. The public [music] gets slogans. The quiet gets plans. The hidden move waits in invisible [music] hands. Base drops. Stare cracks.
Front man shout. [screaming] Sign the fire. Call [music] it peace. Shake the match hand. Rent the lease.
Sign the fire. Smile for the choir.
Everybody [music] say great deal while the flames climb higher. Sign the fire.
[music]
ign the fire. Peace in a press light. War in the wire.
Slow [music] now. Lights go blue.
There's a paper [singing] on the table. There's a shadow in the room. Nobody [music] says surrender.
They say framework instead. [singing] Nobody says pressure.
They say vision instead. [music] Nobody says this may not land. [music]
They just polish the pen in the leader hand. The old enemy waits. The alley [music] stays cold. The neighbors keep watching what they cannot be sold.
Because peace is not a photo. Peace is not a pose. [music] Peace is not a headline. When every border knows you can dress up the gamble, [music] you can
light up the hall, but the pop twist comes when no one signs it all.
[music]
[music]
Son of fire.
Son of fire. [music] Son of fire.
Sign the fire. [music] Sign the fire. Call it peace.
Shake the match hand. Rent the lease.
Sign the fire. Smile [music] out for the choir. Everybody say a great deal while the flames climb higher. Sign the fire.
Call it calm. Wave the treaty like a lucky charm. Sign the fire. [music] Raise it higher.
Peace on the post. Smoke in the wire. Sign the fire. Sign [music] the fire.
Sign the fire. Sign the fire. Sign the fire. Sign the fire. [music] Fire. Sign the fire. Sign the fire.
Sign the fire. [music] Call it peace.
Sign the fire. Rent the lease. Sign [music] the fire. Smile for the choir.
Everybody sing great deal while the flames climb higher. He wanted a handshake.
[music] The room remembered the war.
[music]
[screaming]
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Peace Talks.
With the smoke still rising, [music] drums hit.
7 minutesGuitars wake up. The cameras roll.
[music]
[music]
[music]
[music]
The president [music] walks in with a smile and a pen.
[music] Says, "Everybody shake hands.
Let the new deal begin." [music] One side counts missiles.
One side [music] counts graves, one side wants sanctions gone, [music] one side wants guarantees [singing] made.
The straight [music] is still tense. The money is still locked. The uranium question still ticks like a clock, but
the man in the red top points to the stage. Bringing the neighbors [music] turn the page. Saudi online, one Qatar
online, two Turkey and Egypt. wonder what they're [music] asked to do. Jordan looks sideways. Pakistan says no. And
the cameras [music] keep asking, "Is this how peace will grow?" But you can't paint the walls while the
roof is on [music] fire. You can't sell a treaty on a broken wire. You can't make old enemy smile for the flash when
the whole room smells like smoking [music] ash. Drums rise, crowd claps,
guitar, [screaming] bends high. Sign [music] the fire. Call it peace. Shake the match hand.
Sign [music] the fire. Smile for the choir. Everybody say great deal. While the flames climb higher, sign the fire.
Sign [music] the fire. Peace in a press line.
War in the wire.

[admin]

Trump rejects leaked Iranian claims on draft peace proposal; warns Gulf nations | Janta Ka Reporter
Janta Ka Reporter
May 27, 2026

US President Donald Trump rejected claims made by official Iranian media regarding the easing of restrictions and the unfreezing of assets as part of a peace deal. Trump also issued an ultimatum to Oman for attempting to work with Iran on the future management of the Strait of Hormuz. Journalist Rifat Jawaid breaks down the day's major developments with his sharp commentary.



Transcript

A broadcast by the government-owned Iranian media about the draft proposal of the peace deal currently being discussed forced Donald Trump today to
issue a swift rejection. The deranged occupant of the White House also made some outlandish claims including threatening to bomb Oman.
Trump also said that there may not be a deal if Saudi Arabia and Qatar do not join the Abraham Accords. dreaded
Israeli war criminal or terrorist Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials have been postponed once again by the
settler colonies Kangaroo court since he's busy doing far more pressing work i.e committing genocide in Gaza and Lebanon.
The situation in Lebanon continues to worsen as Israeli terrorists expand their occupation. But London Sky News
paints Israeli war crimes as some sort of necessity.
Meanwhile, two Muslim mayors of the Western countries, namely Zoran Mandani and Sadi Khan, find themselves under
spotlight as they celebrate Eid and perform Hajj respectively. This will be the broad focus of my video tonight.
Also in this video, another Lego film from Iran and a heart-wrenching scene from Gaza as they celebrate Eid over
rubble. So, please stay tuned. So, a broadcast by Iran's official IRIB today caused plenty of constonnation in the
power corridors of the US. What happened was that Iran state TV revealed a 14point proposal claiming them to be a
part of the draft peace deal currently being discussed between Iran and the US.
New this hour, U. Iran's state TV is putting out what it claims is a draft of the initial framework with the US. Now,
there are a number of points in here that appear to be very out of step with a lot of the US red lines. So, take this
information with a very large grain of salt. But Iran is claiming that the memorandum of understanding would have the US withdraw forces and lift the
naval blockade in exchange for Iran restoring commercial traffic through the straight of Hormuz within a month with all ship traffic managed by Iran. They
further claim if a deal is reached, it would become binding with a UN security council resolution. Uh we have heard no updates from the US side, but the White
House has repeatedly pushed back on premature reports and inaccurate reports about what these discussions entail. Uh this is new from Iran today, so likely
we'll hear some response from the White House. But today, the president is set to meet with his cabinet to discuss all this after scrapping plans to convene at Camp David due to bad weather. The same
place where he convened his cabinet last year just before bombing Iran's nuclear sites. The stakes are very high. Iran accused the US of a grave violation of
the ceasefire after Sentcom carried out what it described as defensive strikes on missile launch sites and Iranian boats trying to lay mines. Iran vowed to
respond. And all of this was just days after the president announced a deal to end the war was largely negotiated. Iran is demanding apparently $24 billion in
frozen funds to agree to all this, prompting concern from lawmakers about emboldening Iran and also prompting a response from President Trump, who's
pushing back against anyone who doubts his ability to make a good deal. Uh last night, Vice President Vance spoke to NBC about these negotiations in a call. He
described himself as extremely hopeful but said quote I think the more difficult question is whether they agree to the kind of enforcement mechanism the
kind of monitoring mechanism that gives us confidence they won't violate the deal in the future. So the president's cabinet meeting is set for 11:00 a.m.
and we do expect to see the president on camera. According to the Iranian state TV, Iran would also be controlling the
state of Hormuz along with Oman and charge environmental tax instead of toll tax. Sanctions against Iran would be
lifted and the US will unfreeze the Iranian assets worth billions of dollars. As the Iranian claims gained
momentum, even in the US media, Donald Trump was forced to make a statement as he hurdled his minions at the White
House for what he said was a cabinet meeting. This is what he said in response to Iran's claims of lifting sanctions.
Is the US considering easing sanctions on Iran to allow Iran to sell its crew to market?
No, we're not talking about any easing of sanctions or giving money. No sanctions, no money, no nothing. uh we
have control of money that they claim is theirs. We'll keep control of that money and when they behave properly and when
they do what's right, we'll let them have their money. But right now, we're not doing that and it's not one thing is not contingent on the other.
Then on the question of uh Iran and Oman jointly controlling the state of Hormos, the Israeli slave from the White House
threatened to bomb Oman if it didn't behave. His word, not mine.
Interesting reading for people, Mr. President. Iran wants control of the straight overuse. Would you accept a short-term deal that allows Iran and
Oman to control the strait? And would they have to open it immediately, or would you be open to that happening over a period of time?
No. The strait's going to be open to everybody. It's uh And who would control it?
It's international waters. Nobody's going to control it. We're going to watch over it. We'll watch over it, but nobody's going to control it. That's part of the negotiation that we have.
They would like to control it. Nobody's going to control it. It's international waters and Oman will behave just like everybody else. So, we'll have to blow
them up. They understand that. They'll be fine. Clip. The Israeli lab dog also ordered Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar to
embrace Israeli barbarians as their friends. Well, someone should tell him that the UAE has already signed the much
malignant Abraham records and has been working as a proxy monarchy of Zionists.
by Barack Hussein, Obama. What a horrible agreement that was. It was a setback for this country, for the whole world. Uh the Middle East would have
blown itself up. No. And would like to have the countries we were talking about with Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and the others. We'd like to have them
immediately join the And Steve Wood is working on that with Jared and some others, but we'd like to have them join the Abraham Accords. It'll be historic
if they do it. And we would I think they I think they owe that to us to be honest. I think because that really would be a tremendous sign and I think those countries owe it to us.
Mr. President, Steve, are you going to get them to sign? Uh, we're definitely pushing it, Mr. President.
I'm not sure. I'm not sure we should make the deal if they don't sign. You want to know the truth?
If they don't sign to join the Abraham Accords, I don't know that we, you know, we have countries in there already. uh UAE great great countries bold countries
and it's turned out to be so good so effective and uh so we're you know requesting strongly that they they join
it'll be great it'd be great for Saudi Arabia be great for Qar and Kuwait the whole group so the Iran deal might be contingent on
more countries joining the well I don't want to say that I'm not going to give you you know what's contingent what's not I can say that uh
we can make a good deal right now, but maybe not a great deal. And if it's not a great deal when I'm making it because we can make a great deal with this guy
right here. And uh but it's, you know, it's a lot nastier. Probably wouldn't go as quickly. Wouldn't be talking about as quickly, but it would be foolproof.
Uh but I think we're doing very well, Steve. I think we're doing pretty well in terms of the negotiation, but we'll see. So no lifting of sanctions, no
unfreezing of assets and no Iranian control of the state of Foremost. In other words, we are not going to see a peace deal in the near future between Iran and this evil Israeli lab dog.
Publicly Trump may say anything, but this doesn't truly represent the reality on the ground. Iranian professor
Muhammad Barandi claimed that the US had agreed to make several concessions. This is what he told journalist Sulman Ahmed.
But what we're seeing at the moment are is the United States giving enormous concessions to Iran. Uh the uh the war
in Lebanon and across the region, this genocidal war must end. That is one part of it. Uh the the siege on Iran ports
must end. The United States must release a uh roughly half of the or roughly half
of the assets that it has stolen from Iran.
um the uh the sanctions against the energy industry must end for the next
couple of months. And um on the on the other hand, what does the United States
get? The straight of hormones is uh open. Well, it was open uh before the United States waged this war. The United
States brought about this catastrophic situation for the world.
The Iranians announced that they're not going to uh build a nuclear weapon.
Well, Iran has been saying that for decades. We can will say 10 times if they want, 100 times if they want. That's fine. Big concession.
And um they exactly and Iran has not made any um commitment about its
enriched uranium or about the long-term future of the nuclear program. Those issues will be discussed after 60 days.
If the deal goes well, they will be discussed, but so will Iran sanctions that are imposed on Iran. And those
sanctions, many of them are laws that are that have been passed by the Senate and the House in the United States. So
um those those will be de debated in future. But at least for the time being, what we see is uh Trump giving uh enormous concessions.
Trump today once again attacked Obama for signing a bad deal, his words, not mine, with Iran. But listen to former
Obama adviser Ben Rhodess on how he views the current US president's art of blabbering with routine nonsensical
claims while serious negotiations are underway to strike a peace deal.
I think the bottom line here is that the pre-war objectives the idea that you might bring about a change in the Iranian regime or a collapse of that
regime that you could terminate the nuclear program. You'll recall that the terms under discussion or the proposals from Jared Kushner and Sew Wickoff
before the war involve not just ending the nuclear program, but ending the ballistic missile program or at least constraining it to a certain range, ending support for proxies. The Trump
administration has come to terms or has to come to terms with the fact that they're not going to achieve their objectives and that the only way out of a war that has been calamitous for
everybody involved, especially the Iranian people, but the global economy, the American military, the only way out is is to essentially accept
terms in which, you know, the blockade is lifted on Iranian ports, that uh the straight of form is reopened, that Iran is going to get some revenue from
sanctions relief or tolling that straight. um and that you're going to negotiate a nuclear agreement that bears a lot of resemblance to the one that I
worked on the Obama administration in which Iran continues to have a program, but they accept limitations on enrichment and they ship their stockpile out of the country. Um and I think the
reason that we we're stuck is the sequencing of those events is important for how it appears. You know, does Iran
get revenue up front or later? Are nuclear commitments made up front or are they moved back? And frankly, I think the Iranians feel like they have
leverage. Uh, and so they're more than happy to wait this out. Um, and and Donald Trump just has to decide whether he can accept and spin, frankly, an
outcome that is far from what he promised. The one thing I want to add to this, Christian, and I think you'd understand this, when we were negotiating with the Iranians, um, if we
went out prematurely and talked up the concessions that we were getting, what we would hear from Iranian negotiators is what kind of problems we were
creating for them with the IRGC, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. Now, I think the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps is in control of Iran. And so
every time Trump says something or posts something online that is premature and that suggests an Iranian concession that hasn't been made, my guess is that those
Iranian negotiators in Islamabad get a call from the IRGC saying, "What are you doing?" And then that, you know, unwinds
that progress. And so Trump's incapacity to kind of stay quiet through this diplomacy, I think, is part of the reason that we're not at a deal yet.
Even the makers of the Iranian Lego video series have released another short film highlighting the contradiction in
Trump's public claims versus the ground reality.
Yeah.
Heat.
Iran has included the end of Israeli bombing in Lebanon as part of the peace deal. That's because Israeli terrorists
are currently busy expanding their occupation in this country by forcibly displacing millions of Lebanese population.
This is who these monsters are. They will never be satisfied without murdering innocent people, including women and children. And yet, London Sky
News today almost legitimized Israeli war crimes in Lebanon when its military experts said that the genocide of
Lebanese people was a necessity. Just like the Gaza Holocaust was the need of the hour for the so-called Western experts. As far as Lebanon is concerned,
the Israelis have got to keep pushing north because Hezbollah's use of drones is really bothering them. They find it difficult to concentrate their troops.
It's it's hard for them to conduct operations the way they normally did because Hezbollah has has actually created a bit of a battlefield
revolution, at least in tactical terms, which they've imported from the war in Ukraine via the Iranians and the Russians. And they're finding ways now
making it difficult for the Israelis to operate only in their security zone. So they've got their security zone which runs about 8 to 10 kilometers along the
southern border of Lebanon about 5 milesi into Lebanon. And that security zone isn't enough to push Hezbollah back
and stop Hezbollah um striking them with drones and striking northern Israel with rockets. And so they're pushing further
in. And of course that has the effect of spreading the war in Lebanon, making it more dangerous and making it a bigger obstacle to peace uh in a more general
sense between Iran and the United States. And then the settler colonies kangaroo court today gave reprieve to
bloodthirsty terrorist Netanyahu in corruption cases. A kangaroo court in the illegal settler colony agreed to
cancel a scheduled hearing for war criminal Netanyahu's testimony in his corruption trial. The court's decision
followed a request from the dreaded human devil to cancel Wednesday's hearing, saying he's engaged in security
and diplomatic matters. In other words, matters related to the mass slaughtering of innocent men, women, children, and
babies in Gaza and Lebanon. Now, do you still think there will be peace in the region anytime soon? Doesn't it also
make it clear the 7th of October attacks may have been orchestrated to justify the massacre of innocent Palestinians
and therefore delay the corruption trial indefinitely? Before I end, let's look at two unusual videos being in the
spotlight of the Western propaganda outlets. There are two Muslim mayors of two of the biggest western cities,
namely New York and London. This was after Zuran Mandani's Eid prayers video in an Arsenal jersey and Sadi Khan's
video from Makkah while performing Hajj went viral. Here are both the videos.
Come on my glory.
Assalam alaikum and eabarak to all those in London and around the world celebrating Eid. Hajj at its essence
symbolizes humility, self-improvement and our collective humanity.
Alhamdulillah, I feel truly honored and blessed to have performed Hajj with more than 1.5 million Muslims from across the
globe. Hazmrable to all those performing this lifechanging and fulfilling pilgrimage. May Allah accept it from all of us. From my family to yours.
18 minutesZionist control political class and media in the west hate anyone flaunting their religious faith with conviction
other than the Jews. No wonder Mamani has angered the powerful Israeli stroke Jewish lobby in the US. You really need
to have a lot of confidence to wear your religion on your sleeve in the current political environment. Mandani doesn't appear to be perturbed by the meltdown
in the Zionist world. I will now leave you with this video from Gaza. This broke my heart. I haven't cried so much
in recent times. In this video, a group of Palestinians can be seen gathered to offer their Eid prayers on the rubbles
of their houses that Israeli terrorist bombed in their genocidal campaign in the last two and a half years. The whole
world is guilty of abandoning Palestinians. No effing entity has any right to make these native people of Palestine refugees in their own land.
19 minutesBut that's the effing twisted and corrupt world we live in.
Allahb
Allahb all Allah Allah.
That's it from me. Thank you very much for your support of this platform and our journalism. If you haven't subscribed to my channel, please do so
because that's one of the many ways you can support independent journalism. God bless you all.

[admin]

DO A BETTER JOB!' Chinese FM Wang Yi Pulls Up UN & Blasts West From US Soil! | Times Now World
Times Now World
May 27, 2026 #wangyi #worldnews #usnews

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, acting as President of the UN Security Council, issued a sharp rebuke against Western foreign policy from United Nations headquarters in New York, warning that the international order risks reverting to the "law of the jungle" due to unilateral actions and bloc confrontations. Addressing international media, Wang acknowledged that the UN Security Council has been "absent from time to time" during major global conflicts and demanded sweeping structural reforms to end the monopolization of global affairs by a few select powers. Highlighting China's 4-point proposal for Middle East stability and pressing for an increase in the representation of the Global South, Beijing explicitly targeted "unilateral bullying" while laying down strict conditions for the selection of the next UN Secretary-General to challenge Western-led geopolitical frameworks.

[admin]

Spin the Peace Wheel Tonight | Deal or Bomb Them? (LEGO Song Rock Story)
Iron Verdict
May 28, 2026

Spin the Peace Wheel Tonight | Deal or Bomb Them?
A peace deal.
A war room.
A spinning wheel.
One question: deal… or disaster?
A cinematic LEGO rock satire about power, media spin, peace talks, and the dark theater behind modern conflict.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ynblt7D0ao



Transcript

[screaming]
Welcome to the war room. [music] Tonight's grand prize,
a peace deal with smoke on it. [music] One hand signs, one hand aims, and the
host says, "Don't worry, folks. It's almost peace.
[music]
[music]
Week 13 in the desert storm. A little trip with a war room floor. The commander stands behind the gold lead
says we're close now. [music] Nearly got it right. Saturday night, the deal looks bright.
5050. [music] Black smoke, white light.
The papers wait. The cameras roll. The crowd wants peace. [music] The drums want more. One hand waves, one hand
hides, one hand points [music] to the eastern side. The ticker screams, the anchors grin. Another round of who will win? He says almost.
Then he says, not so fast. He says [music] great deal only.
And the windows shake like glass.
[music] The room goes quiet, the lights go red. The word is [music] peace, but the sound is dread. Great deal, no deal.
Cue the thunder. Talk all night, then [music] tear it under. Great deal, no deal. Spin the wheel.
Peace on [music] the screen, fire in the field. Say it loud. Say it again. Great deal, no deal.
Cue the thunder.
[music]
Sunday morning. Slow the train. No rush now, says the man in the frame. [music] The final parts will come out soon, but don't sign yet. Let the tension bloom.
[music]
The stage is set like plastic bricks, tiny flags, tiny ships, [music]
tiny towers on a studio floor. Tiny families [music] behind tiny doors. The
western jets cut through the night. The eastern [music] sky turns camera white. The horse leans in the ratings rise.
Truth wears make up under studio lights. They say moving.
They say nothing is done. They say
[music]
peace is coming.
Then the drums become the sun. The screen says calm. The ground says no. The [music] hidden hand runs the show.
Great deal, no deal. Cue the thunder.
Talk all night then tear it under. Great deal, [music] no deal. Spin the wheel. Peace on the screen. Fire in the field.
[music] Say it loud. Say it again. Great deal, no deal. Kill the thunder.
[music]
Kill the thunder. Kill the thunder.
Kill the thunder.
By [music] Tuesday night, the script gets thin. We're not happy. Comes the line again. The eastern side wants one
[music] more chance. The western side does a victory dance. Then comes the phrase [music] with the polish shine.
finish the job if they cross the line.
No one [music] smiles in the silent room. No one jokes when the rockets bloom, [music] but the stage lights
flash. The slogans fly. The deal gets smaller, the stakes get high. One more speech, [music]
one more roar, one more suitcase on the studio floor. The papers shake, the
cables hum, the map turns red under every thumb. The crowd wants answers.
The host wants flame. [music] The truth walks out with a different name.
[music]
Great deal, no deal. Cue the thunder.
Talk all night [music] then tear it under. Great deal, no deal. Spin the wheel. [music] Peace on the screen. Fire
in the field. Say it loud. [music] Say it again. Great deal, no deal.
You
[music]
[music]
[music]
[music]
now the camera's sleep. [music] Now the room is cold. Now the quiet men move the hidden gold. [singing] No [music] big
speech, no marching band, just a marked up map and a shaking hand. This is power with the sound turned down. [music] This
is control in a spotless town. The public hears [music] the cleanest line. The private room keeps changing time.
[music]
They call it pressure. They call it peace. They call it order. When the levers creek and somewhere [music]
far from the glowing set, a mother waits for the next update. No slogan helps [music] and no prize can shine. No stage can cover the human price. Good deal.
Love deal. Good deal. Deal. Good deal.
Deal. Then [singing] thunder. [music] Good deal. Deal. Good deal.
Deal. Good deal. Deal. That's thunder. Good deal.
Good [music] deal. No deal. The host keeps smiling. The fuse keeps glowing. No deal. Great deal. No deal. Spin the wheel.
Peace on the screen. Fire [music] in the field. No deal. Big white lights. War drums under. Great deal. No deal.
What a show. The whole world watches what the [music] quiet rooms know. What did he say?
Great deal. [music] No deal. What did they do? Peace on the screen. Fire in the field. What do we learn?
Great deal. [music] No. Cue the thunder.
[cheering]
Step right up. [screaming] Welcome to the war room. [music]
Tonight's grand prize, a peace deal with smoke on it. [music]
One hand signs, one hand aims, and the host says, "Don't worry, folks. It's almost peace.
[music]
[music]
Week 13. [music and singing] In the desert storm, a little trip with a war room floor. [music] The commander
stands behind the gold lead mic. Says, "We're close now. Nearly got it right." Saturday night, the deal looks bright.
5050 [music] black smoke, white light.
The papers wait, the cameras roll, the crowd wants peace, the [music] drums want more. One hand waves, one hand
hides, one hand points to the eastern [music] side. The ticker screams, the anchors grin. Another round of who will
win? He says, [music] "Almost there." Then he says, "Not so fast." He says, "Great deal only."
Then the windows [music] shake like glass.
The room [music] goes quiet, the lights go red. The word is peace, but the [music] sound is dread. Great deal, no
deal. Cue the thunder. Walk [music] all night, then tear it under. Great deal, no deal. Spin the wheel.
Peace [music] on the screen, fire in the field. Say it loud. Say [music] it again. Great deal, no deal.
Cue the thunder.
Sunday [music] morning, slow the train. No rush now, says the man in the frame. [music] The final parts will come out soon, but
don't sign yet. Let the tension [music] bloom. The stage is set like plastic bricks, tiny flags, tiny ships, tiny
[music] towers on a studio floor, tiny families behind tiny [music] doors. The western jets cut through the night. The eastern [music] sky turns camera white.
The horse leans in the ratings rise.
Truth wears [music] makeup under studio lights. They say tops are moving.
They say nothing is done. They say peace is coming.
Then the drums become the sun. The screen [music] says calm. The ground says no. The hidden hand runs the show.
Great deal, [music] no deal. Cue the thunder. Talk all night then tear it under. Great [music] deal, no deal. Spin
the wheel. Peace on the screen. Fire in the field. Say it loud. [music] Say it again.
Great deal. No deal.
Kill the thunder. [music] Kill the thunder.
Kill the thunder. [music] Kill the thunder.

[admin]

Russia Goes After NATO-War Centers in Kiev, Iran Winning Big | Larry C. Johnson
Neutrality Studies
May 28, 2026

Updates on the Ukraine-Proxy War and the Iran War with Larry C. Johnson: Both wars are about to get worse as NATO is trying to expand the fight into Russia. Moscow will now escalate in Kiev to send final message to Collective West. At the same time, the global economic shock from the Iran War will only grow deeper and more intensive with every day.



Transcript

Chapter 1: Russia’s New War Phase
Welcome back everybody to Neutrality Studies today again with the one and only Larry Johnson. Larry, hi there. Thank you, Pascal.
Well, thank you. Uh, a lot has been happening over the last week um when it comes to Russia and Iran and both of these things don't seem to be going
well. Um especially the what is what is happening now with with with Russia with Ukraine having basically killed all of
these teenagers in uh uh in Lugansk and the Russians not not taking it anymore
now having issued even a warning to that foreign diplomat in Kiev should evacuate. Uh do you think do you think
the Russian approach to the war is now going to change?
Yes. Yeah. No, I think this is a watershed moment. They haven't uh they've made the decision to change.
They haven't yet fully acted on it. You know, we got the hint that it was moving in this direction about uh three weeks
ago or is it four weeks ago when Ambassador Dmitri Polanski appeared on
Danny Davis's podcast and commented that, you know, basically
Europe targets in Europe were on the table now because of the the drone attacks that were taking place inside Russia.
Um that was followed up two three days later with Sergey Ripkov the deputy foreign minister and I you know I know I know Dmitri I spent some time with him.
He was he was sort of my host when I spoke to the United Nations Security Council. And then uh Sig Rupov, I first
met him back in December of 2023 at a it was a small 12 12 person seminar
um with I was there with Alistister Crook and Pepe Escobar uh and uh and so Sun Ripkov is a very
he's a very serious diplomat and he reiterated the same message that uh Ambassador Polanski had delivered. So
that told me right off the bat because you know Dimmitri is not the kind of guy he's going to go out and just start spouting off. Yeah man, we're going to
go kick some European ass. You know that's not him. Uh what he said was measured but it was direct and it was
clear that he was acting on instructions that had been provided from the foreign ministers. And then finally, we get the the readout from this week's
conversation between Sigate Laval, Foreign Minister, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. It was not what I'd call a happy conversation.
Uh, you know, Lev is very direct and warning uh, you know, the Russian readout contained this. The US readout
didn't say a thing, but it was saying, "Western diplomats, get out of Kev." Um,
Russia does not make idle threats. Um, as Ray McGovern, who spent many, many
3 minutesyears studying and and analyzing the Russians at his job at CIA, he said, "If you wonder what the Russians are going
to do, just listen to what they say because they're not they're not notorious bullshitters. They they're
very can be very direct. It can be diplomatic, but in this case, we have to take him very very seriously what what's
being said. And uh what what they're signaling is they're going to attack uh
intelligence and military targets in Kev that are currently, I think, staffed
with Westerners, US CIA personnel and military personnel, both uh NATO and US.
So, uh, and I I believe this is one, you know, people said, well, why hadn't they attacked this
before? Why now? Well, the the this latest terrorist attack against civilians, and that's what it was.
4 minutesWhatever uses violence and are killing civilians, uh that that's the very definition of terrorism. And it's worth noting that
despite this incredibly massive massive Russian retaliation in Keefe, I I don't
think they killed any civilians. So, you know, they were they were taking care to inflict damage on the military and intelligence infrastructure.
So, the the numbers they published the numbers they published um right after it happened the morning after was four
people. Um that is not confirmed but that is what what was said from the from their side and Kalis actually then on
Twitter said like this is pure terrorism they are intending to kill uh it's a genocide they're intending to kill as many as they can which is I mean it's
another level of stupid but that's what came out of the west.
Yeah. Yeah. Well, all we can say is if that was really Russia's intention, they're really bad at it, you know,
5 minutesespecially using Rashnik right in in densely populated areas and not managing to kill a sing not managing to kill people at least in the two digits. Yeah,
you are really really really really bad at your game. But okay, how do you how do we read that then? That um
because what what I hear from you is that Russia saying take out your diplomats actually is Russia saying take out these
people in in Kief who are who we know are responsible for killing our people and if you don't take them out, we will take them out.
Yeah. Well, just uh tell them to uh particularly the the westerners the get
out of town because Russia is going they are going to hit Kev and keep hitting it in preparation for taking it with a
ground force. Uh I think they are going to capture and control Kev maybe by the end of the summer. Um, you know, one of
the reasons I think that they never in the past carried out this kind of attack was they didn't want to risk, you know,
killing Westerners and then escalating the conflict to, you know, they might say, "Okay, this is an article 5 violation that Russia was simply not
prepared to take that on. Now they're ready. They have I think they made sure they got ample supplies of missiles and
artillery and soldiers. They they boosted their their numbers. So um I I think they're that's why they're now up
in the game because uh and it's not just Dmitri Polanski Sergey Kaganov as well
that made comments about using using nukes against Europe. So the war it's it's entered a whole new phase now. I don't know if they're going to rename
it, but it's it's going beyond special military operation.
Hey, very brief intermission because I was recently banned from YouTube. And although I'm back, this can happen anytime again. So, please consider subscribing not only here, but to my
Chapter 2: From Attrition To Escalation
7 minutesmailing list on Substack. That's pascalota.substack.com.
The link's going to be in the description below. And now back to the video. What caused that? Because in my
reading, the last four years had like these different phases. The first phase was Russia trying to do a surprise, a
bad surprise for Ukraine to force them to come to a neutrality agreement of Ukraine at the negotiating table. They almost had them there. Flew in, blew it
up, said go and fight. The Russians basically had to make do with with with how they could uh a retreat in order to
regroup. And then from there on, ever since 2023, they were basically for 3 years in a war of attrition where they
said, "Sure, okay, you Ukraine and and NATO throw at us what you have. We'll destroy it. We demilitarize you that way and we go slowly and methodologically."
And um from the from the from the Russian side, they wanted to keep up the fiction. It's just a military operation.
And the West the West wanted to keep up the fiction that this is just them helping Ukraine. But the the the implicit agreement was we keep it in
Ukraine, right? whenever there was a danger that it would spill over, they actually both sides dialed it down. And that seems to have been kind of for
different reasons the the approach. But it seems that the Europeans are now salami slicing themselves into trying to
take the the war to Russia proper without the war coming to their territory and Russia is not going to take that. Right. Are you reading it the same way?
Yeah. Yeah. You know, you're exactly right. Um the and and and let's let's compare and contrast
the leadership in Russia with the public opinion and the leadership in the United States with public opinion with respect to war.
Uh Vladimir Putin, you could argue, has always been a little behind public
opinion. In fact, he's not been out trying to rally public opinion to let's step it up. Let's, you know, he's always
been more cautious and as the average Russians have been more willing to to be
more aggressive and it's reflected, you know, in comments by Dmitri Medvidev uh as an example and Sergey Kaganov both
are, you know, both are well respected and are serious uh serious people in Russia. Well, now Putin Putin is
stepping out because this it was clear what Lav Roth said was at the orders of Vladimir Putin. Putin told him, you call
that Marco Rubio character and this is what you tell him. And the same message had been delivered to Riboff and to Dmitri Podansski.
Uh so uh the uh do you do you remember the musician Alice Cooper
uh uh 70s you know 70s 80s in the United States was before your time but he had a
song called No More Mr. Nice Guy and that's that's Putin now. No More No
More Mr. Nice Guy. uh R Russ Russia's turned a corner in this war and uh if you know I expect them to fully execute
this and and make basically make kev unlivable for foreign diplomats and foreign military personnel and former
intelligence officers here the I mean them now saying we're going to dial it up against KF is actually in
in in my reading also a way to tell the Europeans look this is this is this is the last thing we do inside Ukraine, if you don't stop it here, then the next thing is going to be outside of Ukraine.
Um, so plus when it when it comes to this thing like chasing out not only the
diplomats but also the NOS's and the command the foreign command center and so on while basically forcing the Ukrainians to keep government structures
and everything in Kiev is is probably going to create quite a headache. But do you see any chance that that the government itself and the military
structures will will retreat to live off or something like that? Yeah, eventually I think I think that's what will happen.
And you know, you you you astutely noted the critical point instead of, you know,
because when both ambassador Pansky and uh and Sergey Ripkov, Deputy Foreign Minister first spoke about going after
Europe, in my mind, I'm thinking, okay, they're going to start targeting European cities. This is a way where they can hit
European targets in Ukraine, right? is, you know, an intermediate step before going to full escalation.
Again, giving them a chance to back off, get out of the way, save yourselves. Uh, and you know, it it looks like it's had
some effect. U both Starmer and Mcronone have been a little less belligerent of
late. It's, you know, this is this is like the small dog phenomena. If you ever been around, you know, a really big
powerful dog, it usually doesn't need to bark at you. It just intimidates the hell out of you by being there. It's those little yappy dogs that, you know,
could, you know, all they do and they're an annoyance. That's Kayakalis, you know, that's that's a vunder lion or
or as I call her, fond of lying. uh you know they they're making the belligerent threats but they have no no means to carry out or execute on those.
So I mean even if this this um new phase of the war remains inside Ukraine, the uh
it seems to me that the Europeans are dead set on still going ahead with uh with their preparations for a war with Russia. And if we listen to all of the
all of the talks we've had on on these different shows, including on Glen Dies and so on, we see that the Russians now seem to seem to start to agree that
okay, this war will come. So, we're we're going to get ready for it. Are we already inside a self-fulfilling prophecy at this point?
No. Because it's one thing for Europe to talk, it's another thing for it to do.
And that is the saving grace. They're good at talking tough, not real good at action. And when when push comes to
shove, remember Starmer was talking about, or we're going to take intercept all these uh Russian uh ghost ships that
are carrying gas or oil. Well, the Russian shows up with one of its
battleships or destroyers, and it's parked off the coast of the UK, and Starburst says, "Ah, never mind. H we're
not going to do that." And so, um, if it was left just to the leaders, yeah, they they could be a self-fulfilling
prophecy, but they they're not the only ones to get a say in this. And and the the public at large in these various countries are, I think, ultimately going
to restrain their leaders from committing suicide.
Well, I would hope so, but what's the role now of the United States? I mean, it's a really really bizarre moment where the US still pretends to be a
Chapter 3: US Role And Ukraine Air Defense
neutral uh uh mediator while everybody everybody on side agrees that the United States is the kingpin in the
decision-making process in NATO which ultimately I mean trickles all the way down into Kief, right? Yeah.
What's what's the position at the moment of the US uh US uh Ukraine? Are you familiar with the expression the red-headed stepchild?
So, uh, in in sort of US culture, it was, uh, if a family adopted a kid, the
they call him the redheaded stepchild, he wasn't wasn't the favorite, you know, he wasn't part of the inner family. He's always treated as an outsider. That's
what Ukraine is now with respect to the United States, the redheaded stepchild because the favorite son, Israel, they're getting all the love, all the
money, all the weapons. U and Ukraine's getting nothing. And you know what's really um
there there's also a lot of selfdeceit uh between in both the West and in Ukraine. Zalinsky wrote this letter to
Trump complaining about we need more Patriot missiles. We need more air defense.
Um they Ukraine started getting their first batch of Patriot missiles pack 3es
in 2023. And so 2023 2024 into early 2025. They received a grand
total of like 9 950 Pac 3 missiles.
16 minutesNow do the math. So if if you've got an inbound Russian missile, ballistic cruise, or even a garage zone, you're
going to have to fire two of those Pack 3es at that incoming missile. So just ask do a, you know, do a search on one
of the one of the AI engines and ask the question, uh, how many missiles has Russia fired since 2023?
And ballistic crews, I didn't even ask about drones. numbers between 8,000 and 12,000.
So do the math. If you got 950, that means you can shoot at 475
missiles. And if you do that, you've exhausted your supply of pack 3es and they're shooting down 90% of 12,000
8,000 to 12,000 missiles. Please, you know, stop lying.
that they don't the point is uh Ukraine has hardly had any air defense system
now for more than two years. And you know they always put a happy face on it claiming oh yeah we shot down x amount.
They haven't. And the the the sad part of this is they can beg the United States all they want for more Pack 3
missiles. United States produces uh an average of about 60 a month. Okay, which
means they can take out 30 potentially take out 30 missiles. Well, where where's the priority? The priority with
Israel or with Ukraine? Priority is Israel.
Yeah, obviously is obviously Israel. But on the other hand, it seems to me that Ukraine probably independently has
learned a very similar lesson or is taking a similar lesson from something that Iran has been preparing for for a
while. the fact that you cannot avoid being hit but you can maintain the capacity to strike back and they figured
18 minutesout actually you know the whole the whole patriot system and so on I think that's just money laundering mostly uh because right now what hurts Russia is
these cheap drones that the Ukrainians managed to fire or the NATO alliance manages to fire into into Russia and the Russians also are vulnerable to those.
Yeah. So I mean kind of you know we are at the point where both sides and actually also in the Iran war both sides are left with only the option of of
trying to absorb these shocks and it's usually the larger power that is more sensitive to being hit themselves.
No I I I disagree for this reason. One most of the the drones that are fired
into Russia are shot down. Russia still has a they have a very ample and and effective air defense system, right?
A few get through and they and they cause some damage, but damage on what scale? Let's remember in in comp, you
know, size comparison uh and then even a size comparison with Iran. Ukraine is roughly one-third the
size of Iran. Okay, in terms of land mass and when you look at all of the,
you know, 12 thou, let's 8,000 to 12,000 ballistic and cruise missiles over 4 year period, no telling how many thou,
I'd say easily 20 to 30,000 drones. Uh, even with all that firepower spread out
over Ukraine, it still hasn't hollowed out the society. It is reducing it by attrition.
Ukraine for its part doesn't even they don't even come close to that kind of fire. They're their only real firepower
now are uh they they may have some storm shadows. Uh and they've got some drones now. They're getting they're getting a a
fairly significant resupply of drones from the UK.
But then that that makes the UK now a target based upon what uh LV announced
the other day. So it is from the Russian standpoint, you know, they're pursuing a
military plan. It doesn't fit within any of the Western models of how we think we should do warfare. Even though
the West has these plans, but look how poorly they performed over the last 66 years. You know, we don't we don't have
to look at just one case. We got multiple cases. Uh well, let's go to the Korean War. US failed to defeat North
Korea and China in the in the Korean War. Failed to defeat Vietnam. Uh and then all these other scattershot wars.
We quote defeated Saddam Hussein in the first Gulf War. Even though, you know, looking back on it, that was a war that
never should have happened because Saddam was a client of the United States.
Iraq had been uh supported, funded, armed, equipped by the United States during this war with Iran. And then in a
little over like less than a year, year and a half, United States turned with a vengeance on Saddam Hussein.
You got to look back that, you know, that war was so unnecessary. And I I you know, looking back, I don't real I
didn't realize back then what I understand today. what I know today. Um because then I viewed that, you know, I
wasn't I hadn't followed the history of of the Iran Iraq war. I didn't realize the United States had been supplying the
chemical and biological weapons and providing the intelligence that Iraq was using to attack Iran. And I just said,
"Hey, here's this Saddam guy out of the blue attacks Kuwait." I didn't really understand that Saddam had met with the
US ambassador, April Glasby, and said, "Hey, these Kuwaitis are stealing our oil. So, I'm I'm going to go in and stop
it. Do you have a problem with that?" And April said to him, "The US has no position on that." And he said, "Okay."
And remember, this is the guy had been interacting with CIA and US uh Department of Defense assets for almost
10 years. So, you know, he thought, "Hey, I, you know, Americans, I I got a decent relationship with them." Little
did he understand that, uh, the, you know, he was still the redheaded stepchild, favorite son, Israel, was
still at the forefront and was one of the major justifications or at least motivations for the United States to do
that attack in 1990 to drive him out of Kuwait. So this is um you know the
United States militarily has failed and that's where that's the other thing I think the revelation for Russia out of
this whole the you know it's one thing to do an intelligence assessment but then it's another thing to see how it actually plays out on the battlefield.
Um, and you know, Scott Ritter and I had a a brief disagreement in the summer of uh 2022
when they uh they first introduced the the United States first introduced uh
some of its uh 155 millimeter artillery and and one of the earlier uh short-range uh missiles.
And and Scott said at the time he thought that was a game changer. And I said, "No, it's not. This doesn't this doesn't alter the course, but now we're
at a stage of what we're going to see the Russians do will be a gamecher.
It will fundamentally change the nature of the war and it's going to um because you know now Russia realizes
the United States is effectively a paper tiger. It it can it can cause some damage but the United States has been
unable to defeat the Houthis and now it's been unable to defeat uh Iran and all of its so-called vunderan you know
the wonder weapons supplied to Ukraine have failed to put a dent uh in Russia's
military and industrial capability that all of that is true the the thing I
Chapter 4: Russia’s Endgame In Ukraine
worry about is Um, what can be the endgame from the Russian side? Because I
mean, it's the if I was one of these sick neocons somewhere somewhere in in DC, then I and we know they talk about
it like this, right? Uh, uh, Hillary Clinton said like, "Let's make Ukraine the the Afghanistan of of uh of Russia."
At the beginning of the war, she said that literally and like I mean, poor Afghanistan. And I mean invaded by two uh great powers over the course of like
50 40 years. But but anyhow um yeah no poor I mean seriously poor guys.
Um and but you know they would want to make this a quagmire right and a quackmire can be a war that well you can
win and with overwhelming power or you can you can you can be much stronger than the other one but you can't win it because they will then support these
these in insurgents and and and small weapons and keep hurting keep hurting keep hurting. until after years, you
know, it shatters at some point. Um, how would Russia prevent that? Because these drone strikes into Russia are already
designed to do that, right? It's this way of pin pricks that over time stack up.
Well, Russia actually has a successful track record in dealing with insurgencies, westernbacked insurgencies.
You know, the first one was in the aftermath of World War II going into 1949, 1950 and the CIA and MI6 were busy
with banderites putting together Ukrainian units that were to carry out attacks in Russia. Uh it took the Russians then about six years to quell
that. Um then let's jump ahead to the 1990s. You had the first chin war 9293
but then the second one that was begun in earnest in August I think the date was August 9th of 1999
and that went on for about 11 years. It ended in 2010 when Medvidev was
president. Uh so Russia has successfully fought insurgencies, westernbacked
insurgencies and defeated them. And the defeat the the defeat in the second Chuchchin war was hey was it a brutal
war? Oh absolutely. You know the the Russians killed a lot of people but when it was all over they had the loyalty of the Muslim population in Cheshna.
And I can testify to that just based on my conversations with General Opti Aludinov you know he's a hero of the of Russia
and but he's a devout Muslim uh and long and he fought he was involved with those as a young very young man teenager in
that second Chetchin war. So, Russia is they're going to they're continuing this war of attrition, bleeding out Ukraine.
But on top of it, I I think you know what we're going to see is they will take Russia will take Kev or Kiev, you
know, however we want to pronounce it, and they will take Odessa and probably Transnistri before this is all over. They will they will militarily
defeat uh Ukrainian forces. And if any NATO forces try to go in and defend in Nordessa, they'll be wiped out
and it's going to be Russia. It'll be, you know, brutal. But that's where I see what Russia's prepare prepared to do.
So at the moment, we are still, I mean, we're again at the point where probably the Russians still at this moment want
to keep the war inside Ukraine, right?
28 minutesThe Ukrainians still want to Europeanize this. The Europeans would also like to Europeanize it. So it will probably boil
down to the decision of Washington which way it will go.
Chapter 5: Trump, Ukraine And Iran
Yeah, I Trump will Trump will not get further in involved with Ukraine. I I'm pretty confident of that. He's he's too
caught in Iran. Uh you know, the United States is we've already got very limited military operations there and uh he has
he has he's suffering a political beating right now. His popularity it's it's at the same level as Richard Nixon
in his second term. And remember Nixon in his second term was in the midst of Watergate. Uh his po he was 63% of
Americans opposed him and that's where Trump is right now. 63 He's only got 37% saying they support Trump.
Yeah. And the the Iran war really really damaged his entire MAGA base and and he's not getting out of it apparently.
What did you make out of and let's now switch to Iran. What did you make out of this comment two days ago when he said that he talked to all of these leaders
Chapter 6: Abraham Accords And Gulf Talks
in West Asia including Turkey and they all they must join the peace agreement which is basically also signing the Abraham
Accords and recognizing Israel including Pakistan and others. Like if I wanted to make sure that there will be no
agreement, that's exactly how I would do it. And we have no we have no president in history where neutral states,
uninvolved neutrals were forced to were became party of the peace agreement. I mean, yeah. What is that idea?
Yeah. Well, uh, apparent the reports are that when he brought that up, they had all these people on like a conference
call and when he brought that up, there was dead silence. Nobody spoke up and said, "Yeah, Mr. President, that's a great idea." Yeah, well, let's do that.
Um, is uh or is something like the Abraham Accords possible? Yes, I think under one scenario.
That scenario would be Israel must grant statehood to the Palestinians. They must
be secure. Israel has withdrawn its military forces back to the appropriate boundaries. And then and only then would
these other nations be willing to enter entertain recognizing um Israel's as as a sovereign state. As
long as they continue to fight the wars and attack Lebanon and attack the Palestinians, there will be no Abraham
agreement. And the Saudis made that very clear the next day. They they released a statement saying, "No, not going to happen until the rights of the
Palestinian people are addressed." Same thing out of Qatar and same thing out of Iran. So, you know, you're right. It
looks as if Trump's maybe trying to deliberately sabotage uh his own peace effort, but uh the uh it that's not going anywhere.
Or is he is he is he fighting an internal an internal fight with all of the neocons, the Lindsey Grahams and so on and Pompeo? I mean, they all came out
last week when uh Trump announced the deal was near and they they all came out and said like, "No, no, no, no, no, no
deal. I mean, this is horrible." Um because our ally Israel and now he just flout pouts out this idea in order to throw them a bone.
Is it something like that?
Yeah. Well, as you correctly note, uh the the social media accounts with the Zionist crowd went wild.
Oh, yeah.
And that may have and again today we saw Trump said things that someone who is in
touch with White House sources uh wrote and said look Trump has once again pulled the plug on a peace agreement by
his you know statements that uh you know that Iran's not going to remain in control of the state of harloo uh and
that uh just just re and insisting that the Abraham Accord must be upheld. Um so
the I know the Pakistanis they've got the lead role in this negotiations trying to pe you know patch together an
agreement. They've got the full backing of China and China and Russia are uh
both involved diplomatic pressure on the Gulf Arabs. Yeah, just before coming on air, I got a report from somebody who is
involved with the negotiations uh from the Chinese side. Uh and they they they
report that Qatar has now informed the United States basically you got 6 to9 months get get the hell out of Qatar
which means closing Alouded Air Force Base which is the largest it is the brain center for all US military
operations in West Asia. Uh I'm actually surprised Iran didn't inflict more damage on it during the first five weeks
Chapter 7: US Bases And New Gulf Security
of the war and and that may have been because you remember it's a complicated relationship between Iran and Qatar
there a few years back Qatar was isolated it was facing attack from Saudi
Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and they were actually prohibiting you know preventing you know the arrival of even humanitarian supplies.
Well, who supplied Qatar during that time? Iran.
So, the Qataris are not a bunch of ingrates. They they remember that. And so, this is why uh you know, in fact,
Galibbah, the speaker of the parliament was in Qatar. And I I don't know who he specifically met with, but I'm sure it
was with the with the leaders. So, Iran is this whole new security architecture.
It is being they're trying to they're working to put that together. And what that means is the exclusion of the United States from West Asia.
Yep. And they're probably going to get there because also Saudi Arabia now already blocked the United States twice.
Uh Qatar as well. And I I think we I I recently actually understood, you know, we had this discussion earlier and we're
looking at Oman. Oman has no significant bases or anything but still got attacked. And by now we know because
Arachi said uh that these these attacks were not intentional but because they have this mosaic defense where 31 uh
independent military governorates basically take decisions that some of them you know struck places that maybe
the highest leadership wouldn't have want to see. But it seems that by now um the message actually to the Gulf States is is getting through, right? You need
to kick out the the Americans. So the negotiations are probably just as hard with the with the Gulf States as it is with thei the United States in order to create new facts on the ground.
Correct.
Yeah. that that you know this it's not an overnight process and they're still uh the Pakistanis
working at the sort of the direction of the Chinese want to ensure that they that they get
this new security architecture in place that basically it will be the Gulf states and Iran guaranteeing their own security as a group.
Yeah. And and so um the one you know the one problem child in this whole whole
lashup is United Arab Emirates and even within the Emiratis it's not all of the
Amirs it's basically the guy MBZ who I believe is in um um um what is the other
it's not Dubai the other main city in Abu Dhabi UA
that that's his main, you know, where he hangs his hat. So, um
this is this is a work in progress. Uh um and but as we came on air, I see that
there were new clashes tonight over Bonder Abas. So, this may still get back
into a heated exchange. Uh it looks like foreign minister Arachi went to travel to Moscow yesterday.
Kremlin hasn't highlighted I'm I'm assuming it's Arachi. It may have been the Minister of Defense. Uh the the Russians so far haven't issued any readout on on that kind of meeting.
o and I'm sure it's the negotiations and talks about um what you know what could Iran be suggesting? Iran said,
"Okay, look, uh, we'll give up the arched uranium provided the U, Russia store it." Uh, there was also talk that
Pakistan would store it. Uh, and then Trump is saying, "No, that that couldn't happen." But, you know, for Iran, it's a
red line. You're, the United States is not going to tell Iran what it can do with its uh, enriched uranium. Iran will make that decision.
Chapter 8: Sanctions And Diplomacy With Iran
Yeah. On the other hand, the Iran wants things that only the United States can give. Um I mean the military is one
thing. Iran can maybe chase them away uh from the Gulf. Yes. But the other thing is of course sanctions relief and the end of this blockade and that is
something that's actually in the hands of of the US. So there is an interest in like coming to some form of understanding that then would produce results. Right.
But the but the well let me just add you you can make the case that who's who's hurting most
from the blockade Iran or the Gulf Arabs? I would argue it's the Gulf Arabs. Yeah.
Why? Because while the there are some limitations or attempts to limit what Iran can ship out via the ports and and
and the Persian Gulf, um they've still got open trade routes to the north over the Caspian Sea with Russia. U as well as Aubaijan.
They've got uh land routes through Tashkant including the railroad connecting them to China as well as
China's ability to fly cargo ships in uh with goods as well as seven land routes from Pakistan with Pakistan's full cooperation.
So uh Iran is actually they're they're actually in pretty good shape economically. This these dire
39 minutespredictions that oh we do the blockade it's going to choke their economy.
they're going to collapse. Didn't happen.
So, you know, all these predictions from these western pundits turned out to be false.
Yeah. But it if possible, it would of course be better for the Iranian economy as well to have this thing lifted and the sanctions lifted and to actually,
you know, you could do much more. So, this would be a good thing. Uh on the other hand, um the the negotia
is in my view ruining like a lot of this diplomatic process because whatever Donald Trump throws out then uh becomes
becomes a huge thing and he the on the other hand though what what is your what is your gut feeling? I mean is there
actual diplomacy going on with you know behind all of this of of Iranian diplomats and US diplomats saying like
don't pay attention to it. the actual thing between us happens here at at this table in Pakistan. Um, is are they also
like always afraid of looking at what Donald Trump tweeted out yesterday?
Yeah. No, the Iranians I think have gotten they don't pay any attention to what Donald Trump tweets, you know. Um,
but they're they're not willing to make an agreement based solely on a promise that says, "Oh, yeah, we cross our heart
and hope to die. Well, well, if you do these things, we'll lift those sanctions. And Iran's just simply going to say, "Wait a second. We've we've been
there. We've been down this road with JCPOA. You you made commitments and you didn't fulfill those commitments. So, we got to have something ironclad, something very concrete.
Um, can can Trump lift the sanctions or is it actually Congress? If it has to go to Congress, it will all be sunk down, right? So, well, it it depends.
uh sanctions that were imposed via executive order, Trump can lift whether
it was George W. Bush or Barack Obama or Joe Biden that wrote that imposed those sanctions. If it was done via executive
order, Trump can lift them. If it was done via congressional an act of Congress, then you're correct. Congress
has to meet and approve the lifting. So that that that again could be a negotiating point where uh Iran might
say okay you you President Trump lift all the sanctions that you can lift uh and then we'll be willing to go forward
and talk but you know there are Iran's not going to surrender it sovereignty
that that's the key lesson I think no but the thing is what can Iran I mean um having any form of agreement and the
the other side the the other side needs to live up to it. Right. So, right. What do you think about the the UN sanctions? Would it be on the part
that they forced Trump to order his uh his ambassador in the security council to actually, you know, propose a
42 minutesresolution that would lift the sanctions, the UN sanctions on Iran.
That would be a big Well, yeah, the US could play a decisive role in that, but you still have France
and England or the United Kingdom. So, they could still veto it. And so, this is uh and in fact, we saw them basically they did so last uh September.
So, the the the blowback sanctions or the Yeah. the snapback.
um that you know the the UK and France were key ones and said no, we're going to keep those in place. So um u what's
interesting though is both France and the United Kingdom now they're an anacronism with respect to the UN.
Yeah, you could you could make the case at the end of World War II they could still be sort of considered a global power. They
are no longer. They're the they're they're they're weak regional powers at best. Yet they're still, you know, they live they're living out their own
fantasy life that that they're still important, that they're still relevant, and they aren't.
Chapter 9: Lebanon, Oil And Wider War Risks
Yeah. Yeah. But um once a treaty gives you something, then uh the these states tend to keep it until the very until the
very end. Um, anything else in your view that's currently happening about around Iran that is that is very important to properly assess the situation?
Well, the the other is what happens in Lebanon.
Um, Israel has renewed its offensive in southern Lebanon, right?
And they're bombing and Israel at the same time, they're they're suffering significant losses. Ezah with its, you
know, access to these drones, um, is, you know, it's been, it's been a bit of a game changer for them. You know, in
the past, they had to, uh, hide an ambush to attack Israeli forces as they
advanced and much more likelihood of casualties with that. Now, they're they're hitting them. They're causing
more casualties into to Israel using the drones than they ever did in the 2006 war with you know up close and personal
you know fighting close quarters. So that you know that is another factor that's going to play in. And so if so
far we're told that Trump warned BB not to bomb Beirut and to stop, you know, so he can bomb around the yellow line in
the south, but uh do not go north of the Latani River. So apparently Israel has been following that so far. But if if
they expand the war, that will be from the standpoint of Iran breaking the ceasefire and then Israel will become another target for Iran.
Right. Right. Overall, the the the situation doesn't look very conducive
45 minutestoward this being toned down anytime soon, which also means that the entire economic problem around the straight of
horm will also remain in place, which means that we should all get ready for even higher pump prices at the pump.
Yeah, that this is the global effect of this economically is only starting to be
felt, but uh the you know the price or price of oil and and gasoline for
example and diesel fuel is is soaring around the world. So it's not just an isolated area. uh China is, you know,
despite US hopes that uh the blockade would somehow pressure China, it's turned out that's not the case at all.
It's just the opposite. China has built in some insurance policies for itself and it's it's largely immune to these the blockade and these sanctions.
Yeah. And what it also will lead to is of course uh Iran and China trying to figure out alternative routes and you know every every shock also then
incentivizes the others to to improve resilience. So um do we last question do we have any indications that that these
Chapter 10: China, Commodities And Market Collapse
neocon uh uh uh crazies are planning something to expand this this war to China? I mean at the moment it seems qu
it seems quiet here in the Pacific. Uh but do you see anything on your end?
No. Uh they might want to but the US doesn't have the means to do so. They've already depleted largely depleted much
of uh what would they would have to use in an offensive against Chinese forces and and the Chinese are far far more
capable than Iran with hypersonic missiles, anti-ship missiles, submarines. Um, so yeah, there's no way
for the United States really to inflict any kind of uh damage short of using nuclear weapons. And you know, if they
47 minutesdo that, then you know, end of the world's upon us because Russia and China would strike back at the United States if the US decided to do that. So I don't
see that happening. But let let me ask you a question as a historian.
Have we ever had a period in the last 300 years where five critical
commodities for world industrial output have been cut off? So you've had 20% of
the world's oil is cut off. 10% of the world's liquid natural gas is cut off.
Uh 35% of the world's ura essential for fertilizer production among other things
cut off. 44% of the helium that is used in u you know medical imaging as well as
building computer chips that's gone and then sulfur which has you know you
essential to create sulfuric acid which is again a very important commodity
within uh industrial activity. I I I don't recall I don't think we've ever had a period like that. uh and the
implications for global economic recession at a minimum depression very
uh very likely we we I don't think we had it on a on a on a global scale the way we have it
today but unfortunately usually this is one of the goals or the the implications of large-scale warfare I mean this was
Napoleon's Napoleon's idea of how to deal with the Brits and the British idea how to deal with Napoleon is like you cut each other off from your trading
partners and you start threatening uh third parties, neutrals uh to stop uh to stop trading with the enemy, right? And
that's so it's it's it's a natural thing to happen in this kind of of war confilration, but I don't think we had
it on that scale on a planetary level yet.
Yeah. So that that's why I said we're we're living through something that has no precedent in history and it's not like you know if you have a historical
event that you can go back and say okay this is what happened previously what are the different variables we're looking at we're looking at something
entirely new and and that's why uh I I think the vast majority of the people uh
even even academics and pundits and experts in other areas I don't think to
fully grasp how ser serious this is and how disruptive it's going to be because
that and that economic disruption I think will end up playing a very as as time goes on that will become the more
important factor leading for incentives to actually bringing into this war and to get the
negotiated settlement that will convince Iran okay uh you win you know we're going to stop this.
Yeah. If if and looking at the development of what the central banks are doing at the moment, it and and how
the bond market is developing, it looks possible. If another 2008 hits that
would change the entire equation um and one more one more shock, one more economic shock that related but also
significantly different from what's going on. So, we'll see about that, I guess. Well, there's a there's a derivatives trader lives in China, uh,
Canadian named Alex White. Uh, he he's, uh, he has a channel on YouTube called Reportify, Reporter Media.
And he says the derivatives market right now is between 700 trillion dollars and
one quadrillion dollars. numbers that we have, you know, can't get your mind
around it. And he he thinks a collapse in that market is very very likely,
which would make it 2008 appear to be a picnic compared to the kind of economic
chaos that would sweep the world. So that's I mean if we get into that stage uh we're again we're going to be in
something very that will be profoundly uh shattering to global political order.
Derivatives are such a stupid idea especially the the split up ones. I mean it's that's what that's what screwed 2008. That's what they
Well, it's just it's just you take a couple of debt obligations, you slice them up, you put them into a new package, you sell that, and then
nobody knows what you actually own, and you call that a a a foolproof asset and collateralized uh uh risk.
My god, is that a dumb thing to do? Yeah. And you think we learned? Nope.
Flat learning curve here, man. So th this is uh you know that that's another thing that's on the horizon that that I
don't think a lot of uh policy analysts are taking into account.
Yeah. All right. Now that we're that we're thoroughly back into doom and gloom, I would like to thank you, Larry, for for a very good analysis, an
important one. Um people want to follow you, they should go to your homepage, sonar21.com.
Um anywhere else where they should find you? Yeah, that that's the I do a I have a a weekly uh broadcast on
countercurrens. Uh in fact, I just interviewed Alex White today. It'll be out probably on Friday. Uh I did Katherine a Austin Fitz last week.
Again, she had some very interesting economic analysis. She was she was a trader on Wall Street. Um and very, you
know, very experienced. Um, and she's got, you know, I I think I think the whole economic side, economics can be
boring, but that that's where I think the real panic will come from once because the markets right now, the
markets are not acting normally. uh you know the we we saw prices of oil during
COVID surge to $150 a barrel and that was on the futures market but there was no there wasn't a cut off of 20 20% of
the supply. The supply basically remained intact.
Now we got a 20% of the supply gone and they're saying oh yeah the the price of oil is falling because we think a peace agreement is near.
Uh, I don't think the peace agreement is near despite all the, you know, press coverage and positive comments.
No, but that's the funny thing about the market. They don't need something real.
They need something to believe in, right? They they it just shows that it's a casino. It's a huge casino. Yes.
Uh, but but some people uh some people really play it and one of the main players is the president of the United
tates. But now, who knows how to how to create belief. Anyhow, um Larry Johnson, we will have you back uh pretty
soon. Everybody go to Zoner 21. Um support Larry. Um please also keep in mind YouTube banned Larry. He he's not allowed to have his own channel anymore,
which is horrible. So if you can support him there also on I think buy me uh buy me a coffee, right?
Yeah. Yeah. Buy me a coffee, Patreon, Substack.
Yeah. But uh but it's all you know you can get there from my uh homepage at uh you know sonar21.com
sonar21.com please support independent analysis Larry Johnson thank you so much for your time today.
Hey Pascal thank you my friend